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Post Post #5 (isolation #0) » Fri Apr 17, 2020 4:05 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

VOTE: Saladman27

I like Salad
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Post Post #17 (isolation #1) » Fri Apr 17, 2020 7:55 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Get a room you two

VOTE: Persivul
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Post Post #19 (isolation #2) » Fri Apr 17, 2020 7:59 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Oh god oh fuck. I thought that was an ego post lmao. THE ONE TIME I DONT MAKE THAT REFERENCE.
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Post Post #21 (isolation #3) » Fri Apr 17, 2020 8:00 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

To be fair, it was quite spooky.
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Post Post #24 (isolation #4) » Fri Apr 17, 2020 8:20 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

I always like getting your role in Avalon
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Post Post #29 (isolation #5) » Fri Apr 17, 2020 11:05 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 28, farside wrote:This ^

VOTE: george
Why switch from Persivul?

Do you like his reaction to the wagon?
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Post Post #31 (isolation #6) » Fri Apr 17, 2020 11:32 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 30, farside wrote:Any reason you switched to a bw vote after a joke vote?
To build a wagon. What's the point of RVS if no one is pressured?

I obviously don't scumread Persival right now. But I don't townread him either.
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Post Post #46 (isolation #7) » Fri Apr 17, 2020 12:57 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 42, PranaDevil wrote:The L-2 is more a scum leaning thing in my mind than a faulty town read.
What's wrong with putting someone to L-2? Hammering would be an obvious scum claim.

Like, I get this mindset if it was a newbie game, but most people have the incentive to either unvote or not hammer.
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Post Post #144 (isolation #8) » Sat Apr 18, 2020 12:27 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 56, Saladman27 wrote:That's why scum would put someone at L-2, to avoid the sus of hammering town.
Honestly, I feel like Scum would be the hesitant voter, for fear of looking scummy.
In post 61, UnaBombaH wrote:I'd be interested in a thing I've never seen or done before.
Feel free to call me a dummy dumb-dumb if it suits you, but
what if we all agree that Wake doesn't vote for anyone today?


Hear me out - we obviously want his input and reads throughout the day as much as possible, simply because he is the only conf.town in the game so far.
But we won't be able to lynch scum 100% of the time D1 anyway, even if we had three conf.townies.
So my point is, that
whoever we end up lynching D1, and whatever their flip might end up being, the wagon will only consist of unconfirmed players.


Does that make sense for anyone? :?
I can see why this sounds good on paper, but the fact that a confirmed town wont be spearheading the lynch makes the push less valuable. I think the whole point of the IC is that their word is much more valuable than a regular player.
In post 102, Knightmare491 wrote:Any reason why you chose to question farside and not PD? He unvoted first.
Because PD gave a brief reason for doing so, as Farside's was a naked vote.
In post 118, mavsfan41 wrote:Drew’s miller claim had to come after everyone had a chance to post assuming the miller would claim with their first post. If he’s got scum mates, then he KNOWS they’re not the miller and MUST ONLY wait for the townies to post without a claim to snatch up that role.
But Mavs, you pretty much did the same thing. You counter claimed him like 5 pages in. And It's not impossible to have two millers in the game. I don't really think that's a scum-trait. Plus, Drew even said there's probably gonna be a vig that shoots him. It's probably a better bet to let that happen tonight.

VOTE: Saladman
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Post Post #147 (isolation #9) » Sat Apr 18, 2020 12:38 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 145, Drew-Sta wrote: 6-8 appeared like he was justifying trains, as a form of pressure. I’m not against votes and while bad lynched aren’t good, they do tell us stuff. However, he seemed a little more blasé on it than I’d like.
I understand, since I haven't commented on Persivul's slot. I think is probably his towniest post so far, which brings him out of null for me.
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Post Post #150 (isolation #10) » Sat Apr 18, 2020 12:49 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 148, Tanner wrote:Sorry, what? When did that happen?
Ah, sorry, he never said it directly but
In post 79, Drew-Sta wrote:BTW, according to here, I should do the following:
The first school of thought is that you should claim immediately, ideally in your opening post. This ensures that the Cop will not waste an investigation on you. It becomes more likely that you will be lynched or shot by a Vigilante, however; otherwise, it would be too easy for Mafia to fakeclaim Miller as well. This is by far the most common way to play the role on mafiascum.net.

I guess I deviated a little from the norm, but let's get that out of the road.

I fully expect to be dead by day one. I do, however, intend to make sure my remaining time here is as profitable as possible.
I still think that if there's a vig, he should definitely be the target tonight.
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Post Post #156 (isolation #11) » Sat Apr 18, 2020 1:03 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

How rare is double miller?
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Post Post #158 (isolation #12) » Sat Apr 18, 2020 1:05 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 152, Tanner wrote:George, is your first reaction to a double Miller claim "oh that's not scum indicative" as opposed to "one of them is fucking lying"?
Why is your reaction that one of them is lying?
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Post Post #162 (isolation #13) » Sat Apr 18, 2020 1:12 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 160, Tanner wrote:Re George: Borderline Bastard™? I don't think I've ever even heard of something like that.
Ok, well I didn't know that lmao. I've played with Millers before but not in Normals.

My first instinct was that just because there's multiple of a role, doesn't mean that it's a fake claim.
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Post Post #168 (isolation #14) » Sat Apr 18, 2020 1:33 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 125, UnaBombaH wrote:Anyhoo, I guess we are ready for the lynch now?
Don't think much of anything useful will come from the scumteam anymore, now that one of them is already caught red-handed?
Not really, especially when there's 3 slots that have barely posted.

If Double Miller really is that rare, then Drew is def our best chance at scum right now. But rushing the day is questionable.
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Post Post #173 (isolation #15) » Sat Apr 18, 2020 2:04 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

I think there's only 3 on him atm.
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Post Post #346 (isolation #16) » Mon Apr 20, 2020 11:01 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 255, mavsfan41 wrote:@George Bailey: your vote is on Saladman27. Say you get what you want and Saladman27 is lynched. And there is also a vig in the game. Who do you believe the vig should target during the night?
I don't actually want Saladman lynched, but I did want his slot to contribute at the time. It felt like people were trying to rush the day when there were people who were plain unreadable.

But in the case Salad WAS lynched, I would want Drew to get shot.

(Sorry, catching up now)
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Post Post #347 (isolation #17) » Mon Apr 20, 2020 11:11 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 318, Knightmare491 wrote:Another one I don't like is GB, refer and , he hasn't responded to the latter.
The latter was more of a statement, and I haven't posted since then. Calling this out is just plain dishonest.

But to answer, just because it's a declaration doesn't mean it's not a reason??? Like their reason was to not let it get to L-2.

I don't understand why this is something to call out.
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Post Post #348 (isolation #18) » Mon Apr 20, 2020 11:28 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 215, Drew-Sta wrote:A person who is avoiding this issue. Yes.
This is kind of a weird attack on someone being V/LA.

Activity is almost never Alignment indicative.
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Post Post #350 (isolation #19) » Mon Apr 20, 2020 11:52 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Ah, well statement retracted. Unfortunately I still think you're our best shot today then.

Aight, well i'm interested in hearing from Luca, but I think I need to vote Drew. This dilemma is something that should be sorted out D1.
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Post Post #352 (isolation #20) » Mon Apr 20, 2020 12:52 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Glad we're on the same page then.

Although, if this flips green, would that change your read on Mav?
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Post Post #429 (isolation #21) » Tue Apr 21, 2020 12:25 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Well, now that Luca is back.

VOTE: Drew
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Post Post #430 (isolation #22) » Tue Apr 21, 2020 12:31 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 381, mavsfan41 wrote:@ George and Drew: why are you guys playing with different miller rules for Drew (saying he should be vig’ed or the obv NK) and me (pushing for my own lynch day 2 seemingly regardless of the Drew flip)?
I said he should be vig'd when I thought Double Miller wasn't such a big deal. I never advocated for your lynch today, and I thought that people were trying to rush the lynch.

I also never said you should be lynched day 2 regardless of flip, if Drew flips red I think you're confirmed somewhat. Seems like a weird gambit for scum to do so early.
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Post Post #432 (isolation #23) » Tue Apr 21, 2020 12:39 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Beer and Doritos sounds like a good night.
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Post Post #433 (isolation #24) » Tue Apr 21, 2020 12:41 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

And I was asking Farside about her earlier "what would happen if Drew flipped Green" because I wanted to know her commitment to the impossibility of a double Miller.
In post 354, mavsfan41 wrote:I can’t believe I’m saying this... but might there be two millers?
For this exact reason. Oh, so now it's a possibility? I have a bad feeling this will flip green after this backpedaling. But only one way to find out.
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Post Post #503 (isolation #25) » Fri Apr 24, 2020 6:53 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 483, Knightmare491 wrote:Town better be fucking stacked in this game if there are 2 millers
So then why was your first reaction to vote me? This was before Persivu's rolecop.
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Post Post #505 (isolation #26) » Fri Apr 24, 2020 7:25 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Well, I came into today ready to instant vote Mavs, but Persivul confirms him.

I mean, it COULD be possible Mavs and Persivul are a scum team, but it's a bit unlikely. Especially since if one falls, the other will too.

But it's still shitty that I got scumread for believing double miller was possible, and then it turns out to be possible. Mavs backpedaling yesterday was also really worrying.

I think in retrospect, Riabi's wolf looks the worst.
In post 211, Riabi wrote:
In post 209, Drew-Sta wrote:What if there are two millers?
Then I'm wrong?
In post 192, Riabi wrote:All that said, I accept the possibility that there are two millers, but, it doesn't seem very likely to me. I think it's way more likely that one of them (Drew, probably) is lying. Either way, like I said above, I think they both need to die, and as quickly as possible
Like, why do they both need to die if you only think one of them is lying? I think he didn't even consider the possibility of double miller. And scum wanted to push the Drew lynch as hard as possible.

VOTE: Riabi
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Post Post #506 (isolation #27) » Fri Apr 24, 2020 7:26 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

farside WAS one of my townreads.

I think Tanner has been townie

Knightmare has been opportunistic.

Mavs and persivul are either super confirmed PR, or literally the scumteam.
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Post Post #540 (isolation #28) » Fri Apr 24, 2020 5:32 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 536, Knightmare491 wrote:@GB what are you trying to say by saying that I'm being opportunistic? You think I'm opportunistic scum? Then where's the vote?
I think your votes feel very opportunistic so far.

So far your two votes have been on me and Drew.
In post 109, Knightmare491 wrote:VOTE: Drew

I mean it would have probably been better if had let him interact with more people and claim later in the day so that we can catch the other scums as well. But oh well
In post 479, Knightmare491 wrote:VOTE: GB
Both on wagons gaining traction. It feels like you only want a safe place to park your vote. And both are very safe wagons.

VOTE: Knightmare491
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Post Post #541 (isolation #29) » Fri Apr 24, 2020 5:33 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 507, Riabi wrote:What I don't understand though is why that claim confirms Persivul? If he is a scum role-cop, mavs seems like a pretty easy/convenient target to gain town cred.
Because when an actual PR claims, it puts scum in un-needed situation.

I feel like if this is a scum gambit, then it'll unravel itself in time.
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Post Post #616 (isolation #30) » Sun Apr 26, 2020 4:58 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 549, Tanner wrote:...Why do you people insist on making this game more complicated than it really is?

farside was shot. She suspected Panda/Luca/Persi. Both Panda's and Luca's slots are horrible (I'd argue Panda's more so than Luca, but ya know). We swing there. Persi and mavs are of the same alignment, they're de facto cleared Town, and if (and that's a really really big if) they're scum,
it will be obvious later once actual Town PRs start coming to light.
I'm hesitant on Luca/Panda and I don't think she was killed for her scum reads. She seemed like a really obvTown player that would have easily been taken to LyLo. I think Scum thought she was an easy target to take out. But NKA is tricky because you have to know the mind behind the kills too. Some people take out Strong Townies they don't want to compete with late game, some take out people shit tunneling them.
In post 568, UnaBombaH wrote:Persivul could be a scum going for the towncred when mavs flips.
Them "clearing" mavs isn't as heavy a commitment for scum as some might imply.
Yeah, but that's something to explore much later down the line. Like, we should be sorting sus people right now. So far I don't think Persivul has acted very scummy. Also, when more PRs are outed, then it'll be abundantly clear if there's too many. (i'm guessing the PR ratio is mostly the same in normals?)
In post 572, Tanner wrote:The way Salad has singled out Una/George, Panda keeps pushing Una, and the way Luca's been acting around those two slots too. Make me think s/s is unlikely there.
Honestly, I think Salad and Luca were just low-activity posting. Salad was just responding to me cause I was the one of the main focus at the time, and Luca looked like he was struggling to stay in the game. I don't think either of these slots are readable, and I think their replacements should be given new slates.
In post 580, mavsfan41 wrote:I think you’ve got the right idea about Knightmare voting opportunistically, but how do you feel about Panda? The textbook opportunistic vote would be me day 2 after Drew-Sta flipped miller.
It does feel really off, ngl. I'd say it feels more LAMIST than opportunistic though. Everyone knew double miller would be questioned, it was the focal point of D1. It seems like there was no intent to start a wagon, but rather to show off.
In post 580, mavsfan41 wrote:Methinks their “gut” feeling was that UnaBombaH attracted attention with no real reason.
The UnaBombaH vote does seem like a weird one though, but Una hasn't been especially pushed this game. So I don't really see it as scum trying to grab LHF. I think I see this more as a vanity wagon?
In post 590, Knightmare491 wrote:Thank you for scum claiming with this OMGUS vote. I'm the only vote on you, how does that count as a "wagon gaining traction?"
Because the limelight was on me at the time, and you provided minimal comments on my slot, while voting me. It honestly seems like i'm your vanity wagon right now.
In post 603, UnaBombaH wrote:All the mechanical clears aside, and only considering reads or the lack of them....Luca Blight/Tanner/Panda/George? :igmeou:

Tanner is a gutread I cannot shake.
There's something off with the slot, despite all their valiant, good efforts. :?
Honestly, we shouldn't be basing our reads off gut feelings right now lmao. That feels like D1 trying-to-get-out-of-rvs talk.

Can you go more into detail what's off about him?
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Post Post #621 (isolation #31) » Sun Apr 26, 2020 7:18 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 619, Knightmare491 wrote:BS, I'm the only one talking about you.
Currently, yeah. The point is that I think your push is safe and insincere.
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Post Post #622 (isolation #32) » Sun Apr 26, 2020 7:19 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 620, Knightmare491 wrote:I still struggle to see how this is town reaction to two millers. Someone who's been on the site since September last year and has played many games.
I've played mostly micro and newbie game. And 90% were open, I can't setup spec for shit.
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Post Post #661 (isolation #33) » Mon Apr 27, 2020 7:23 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 648, PranaDevil wrote:Tanner - Buddying George, only talks about scum Drew, never considered Town Drew while discussing why he was ignoring George buying the two miller thing.
??? He pushed me right after, asking:
In post 152, Tanner wrote:George, is your first reaction to a double Miller claim "oh that's not scum indicative" as opposed to "one of them is fucking lying"?
then in kinda towncased me saying it's TSTBS
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Post Post #664 (isolation #34) » Mon Apr 27, 2020 7:31 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 663, UnaBombaH wrote:It just hit me btw.
Assume Persivul really checked mavs.
He risked the fact that there WAS indeed a Vig, and his result would've been for nothing.
Well, he did ask the possible vig not to shoot in
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Post Post #704 (isolation #35) » Wed Apr 29, 2020 3:05 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

What makes you vote Panda right now Eve?

When you made the vote, you said you were at post 50?
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Post Post #711 (isolation #36) » Wed Apr 29, 2020 5:29 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 708, UnaBombaH wrote:Really?
From calling me scum, to voting the slot I have pretty much exclusively called out from the start?
Not weird at all.
You pushed Tanner for pushing you on your RVS vote. It was pretty much OMGUS. How is it fair to scumread her for not following that?
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Post Post #857 (isolation #37) » Tue May 05, 2020 1:28 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

VOTE: popo

The fact that Farside was NK'd n1 over an IC has to be a tell.

The only alive players from her scumreads are Persi and Luca/popo.

I think trying to read Drew's wagon is pretty messy. That wagon was pretty widely regarded as that day's lynch, going with it or going against it isn't really alignment telling.

I think Panda's wagon is more telling, and pop's vote there felt odd.
In post 783, popopopopopopo wrote:Just imagine for one second that persivul IS scum, of course he would claim 1 shot today because he cant confirm his role any longer because no1 else has outed there role in thread.
1-shot would make sense with double miller since it's expected they both claim d1. It sounds like it compliments the setup.
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Post Post #871 (isolation #38) » Wed May 06, 2020 3:02 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 865, Ruby Red wrote:from how fast i blazed through reading eve's iso though (given my mach-12 rate of reading given my astronomical IQ) it seemed like she had reads, though?
That's interesting too. Since the NK was the IC over the PR, would that mean the IC was killed for her reads?

She scumread Una, Prana and Riabi. popo's partner is probably 1 in those 3.
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Post Post #887 (isolation #39) » Thu May 07, 2020 7:40 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 854, popopopopopopo wrote:i agree with prana that persi is extremely sus. my scumread on prana from yesterday i think was more of a playstlye thing, as the setup spec has continued.

im still down to get on knightmare but i really dont see why we dont lynch persi today. he lied about his claim, and checking the miller with a 1 shot just seems dumb to me. (and not true)
Would scum try and go for a PR though? If Prana and popo are scum together, trying to vote out Persi seems like a gambit move. Even if still a 1-shot, doesn't seem like the safe scum move.
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Post Post #893 (isolation #40) » Thu May 07, 2020 3:31 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

UNVOTE: popo
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Post Post #894 (isolation #41) » Thu May 07, 2020 3:32 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

wait, then Persivul isn't 1-shot?
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Post Post #901 (isolation #42) » Thu May 07, 2020 4:08 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Because i'm trying to imagine a scenario where Persivul is town and he visits Eve.

VOTE: Persivul
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Post Post #902 (isolation #43) » Thu May 07, 2020 4:08 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

L-1
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Post Post #904 (isolation #44) » Thu May 07, 2020 4:10 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

But he changed it to one shot. Usually one shot is paired with other roles.
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Post Post #907 (isolation #45) » Thu May 07, 2020 4:30 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Just because someone lies about their role, doesn't mean they're scum.
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Post Post #912 (isolation #46) » Thu May 07, 2020 5:35 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

I mean, hes voting Prana. So best case scenario he's a voyeur who saw Prana attack Eve.
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Post Post #915 (isolation #47) » Thu May 07, 2020 5:40 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

.....

Uh. Well ignore that. I was looking at the wrong VC....

Voyeur is the only claim I see though.
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Post Post #916 (isolation #48) » Thu May 07, 2020 5:44 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Would town friendly neighbor be a possibility?
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Post Post #985 (isolation #49) » Fri May 08, 2020 1:37 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

The only way I can see if popo is scum is if they somehow jailed/tracked/rolecopped me. I don't see scum randomly saying someone didn't go anywhere n1 without mechanical evidence.
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Post Post #1031 (isolation #50) » Fri May 08, 2020 3:14 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

UNVOTE: Persivul

I dont really know. Persivul's point makes sense. Why wouldn't there be some way to counter the double miller? No one else claimed any result on either of them.

Also, farside NK fits both slots. So that's no help.

Luca was also scumreading yesterday so to be his target makes sense.
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Post Post #1041 (isolation #51) » Fri May 08, 2020 3:29 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

But Knightmare quickly unvoted when it got to L-1. If it was a bus he'd probably just silently stay on the wagon.
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Post Post #1046 (isolation #52) » Fri May 08, 2020 3:35 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 1042, Tanner wrote:even if Persivul is scum and we lynched him today, popo is gonna get shot tonight. There's most likely no protectives since our IC died.
You could pretty much say the same in reverse. You dont think this confirms Persivul if Popo is scum?

Also, why do you trust a 1-shot claim over a PR claim?
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Post Post #1058 (isolation #53) » Fri May 08, 2020 3:48 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

I think that's a really valid point. The fact that it's ungated is pretty weird. But my point is that both probably have the highest chance of getting shot in either scenario.

VOTE: popo
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Post Post #1061 (isolation #54) » Fri May 08, 2020 3:51 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Why are we mass claiming? If today's lynch isn't scum, then can't we agree to lynch the other?

How will mass claiming help?
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Post Post #1068 (isolation #55) » Fri May 08, 2020 4:01 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 1067, Persivul wrote:Why would I be the likely target if I'm telling the truth?
This doesn't really seem like a bus, so popo flipping scum would pretty much confirm you town, and Mavs too.
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Post Post #1083 (isolation #56) » Fri May 08, 2020 4:29 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 1081, PranaDevil wrote:A 1x rolecop also doesn't fix the balance... actually worse if anything.
What would make it better rather than a rolecop? I feel like Rolecop is the only thing that can balance this.
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Post Post #1127 (isolation #57) » Fri May 08, 2020 8:01 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

UNVOTE: All
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Post Post #1146 (isolation #58) » Fri May 08, 2020 9:55 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

I dont want a no lynch, I'm just lost.

I'm trying to find a setup that ran double miller, and maybe see how the mod balanced it in the past. But it seems to be pretty damn rare.
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Post Post #1180 (isolation #59) » Sun May 10, 2020 5:19 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 1006, Tanner wrote:Ok, I just did. Here's a list of all Mini Normals played in the last year and a half or so without a single Town investigative.
There's one problem with this:

None of those setups had a miller.

Going through, the only double miller setup I could find was this:

https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=94&t=71689

And it most definitely had a cop.

Other setups with miller were:

https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=94&t=74651
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=94&t=72515
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=94&t=65794
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=94&t=71618
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=94&t=62688
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=94&t=64039

One-shot Cop is looking a lot likelier than Town follower but I still don't really know.

But on the flip, it seems like double miller is incredibly rare. So much so that i'm starting to doubt Mavs again.

But it's shitty, cause like, there HAS to be a rolecop, right? I can't imagine there even being 1 miller without a role cop or any way with dealing with it.

I think if there's another cop, they should out right now. Because looking at the other setups there are usually only 1 cop roles.
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Post Post #1184 (isolation #60) » Sun May 10, 2020 6:02 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

If there's a cop we don't have to risk the mislynch.
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Post Post #1188 (isolation #61) » Sun May 10, 2020 6:36 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 1185, Persivul wrote:Looks like he wants to be able to pin his eventual decision on mechanics, rather than reads.
Mechanics are a lot more tangible. You were both on the Red Panda wagon, and both would make the Farside NK. So I think reducing it down to "who's role seems likelier in this setup" is fair.
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Post Post #1201 (isolation #62) » Sun May 10, 2020 10:22 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

VOTE: popopopo

Sorry popo

I think cop is the likeliest in this scenario.

If you flip green, then the next two lynches are set for the next two days.
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Post Post #1211 (isolation #63) » Sun May 10, 2020 2:03 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 1209, PranaDevil wrote:But at no point does town-George not trust popo fully there.
:/ actually there is, but i guess waiting for replacement is safer for now. If popo is scum role cop they'd know I'm VT and hence I didnt go anywhere.

UNVOTE: popo
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Post Post #1304 (isolation #64) » Tue May 12, 2020 1:01 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

This game gives me anxiety because I still don't know.

fucking

VOTE: popo

Hopefully there's a vig if this flips green.
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Post Post #1308 (isolation #65) » Tue May 12, 2020 1:19 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

oh.

He's tracker isn't he.
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Post Post #1310 (isolation #66) » Tue May 12, 2020 1:22 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 1309, Knightmare491 wrote:Didn't expect it that early from PD.
There was 5 hours on the clock.
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Post Post #1347 (isolation #67) » Thu May 14, 2020 11:07 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Well i'm super glad that hit Red, Prana switching over made my heart drop for a moment.

I'm think there's probably 2 scum left? Either popo's guess at me not visiting someone was an attempt to make me cc it and out a PR, or scum has daytalk and a Rolecop told him that. I think the latter is more likely.

Which means there's probably an Encrypter and a RC left? It wasnt specified by the mod that Scum has daytalk, and there was no way Popo's partner could have told him that through crumb or something.

As to who I think it is, it's obviously down to {Knight,Prana,Puppy,Unah) with 2/4 being scum.

Puppy is currently unreadable, Unah never voted, Knight "bussed" around at L-3 and Prana hammered.

Out of the two, I think Unah and Prana looks the worst here. Although it feels incredibly unfair to subject Unah to a scumread for not voting when Puppy's slot has done almost nothing this game.

I want to hear Puppy's claim first, but I'm leaning towards Prana here (i'm reluctant to vote in case of a flash lynch).
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Post Post #1348 (isolation #68) » Thu May 14, 2020 11:12 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 905, Knightmare491 wrote:UNVOTE:

Too early for l-1, we need to give time to everyone to come and discuss this.
For knight, I know I was scumreading earlier, but I don't really see this unvote coming from scum. Especially since it could have ended in a easy mislynch.
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Post Post #1394 (isolation #69) » Fri May 15, 2020 1:41 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

The Wiki wrote:If you are a Town Encryptor with no other abilities, you probably want to play as though you were a Miller; the role is very hard to explain away if discovered later in the game.
We pretty much had 3 millers this game
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Post Post #1425 (isolation #70) » Fri May 15, 2020 8:54 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 1416, PranaDevil wrote:Tanner isn't necessarily town, he's latched onto Persi all game thus far, could easily be very clever buddying. He's also tunnelling on me pretty hard, because he views me as the easy lynch.
He was one of the first people on the Popo wagon, so unless you think that was a hard bus, Tanner is lock town.
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Post Post #1445 (isolation #71) » Sun May 17, 2020 1:47 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Prana puppy is my guess too

VOTE: PranaDevil
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Post Post #1447 (isolation #72) » Sun May 17, 2020 2:08 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

I think that hammer from scum only comes from having an inactive slot like puppy's.
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Post Post #1448 (isolation #73) » Sun May 17, 2020 2:09 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

As a teammate*
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Post Post #1464 (isolation #74) » Sun May 17, 2020 5:51 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 1459, UnaBombaH wrote:when I put you at L-1, both George and Prana were already on you.
Meaning that even if scum would've wanted to hammer you there, they couldn't do it.
Or, the inactive slot didn't hammer? To suggest the entire scum team was on Persi without hammer seems too desperate.
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Post Post #1469 (isolation #75) » Sun May 17, 2020 6:04 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 7, Luca Blight wrote:VOTE: Prana

Devil be gone!
It was an RVS vote he never changed.
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Post Post #1472 (isolation #76) » Sun May 17, 2020 6:07 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 1468, UnaBombaH wrote:No idea how you manage to mix any desperation there.
Desperate for the scum team. Usually the entire team doesn't pile down on a mislynch. It outs a lot of people, epecially when it's a 1-shot PR.
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Post Post #1505 (isolation #77) » Mon May 18, 2020 6:27 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Something i've noticed going back. The Riabi and Luca slot never interact with each other, (even the replacement) which is really common for scum.

Puppy TRing Prana is kind of odd right now. I don't see scum Town Reading their partner that is definitely going to be lynched today.
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Post Post #1510 (isolation #78) » Mon May 18, 2020 7:55 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Prana > Puppy > Unah

I don't see anything particularly scummy about Knightmare as it stands right now.
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Post Post #1656 (isolation #79) » Mon May 18, 2020 10:14 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 1650, CantHateAPuppy wrote:why is there an ascetic encryptor for the role cop to get a "guilty" on if the role cop is 1 shot

why? makes no sense for that role to be in the game if the rolecop is never going to inspect it because the rolecop will always check one of the millers
Probably for the scum role cop?
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Post Post #1682 (isolation #80) » Tue May 19, 2020 5:23 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Knightmare in Pod A...

Puppy in Pod B?

Pod A is kind of a weird question to ask
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Post Post #1718 (isolation #81) » Fri May 22, 2020 4:20 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Why in holy hell would I kill Tanner when he was townreading me so hard.
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Post Post #1719 (isolation #82) » Fri May 22, 2020 4:23 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Una is my safest bet today. I'm lost between sorting Knight and Puppy though.
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Post Post #1720 (isolation #83) » Fri May 22, 2020 4:32 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 1715, UnaBombaH wrote:Puppy/George is obviously the one I'm left with since Prana flipped green after all.
?? Why am I the obvious choice here. What's your towncase for knightmare?
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Post Post #1725 (isolation #84) » Fri May 22, 2020 2:16 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 1538, Tanner wrote:But my issue is that I don't think Una is scum, and in my mind that's the only viable partner for Prana. So that's making me doubt myself. And then I see both Knight and Puppy "aligning" a lynch on Una tomorrow and it's making me feel even worse. Do you think Puppy's Prana read could be TMI?
This is kinda resonating with me. Re-reading Puppy's slot, It looks like they've mostly been on vanity wagons that they've barely pushed.
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Post Post #1746 (isolation #85) » Sun May 24, 2020 3:36 pm

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 1743, CantHateAPuppy wrote:are you accusing me or the players i subbed in for
Actually just Ruby.

I think right now i'm confident with Puppy over Una.

Like, with Ruby, this aged poorly and kinda seemed like a setup to vote Persi.
In post 861, Ruby Red wrote:based on experience and also being a high IQ genius, kills like that come more often from someone familiar with the player
In post 863, Ruby Red wrote:so far idrk who on this playerlist would be the most familiar with farside as a 2007 joindate player, although searching farside's posts it seems like pers is pretty familar with her, at least based off these:
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Post Post #1757 (isolation #86) » Tue May 26, 2020 6:30 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Sorry Sorry, got called in to work yesterday and was exhuasted. I'll try and answer your questions Persi as best I can before going out today.
In post 1753, Persivul wrote:George, what do you think of the D3 voting in general, and page 51 in particular?
I wanna give Una a break about the hesitant voting, especially since I felt just as torn between the two wagons. I think Popo's claim seemed pretty genuine and could have gone both ways. Which is why I honestly feel best voting Knight today.

Like, this was Una's response to popo telling me to unvote:
In post 1206, popopopopopopo wrote:ANSWER ME THIS. HOW THE HELL DID I KNOW YOU DIDNT GO ANYWHERE NIGHT 1??????????????

GOD FUCKING DAMNIT WHAT THE FUCK IS THIS SHIT. GEORGE YOU IF ANYONE SHOULD KNOW IM TELLING THE TRUTH REEEEEEEEEEEEEE
In post 1214, UnaBombaH wrote::lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
There's no reason why the scumteam couldn't just be popopo/Pers/mavs.
:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

So saying stuff like "How could you vote there?" or "How can you believe this or that?" is stupid considering the mess we are in.
Like, I think the line of reasoning on the last sentence feels genuine. Who we lynched that day was incredibly important for Town.

Una's vote on Page 51:
In post 1260, UnaBombaH wrote:VOTE: Persivul - I hope George does the right thing for town and makes sure we at least get a lynch.

My votes is based mainly on mavs' play today, and obviously the contradicting claims.
I have a good hunch that no matter what Persivul flips today, town still has a good chance of pulling through.
This was a bad vote in retrospect, I think you're completely right. I really don't like the last line. "No matter what Persi flips today, town still has a good chance" is really untrue since even now we don't have a good case on who scum is. And based on Mav's play? He was literally just suggesting Mavs to be the the scum team earlier. But I still think going with the idea that scum bussed would be a safer bet.

In post 1750, Persivul wrote:Shit, forgot about this. George, explain this to me.
At the time, I think Prana was on to something. I think Knight bussed, and Puppy('s slot) was afk which led to a really stale gamestate where the lynch was decided between Una and I. It also could be why it felt like Scum was trying to force a no-lynch, since scum couldn't even hammer if they wanted to.

Scum doesn't have Day talk:
In post 0, Not Known 15 wrote:14:Daychat: No evil faction has daychat by default.
Which means they're disorganized, I think popo told their buddy to vote him when he outs at night, which is why Knight's vote feels so off and early:
In post 1222, Knightmare491 wrote:VOTE: popo
In post 1751, Persivul wrote:Are you at puppy/una, or puppy/knight?
Puppy/Knight.

But honestly Persi, i'll sheep your vote since I know you're 100% PR. Makes no fucking sense to not have a 1-shot cop in this setup. If you really think Una is 100% maf today i'll vote him.

Fuck, I'm late lmao. I'll try to respond mobile further in the day.
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Post Post #1811 (isolation #87) » Wed May 27, 2020 5:31 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 1808, UnaBombaH wrote:So that counts out Una+puppy for all of you out there still counting, right? :]
But it reinforces Knight/Una.

Knight's reaction to getting voted isn't great. So I'm pretty sure Knight is the best lynch for today.

If Knight was town he would have been quick lynched already too.
In post 1800, Knightmare491 wrote:Yeah bussing when lynching persivul, then popo then PD is a much faster way to win con. Sure
Bussing is meant to gain town cred. Of course it makes it easier for scum. What would have been your preferred route?
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Post Post #1841 (isolation #88) » Wed May 27, 2020 10:42 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

Everyone having Knight as their secondary lynch was also kind of a tell. I have a good feeling about this lynch.
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Post Post #1912 (isolation #89) » Sat May 30, 2020 5:03 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

I got fucked. Gg.

Nice popo gambit.
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Post Post #1914 (isolation #90) » Sat May 30, 2020 5:05 am

Post by GeorgeBailey »

In post 1910, PranaDevil wrote:I was criticising you all game. You refused to actually play the game, from day 1.
Since when? Him and Tanner were basically town leaders most of the game.
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