Because, and this is really simple, Math, is that the only way you would know how TW's result is going to come out is if you are scum.
We will not KNOW anything, because you could very well be scum that has setup a situation where you can try and convince town to mislynch based on bad evidence.
For example, N_M/Math could have some sort of way to block TW's result. Then you'll lynch based on the fact that he's not "conftown."
You can try to dissect this however you want, but there are always variables that you can "forget" to mention. Part of this is trust. And right now, I'm not trusting your claim.