A Story Revisited (Anything uPick): Day 6


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Post Post #3425 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:29 am

Post by jjh927 »

In post 3403, Jingle wrote:Nico to my question you prematurely answered for her.
Mastina in general.
And the percentage of claimed/semi claimed players.

All of these are important.
Dunno what the question was but it sounds like it was probably answered

Waiting for Mastina in general is cool but shouldn't cause you any issues wrt strategy optimisation


1)
Spoiler: The MEME Men
In post 2066, Rylai and Lina wrote:I'm a double voter town with one shot investigation ability of some sort who will win gladiates if a gladiator targets us. I just had a crisis in life and had to flake and whenever I was online on ms this thread was locked.

I will need till night to catch up and read stuff about this game and to try to communicate with my hydra partner. If I can't get that to work I will replace out

~Sora

2) Northsidegal
3)
Spoiler: Firebringer
In post 2192, Firebringer wrote:wait my role gives guns not allows me to shoot...

u troll rc.

I will give a gun to whoever promises to shoot gamma if he isn't lynched.

4)
Spoiler: Nicorobin
In post 3291, NicoRobin wrote:p-edit: Rolecop and triplevoter.

5)
Spoiler: Mastina
In post 48, mastina wrote:I was expecting a troll role when I submitted my picks, and hoh boy did RC not disappoint.
I am Ginngie, Hated Loyal Gladiator
.
Outside of lylo/mylo (which is purely by the numbers, per the role wording), I take one less vote to lynch.
I can gladiate anyone by claiming a guilty on them, but if they're not town-aligned, it'll fail.

I can maybe, MAYBE use this as a conditional cop, IF we can no-lynch after a gladiate (I need to ask RC about this), but if not, yeahhhhh...

6) Gamma Emerald
7)
Spoiler: Chickadee
In post 2673, Chickadee wrote:I'm a video vendor. I can vend any time.

8) Skygazer
9)
Spoiler: Varsoon
In post 2850, Varsoon wrote:Jury's still out on how my role would interact with other vote-related powers but yeah
Everyone gets to cast a vote via PM and it's not revealed who voted who.

10)
Spoiler: KuroiXHF
In post 1755, KuroiXHF wrote:I'll die, but I'll come back. And I won't flip.
In post 1839, KuroiXHF wrote:BTW, I can post at night. I am alive, but not the same as everyone else.

11) Invisibility
12) Porkens
13) Whemestar
14)
Spoiler: Vecna
In post 1929, Vecna wrote:Alright here goes. Im sort of waiting for someone to pop their head in, but explaining stuff wont hurt (or maybe it will, but itll all be alright). Also on mobile and not at home so this may go in pieces.

JJH was on the right track, but he was asking completely the wrong questions.

My post restriction day1 was optional. The original restriction was that I could only state I am cornholio and that i need tp for my bunghole. I was cheeky and asked RC if I could also use the other cornholio quotes to make it less bland. he hesitantly agreed. I could not vote day1 without ruining the restriction. The reason I did not want to continue too much with the answering questions was that I felt it was not in line with the spirit of the role design, and RC had already given me more leeway in what I could do. I felt if I continued it might result in me failing the clause and it being for nothing. Besides that, asking someone with a PR to provide rainbow reads in his formatting somehow, while hardly anyone else is asked such a thing was complete bullcrap. Thats why instead you got rainbow trolling.

The only reason jjh was on my case was because he thought my quotes had ran out. If you just wouldve asked if my pr would last past day1 as a followup, all that nonsense wouldve been prevented. Regardless, I got run up. It is what it is. I claimed IC as an easy way out to at least be able to defend myself today. I judged that if I suddenly started talking normally I definately wouldve been the lynch.

Needless to say I do not have a literal IC role. Its similair'ish but nowhere near as definitive.

My role has three parts:
-I can visit someone at night and harass them. It will be revealed to them that I am beavis, village idiot.
-If anyone visits my house at night, they will hear the music that I am listening too (can choose a song each night).
-If I survive day1 while fullfilling my posting restriction, one of those abilities gets upgraded. Im not revealing what it is, and if any town finds out, please keep it quiet - unless I ask you otherwise.

More later

15) Lady Angel
18) Jingle
19) Nero Cain
20) Creature
21)
Spoiler: jjh927
Yo I'm deathproof and I can freeze people's votes in place

22) Aristophanes



Did I miss anyone
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Post Post #3426 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:29 am

Post by jjh927 »

In post 3424, NicoRobin wrote:
In post 3422, jjh927 wrote:
In post 3420, NicoRobin wrote:
In post 3417, jjh927 wrote:Tinfoil mechanics theory, however, says that NicoRobin's ability failed on Porkens but Porkens reflected it back and rolecopped NicoRobin, and if I am correct and Porkens received a full role PM I would like him to claim this
Said by someone who doesn't believe my results on mastina are real.
I think you're a rolecop just not a town one
Okay, I'll pretend you are town for a second.

So, if mastina is scum, you'll let her endgame you because she can provide clears?
No I'll lynch her if she either succeeds in gladiating you or refuses to try
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Post Post #3427 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:35 am

Post by NicoRobin »

In post 3426, jjh927 wrote:
In post 3424, NicoRobin wrote:
In post 3422, jjh927 wrote:
In post 3420, NicoRobin wrote:
In post 3417, jjh927 wrote:Tinfoil mechanics theory, however, says that NicoRobin's ability failed on Porkens but Porkens reflected it back and rolecopped NicoRobin, and if I am correct and Porkens received a full role PM I would like him to claim this
Said by someone who doesn't believe my results on mastina are real.
I think you're a rolecop just not a town one
Okay, I'll pretend you are town for a second.

So, if mastina is scum, you'll let her endgame you because she can provide clears?
No I'll lynch her if she either succeeds in gladiating you or refuses to try
What if she chooses to gladiate someone else?
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Post Post #3428 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:35 am

Post by Jingle »

In post 3425, jjh927 wrote:Did I miss anyone
I softed mine, but that doesn't really matter to the question. I'm going to evaluate all of those to see if my claiming something here is positive or negative utility.
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Post Post #3429 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:37 am

Post by Jingle »

In post 3427, NicoRobin wrote:What if she chooses to gladiate someone else?
We lynch her.

By both plans.

My plan is specifically that if we decide we're going to lynch her, we have her gladiate not you first because then if we're wrong and we're lynching town, we can get an additional clear. And then we lynch her, as we had previously decided.
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Post Post #3430 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:39 am

Post by Jingle »

2/3 of the potential people could still be it. Good enough.

We have a loud doc. I was targeted last night.
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Post Post #3431 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:39 am

Post by jjh927 »

SO YEAH BACK TO STRATEGY OPTIMISATION JINGLE

Since the only meaningful difference that your strat provides is that if Mastina is town, we don't lynch scum right away and instead get a conftown while saving scum the trouble of killing Mastina (which they would definitely have to do), WHY is it +EV?

We're comparing
Mislynch mastina, get a conftown, NK, scum lynch
or
Mislynch mastina, get a guilty, NK, scum lynch

to
scum lynch, Mastina gets NKed, ???

In the first condition of your strat, scum will target a conftown or obvtown anyway, meaning we net 0 conftowns.
And in the second condition where we get a guilty, it's on someone we would have agreed was the scummiest person. So, in other words, they're the most likely to get lynched anyway.

Your proposed strategy is A. Shit and B. Pro-scum if NicoRobin is scum
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Post Post #3432 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:40 am

Post by jjh927 »

In post 3430, Jingle wrote:2/3 of the potential people could still be it. Good enough.

We have a loud doc. I was targeted last night.
Funny doc choice

I can't see you getting nightkilled
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Post Post #3433 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:42 am

Post by jjh927 »

Regardless of Mastina's alignment, there are 2 conftowns that scum have to deal with at some point. Then there's me and Creature blatantly playing our town metas.
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Post Post #3434 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:43 am

Post by Jingle »

Agreed, but the knowledge that a doc exists is very useful for town to have.
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Post Post #3435 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:43 am

Post by jjh927 »

That said I did here that Creature actually played a scumgame with his town meta this one time
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Post Post #3436 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:45 am

Post by jjh927 »

In post 3434, Jingle wrote:Agreed, but the knowledge that a doc exists is very useful for town to have.
I mean, it also gives yet another reason why you as scum would want to put the game in a position where mastina could be lynched
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Post Post #3437 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:46 am

Post by jjh927 »

In post 3435, jjh927 wrote:That said I did hear that Creature actually played a scumgame with his town meta this one time
jfc what was that typo doing well I've fixed it in pedit
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Post Post #3438 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:46 am

Post by Skygazer »

btw i have an ability that may possibly at some point skip a night

but basically it's done through a choose your own adventure thing with RC with one choice per night so who knows how or when it'll happen
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Post Post #3439 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:47 am

Post by jjh927 »

There was no reason to claim that

oof
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Post Post #3440 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:52 am

Post by NicoRobin »

In post 3431, jjh927 wrote:SO YEAH BACK TO STRATEGY OPTIMISATION JINGLE

Since the only meaningful difference that your strat provides is that if Mastina is town, we don't lynch scum right away and instead get a conftown while saving scum the trouble of killing Mastina (which they would definitely have to do), WHY is it +EV?

We're comparing
Mislynch mastina, get a conftown, NK, scum lynch
or
Mislynch mastina, get a guilty, NK, scum lynch

to
scum lynch, Mastina gets NKed, ???

In the first condition of your strat, scum will target a conftown or obvtown anyway, meaning we net 0 conftowns.
And in the second condition where we get a guilty, it's on someone we would have agreed was the scummiest person. So, in other words, they're the most likely to get lynched anyway.

Your proposed strategy is A. Shit and B. Pro-scum if NicoRobin is scum
Why do all of these say 'mislynch' mastina?

Where are the scenarios where she is scum?!
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Post Post #3441 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:53 am

Post by Jingle »

In post 3384, jjh927 wrote:She'll have got the whole role PM because that's how well designed rolecops in theme games work
This is the variant, not the normal version of the role.

If NR had committed to the variant then your plan would have been better. If she would have committed to the normal version of the role without it being made into a big deal before hand, we would have had slight evidence that she was the normal version of the role. As it is, your answering for her tainted my line of questioning. Thanks. The inconsistency in which role she has from her is in face scummy, though, so I'll give you that.

Okay, next post is strategy optimazation posted from a computer and thus formatting should be easier.
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Post Post #3442 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:54 am

Post by Jingle »

NOBODY ELSE CLAIM SHIT


WE HAVE A GODDAMN LOUD DOCTOR


UNLESS YOU HAVE A GUILTY, HIDING THE FUCKING DOCTOR IS THE BEST USE OF ANY UNCLAIMED ROLE.
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Post Post #3443 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:54 am

Post by NicoRobin »

As expected, you will refuse to believe she is scum regardless of whether she refuses to gladiate me, and your scenarios prove it.

You are trying to protect her after all, meaning you are scum with her.
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Post Post #3444 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:55 am

Post by Jingle »

[color=]
NOBODY ELSE CLAIM SHIT


WE HAVE A GODDAMN LOUD DOCTOR


UNLESS YOU HAVE A GUILTY, HIDING THE FUCKING DOCTOR IS THE BEST USE OF ANY UNCLAIMED ROLE.
[/color]
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Post Post #3445 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:56 am

Post by jjh927 »

In post 3440, NicoRobin wrote:
In post 3431, jjh927 wrote:SO YEAH BACK TO STRATEGY OPTIMISATION JINGLE

Since the only meaningful difference that your strat provides is that if Mastina is town, we don't lynch scum right away and instead get a conftown while saving scum the trouble of killing Mastina (which they would definitely have to do), WHY is it +EV?

We're comparing
Mislynch mastina, get a conftown, NK, scum lynch
or
Mislynch mastina, get a guilty, NK, scum lynch

to
scum lynch, Mastina gets NKed, ???

In the first condition of your strat, scum will target a conftown or obvtown anyway, meaning we net 0 conftowns.
And in the second condition where we get a guilty, it's on someone we would have agreed was the scummiest person. So, in other words, they're the most likely to get lynched anyway.

Your proposed strategy is A. Shit and B. Pro-scum if NicoRobin is scum
Why do all of these say 'mislynch' mastina?

Where are the scenarios where she is scum?!
Adults are talking



If you could follow the conversation you would understand that I am talking about the differences between our strategies, and the scenarios where Mastina is scum are identical in our strategies
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Post Post #3446 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:58 am

Post by jjh927 »

In post 3441, Jingle wrote:
In post 3384, jjh927 wrote:She'll have got the whole role PM because that's how well designed rolecops in theme games work
This is the variant, not the normal version of the role.

If NR had committed to the variant then your plan would have been better. If she would have committed to the normal version of the role without it being made into a big deal before hand, we would have had slight evidence that she was the normal version of the role. As it is, your answering for her tainted my line of questioning. Thanks. The inconsistency in which role she has from her is in face scummy, though, so I'll give you that.

Okay, next post is strategy optimazation posted from a computer and thus formatting should be easier.
This isn't a normal game.

Well designed rolecops in theme games get the full role PM because otherwise you have to ask "What does X mean"
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Post Post #3447 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:59 am

Post by jjh927 »

Like, let's say you rolecop me and wtf is a vote paralyzer
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Post Post #3448 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 9:00 am

Post by jjh927 »

Also how is the deathproof modified

etc
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Post Post #3449 (ISO) » Sun Oct 21, 2018 9:16 am

Post by Jingle »

Okay, so this is going to be the full chain of events. I'm assuming, for the record, that NR is the normal version of rolecop because she already has a variant role and RC is part of the NRG. Not necessarily a safe assumption, but a reasonable one.



We, as a town, use FoS to decide which of NR and mastina is scummier.

If we decide we are going to lynch NR, mastina uses her gladiate on NR. If she refuses to make the bolded post she has previously, then she is scum and thus we turbo lynch her.
If she posts the bolded post she has previously and nothing happens, we lynch NR. If NR flips town, we know the guilty on mastina is real, and mastina faked a guilty on NR. We give her a chance to gladiate someone the next day in case shenanigans and she gets lynched, whether or not she chooses to do so. If NR flips scum, mastina is town. This is all common between both plans.

If we decide we are going to lynch mastina, mastina uses her gladiate on someone who is not NR. Preferably someone whose presence as a conftown is very powerful for the town. We then proceed to lynch mastina. If mastina is disloyal scum, we have an additional clear. If mastina is loyal town, we would have lynched her anyway but we get an additional clear/guilty. If mastina is not disloyal scum, we get a guilty on NR.

Note, the decision on whether mastina gladiates NR or Not NR comes after we, as a town, have chosen which of the two is scummier. A topic which I have yet to weigh in on today.

Additionally, if, like jj, you think it's impossible mastina is faking the trigger to her gladiate, then you can just vote that you think NR is scummier, because in that situation you believe that mastina will be caught anyway.

My plan is literally an insurance policy that gives us an additional clear if we decide to lynch mastina and she IS town. Further, it makes people take a stance on which one they'd like to see flip, before the gladiate, which means we have an untainted wagon to analyze.

And I'm suggesting we use FoS instead of voting to prevent the possibility of quick hammers entirely.
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