no deadlines mafia [game over]

[the worst]

Busted. I thought we hid it quite well.

[Nancy Drew 39]

I'm awake (and interrupting the Nancy page )

Unless I’m boty dead wrong about sheep and you, I think it’s Brie and probably LG, because I think hebi was obvtown. So maybe LG/Brie?

Nancy
tw
Enter
LG
Brie

[Nancy Drew 39]

Busted. I thought we hid it quite well.

Thoughts on 4272?

[the worst]

Enter
TheBrie
light_ganski
the worst
Nancy Drew 39

From my pov LG is like 70% scum Nancy, at least.
We know there's a mafia roleblocker.

Enter has claimed commuter - this could be fake but the setup is less symmetrical than we first thought and in rereading I think his claim was towny. Hebichan was really pretty towny as well from what I've seen.

TB is like super super confirmed town vig or serial killer - we've spoken about the possibility of multiball post vonflare flip and I don't think it's worth thinking about too much. xyzzy likes serial killers anyway, imo they're more likely to do groupscum + TPs vs. town than straight multiball plus a jester.

LG and I are claimed VTs which is why my instinct is telling us to lynch within us two today. I know I'm a townie. Vt is the easiest fakeclaim for the roleblocker to be in right now which means LG is very very likely to be the roleblocker.

From a straight setup spec pov your slot is the most likely to be scum, but your play has not been wolfy at all. If this is in your wolfrange I think you're endgaming here.

[Nancy Drew 39]

this feels a lot like town!dann already even from the first post alone (i did a meta dive on him in the trekkie game leaned earlier ps trekkie is still villa)

and i'd honestly expect him to have that type of w read on me with the meta information he has

Sheep clearly doesn’t have the best reads.

[the worst]

Busted. I thought we hid it quite well.

Thoughts on 4272?

singleton's push on Kokichi looks pretty clearing for Koki actually. I'm not surprised he didn't make it to 5p.

I'm not sure I can take much from him hard townreading LG's catch up - LG actually felt towny to me yesterday when she helped me with some key moments of the game tbh.

[the worst]

Sheep's reads are pretty hit and miss yeah. Sometimes he's on the mark but other times he can be easy to trick

I've hard pocketed him before on MU

[Nancy Drew 39]

Enter
TheBrie
light_ganski
the worst
Nancy Drew 39

From my pov LG is like 70% scum Nancy, at least.
We know there's a mafia roleblocker.

Enter has claimed commuter - this could be fake but the setup is less symmetrical than we first thought and in rereading I think his claim was towny. Hebichan was really pretty towny as well from what I've seen.

TB is like super super confirmed town vig or serial killer - we've spoken about the possibility of multiball post vonflare flip and I don't think it's worth thinking about too much. xyzzy likes serial killers anyway, imo they're more likely to do groupscum + TPs vs. town than straight multiball plus a jester.

LG and I are claimed VTs which is why my instinct is telling us to lynch within us two today. I know I'm a townie. Vt is the easiest fakeclaim for the roleblocker to be in right now which means LG is very very likely to be the roleblocker.

From a straight setup spec pov your slot is the most likely to be scum, but your play has not been wolfy at all. If this is in your wolfrange I think you're endgaming here.

Why would I want to lynch my strongest tr?

YOU, like no. I don’t want to be in LYLO second guessing myself.

I think LG is the best vote. Scum was always soft pushing him and Single and Purr anti-spew both point to that.

[Nancy Drew 39]

Busted. I thought we hid it quite well.

Thoughts on 4272?

singleton's push on Kokichi looks pretty clearing for Koki actually. I'm not surprised he didn't make it to 5p.

I'm not sure I can take much from him hard townreading LG's catch up - LG actually felt towny to me yesterday when she helped me with some key moments of the game tbh.

Well I had a hard townread on hebi and liked Enter’s entrance and if MD should have taught you anything, scum isn’t always terrible at looking townie.

[Nancy Drew 39]

Busted. I thought we hid it quite well.

Thoughts on 4272?

singleton's push on Kokichi looks pretty clearing for Koki actually. I'm not surprised he didn't make it to 5p.

I'm not sure I can take much from him hard townreading LG's catch up - LG actually felt towny to me yesterday when she helped me with some key moments of the game tbh.

Well I had a hard townread on hebi and liked Enter’s entrance and if MD should have taught you anything, scum isn’t always terrible at looking townie.

And like you already said, since all neighbours have flipped town vt essentially, commuter is more believable as a claim, particularly since no one was targetting Enter iirc, so he had no clear reason to fakeclaim that specifically.

[the worst]

It's kinda 70% LG 29% Enter and 1% you for the roleblocker
if LG is a townie we powetlynch Enter tomorrow and hope TB is actually a vig

[the worst]

I am a LOT more likely to be wrong on town!Hebichan than I am wrong on town!you I think. but tbh I just think I'm right on scum!LG.

[Nancy Drew 39]

Spoiler:

Hi! UNVOTE: Nancy, because that's not a good vote.

I read (skimming parts) all 100 pages of this damn game in a few hours this afternoon and took notes as I went. No idea what that did to my brain or if I'll survive the brain vomit I'm about to do. I'm gonna try to get it all out there anyways and hopefully the end product is worthwhile.

A reads list? We're doing a reads list. This will not be in order nor can I guarantee that it will display any degree of coherency. I'm gonna color reads for better readability.

Nancy Drew: Town.

The way she gives out town reads especially during D1 does not read scum. In general, she's given me the impression of being one of the more involved solvers this game just based on the way she approaches things and her presence. I've gone back through her ISO more carefully since skimming and nothing sticks out as contrived to me so I'm gonna stick with my gut town read. Additionally, I don't think scum urges Leodanny to claim like she does in post #605. In fact, I don't really think scum wants to appear that involved in that lynch.

I also just townread her based on her interactions with Flavor Leaf/Varsoon and that whole neighborhood fiasco. That whole debacle reads TvT to me actually. Neither side is scum intentionally trying to misrepresent each other, that just doesn't make sense when you consider there are other neighbors to corroborate stories and it's just too risky. No, this reads more like a communication breakdown between two town players who are upset at being lied to/misrepped when it's really just players misinterpreting things. I would be shocked if there was anything intentionally nefarious going on there.

Varsoon/Flavor Leaf: Town.

Town read Varsoon from the start. The wagon on him D1 is mostly built on BS? Which in itself not super indicative either way but I don't think his reaction to a BS wagon comes from a scum place. His cop gambit is a little dumb but again, what scum ever fucking does that? I'm not just gonna brush that off as WIFOM, it's a serious question. Ordinarily you might say he's trying to draw a counter claim, but A: Varsoon wasn't dangerously close to a lynch and didn't have to risk that, and B: we already know there might be duplicate power roles in this game so there's no guarantee an actual cop would even think it worth to CC that. There's so much risk and no reward for scum. I don't think his attitude/rage towards sheep was fake at all. Flavor just tonally reads as obv town since he came in. And his spat with Nancy Drew solidified that for me. Flavor is a player I might want to do a meta check on eventually, but for right now I'm confident enough in the read I got on Varsoon and Flavor initially that my paranoia towards this slot is fairly low.

Let's talk about

Wagonomics: Town.

I don't know if it's bad or not that I wanna town read him for his claim alone. It makes sense, right? This seems to be a highish power town game so having some negative utility in there fits. Plus, his role is just so ridiculous it's hard for me to imagine him making it up. I don't have as much specific analysis for why this slot feels town, as it's mostly gut, but his reads/votes are not opportunistic and I think display a good degree of scum hunting. #1820 is a noteworthy post that pretty much exactly echoed my thoughts at that point in the game and is basically the exact opposite of opportunistic.

TheBrie: Leaning Scum.

I have "THE BRIE IS SCUM," "DRIE IS SO SCUM," and "THE BRIE IS FUCKING SCUM" written in three separate instances on the first page of my notes. I really really hated the play from this slot during D1. And I'm still not a big fan. In general, she asks a lot of questions and says a lot of things that don't actually push the game forward. Her presence is empty, she waffles around and fence sits way too much. A lot of discrediting her own reads by calling them provisional which allows her a lot of flexibility. This being said, HOWEVER, post #2096 made me rethink this because she explicitly says waffling is just something she does, and then provides meta. I would not expect scum to defend like this and instead try to actually take some hard stances. Her recent play has also been a bit better, but it's not enough to swing my initial strong scum read I got early game.

Bleh let's get some of these slots out of the way:

Xtoxm: lean town?

His role in the Flavor/Nancy spat makes me think town largely. Now, this is dependent on my town reads there being correct, but since they're some of my most confident reads I'm fine with doing this. I don't think scum get's so involved/takes one side or another. Instead, I'd expect scum to sit on the sidelines for that more and try to get it to continue/inflate the conflict more. Scum lives off of TvT 1v1s. not much else about his ISO really sticks out. The main reason I ? this slot is because I town read the whole claimed neighborhood and I find it unlikely that all the members are town. If PartyBoat is town, this one might be scum. I could be falling into a trap assuming there can't be an all town neighborhood in this game, but with seemingly so much town power revealed already, it seems unlikely?

Kokichi: Town ig.

I gut read him as town. He's a lurker but actually pushes for things and takes stances that I read genuine. It means I believe the IC claim but regardless I'm not gonna spend a bunch of time analyzing this slot because it'll be resolved tomorrow one way or another.

Ausuka: Leaning a bit Town.

I skimmed more than I read the most recent pages, so I'm not too clear why there's a wagon on this slot. I think it's probably a mislynch. She never ever thinks the Leo wagon is a good idea, even before it gets really bad and scum can be sure it'll go through anyway. Nothing in her ISO reads scummy to me so I'm gonna need someone to spell out the case on her. I'd would agree with the narrative that two mislynches are being setup today for town to choose between. However, I don't like post #2354 from Ausuka. It feeds into the BS narrative that we HAVE to lynch either my slot or Ausuka today which... I feel is being pushed by scum (more on that later). This is no deadlines mafia, having "no reason to town read someone" is not the best excuse to lynch someone. This would make more sense in a game with deadlines. However, I'm willing to give it a pass because of the heavy narrative being pressed that we NEED a lynch soon and that the game is stalling out. This could very well be a town survival instinct because of that.

Vaxkiller: Probably Scum.

His push on Varsoon is bad. His push on Gamma is bad. His push on sheep is bad. His push on ausuka is bad. Everything about his play is opportunistic and weak. He has tons of short posts that are effectively fluff and seems to have been able to just blend in until recently. I just have no good things to say about this slot and I'd be fine lynching here today. However, there is another slot I want to lynch more and there's still the off chance Vax is just really bad town.

Let's do the last neighbor:

PartyBoat: Mixed.

Bleh. I gut read this slot initially and I liked how he behaved around the Leodanny lynch. He really pushed for Leodanny to give reads and tried to give him a lifeline so Leo wouldn't just keep trolling and get killed. Obviously it didn't work out, but his attempts read genuine. However, I dislike the way he tunnels Varsoon/Flavor and then seemingly only backs off when Flavor replaces in and won't be an easy lynch, despite the fact that PartyBoat is clearly still suspicious. His pocketing of Sheepsaysmeep esp during the Varsoon vs. Sheep spatfest was also yucky. I HATE the whole narrative that Varsoon is obv scum or that there was gonna be a huge wagon but there was last second resistance. That narrative is purported by Sheep and PartyBoat mainly and that seems very gamestate controlly/manipulative. Because it's not true and I don't think the Varsoon slot was ever in any real danger of being lynched. I also very much think Sheep is scum so these two could be buddies, but maybe the buddying is too obvious then. Regardless, lots of conflicting thoughts on this slot.

Sheepsaysmeep: Scum.

This is where I'd like to lynch. He is one of the few players I've actually had experience with before and I scum read him basically as soon as I entered the game. I could say a lot about this slot. If he's town in this game, then his town game is exactly the same as his scum game. His whole wavery, BSing playstyle can be seen pretty clearly towards the end of D1, though it's evident throughout.

VOTE: leo


meh

UNVOTE:

yeah im super lost on that slot rn

VOTE: varsoon

meh

VOTE: leo

i guess

This REEKS of scum trying to make themselves look better in wake of the Leo flip. It's one of the most noncommittal things that's happened in the game and there are a couple waffley players. It's just not genuine whatsoever. Furthermore, while I thought Flavor vs. Nancy was TvT, the same vibes do not arise from Sheep v. Varsoon/Flavor. I would expect town!sheep to reconsider or back down slightly at some point during all of that drama but he KEEPS TUNNELING. Which is not at all in accordance to his waffely play elsewhere so you can't just say that's a play style. I'm trying not to be biased by my prior experience with this player but I can't stop seeing the similarities between his game here and his scum game.

The most offending factor is the narrative that this day must end soon. It's bullshit. Yes, obviously we need a lynch eventually and we don't want the game to stall out. But we JUST got a bunch of replacements, from the vibes I'm getting the game is in a much better place discussion wise now than it ever was D1 or fake cop claim drama earlier today. This pushed narrative also coincides with sheep's activity dropping significantly, basically once he realizes his continued tunnel on Varsoon/Flavor is just going to make him look suspicious.

we're lynching someone within 24 hours and i give 0 fucks about who that is at this point

Even now he continues to pull this shit. There is not a fucking deadline, only a self imposed deadline primarily driven by sheep's fake frustration. I don't believe for a second his "demotivation" to play this game after the Leodanny flip when he CLEARLY wasn't all that enthused about the lynch in the first place (according to the quoted posts above). Or was that just fake to make himself look better, hmmmmm. The "0 fucks about who we lynch" is not a town mindset in a no deadline game. Lynching either my slot or Ausuka's gives relatively little information about the state of the game, similar to how Leodanny's lynch wasn't super helpful because he was just easy mislynch bait. Sheep isn't trying to make the game better he's just pushing this narrative of needing a lynch soon but lowkey calling them all bad lynches so that when they flip town he can have town cred.

Before I forget: VOTE: Sheepsaysmeep

I should talk about other players before I run out of juice for tonight.

Purrcocet: Null?

This player has actually made no impression on me and I apparently have nothing in my notes about them. Which, ironically, has made an impression on me. That's not a great sign for a game with 100 pages already. I have at least vague feelings or brief mentions in my notes on almost every other player but this one. Bleh. Nancy says they're a fruit vendor? I'm not familiar with the role, that's not a strict town or scum thing yea? My reads seem to line up with this slots fairly well so that makes me wanna give it town points. I'll do a more thorough ISO later and see if I can get a better feeling for this slot. Nothing jumps out at me as particularly bad, but that's not really a town tell.

Mastina: Leaning scum.

My notes have Theta marked as scum before the replacement. I didn't like the fencesitty play and I don't really think the PR claim clears that up because it could just as easily be a scum JK. Though, while that setup makes more sense in my head I'm unsure scum would actually CC. I dislike Mastina's entrance to the game, her VCA looks like a lot of productive townie stuff but does effectively nothing. I also dislike her call out of today's wagons being mislynches but still being on my wagon?? The observation is good but the actions don't line up. Regardless, this is a claimed PR and will probably be resolved eventually? I don't imagine scum wants to leave a JK alive.

It's getting late here and I have to get up early tomorrow (already surviving on 5 hrs of sleep) so I think I'll have to stop and pick up tomorrow morning.

Ooh, Gamma is town I think, I can talk about that tomorrow. The rest of the players I have mainly gut reads on right now, and it'll take some more time to organize my thoughts on them (should look at purr more too), but for now here's a rough ranking from towniest to scummiest:

Enter/Hebichan
vonflare
jingle/edosurist (is a scum triple voter likely?)
wisdom
singletonking
trekkie
light_ganski

^^ I'll tackle these players and Gamma tomorrow, hopefully I was mostly coherent, ask if you need clarification

Lemme know if I've missed anything or if there's anything i should know, srry for wall, but I'd rather do this to catch up on a 100 page game than spam post 80 times

Let's lynch Sheep! goodnight

Brie is either SK or town. No way is she groupscum.

@tw, how do you account for scum being so collectively obsessed with your slot?

[Nancy Drew 39]

I am a LOT more likely to be wrong on town!Hebichan than I am wrong on town!you I think. but tbh I just think I'm right on scum!LG.

It's kinda 70% LG 29% Enter and 1% you for the roleblocker
if LG is a townie we powetlynch Enter tomorrow and hope TB is actually a vig

Let’s hope it doesn’t come down to that.

[the worst]

I'm not really sure why scum are interested in my slot - ngl I didn't notice it when I was rereading the flipped scum ISOs

Were Porkens and sheepy lynchable? they're both lynchbaity players sometimes

[Nancy Drew 39]

I am a LOT more likely to be wrong on town!Hebichan than I am wrong on town!you I think. but tbh I just think I'm right on scum!LG.

I honestly haven’t been a huge fan of him tonally and I trust my hebi tr, so I agree. I think at least one scum on Dann wagon.

VOTE: Light Ganski

[the worst]

LG is a lady but, otherwise agreed completely.
VOTE: light_ganski

[Nancy Drew 39]

I'm not really sure why scum are interested in my slot - ngl I didn't notice it when I was rereading the flipped scum ISOs

Were Porkens and sheepy lynchable? they're both lynchbaity players sometimes

Well he deathtunnelled town!Varsoon but Purr was hellbent on lynching him. I kept giving all of these reasons why sheep was obvtown here and Purt just kept ignoring all of them.

[Nancy Drew 39]

LG is a lady but, otherwise agreed completely.
VOTE: light_ganski

Okay sorry.

[the worst]

Purrc probably gave up when he saw me replace in and obvtown I guess. He likely set up his deepwolf as much as he could by going into antispew mode but I think I killed his WIM.

[Enter]

VOTE: LG

[the worst]

Yeah Enter is town too. I feel fine about this flip.

[Enter]

VOTE: light ganski not sure if that last one counted

[the worst]

TB you should probably hold your shot tonight. Trust me on this one.

[Nancy Drew 39]

Purrc probably gave up when he saw me replace in and obvtown I guess. He likely set up his deepwolf as much as he could by going into antispew mode but I think I killed his WIM.

Nah, he already gave up after Wisdom outted him. But I’m sure it helped.