Turn of Camn ~FIN~


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Post Post #700 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 2:41 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

In post 699, camn wrote:Fine. I'm going to bed now.

For everyone who didn't know- I live in Asia. So my clock is just wrong. Try not to post 20 pages before I wake up!
Is this for real? You go to bed at 10? That's, like, a grade-school tier bedtime curfew! :P
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Post Post #701 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 2:43 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

In post 679, BBmolla wrote:
In post 642, Kuuhaku wrote:
In post 641, northsidegal wrote:
In post 637, Kuuhaku wrote:BBmolla seems to be a weak player that would be unlikely to be picked by Pine in a draft, for similar reasons to Aristophanes. I could be wrong.
and do you get this sense from this game only or for meta from elsewhere?
From this game.
I'm actually very easy to read and thus I think I'm strong in that sense tbh.

I think my scumplay is better than my townplay because then I don't have to be honest. When I'm honest people seem to get upset with me.
How can your scumplay be good if you are "very easy to read"? By definition, you'd be obvscum when you're scum, so, it would necessitate poor scumplay! :P

This is a rhetorical question. Just an offhanded comment, I believe BBmolla is town here.

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Post Post #702 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 2:45 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

With regard to the issue of NSG's miller claim:

I absolutely missed the miller claim, didn't see it at all, but from NSG's posts independently I've been townreading her outside of it. I see no reason to change my read based on something as irrelevant as a miller claim.


My townread on NSG is also supported by the fact that Pine is unlikely to pick NSG; it's more likely that NSG would be snagged by Alisae along with the rest of us (myself and Maria), so it's a pretty comfy read for me.

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Post Post #703 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 2:48 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

It appears that I have had one misdirected mindset about the game, which is with regard to modmetagaming reads, i.e. who would have been picked to be on Pine's scumteam.

According to likely-true information given from Pine with regard to the setup, Pine had the first pick, before Alisae picked
three
players to be on town, instead of just one like I previously thought. This gives a highly significant advantage to Alisae and town, as Alisae would get significantly more of her choices, and decision control over her town team, than Pine would have for his own team.

Therefore I need to remind myself to approach this section of the game as "Who would Alisae pick" rather than "Who would Pine pick". This should be tackled more in the way of "Who's on Team Alisae" rather than "Who's on Team Pine".

This is just a reminder to myself, though it should be shared in the event that others are making the same mistake as well.

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Post Post #704 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 2:49 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

Besides, I have a lot more knowledge with regard to who would be on Team Alisae rather than Team Pine. Heck, I don't even know who Pine is.

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Post Post #705 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 2:52 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

Unfortunately, the only players who I can be extremely confident to be on Team Alisae is only the following: Myself, MariaR, Mulch, NSG, Chara.

Since Ellibereth complicates the Chara slot... yeah. If Pine picked Ellibereth as a first pick, as some players in this game are theorizing, there's no way I can clear that slot. That so doesn't help. Bah.

The rest of the playerlist I'm not familiar with, or would likely be leftovers on the bench.
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Post Post #706 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 2:53 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

Ask me anything. I'll be V/LA for 2 days after today, Shiro will be taking over while I'm gone.

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Post Post #707 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 3:02 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

In post 653, northsidegal wrote:
In post 642, Kuuhaku wrote:
In post 641, northsidegal wrote:
In post 637, Kuuhaku wrote:BBmolla seems to be a weak player that would be unlikely to be picked by Pine in a draft, for similar reasons to Aristophanes. I could be wrong.
and do you get this sense from this game only or for meta from elsewhere?
From this game.
doesn't it seem rather circular to you to look at bbmolla's play this game, after he's received his alignment, and use that to make a judgment about what his play would be like as scum? either circular or already assuming bbmolla is town, no?

like, you look at bbmolla's play this game and say "oh, this guy is playing a weak game, so he probably wasn't chosen for scum", when the converse of bbmolla being scum being the reason for him playing a weak game is also valid?
With regard to this, it's not necessarily circular. General player competency estimations need not necessarily be influenced by alignment.

I believe, your argument is, that I can't conclude that I can judge BBmolla's play from this game, since, his alignment has been decided already. But the fact of the matter is that I can construct accurate estimations and extrapolations of a single player's competency based on their play in a single game.

Take RC, for instance. If you played with him in a game, and only one game, you already might have certain conclusions of what kind of player he is; i.e. domineering, charismatic (?), egotistical. These traits need not necessarily be because he rolled scum; there are
just there
. With such observations, it isn't difficult to conclude that, because of these traits, RC would likely be a strong scum player. Then, working backwards, if RC was in a game with non-randomized alignments, it would be logical to deduce that RC would more likely than not to pick a scum alignment than town alignment.

The same applies here. Sure, you may argue that BBmolla is playing a weak game
because
he is scum, rather than my position that BBmolla is not scum because he is playing a weak game. But, several players are able to play a strong game regardless of their alignment. It begs the question: if BBmolla is known to play weak games as scum, would he even have been picked to be scum in the first place? Would Pine knowingly sacrifice the chances of his team winning, the fact that BBmolla would likely be caught, and also a valuable team slot, just to pull such a reverse-psychology stunt?

The answer is up to you to decide. But my answer is no, he would not. BBmolla won't be chosen to be scum unless there was no other choice.

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Post Post #708 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 3:07 am

Post by Pine »

I love how wrong peoples' setup spec is vis a vis "who would Pine pick."
"Cry havoc, and let slip the wombat of war!"

Act 3, Scene 1 of
Julius Caesar
, by W. Shakespeare
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Post Post #709 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 3:13 am

Post by Kiana Kaslana »

In post 708, Pine wrote:I love how wrong peoples' setup spec is vis a vis "who would Pine pick."
Yup, that was a mistake on my part. Poor direction taken with regard to the game.

As corrected, "Who Alisae would pick" results in significantly more accurate results.
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Post Post #710 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 3:21 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

In post 709, Kiana Kaslana wrote:
In post 708, Pine wrote:I love how wrong peoples' setup spec is vis a vis "who would Pine pick."
Yup, that was a mistake on my part. Poor direction taken with regard to the game.

As corrected, "Who Alisae would pick" results in significantly more accurate results.
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Post Post #711 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 4:09 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

Hmm, nobody's posting. Sad. I'll be leaving for V/LA for 2 days, during this time Shiro will be handling this slot instead of me.
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Post Post #712 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 4:10 am

Post by Mathdino »

wait you still around kiana?
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Post Post #713 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 4:11 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

Reads before I leave (mostly unchanged from my previous reads post)

Never Loses: Kuuhaku (Kiana Kaslana + Shiro)

Townreading: Lady Lambdadelta, MariaR, Mulch, Northsidegal
Probably won't get picked by Pine so odds are town: xRECKONERx, Aristophanes, BBmolla
Light scumread: Firebringer,
Scumreading: Ginngie, Mathdino, Centipede Syndrome (Ellibereth + Chara)

Yet to sort:
- shos
- DrippingGoofball
- mastina
- Implosion
- Parama


The changes here are that NSG goes into the town pile while Parama gets kicked out, after some valid concerns that Shiro has raised. Shiro is also townreading Firebringer; my scumread on him was the weakest when I had made that comment, so I will pause on that as well.

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Post Post #714 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 4:12 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

In post 712, Mathdino wrote:wait you still around kiana?
Yes. Hi.
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Post Post #715 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 4:15 am

Post by Mathdino »

@Kiana:
In post 424, Firebringer wrote:I just had an epiphany that Alisae doesn’t really have an incentive to try to form an all star town team so he could just draft randomly or for no good reason
Thoughts on this post?

camn and Pine have wincons. Alisae does not.

Also you need to stop masonhunting. The vast majority of scumwins in mason setups are lost because town is full of dumb shits that accidentally force the masons to out themselves. See history of Friends & Enemies.
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Post Post #716 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 4:16 am

Post by Mathdino »

In post 702, Kuuhaku wrote:I absolutely missed the miller claim, didn't see it at all, but from NSG's posts independently I've been townreading her outside of it. I see no reason to change my read based on something as irrelevant as a miller claim.
this here's a townslip btw

scum-kiana would remember all the claims i think
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Post Post #717 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 4:16 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

In post 712, Mathdino wrote:wait you still around kiana?
In between the time that I saw this post and me currently writing this post, I have completed a full ISO of you. I pre-empt that you will ask for an explanation for my scumread on you (as if questions like these do you any good...)

The reasons are the following:

- Your early game play appears to be devoid of scumhunting or genuine attemtps to game solve.
- Forced attempts to steer discussion into "policy lynch" territory give scum in general (possibly including yourself) ample room to hide.
- Your posts do feel off compared to the last time I played with you in Be Yourself Mafia

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Post Post #718 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 4:19 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

In post 715, Mathdino wrote:
@Kiana:
In post 424, Firebringer wrote:I just had an epiphany that Alisae doesn’t really have an incentive to try to form an all star town team so he could just draft randomly or for no good reason
Thoughts on this post?

camn and Pine have wincons. Alisae does not.

Also you need to stop masonhunting. The vast majority of scumwins in mason setups are lost because town is full of dumb shits that accidentally force the masons to out themselves. See history of Friends & Enemies.
I wasn't able to parse that post, so I ignored it.

It's not my problem that the average Mafiascum town is full of dumb shits. I play by my way. Those failures do not apply to me.

I want to know if the mason is already overlapped with my current townreads, or >> I can add another unsorted player to my lock-town pile << . That is my goal.
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Post Post #719 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 4:21 am

Post by Mathdino »

wasn't going to ask, but okay

your reasons mostly show a lack of understanding of my playstyle, which is whatever

people were scumreading me in BYM D1 because that was an offgame with the nonstop shitshow

Edit: jesus christ
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Post Post #720 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 4:22 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

In post 719, Mathdino wrote:wasn't going to ask, but okay

your reasons mostly show a lack of understanding of my playstyle, which is whatever

people were scumreading me in BYM D1 because that was an offgame with the nonstop shitshow

Edit: jesus christ
Funny, because I locktowned you correctly in BYM. I don't see a reason to believe that my general accuracy with regard to reading you has error.
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Post Post #721 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 4:23 am

Post by Centipede Syndrome »

for those who brought it up: yes, i'm avoiding this game. Elli isn't here right now and i don't care to put work in yet. carry on.
basically just checking in to make sure we're not being wagoned and i don't need to obvtown yet.
looks like we aren't. cool.
~Chara
Pray, which leg moves after which?
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Post Post #722 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 4:23 am

Post by Mathdino »

you overestimate your own read accuracy significantly more than RC does, kiana

like you're slowly turning into the new him in that regard
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Post Post #723 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 4:24 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

In post 715, Mathdino wrote:camn and Pine have wincons. Alisae does not.
Pretty sure that Alisae is roleplaying that she's on the town's side, along with Camn.

Of course, as a game host, the real wincon for her is to ensure that the game is successful, and that the players have lots of fun. That's her
real
wincon. But, the flavour for this game appears to be Pine vs Alisae & Camn, so, that's a reasonable assumption to make, and one that I will follow.

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Post Post #724 (ISO) » Sun Apr 08, 2018 4:24 am

Post by Kuuhaku »

In post 722, Mathdino wrote:you overestimate your own read accuracy significantly more than RC does, kiana

like you're slowly turning into the new him in that regard
Coming from a scumread, I'll take this comment with a bucketload of salt.
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