Micro 827: The Team Odds - Game Over


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Eragon
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Post Post #150 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:05 pm

Post by Eragon »

In post 142, Skygazer wrote:
In post 137, Eragon wrote:because you should at least try to make your own reads, especially early game when thoughts of alignments are easily subject to change
okay, lets say RC can read nsg with wild accuracy. wouldn't it be optimal to trust that read to inform my own read rather than rely on my likely less accurate thoughts?
In post 137, Eragon wrote:-why dont you try and make a read of NSG then?
-your progression of "Oh, Rc might be town so because they say NSG is town NSG is town too" I dont see any towny influence of sheeping someone that from your point of view has a fair chance at flipping mafia, 25% from your point of view, if you are town. so your willing to bet a 75% possible town read thats correct on another 75% chance Read? just going off numbers here, but its more helpful if you actually put effort into the game and try to solve
-thats not how it came off as
-i mean i do have a read of NSG, it just happens to be heavily informed by RC's read (:
-RC has like a 13% chance from my point of view actually. besides, he's very likely to eat a nightkill and i have town pings from how he's been reading me
-well then you made a bad inference especially when you consider that i was townreading nsg
In post 137, Eragon wrote:how does a entrance comment saying "wow this game is fast, gonna go catch up" ping you as scummy?
and can you explain why my wall is scummy?
i mean gut ping implies its very weak just based on the specific wording
your push on me was weird esp considering you didn't back it up with a vote but i just remembered not voting much is your thing
your three scum reads seemed kind of safe (schadd, me, dunn)
1. take it into account for all I care, but sheeping without having any read on the target means nothing
2. ok, just forget about the numbers and actually think about
reads
.
"also i think ive heard that nsg is more active as town? possibly?"
I dont know how else to take this other than "isnt NSg more active as town?"
but I guess your explanation makes sense
3. so my SR's are safe, but what about everyone else that SR's Schadd, you, and Dunn?
are they safe as well?
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Post Post #151 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:06 pm

Post by Eragon »

In post 144, Skygazer wrote:iirc town eragon was still verbose but less so than scum eragon
can you point out which games your talking about?
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Post Post #152 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:09 pm

Post by Eragon »

In post 134, Skygazer wrote:@nsg
In post 44, Carcalilly wrote:WE ARE NOT LYNCHING ON PAGE 2
In post 46, Carcalilly wrote:there is no benefit of quicklynching

none

so hold down your horses and schad please stop being scummy so I can Unvote you

rc why don't you agree with me
these pinged me tbh

a lot of his posts feel awkward in a way i havent figured out so i might dig into some meta

taking these posts from sky because im too lazy to snip out and just keep the quotes.

does anyone else see a Dunnlilly scumteam here?
It could be carca panicked, seeing sky's post the same way I did, and not realizing that she was already voting?
Because scum getting lynched D1 is very bad for them, especially having p.much no time to build associations and stuff.
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Post Post #153 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:12 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

ye happy with my eragon townread

RC/Eragon/NSG town
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Post Post #154 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:17 pm

Post by schadd_ »

In post 116, Skygazer wrote:RC not willing to give me townpoints for things makes sense from him bc he's told me a little bit in the past that he can't read me

im willing to locktown nsg unless RC flips scum at some point

also i think ive heard that nsg is more active as town? possibly?

i haven't played with that many people here but im hoping i can figure out eragon early and schadd later on but ive only seen schadd play on a roleplaying alt
cardi i think was generally true to how i play with the exception that i couldnt lurk and fall back on my meta so i was explaining reads and talking more

i usually don't like to exert myself on games but this game might draw it out of me idk. if rc is town im not really worried abt being lynched. maybe ditto nsg
In post 129, northsidegal wrote:by the way, i'm deciding right now that if i can do alright in this game then i'm officially not washed up anymore
ouh shit where did my wincon go all i can see is northsidegal's wincon
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Post Post #155 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:18 pm

Post by schadd_ »

im thinking skygazer is town............

im thinking northsidegal is town lol......
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Post Post #156 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:19 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

i would like

seriously consider leading NSG to my partner then underplaying in a way she'd catch if i was scum here
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Post Post #157 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:20 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

actually maybe not tbh
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Post Post #158 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:21 pm

Post by schadd_ »

something i wanna communicate to nsg in case it matters: i have felt, like, transparently scum thoughts coming from carca when she was town and stuff she's said this game has given me the same feeling

there is no reason to trust me on this at all and if you're washed up i'm washed way the fuck down
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Post Post #159 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:21 pm

Post by schadd_ »

In post 156, RadiantCowbells wrote:i would like

seriously consider leading NSG to my partner then underplaying in a way she'd catch if i was scum here
:^I
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Post Post #160 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:22 pm

Post by schadd_ »

In post 152, Eragon wrote:does anyone else see a Dunnlilly scumteam here?
felt too obvious to me but yes
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Post Post #161 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:23 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

i'm seeing dunnformer and lillyformer > dunnlilly
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Post Post #162 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:24 pm

Post by schadd_ »

In post 46, Carcalilly wrote:so hold down your horses and schad please stop being scummy so I can Unvote you
im looking back at this bc i didnt read it but it was quoted in the eragon post

this is explicitly not sufficient for me to want to vote carca at all for example
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Post Post #163 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:24 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

like performer is my real scumread

i'm support carca because I think NSG is a Skilled Player (TM)
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Post Post #164 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:25 pm

Post by schadd_ »

In post 161, RadiantCowbells wrote:i'm seeing dunnformer and lillyformer > dunnlilly
dunn has 5posted pretty convincingly to his scumgame to me idk

if we lynch those three do we just win and go back to never playing mafia
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Post Post #165 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:25 pm

Post by schadd_ »

In post 163, RadiantCowbells wrote:like performer is my real scumread

i'm support carca because I think NSG is a Skilled Player (TM)
this is good to know thank u
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Post Post #166 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:26 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

whatdo you mean 5poosted
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Post Post #167 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:27 pm

Post by schadd_ »

he posted 5 times
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Post Post #168 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:27 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

so u mean that ur not really scumreading him?
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Post Post #169 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:27 pm

Post by schadd_ »

im scumreading him
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Post Post #170 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:27 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

oh so u mean his 5 posts are convincingly his scumgame
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Post Post #171 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:28 pm

Post by schadd_ »

pretty convincingly
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Post Post #172 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:31 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

D,G,H with offchance of E on perf scumflip

carc,sky,dunn with schadd as minute and wh4t as v unlikely
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Post Post #173 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:31 pm

Post by schadd_ »

oh right wh4t
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Post Post #174 (ISO) » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:32 pm

Post by schadd_ »

i was thinking the poe felt really tight
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