Mini 2006: Scummer in this game UPick GAME OVER


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Post Post #4050 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 11:31 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

Wait a Minute, Pine, what are you saying you think N_M's role is?

Because
REDFLAVOUR CLAIMED TO ME VIA ANONYMOUS MESSAGE
and I cannot see what you would think he's obvious town for in that claim.
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Post Post #4051 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 11:32 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

You see, I have two claims.

I have a claim from OTM and a claim from RedFlavour.

OTMs is like, conf. town.

RedFlavour's is weird and I don't 100% buy it.
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Post Post #4052 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 11:33 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

like, I realized that N_M was Redflavour but I totally forgot he claimed to me until just now. >.>
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Post Post #4053 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 11:34 am

Post by Nahdia »

If you're willing to share; did Red explain why he was claiming to you?
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Post Post #4054 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 11:34 am

Post by mastina »

In post 3988, Lovebird wrote:Are you sure pine is town from kokichi flip?
Not in of itself, no.
But paired with my other reasoning, yes.
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Post Post #4055 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 11:37 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

In post 4053, Nahdia wrote:If you're willing to share; did Red explain why he was claiming to you?
I would be.

So I was softing some things about my role, which are true, and Red read those things, and messaged me saying "your role revolves around your vote, my role revolves around my vote, I believe your claim and I think we're both town"

and then claimed to me and told me who he suspected.
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Post Post #4056 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 11:38 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

In post 2455, RedFlavor wrote:Its worth to mention that lld knoes my role
In post 2483, RedFlavor wrote:I recieved 1 shot annoymous message and sent it to lld cuz I think we have similar roles
this is a tiny bit after he sent it to me, I believe.
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Post Post #4057 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 11:38 am

Post by Pine »

In post 4050, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:Wait a Minute, Pine, what are you saying you think N_M's role is?

Because
REDFLAVOUR CLAIMED TO ME VIA ANONYMOUS MESSAGE
and I cannot see what you would think he's obvious town for in that claim.
I don't have RF/N_M's claim. An action N1 targeted both of us which I'm pretty certain makes him Town. This action MIGHT have come from Town and is therefore NAI, and it MIGHT have come from scum, but like 4 times out of 5 this is scum targeting two Townies.

I'd rather. It elaborate further. It's already guessable.
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Post Post #4058 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 11:40 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

In post 4057, Pine wrote:
In post 4050, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:Wait a Minute, Pine, what are you saying you think N_M's role is?

Because
REDFLAVOUR CLAIMED TO ME VIA ANONYMOUS MESSAGE
and I cannot see what you would think he's obvious town for in that claim.
I don't have RF/N_M's claim. An action N1 targeted both of us which I'm pretty certain makes him Town. This action MIGHT have come from Town and is therefore NAI, and it MIGHT have come from scum, but like 4 times out of 5 this is scum targeting two Townies.

I'd rather. It elaborate further. It's already guessable.
Lovebird wrote:
In post 4043, Pine wrote:N_M

I think you are Town for reasons you are (likely) also aware of. I think it was a scum-motivated night action.

Talk to me please.
It wasn't :)
I think I'm seeing the pieces now.
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Post Post #4059 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 11:40 am

Post by Pine »

I'd rather not* elaborate further. Damn autocorrect. It's bad enough when it garbles grammar, that actually changed meaning.
"Cry havoc, and let slip the wombat of war!"

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Post Post #4060 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 11:40 am

Post by Pine »

Oh. Hmm. I missed that Lovebird soft. Well that probably makes it NAI then.
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Post Post #4061 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 11:43 am

Post by mastina »

In post 4019, MOMOMEN wrote:or just the fact i've defended town and pushed scum all game? me townreading you shouldn't be the goddamn reason you don't want to lynch me
You should have the self-awareness to know why this post is many levels of 'ew', Eddie.
In post 4022, MOMOMEN wrote:wow, no scum in the top half of my reads
And a flipped town in the bottom half of your reads. Actually, two, because Momrangal was in the bottom-3-tiers. And a bunch of players who haven't flipped because it's D2 and we only have three flips. And two of your reads are a given because no duh the masons are town so obviously you'd townread them and be correct there. None of that says anything.

And implying it does is also 'ew'.
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Post Post #4062 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 11:46 am

Post by mastina »

In post 4035, Pine wrote:{Nahdia, Momo/Eddie}
Increasingly confident this is the scumteam.
Not viable on interactions especially one scum down.
In post 4027, Eddie Cane wrote:us, pine, nahdia, otm, not mafia I think
In post 4028, Eddie Cane wrote:Mathdinkle claims a 100% confidence townread on redflavour. He can correct me, but if that stands not mafia isnt a valid lynch. I am not overly inclined to do you or nahdia, so Pine and OTM are what's left and you dont want either.
See the thing is your own POE is saying you're scum here.
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Post Post #4063 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 11:48 am

Post by mastina »

In post 4042, Pine wrote:
In post 4037, Nahdia wrote:Well someone's getting falsely towncased here, because I'm not scum. ATM I'm thinking one in {Pine, Math} and one in {LLD, MOMO, Not_Mafia}.
Also this is a super flexible position for scum. "It's two people in all the ones you suspect and also these other four." You're basically painting half the living playerlist at that point.
That is not suspect; I can see Nahdia's process behind that and understand where they are coming from--in fact, it is almost exactly the spot I am coming from and I am town, so you are calling my process scum when I know for a fact it is not.
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Post Post #4064 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 11:51 am

Post by OnTheMark »

In post 4057, Pine wrote:
In post 4050, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:Wait a Minute, Pine, what are you saying you think N_M's role is?

Because
REDFLAVOUR CLAIMED TO ME VIA ANONYMOUS MESSAGE
and I cannot see what you would think he's obvious town for in that claim.
I don't have RF/N_M's claim. An action N1 targeted both of us which I'm pretty certain makes him Town. This action MIGHT have come from Town and is therefore NAI, and it MIGHT have come from scum, but like 4 times out of 5 this is scum targeting two Townies.

I'd rather. It elaborate further. It's already guessable.
Pine do you scumread me?
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Post Post #4065 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 12:41 pm

Post by Eddie Cane »

you god camn rocking morons
"Ima need to buy at least Josh a fucking tarot card reading because this dude is scary at picking up on scum before they even post what the fuck type of Ms. Cleo ass psychic ass mothafucka did yall allow to sign up for this site"
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Post Post #4066 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 1:11 pm

Post by Pine »

In post 4064, OnTheMark wrote:
In post 4057, Pine wrote:
In post 4050, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:Wait a Minute, Pine, what are you saying you think N_M's role is?

Because
REDFLAVOUR CLAIMED TO ME VIA ANONYMOUS MESSAGE
and I cannot see what you would think he's obvious town for in that claim.
I don't have RF/N_M's claim. An action N1 targeted both of us which I'm pretty certain makes him Town. This action MIGHT have come from Town and is therefore NAI, and it MIGHT have come from scum, but like 4 times out of 5 this is scum targeting two Townies.

I'd rather. It elaborate further. It's already guessable.
Pine do you scumread me?
For at least the fifth time, I've been thinking you're Town since late D1. I honestly have no idea why I am constantly forced to assert this. Please remember it this time.
"Cry havoc, and let slip the wombat of war!"

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Post Post #4067 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 6:43 pm

Post by OnTheMark »

I was asking to demonstrate a point.

You said your stuff is "guessable". If scum play similar to how I play scum noting all the PR roles etc saying that it's guessable means you might as well claim.

If you think scum know what something is and town doesn't that's a bad idea.
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Post Post #4068 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 6:55 pm

Post by Pine »

Yeah, but “I think.”

It does Town zero good to know this information now.

If I’m wrong, and it’s a Town-enacted action, telling scum would let them exploit it.

Stop rolefishing bro.
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Post Post #4069 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 7:00 pm

Post by OnTheMark »

Ugh I am not rolefishing

I am telling you to be cautious or go whole hog.

Don’t fucking half ass it
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Post Post #4070 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 7:07 pm

Post by Pine »

But halfassing is the right call here.

Dude don’t treat me like a rookie. I’ve earned my stripes.
"Cry havoc, and let slip the wombat of war!"

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Post Post #4071 (ISO) » Wed May 23, 2018 7:15 pm

Post by OnTheMark »

Then I’ll stick to artwork I suppose.
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Post Post #4072 (ISO) » Thu May 24, 2018 9:36 am

Post by OnTheMark »

In post 3966, mastina wrote:
In post 3784, Cheetory6 wrote:
VOTECOUNT 1.35
Not_Mafia [2]
- Lady LambdaDelta,
Momrangal

Momrangal
[2]
-
Lovebird
,
MariaR

Lovebird
[1]
-
OnTheMark

MariaR
[7] -
Pine
, MathDino,
mastina, NicoRobin
, Not_Mafia,
Nahdia
, MOMOMEN

Kokichi Oma
[1]
-
Kokichi Oma
So Kokichi was scum off the wagon and was confident there wasn't going to be a scumflip as shown by his self-vote. He could fuck around because scum weren't in any real danger. The question to ask here: all scum off (scumteam is LLD/Lovebird, OnTheMark/Lovebird, or LLD/OnTheMark; I find all of these to be...rather questionable to say the least), one scum on two scum off, or two scum on?

I'm genuinely curious which people think. One scum on, two off, or one scum off, two scum on; it makes a big difference here for scumhunting. CONVENTIONAL wisdom would say two scum on, but I'm not sure I can lock it down.

Spoiler: Additional Rudimentary VCA which is probably worthless thus the spoiler
In post 3750, Cheetory6 wrote:
VOTECOUNT 1.34
Not_Mafia [2]
- Lady LambdaDelta,
Momrangal

OnTheMark
[1]
- MOMOMEN
Momrangal
[3]
-
Lovebird
,
Kokichi Oma
,
MariaR

Lovebird
[1]
-
OnTheMark

MariaR
[5]
- Pine, MathDino,
mastina, NicoRobin
, Not_Mafia
Not Voting [1]:
Nahdia
So there isn't hard data here, but my INSTINCTS tell me that Kokichi Oma didn't want to be associated with the Momrangal wagon--to me, this makes me feel better about Lovebird being town. Potentially also Nahdia, who was also on there, but less so.
In post 3123, Cheetory6 wrote:
VOTECOUNT 1.28
Not_Mafia [3]
- Lady LambdaDelta,
Momrangal
,
OnTheMark

OnTheMark
[4]
-
NicoRobin, mastina
,
Pine
, MOMOMEN
Momrangal
[4]
-
beeboy, Lovebird
,
Kokichi Oma
,
MariaR

mastina
[1]
- Not_Mafia
Not Voting [1]:
CheekyTeeky
So my instincts here say scum aren't focused in any location; they would be evenly distributed. This would make Nahdia and Lovebird be town, and place 0-1 scum in Not_Mafia/Mathdino (doubtful both scum are in the 1s there), 0-1 scum in Pine/MOMOMEN, and 0-1 scum in LLD/OnTheMark, with two of these three groups having one scum and one of these three groups having none.

The key then would be finding which two groups.
If we work on the underlined-as-town, then those groups become 0-1 scum in Not_Mafia/Mathdino, 0-1 scum in MOMOMEN, and 0-1 scum in LLD, leaving possible teams as Not_Mafia/MOMOMEN, Not_Mafia/LLD (doubtful as LLD is voting Not_Mafia), Mathdino/MOMOMEN, Mathdino/LLD, and MOMOMEN/LLD. But that's only under the assumption that the underlined are town.

Btw random number crunching if you do rule out the Not_Mafia/LLD team (not the best assumption, but hey, random numbers are fun), Not_Mafia is only scum in one scenario; LLD is only scum in one scenario; Mathdino and MOMOMEN are scum in two. But if you asked how much trust I place in said numbers, it'd be as close to absolute zero as you can get without reaching zero.
In post 1051, Cheetory6 wrote:
VOTECOUNT 1.11
mastina
[1]
-
Lovebird

Momrangal
[1]
- Lady LambdaDelta
MariaR
[5]
-
mastina
,
Wisdom
, CheekyTeeky,
Momrangal
,
Sudowoodo

CheekyTeeky [1]
- RedFlavor
No Lynch [1]
-
beeboy

Wisdom
[3]
-
MariaR
,
NicoRobin
,
Kokichi Oma

Not Voting [1]:
MOMOMEN
Okay so this jumps out to me as well. Kokichi was on the otherwise-all-town counterwagon to MariaR who we know to be town. I'd strongly think that'd mean both buddies aren't on MariaR, ruling out OnTheMark/Mathdino, OnTheMark/Pine, and Mathdino/Pine. (Of course, two of them are underlined anyway.) There's 0-1 scum in there, and if you operate under the assumption of the underlined as town, it'd be Mathdino.

That still leaves 1-2 scum in the off-voters, the random wagoners. Your options there for a double-scum are Lovebird/LLD, Lovebird/Not_Mafia, Lovebird/Nahdia (definitely not!), Lovebird/MOMOMEN, LLD/Not_Mafia (extremely doubtful), LLD/Nahdia, LLD/MOMOMEN (the only team to not use underlined), Not_Mafia/Nahdia, Not_Mafia/MOMOMEN, or Nahdia/MOMOMEN. A lot of teams, a lot of options.
Even more when you throw in 1 scum in there and 1 scum on MariaR.

In other words--this votecount does give a critical piece of information (the MariaR wagon doesn't have two scum on it), but it's otherwise not very useful.
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Post Post #4073 (ISO) » Thu May 24, 2018 9:38 am

Post by OnTheMark »

Guessing two scum on MathDino and Momomen

By reasons are idgaf and my gut says so
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Post Post #4074 (ISO) » Thu May 24, 2018 10:38 am

Post by Cheetory6 »

votecount?
Locked