Mini Normal 2058 (Endgame)


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Post Post #1075 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:39 am

Post by DrDolittle »

In post 1072, RadiantCowbells wrote:If Shoshin is town she will force scum to nightkill her before endgame

We never Lynch her D1 ever
This is proveably false from the games I linked

https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=53&t=76303 [lynched]
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=53&t=77661 [endgamed]
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Post Post #1076 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:40 am

Post by YellowSnow »

Should we base our actions regarding Shoshin being town if the odds of her being town aren't high?
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Post Post #1077 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:40 am

Post by Creature »

In post 992, Morality wrote:I’m being pocketed by Creature. :facepalm:
Yes, you are. Look at the bright side, you'll have fun.
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Post Post #1078 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:40 am

Post by Creature »

In post 993, Morality wrote:If Creature’s scum then he’s probably been throwing a scummate under the bus. Probably Shoshin
Wanna help me bus Shoshin?
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Post Post #1079 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:41 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

Jesus fucking christ vote Shoshin some other day
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #1080 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:41 am

Post by Creature »

In post 995, Yachting n Socializing wrote:Creature busses frequently as scum iirc, but I think this is town Creature.
I went full antibussing last scumgame (off-site).

Heh, I do what best suits me.
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Post Post #1081 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:41 am

Post by Creature »

In post 997, YellowSnow wrote:What is COA and Soshin's scum meta?
Lurk lurk lurk
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Post Post #1082 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:41 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

Creature if you're town just stop

I'll vote Tarkus with you
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #1083 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:41 am

Post by YellowSnow »

Nah. Townblock 4ever!

VOTE: Shoshin
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Post Post #1084 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:42 am

Post by DrDolittle »

In post 1074, Yachting n Socializing wrote:
In post 930, Yachting n Socializing wrote:
In post 928, DrDolittle wrote:i meta'd shoshin's normals briefly, and her play is pretty curt compared to previous (both scum and town), which might indicate a lack of time these days. I didn't find anything particularly salient, other than town-shoshin is more likely to follow up with unanswered q's (sample size 2), and scum-shoshin is more interested in trivialities (sample size 1). Given this, I think I more scum lean shoshin this game due to meta?
Perhaps, but it isnt where we are lynching today.

Radiant should be nicer about that too though. I have seen much worse ICs than Aura is playing, depending how flips go of course. At least hes actually following along and not apathetic due to the shit role IC is.
@DDL
yeah but I'm down with morality's reaction test, not on shoshin, but on certain 3rd parties
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Post Post #1085 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:42 am

Post by Creature »

In post 1001, Aurathebirb wrote:His first post has already been pointed out as scummy, don't think I need to elaborate much there.
If he's used to be mislynched, I can easily see him making that post.
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Post Post #1086 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:43 am

Post by Shoshin »

This is where I'm at on this game. Aura, Vorkuta, Enigma, Radiant, and COA are my strongest townreads. I won't consider lynching here unless everyone else is dead. And I think there's reasons to scumread every other player in the game.

I'm trusting Radiant that Boats/Snow is town, at least for today. I was scumreading Boats because his analysis is so mechanical, almost reminds me of someone like Mathblade, but I'm willing to let that go for the moment. I had Snow as strong town earlier but after reading through one of his scum games I don't feel comfortable with that read anymore. I think the way he quickly changed course on his reads was opportunistic in precisely the same ways he was opportunistic as scum, plus I think his forgetfulness about Aura isn't as towny as I thought on first impression.

I have Tarkus as null. He feels less scummy than his play in one of his scum games, but I need to check his town games because he's still lurking here in ways that resemble scum.

Vedith is playing like trollish scum. I have nothing to say on this because despite scumreading his slot, I've been told his is just how he plays by Radiant. So, again, I'm willing to leave this slow alone for today.

I scumread Morality from the start of the game. I thought he was trying too hard in the early parts of the game, cluttering the game with tons of pointless posts, and he hasn't actually made any attempt to scumhunt. His recent posts trying to cast me as scum aren't great either, especially since he seems to be doing the typical scum thing of ignoring large aspects of what I'm doing so that he can make me look scummy. Radiant agrees with this read, so Morality is up for lynching as far as I'm concerned.

roomy gave me strong vibes. I thought the fact that he replaced out after just a small amount of bickering from two players felt fake, especially since it didn't even involve him. DDL's play has been shit. His meta on me is crap. His attempt to scumread both me and Enigma is based entirely on dumb details that have nothing to do with alignment (e.g. his notion that haven't been following up on things when I'm actually following up on everthing, just not necessarily shitting the thread up with all my thoughts). I think he's scumreading me and Enigma based on associative tells rather than actual scumhunting (e.g. me and Enigma are townreading each other, so it seems like we're a team, even though there's actaully really good reasons for each of us to be townreadig each other).

Creature lurked out the first parts of the game, then entered the game posting lots of crap, superficial and shitty scumread on me that he should know better than to hold, especially after Starcraft Mafia, so who knows? I don't feel like he's been making a fair attempt at trying to read me, at least in the ways he usually will do. I also think Creature usually makes more of an attempt to fairly read lower post count players like myself, so the fact that he isn't doing that here is very concerning. He's probably scum.

If I had to guess a scumteam, I'd guess Creature, DDL, Morality (coincidence that they're all scumreading me?), and if those are wrong, it's Vedith with maybe Boats/Snow/Tarkus.
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Post Post #1087 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:43 am

Post by Creature »

In post 1001, Aurathebirb wrote:In particular I don't see this response to being pushed so quickly out of the gate coming from town.
In particular I don't see exaggerated responses to being pushed to be any alignment indicative as players can overreact to pressure regardless of alignment.
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Post Post #1088 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:43 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

This is the scummiest wagon build up I have ever seen
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #1089 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:44 am

Post by Creature »

In post 1001, Aurathebirb wrote:Slight pause on this, doesn't seem like a scum post but still overall a net negative read.
I see it as town post, but whatever.
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Post Post #1090 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:44 am

Post by Creature »

In post 1001, Aurathebirb wrote:Don't like the inclusion of the middle sentence.
Yeh, it's ??? but dunno if it indicates anything.
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Post Post #1091 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:45 am

Post by DrDolittle »

you say, hey drdo bring me some objective evidence. i bring you objective evidence. now you say this objective evidence is crap. at least give some reasoning behind why its crap
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Post Post #1092 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:45 am

Post by Creature »

In post 1003, YellowSnow wrote:It seems to me you're just looking for reasons to scumread me. Why wouldn't I want to learn from my mistakes? The alternative is not learning from my mistakes.
I don't understood what you meant. It lacks cohesion with the rest of the post. Why did you feel the need to include that there?
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Post Post #1093 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:45 am

Post by YellowSnow »

Did Shoshin just list 7 of 13 players as scum?
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Post Post #1094 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:46 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1052, DrDolittle wrote:
In post 1037, Shoshin wrote:
In post 928, DrDolittle wrote:i meta'd shoshin's normals briefly, and her play is pretty curt compared to previous (both scum and town), which might indicate a lack of time these days. I didn't find anything particularly salient, other than town-shoshin is more likely to follow up with unanswered q's (sample size 2), and scum-shoshin is more interested in trivialities (sample size 1). Given this, I think I more scum lean shoshin this game due to meta?
The idea that I'm "more likely to follow up with unanswered q's" is provably false. Please provide specific game examples where I followed up on more unanswered questions as town than as scum.
As I argued clearly, I meta'd 3 games in mini normals:
2042 - town shoshin https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.p ... er_sort=Go
2012 - town shoshin https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.p ... er_sort=Go
2010 - scum shoshin https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.p ... er_sort=Go

in the town games, if you search response/respond, there's a lot of hits, and a brief glance indicating shoshin cares about people's responses to her questions and how they react to comments. In the scum-game I link, there is no hits to response/respond. You guys can verify yourself if you want...

I also don't really see the incentive to lie here? Of course sample size is small, so variance could play a role
You haven't shown me any examples of UNANSWERED questions that I DID NOT FOLLOW UP ON AS SCUM. Please prove that there was a MEANINGFUL difference between my TOWN/SCUM games, which is what you claimed earlier.
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Post Post #1095 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:46 am

Post by Creature »

In post 1005, Yachting n Socializing wrote:Dont ask stupid questions.
Why not?
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Post Post #1096 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:46 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

She called 8 people locktown or town for today

That's 5 leftovers with stronger feels on 3

That's perfectly reasonable
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #1097 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:47 am

Post by Creature »

In post 1008, RadiantCowbells wrote:My ability to aid town wincon from a position of being heavily scumread is negligible.
Well, that explains your shitty scumread on me.
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Post Post #1098 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:47 am

Post by YellowSnow »

That seems pretty fency to me.
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Post Post #1099 (ISO) » Fri Feb 22, 2019 10:47 am

Post by Creature »

In post 1014, RadiantCowbells wrote:Town creature doesn't try to appear town.
MU users disagree.
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