Mini 2156: Launch Mob [Game Over]
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Fidget Goon
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Hiya!
I notice there's an even amount of players in the game.. why 10 rather than 9? Has that been figured out?
I assume this isn't Xylo from one scum already being down, unless the setup is 7v3 somehow (traitor that doesnt count for scum wincon?). My goal is to reread the entire game so i will get back to you all- Fidget
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kk finished my reread. I got lazy towards the end but it went alright
Spoiler: quick opinion on each slot
Spoiler: stream of consciousness notes
Town
Ready2rock
midwaybear
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CLAP
Kerset
Not Town
I will be considering reversing CLAP and Kerset because i have not really thought about the claims too much yet.
So my first inclinations are.. hm.. either CLAP is scum and the kill on Nosferatu was more or less framing BM (since he's townreading Blair, Blair was never the miselim he's going for here). In fact, Blair probably was already going to be elimed on her own, so may as well make BM look worse as well
BM/Kerset is just scum and the kill is much more straightforward. Nosferatu was completely tunneled on them.
Ready2rock and Midway do not appear to be scum to me.
The strongest thing I'm feeling right now is either Kerset or CLAP are scum. They both share this high townread on my slot. Why? I thought midway was the towniest. I see CLAP has midway second town, but Kerset says midway is highest likelihood scum.
What do you think of midway-Ydrasse's interactions?In post 719, Kerset wrote:I think that one of the mafia members is midway. He lacks of commitment to his own leads. Technically he picked Ydrasse to be his target but his whole agenda was only about pursuing dunn at the time and lynching him. Ydr is only mentioned in terms of receiving credit for his eventual flip.
In post 710, CantHateAPuppy wrote:this is where im thinking right now
scum > kerset > r2r > midway > blair
Why do/did you have Blair as your strongest town? Apologies if im missing itIn post 717, CantHateAPuppy wrote:Awesome. Which shot was yours?
Kerset > Blair > midway
Avengers assemble!!!!??!! !!!- Fidget
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Yup this makes no fuckin sense. Scum loses a player in an 8v2, and gets extra punished for it by a town PR inheriting a power?In post 755, CantHateAPuppy wrote:I'm not sure if a town BP backup makes sense (scum dies so town gets extra power? What?). Which is why it could be a red herring or a scum lie. But it's not totally implausible either
Unless, maybe we're dealing with a traitor..? That would make it 7v3 and kind of shitty for town if we only got the 2 PRs. Let's say Kerset is town and there's a BP traitor
Town Gunsmith
Town One-shot Vigilante
Town Backup Bulletproof
Townie
Townie
Townie
Townie
Mafia One-shot Bulletproof Traitor
Mafia Goon
Mafia Goon
The gunsmith still kind of sucks. He has a false innocent result and a false guilty.
I can see two scenarios:
Kerset is a scum power role (doesnt have to be bulletproof) and this is his fakeclaim gambit in order to push a false traitor narrative. He could have thought of this over the night phase.
Kerset is a town backup bulletproof, and we're dealing with a traitor/goon combo? It still feels far-fetched to me. If redrock and midway are town, I can't even fit two scum in. Unless midwaybear's bus on Ydrasse was planned out in some way?- Fidget
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Hehe, sometimesIn post 774, Kerset wrote:You sound like you would suspect people for having different opinion then you.
Part of the way I like to try and catch scum is noticing opinions that seem odd. Like scum is forced into situations where they have to fabricate scumreads, or at least overlook things people are doing that are towny.
I also may just be incorrect about how well the first elimination spews midway as town, or maybe we do just disagree, but that's what im here to figure out!
Well you're in the scumteam in the event we're dealing with a goon/traitor combo right now. And Kerset wouldn't be.In post 784, midwaybear wrote:well since puppy and kerset have both popped in and fidget has not been quickhammered: there's either no traitor or she is just scum.
@Kerset They actually were serious. I was suspicious of Ydrasse initially because she said she scumread me and MG, but then said it was a joke. I did not think that was townie, so that's why I said "it didn't sound like a joke".- Fidget
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If you assume the vigilante misses his shot, and there's a traitor/goon combo left, this is the setup we play with the 9 left:
Town Gunsmith (Has 1 false innocent, 1 false guilty)
Town 1-shot Vigilante
Town Backup Bulletproof
Townie
Townie
Townie
Mafia Bulletproof Traitor
Mafia Goon
Mafia Goon
Town only gets 1 miselim and their lone PR has an extremely high chance of just getting wrong results lol
For my sanity, let's assume there's 2 mafia. Assume vig will miss his shot again:
Town Gunsmith (Has 1 false innocent, 1 false guilty)
Town 1-shot Vigilante
Town Backup Bulletproof
Townie
Townie
Townie
Townie
Mafia Bulletproof
Mafia Goon
Town gets 2 miselims, a gunsmith, and the vig attempt. Much better this way.
The backup bulletproof is so odd to me though if scum really does have a bulletproof. Why is scum slapped in the face like that lol. Red herring I could see- Fidget
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Okay, I understand better now. I do not believe midwaybear would hard bus his partner as he would have here, though. I feel there were other options for him to vote but he decided to go after Ydrasse. It's a a conscious decision to bus, and he was quite serious about it from the moment he voted her as you can see in the following posts:In post 776, Kerset wrote:Okay lets look at their entire exchange
Spoiler: MidwayxYdrasse
65, 124 and 144 are not serious at all. 197 and 289 are NAI conversations and in 216 mid decided to cast empty vote. 238 is shading, which could count at pushing his target. 454, 493, 504 and 508 he decided to ask for towncred...
Did i miss any posts or maybe we are talking about different game? First he pushed BM and at later phase, he spend slightly more time on pushing dunn and off tracking over ydra. He was more interested in bragging about ydra to make people memorize his vote placement rather then ensuring his elimination.In post 238, midwaybear wrote:
yeah this is sorta a hedge. I feel better about my vote.In post 219, Ydrasse wrote:i sheep this
VOTE: ready2rock
i don't think that ready2rock's statement about nosferatu is really that confident though, tbf. "very combatitive" is strong wording ig but given that it's pinned on as an afterthought i'd argue that there isn't a lot of heart in it.
So if he's scum it was definitely intentional. Maybe they were planning for the cop claim to save her?In post 267, midwaybear wrote:We should probably hang Ydrasse if nothing new comes up.
Ehhhhhh if midway were trying to claim his credit here, why the hell would he shade IV and still vote Ydrasse? Surely he'd pick one or the other?In post 431, midwaybear wrote:This is low key scummy because you aren’t specifying what role. I still will vote ydrasse though
VOTE: Ydrasse
BM chose to wait until IV gave more info. Midway was like "Okay Imma vote Ydrasse but you're kinda scummy too", which is just such an odd thing to say honestly even as either alignment but also as scum trying to get credit. speaking of credit:
I think this is the scum first wagon midway has been a major part of. A big moment for him, I'm sure. I checked to see how he treats his partner in his scum game.Spoiler: midway wants his credit
Doesn't speak a word to his partner til his 22nd post, and it's just a comment. Gives a hard town read on his partner with no explanation in 276. Throws shade on partner in 305. Admits to not reading the case on his partner in 416.
Idk it's certainly a huge difference if he's scum with Ydrasse here.
I dont think this is an accurate depiction of his day one. He has a certain quality to his reads where he jumps around the place that often gets him perceived as scum, yeah. Calling his whole agenda pursuing Dunn is a huge stretch, isn't that what Blair did? He mentions Ydrasse as being who he wants to get rid of quite a bit, not just in his many credit-grabbing posts.In post 719, Kerset wrote:I think that one of the mafia members is midway. He lacks of commitment to his own leads. Technically he picked Ydrasse to be his target but his whole agenda was only about pursuing dunn at the time and lynching him. Ydr is only mentioned in terms of receiving credit for his eventual flip.
Midway didn't explain much of why he wanted to get rid of Ydrasse, but I expect him to usually not have a ton of justification behind his reads. All I know is he very clearly wanted her dead, or at least wanted to put her on the stand over Dunn/the other options. Up until the claim, and even then he went back to her immediately after the CC. BM did not. Why do that?- Fidget
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Feel like BM would have crumbed his role at some point, but i can't find it. Closest I can get is maybe this:
But that's not an unusual phrase to use tbhIn post 272, Battle Mage wrote:I think this comes from town. I don't think newbie scum chooses to gun for me when there's no momentum and it's likely that I get all OMGUSy and tunnel-visiony which just brings them into the limelight.- Fidget
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Mm I'm not sure. Falsely claiming that we're in Xylo doesn't make a ton of sense for scum..In post 761, ready2rock wrote:Thinking about the idea that Kerset is lying, what would scum's motivation would be to make a claim that added urgency to the town (by saying that we're in lylo) and was also unverifiable, making people skeptical of you and your claim?
Seems like it'd be overplaying for no reason
Scum Kerset can claim there's 2 scum left all he wants but it'd come crashing down when we miselim and go to the next day. Hm..- Fidget
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OH r2r shot Nosferatu and scum shot Mafia Goon. Dunno why i got that twisted.
Was this referring to me? My tiny bit of NKA was in a fantasy world cause I was speculating on why Nosferatu got killed by scumIn post 780, Kerset wrote:We finally got a player, who actually makes a reads on players based on backed up data. Does nightkill analysis, which for some reason everyone overlooked. Meantime you for entire week all you are interested in is roleclaim roleclaim roleclaim roleclaim lets talk about roleclaim and how about we doubt roleclaim and lets ask about roleclaim
Mafia Goon was a solid kill, i recall him being decently townread and having good reads towards on Ydrasse and r2r- Fidget
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Currently thinking I was mistaken on Kerset and scum!Puppy saw his one opportunity to win through miseliming Kerset -> NKing r2r -> winning Xylo by convincing midway to vote me
That, or Puppy is genuinely town who thinks the way i was thinking earlier. But I hadn't thought about the BP claim much at the time, Puppy has had quite some time to do so I take it
Does anyone here townread Puppy? Nothing about his contributions on D1 to the Ydrasse v. Dunn wagons, nor his D2 sticks out to me as super town
Also, I do not believe there's a traitor. The gunsmith would be total garbage and then town's only PR is a 1-shot vig and (presumably) a fake backup BP- Fidget
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If this setup is 7v3, then if town miselims D1 and vig misfires N1, the game is already sudden death at 4v3 where town CANNOT make a mistake for 3 elims in a row. And the gunsmith has a fake guilty and a fake inno. I doubt that's fair (although idk setup design)
The only reason we're entertaining the thought of a traitor is probably because we eliminated a mafia member D1 so it seems more plausible- Fidget
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Town Gunsmith
Town 1-shot Vigilante
Town Backup Bulletproof
Townie
Townie
Townie
Townie
Townie
Mafia Power Role
Mafia Goon
You could consider the backup bulletproof to be negative utility as a red herring, I guess?
I do not think it makes sense for a townie to inherit bonus power in the event a scum player dies, at least in this setup where town are up an extra player and get a freebie vig shot- Fidget
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I would like to try and call scum correctly.
At the moment I am thinking it must be Puppy if Kerset's claim is to be taken as a clear, as I do not believe you bussed Ydrasse, and r2r is off the table
I notice Puppys contributions today have been mostly role/mechanical speculation, as well as suspecting Kerset.
I do believe if he's scum, then r2r and kerset were probably the two he was intending on pushing for the next two days. Unfortunately he was cut off by role claims galore, and the two he townread the strongest (you and I) are actually the VTs. Maybe that disrupted him somehow
one thing I do kind of like about Puppy is his reads aren't terribly consistent
he went from between you and I
to Kerset ?In post 735, CantHateAPuppy wrote:kerset why were you thinking it's midway
fmpov it's not r2r and u'd be more likely as traitor so im thinking between blair and midway atmIn post 746, CantHateAPuppy wrote:
This looks really really weakIn post 743, Kerset wrote:i don't know your current level of trust in me, i though it was mediocre- Fidget
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That doesn't explain why scum midway would include the comment about not trusting IV. You'd want the bus to be as strong as possible at that point, yes? Why pretend to doubt the investigative and then still go along with it?In post 803, Kerset wrote:
The answer is pretty simple,In post 787, Fidget wrote:
Ehhhhhh if midway were trying to claim his credit here, why the hell would he shade IV and still vote Ydrasse? Surely he'd pick one or the other?In post 431, midwaybear wrote:This is low key scummy because you aren’t specifying what role. I still will vote ydrasse though
VOTE: Ydrasse
BM chose to wait until IV gave more info. Midway was like "Okay Imma vote Ydrasse but you're kinda scummy too", which is just such an odd thing to say honestly even as either alignment but also as scum trying to get credit.
Mid voted ydra right after he got counterclaimed. With CC, it was quite obvious that ydra will be executed regardless, so mid was securing his place on the wagon and wanted to be convincing.
BM doubted IV at first, waited and waited for more info, and then went on Ydrasse after IV elaborated on his role. That makes more sense if you're gonna be hesitant about it.
Wdym? The "is Puppy on the scumteam" comment?In post 807, Kerset wrote:It kind of bothers me how Fidget is trying to get me in conflict with puppy. In 797 she calls out the exact thing, she noticed that i am bothered about recently.
I think either you or Puppy is scum. It only makes sense I'm going to focus on you two. I wanted to hear more about your traitor theory and who it makes scum
I think I am pretty solid on believing there is not a traitor. I talked about it for a while on the previous page. Check 794.In post 810, CantHateAPuppy wrote:btw the reason im hung up on setup spec is if there's no scumteam the associations are completely different than if there is a traitor
i would like to hear fidget give this more than a once-over. she has reads pretty baked in about how midway looks for pushing ydrasse and how me/kerset look on the ydrasse wagon. but if there's a traitor afoot, well, that sort of BTFO's any standard scum associations.
Besides. If there is a traitor, they did know scum's identities. It doesn't change the associations the currently living players have to Ydrasse, it only matters for Ydrasses' associations with that traitor.
Why is this topic so important to you? I feel like it changes nothing for me.- Fidget
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oo that's my theory alright. I made it clear i am willing to go after Kerset or Puppy, and now you're both attacking each other.In post 801, CantHateAPuppy wrote:Kerset is not town because she spent as much time as anyone doing role spec with me
In a game plagued by inactive lurk prod slots
And then after days where I felt like the only one talking, suddenly the fact that I did setup spec is BAD, or something. But kerset only reveals this opinion after there's a sub-in who might buy that opinion
After persuading me into choosing wrong, the scum then plays into midway's prior suspicion of Blair on the next day, miselims me in Xylo, GG.
But which one of you two is the scum? I will have more time to devote to this question later tonight.- Fidget
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I'm going to play assuming my midway townread is correct since everyone but Kerset appears to be in agreement. Game is very likely already lost if he's scum
I am scared to vote Puppy because if I'm wrong it's game-losing. The elimination as it appears currently is going to be me + {Puppy/Kerset}, correct?
I need to psyche myself up for one last go at trying to solve this- Fidget
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Can't get rid of both of them so long as I'm dyingIn post 829, Fidget wrote:The elimination as it appears currently is going to be me + {Puppy/Kerset}, correct?- Fidget
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I see three ways this could go down (obv assuming midway is town), A.) we eliminate Puppy or Kerset, they're scum, yay
B.) we eliminate Puppy or Kerset, we go to Xylo and I would then know which one of them is scum and somehow I've got to prove it to try and save the game
or C.) We eliminate me first and you can use my input to potentially aide you in Xylo
I am not very excited at the thought of B happening- Fidget
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Whoever is scum in Puppy/Kerset/Fidget has to get rid of the other two in back to back elims to win. Or at least, that's what I was assuming
It's a bit counter-intuitive for Puppy to advocate for my slot being town although I was operating under the assumption he was going to eliminate Kerset then flip on me the next day
And Kerset actually wants to put midway on the chopping block rather than me
So whoever is scum here is playing a bit more complicated game than just sticking to scumreading the other two- Fidget
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Sigh. I like Puppy defending me from midway and also im falling for the (somewhat) AtE on the last page
I could just end my analysis there and vote Kerset. I did have them as my favorite pick for scum after my reread although I'm forgetting exactly what it is I saw during the rereadIn post 821, CantHateAPuppy wrote:you can scumread me if you want, i'm tired of this game and not sure how much im going to fight it
spent the whole game posting against a lurkbase, talking to blank walls, then having to compromise because nobody's around to work things out. think i played a bad day 1 but that was over a month ago now. not going to hash it all out again at the finish. w/e
pedit: leaving this post as-is lol
Ah yes then that'd be Battle Mage. I didn't *really* think Battle Mage was scum either while rereading. But his positioning on the Ydrasse wagon was very believable for a scum partner. He didn't go on Ydrasse til late and he didn't trust IV at first from what I recall- Fidget
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Does scum Kerset need midway on the elimination table? What's the point of that scumread? I disagree with it highly and I don't find it very strong reasoning, but does that make them scum?
And whats the idea behind the Backup Bulletproof claim? Why would Kerset want to trick us into thinking it's Xylo with all the traitor spec?!
I would vote Kerset in a heartbeat if I could work out the answers to these- Fidget
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Kerset I feel I would be very comfortable scumreading if it weren't for two things: A.) the wack claim and B.) Battle Mage wasn't really that scummy
Puppy has a very easy path to winning by scumreading Blair or just caving in like midway does and being fine eliminating me. Don't see why he defends me so hard when he'll HAVE to do a 180 tomorrow.
Where are we going wrong?!- Fidget
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Correction: where am I going wrong?Fidget wrote:Kerset I feel I would be very comfortable scumreading if it weren't for two things: A.) the wack claim and B.) Battle Mage wasn't really that scummy
Puppy has a very easy path to winning by scumreading Blair or just caving in like midway does and being fine eliminating me. Don't see why he defends me so hard when he'll HAVE to do a 180 tomorrow.
Where are we going wrong?!
I still can't justify choosing anyone other than Kerset- Fidget
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Ready2rock reveal that unto me which is hidden!ready2rock wrote:
These are things keeping me from reading this slot as scum as wellFidget wrote:Does scum Kerset need midway on the elimination table? What's the point of that scumread? I disagree with it highly and I don't find it very strong reasoning, but does that make them scum?
And whats the idea behind the Backup Bulletproof claim? Why would Kerset want to trick us into thinking it's Xylo with all the traitor spec?!
I would vote Kerset in a heartbeat if I could work out the answers to these
Oh, you don't know either. Yeah I think it was you actually who first mentioned it making no sense for Kerset to want us to believe we're in Xylo prematurely. A real puzzler that one- Fidget
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I legitimately just rechecked my role PM to make sure it wasn't me that's how lost I am
No you're right I think Kerset is either a strong scum PR (I mean.. it could be full bulletproof I guess) or is telling the truthIn post 851, CantHateAPuppy wrote:i agree about the claim. is a scum backup bulletproof possible? that wouldn't make any sense right? the mod wouldnt want to fake out the scumteam with a red herring like that. (it's really really not likely that a scum backup bulletproof was used to warn scum about the vig, right?) so either kerset made up a really good lie or she's town after all
Maybe the best power scum gets in this setup is the freedom to have a good claim?- Fidget
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I will stop eating sweets for a month if there's a traitor. A month! There's no way there is and I refuse to accept it. Town only gets 1 miselimination in that setup
No. I almost wish it was cause I'd at least not be confused anymoreIn post 858, ready2rock wrote:
Well? Was it you?In post 853, Fidget wrote:I legitimately just rechecked my role PM to make sure it wasn't me that's how lost I am- Fidget
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Kerset said that bulletproof is unusual for scum to have, except for scum traitors. If Kerset is town speaking the truth abt their claim, that implies he is backing up a bulletproof scumteam player (or it's a red herring)
I think it makes no sense to have a town player get stronger upon 1 of 2 scum dying in a 10 player setup, but that might just be me cause idk balance- Fidget
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Also if Kerset is backing up a bulletproof scum player, then upon the vigilante shooting the bulletproof scum (the only case in which that power can be sort of helpful), Kerset's roleclaim is probably just going to be an extra headache for that scum player to deal with. Why would there be a town bulletproof with a town backup bulletproof?
I think overall making a town player that directly backs up a scum players role, and the scum player cannot deny it (in the event they get shot), is just nerfing scum further
So not only is there a gunsmith/1-shot vig, but scum have their one sorta power (bulletproof) get nerfed by a town backup who will call them out
I think the most balanced sounding setups are either Kerset is a townie red herring designed to confuse us (+ scum power) or Kerset is just scum lying here and there are no more town PRs, Kerset is a scum PR
And above all I don't think there's a traitor cause if scum figures out their identity the game is practically over, town can only make 1 mistake- Fidget
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Well if there is, in fact, a full bulletproof they'd have to be scum at this point since nobody is claiming itIn post 862, ready2rock wrote:Are there any other common bulletproof roles aside from traitor and scum?
For the record I think a red herring is definitely a possibility
The only 1-shot BP I'm familiar with is back when the newbie setup had one. It was town aligned.- Fidget
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Actually, why do you post it? I don't see how your pov helps us, it is just lamist thing to do.[/quote]That's my explanation for why I'm hesitant to voteKerset wrote:[quote="In [url=https:<em class="Highlight" style="padding: 1px; box-shadow: rgb(229, 229, 229) 1px 1px; border-radius: 3px; -webkit-print-color-adjust: exact; background-color: rgb(255, 0, 0); color: rgb(0, 0, 205); font-style: inherit;">//</em>forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?p=12076640#p12076640]post 837[/url], Fidget"]I see three ways this could go down (obv assuming midway is town), A.) we eliminate Puppy or Kerset, they're scum, yay
B.) we eliminate Puppy or Kerset, we go to Xylo and I would then know which one of them is scum and somehow I've got to prove it to try and save the game
or C.) We eliminate me first and you can use my input to potentially aide you in Xylo
I am not very excited at the thought of B happening
if I'm not the elimination today I'm gonna have to deal with the possibility of B happening so I have to either get it right confidently or let it be me first- Fidget
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Sort of, it was cause R2r was obviously going to die next. Although Kerset did think we were in Xylo yeahIn post 718, Kerset wrote:
(x) DoubtIn post 709, CantHateAPuppy wrote:it's definitely just one scum. setup doesn't make sense otherwise. it's probably gunsmith/1-shot vig vs. two scum, maybe with some other minor twist since this is umlaut
Vig will be tonights target, so i can reveal that i am backup bulletproof. Bulletproof is usually given to traitors to protect them from scum kills, so from design standpoint there is like 90% chance for one scum + traitor remaining.- Fidget
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So, how fast do you guys wanna play this. Cause I am all for going to bed and trying again the next day. But i'm a replacement and haven't had as much time to dwell on stuff, so if you guys think you already know what you're gonna do, then no reason to wait for me
My current vote is just going to be agreement with r2r's decision. If the deadline were ending in 5 minutes I'd vote Kerset. I think if I said screw everything and just read the last 4 or 5ish pages, I'd say my reads would be scum>Kerset>Puppy>Midway
I think Puppy can still potentially be scum because I am decently falling for AtE there, and I dont think he had much in the way of clearing interactions with Ydrasse. Maybe that's why Kerset feels wrong and it's actually just Puppy.
BM had better interactions with Ydrasse although not perfect, he hesitated quite a bit on her wagon and was elsewhere most of the day. BM I found somewhat towny, although Kerset I just am not finding towny today other than the whole claim business and all that came with it.
And if midway's scum that just sucks don't it- Fidget
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The only thing I've observed midway do since joining is "Yeah ur town Fidget but ummm I'm gonna have to kill ya"
I'm sure there was some stuff I liked about midway besides the Ydrasse interaction but I've all but forgotten them since I put him into the town corner and stopped really focusing on him at all- Fidget
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i just reread like the first twenty pages in bed cause this game stresses me out
Midway didnt push the Ydrasse wagon. im so dumb. the only time he pushed Ydrasse was when she was at 1 vote (his).
during crunch time where ydrasse and dunn both had a lot of steam end of day, he lobbed a ton of shade comments at Dunn despite voting for Ydrasse. and then switched to dunn. he never even says a word about ydrasse from what im seeing
IV, Nosferatu, Mafia Goon, and Puppy(to an extent) were all much more responsible for getting Ydrasse killed. while they were doing that, midway was questioning ppl townreading dunn and saying Dunns L-1 reaction wasnt hard to fake
it hardly makes sense for someone who thinks their option (the one they are voting FOR) is the best elim to then turn around and say "Yeah guys Dunn isnt swaying me you should finish him off". its odd
It looks like an early bus but it actually really wasnt, I think i interpreted it poorly on the first read. So either a.) im tired out of my mind and this reread is faulty so you should disregard this
or b.) My midway read is a total lie and I need to start weighing him against puppy
Also Kerset is way more likely town in that case
if midway is scum that perfectly explains why Puppy and Kerset feel towny and he doesnt. Kerset feels town from their predecessor, the claim, and that last frustrated comment abt midway. puppy idk also feels like town I'll go into it trrmow hopefully
this is still such a weird post to me. I do not get it. if he thinks IV is scummy, why is he voting Ydrasse?In post 431, midwaybear wrote:This is low key scummy because you aren’t specifying what role. I still will vote ydrasse though
VOTE: Ydrasse
i still cant think of an explanation for it honestly for any alignment
I am seriously considering the possibility that midway never intended for people to join him on Ydrasse and that credit grabbing at the end was him trying to salvage something from her death. Previously i had thought he was much more directly responsible for getting her killed but he really only pushed her when she wasnt under elimination pressure. but he makes it out like he did afterwards
Still though he might be town I guess because it was still a somewhat bold move to distance his partner early, just significantly less bold than i was thinking
anyway this has been me rambling at 5 am let me know if im more enlightened than before or if I just took a huge step backwards. I may completely change my mind tomorrow but i feel compelled to leave this here so i dont forget what I've been thinking abt thru the reread- Fidget
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What do you mean i didnt invest much into the game?In post 891, Kerset wrote:
Why? You said that we got one mislynch left and you don't receive major suspicion. As replacement you didn't invest that much in to this game, so you don't have much to lose. The only disaster that could happen for you would be elimination of bulletproof traitor.In post 889, Fidget wrote:this game stresses me out
I'm somewhat stressed because theres a very large chance im eliminated today or tomorrow and I am not sure who i want to advocate to be the other elimination
You all have one miselim but I dont- Fidget
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Why did you feel the need to stress how much towncred you should get for her death?In post 890, midwaybear wrote:
Probably because I wanted Ydrasse to flip scum more than IV. I actually thought Ydrasse was scummy(somewhat) and not really for IV beforehand.In post 889, Fidget wrote:this is still such a weird post to me. I do not get it. if he thinks IV is scummy, why is he voting Ydrasse?
I guess I didn't really push Ydrasse that much. That is true. She wasn't even that scummy compared to Dunn, so forgive me for that.- Fidget
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Hm, okay ready2rock.
I will let you know where my guess for scum is this afternoon. Presently I think I've talked myself out of BM/Kerset being scum and am mow considering between puppy and midway
Midway I think i gave way too much credit for the elimination and now I can believe Kersets mindset way better. Does it make midway scum automatically, well no.- Fidget
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For the record I 100% leave midway in the townbin and do not reevaluate him ever as scum. I also wouldnt talk nearly as much and although I would effort decently, itd be in a much smaller amount of posts
That's okay though I feel sort of confident my pool of 2 is correct, meaning I have a 50/50 off the bat- Fidget
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Ydrasse D1 -
Ydrasse's interactions with midway are really sloppy at the top of her ISO. She has a whole array from "Let's find midway's scumpartner" to "I don't actually scumread you midway." Feels like she'd think more about her interactions with her partner than that.
139 - Ydrasse misses something BM says and he calls her out on it, somewhat like it for them not being teamed
143 - Ydrasee kinda doesnt have a read on midway from the early wagon made on him
182 - This is Puppy/Ydrasses major distance. It looks somewhat good for Puppy but mm
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Puppy D1 -
173 - Puppy points out Ydrasse looks like scum doing busywork, but says it's minor stuff we can work on
271 - Puppy does pick the r2r wagon over Ydrasse's
314 - Puppy declares he is willing to hammer a Dunn wagon
Puppy has quite a few posts declaring BM town btw, it's one of his main reads
369 - This is Puppy sheeping IV onto the Ydrasse wagon, when IV declared Dunn town. Idk it looks alright
408 - puppy votes Dunn instead. he declares he was going to switch back to the Dunn even before the claim
410 - Random compromise wagon on midway, thinks midway is scum positioning on the Ydrasse wagon. He points out that weird post I mentioned early midway made
480 - Puppy agrees with Blair not trusting the IV CC, but wants midway > Dunn
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midway D1 -
Starts off with a BM push. Their battle is legendary but not very important so i didnt read it
92 - Tells Ydrasse she needs to explain herself with regards to her scumreads
124 - Accepts her response, she basically says she was joking
197 - he gives Ydrasse a "???" in this post. Something abt it
216 - Feels better about BM. Votes Ydrasse, but sees merit in Nosferatu wagon
238 - Says he feels better about his Ydrasse vote, calls her hedgey
267 - Says we should hang Ydrasse
While midway didn't really end up being the cause for Ydrasse's death, it does really seem that he would have been okay with killing her right then and there. I am willing to see the Dunn vote as a mistake, probably. Dunn I imagine was a scummy enough guy. My slot sure thought so
However, I get Kerset's point a lot better now. Midway's credit grabbing wasn't exactly warranted however it's entirely possible he was just excited.
371 / 386 - Midway shades Dunn from his place on the Ydrasse wagon.
423 - Switches to Dunn
431 - Switches back to Ydrasse after the IV claim. He did it as soon as the claim came out, although he found IV scummy too- Fidget
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Mm yes sorryIn post 912, ready2rock wrote:So fidget, would you say your list is scum>puppy>kerset>midway? Or am I perceiving your thoughts wrong? (hopefully you can forgive me, as they're all over the place lol)
I heavily favor Puppy >>> Kerset > midway
My opinion on Kerset v. midway isn't very important at this point though. I just need to be sure it's Puppy. And to be honest I haven't found as compelling reason to townread him as i would compared to the other two lately- Fidget
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Well, I guess I can't argue with that. He has sad puppy dog eyes at his disposal, I am just a nimbat.In post 917, midwaybear wrote:Then puppy is going to do more ATE and I’ll feel bad...
When you think of reasons to townread Puppy, what's the first thing that comes to your mind?
For me, it's his tone and frustration with the game state. The sort of "Ugh, first you guys don't bother to play, and now you want to get rid of me. Whatever, I'm beyond caring" attitude. But that is not difficult to replicate as scum.
His contributions to the Ydrasse wagon were not as good as I may have thought at first.
In post 258, Umlaut wrote:In post 260, innocentvillager wrote:I'm not done with r2r but god this slot is so boring VOTE: Ydrasse
He did, after all, sheep my slot on the R2R wagon as the Ydrasse wagon was picking up steam. He didn't give any reasoning so I can't really scrutinize it further.In post 271, CantHateAPuppy wrote:I'll join you Blair!
VOTE: Ready2rock
Nobody is saying anything so it's time to pick a wagon
I like this one!
Puppy spent a boatload of time emphasizing how much he townread BM. Kerset is his top scumread now, though. I agree with him that Kerset's posting does not scream town, however, if I had started with a TR on BM as he would have, perhaps he would have been more open to the claim? Unsure, that's more speculative than anything, cause town does read 180s sure
It does somewhat feel like him jumping on Kerset when I expressed suspicion towards the slot, and then getting you to miseliminate me in Xylo was a super easy strategy. The townread on me is somewhat counter-intuitive, however.. I think he could win that Xylo when my slot already has your support for an elimination. Does it matter what his read on me is?
Spoiler: This exchange
I think this exchange here in particular held me up on Puppy for quite a while. IV joins the Dunn wagon then leaves it, Puppy questions him why he voted for Dunn, IV gives an explanation, and then Puppy sheeps him onto Ydrasse
I think it is quite possible scum!Puppy thinks Dunn is going to be eliminated, and he wants to get the suspicions flowing in a way. He doesn't oppose the Dunn wagon, however, he's trying to hold IV accountable for joining it (which will potentially reflect poorly on IV after the miselim which scum!Puppy knows will happen)
Puppy is fine joining Ydrasse although it's tough for me to get into his mindset. Before this vote, looking across his ISO, he mentions wanting to launch Dunn and maybe Nosferatu, butI SEE NO WHERE HE MENTIONS SUSPECTING YDRASSE.
This could potentially be scum setting himself up to look good deep later into the game. ("See, on D1 where everybody miseliminated Dunn, I was on the scum counter wagon!")
And this is the part where Puppy unvotes after the claim. He never returns to the Ydrasse wagon.In post 408, CantHateAPuppy wrote:VOTE: Dunn
Too bad, I was going to switch before I saw the claim anyways : |
He spends the rest of the time he has advocating for a third option other than Dunn/Ydrasse that was never going to happen from what i can tell (midway). My slot joined him too but EHHHHH
Contrast this with BM who does a ton of research and determines that Ydrasse is incompatible with the setup. He didn't have to do that, but he did. Could be a bus could not be but the fact remains that he didn't have to condemn Ydrasse like thatIn post 484, Battle Mage wrote:Research complete. Most mini normals with town gunsmith have no cop.
VOTE: Ydrasse- Fidget
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My revelation I had at 5 AM about midway not looking NEARLY as good as I thought he did. My Kerset read was clouded because I just could not understand where he was getting midway being the scummiest from.In post 918, ready2rock wrote:In post 877, Fidget wrote: My current vote is just going to be agreement with r2r's decision. If the deadline were ending in 5 minutes I'd vote Kerset. I think if I said screw everything and just read the last 4 or 5ish pages, I'd say my reads would be scum>Kerset>Puppy>Midway
Understanding that the first quote is not quite your full reads because of that qualifier, this is still a fairly big shift. Can you explain what specifically caused it?In post 914, Fidget wrote: I heavily favor Puppy >>> Kerset > midway
This is the post that made me want to reexamine the game:
This feels like a genuine reaction to me. He's insulting us! For not following his scumread on midway. It felt to me there had to be something I had twistedIn post 879, Kerset wrote:If midway is scum and he wins then i am going to call all of you bad rather then him good. For 2 recent days he haven't even been pretending to scumhunt or solve. He keeps nodding to other people and follows common agreements.
Additionally, I am sheeping your comment on Umlaut liking to throw some random wrench in his setups. I wouldn't know, but I trust you on that and this certainly could qualify as one- Fidget
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I wasn't planning on continuing to fight after my "Au revoir" post but you guys are making me feel like I have a chance at shifting this to Puppy and I cannot help myself.
If your judgment is already set in stone, I ask that you put a stop to my rambling. I might not even be right about Puppy which will make it more embarrassing.
Alternatively, if this discussion does interest you, I will gladly continue on until the moment I'm shoved into the cannon- Fidget
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Enough talking! Tome for the trebuchet.In post 929, CantHateAPuppy wrote:Fidget, why do you want me so badly? There's a big case you've written up but it looks more like different thoughts trying to convince yourself. Always believed a good belief just needs one reason (though I don't do that myself always lol). Can you boil it down to one reason (or are we beyond talking -- if your read is that strong don't bother I guess)
kidding...
I can't imagine it being midway and to a lesser extent don't think its Kerset.
in that post I reviewed D1 for what must be the third time to see if there are any interactions that clear you. I don't believe there is.
I think your play today has been mostly dominstead by mechanical speculation and somewhat frustration AtE. That's not all you do, but those parts in particular are not hard to fake
Oh I suppose the boiled down reason is "It's not those two. It can be Puppy. Kill Puppy"
As a lot of people are saying I do believe scum is 0paying strong here, I dont think I'll be able to find a major scumtell in your ISO- Fidget
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You call that AtE?! I call this AtEIn post 925, Kerset wrote:In post 916, Fidget wrote:Trusssssst in me midway. Vote with me
It... just sounds like irony. This is influence at emotional level at its basis.In post 917, midwaybear wrote:Then puppy is going to do more ATE and I’ll feel bad...
Sidenote: if this is not AtE, I am sorry Puppy. It just looks like itIn post 821, CantHateAPuppy wrote:you can scumread me if you want, i'm tired of this game and not sure how much im going to fight it
spent the whole game posting against a lurkbase, talking to blank walls, then having to compromise because nobody's around to work things out. think i played a bad day 1 but that was over a month ago now. not going to hash it all out again at the finish. w/e
pedit: leaving this post as-is lol- Fidget
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Puppy I think your plan was initially "Stress townread Fidget (to throw us off I guess and to be consistent with the read you've had this hold time), eliminate Kerset using her suspicions on Kerset, eliminate Fidget on the next day using midways preexisting suspicions"
It's a pretty slam dunk plan, you totally would have won that Xylo - Fidget
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