Open 753: Nomination Mafia [Game Over!]
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- Irrelephant11
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But like I’m not even asking you about this game in the particular way you are viewing it. I’m asking you to assume for a second that she has successfully narrowed scum down to 3/4 players. In that scenario, would you rather have her lynched or myself, who has spent most of my time sheeping her without even knowing her alignment?
The question isn’t shit if I have a reason to ask, thanks- Irrelephant11
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Irrelephant11 HeJack of All Trades
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Also this is generally NAI playstyle from ShoshinIn post 1844, scum reading wrote:Meanwhile, scrolling through Shoshin’s ISO and all I can see is half of her iso being “what do you think about this, RC?” followed by naked votes without explanations
Though I’d like to see her go a little deeper than she has been lately- DoubtingThomas
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You asked her if I still disliked her player. I said yes.In post 1850, Irrelephant11 wrote:But like I’m not even asking you about this game in the particular way you are viewing it. I’m asking you to assume for a second that she has successfully narrowed scum down to 3/4 players. In that scenario, would you rather have her lynched or myself, who has spent most of my time sheeping her without even knowing her alignment?
The question isn’t shit if I have a reason to ask, thanks
If I know for sure she is town and all you are doing is sheeping her, sure we should lynch you over shoshin mechanically.
The reality is she is probably scum here and I need to get her lynched.
The question is shit because it's giving a hypothetical situation that doesn't really apply to the reality.- Shoshin
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Of course I would play differently if I have a mechanical information that changes the situation. There's no point in asking such questions, because the reality isn't that.
You are asking a question like, "Will you kill a dog?" My answer would be no. Then you change up the scenario to be like, "A dog has gone mad and is about to kill your daughter. Will you kill that dog?"
The answer changes. Why did you ask this question- Shoshin
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This is untrue.In post 1846, scum reading wrote:She’s not scum hunting at all, she’s just relying on RC’s reads and go from there, so I don’t see that scum hunting case you brought up, Auro- DoubtingThomas
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Don't talk about oog informationIn post 1853, Shoshin wrote:If DT's town, he's letting a personal grudge get in the way of this game.- DoubtingThomas
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Yeah, I would like that as well, except she doesn’t do that. I don’t think a Volxen lynch is the greatest one. I would like some reads from shoshin and her view on the situationIn post 1851, Irrelephant11 wrote:
Also this is generally NAI playstyle from ShoshinIn post 1844, scum reading wrote:Meanwhile, scrolling through Shoshin’s ISO and all I can see is half of her iso being “what do you think about this, RC?” followed by naked votes without explanations
Though I’d like to see her go a little deeper than she has been lately- Shoshin
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scum reading Goon
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Not downplaying, it’s just that I’m not used to your kind of play style. I don’t know how you play and that is making me doubt myself. I’d like if you gave a full reads list, because most of your posts are questions and you aren’t explaining your thought process after you’ve asked those questions, so I’m paying more attention to you right now.I’d like more transparency coming from youIn post 1859, Shoshin wrote:SR, your perception of my posting is wrong. Why are you downplaying my contributions to the game?- DoubtingThomas
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Still waiting how SR is locktown or if the definition of locktown changed
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scum reading Goon
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I am used to townies picking on a person at a time, instead, you are focused way too much to scum hunt from a larger pool. I would narrow it down to a few people and scum hunt from there, but first day you accused Wazoo, Fus, me, DT, Clemency, even RC for a bit, Irrelephant but you didn’t really push someone with full conviction. From my experiences, townies tend to tunnel someone and try to scum hunt them, but you are the exact opposite. I come from a place of doubt since I wasn’t exposed to this kind of play style, but I’m willing to change my mind if you give me reasons to do so. I’d like Volxen to give his opinion on your slot as well, I am townreading him the most at the moment.- Irrelephant11
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But it does applyIn post 1852, DoubtingThomas wrote:
You asked her if I still disliked her player. I said yes.In post 1850, Irrelephant11 wrote:But like I’m not even asking you about this game in the particular way you are viewing it. I’m asking you to assume for a second that she has successfully narrowed scum down to 3/4 players. In that scenario, would you rather have her lynched or myself, who has spent most of my time sheeping her without even knowing her alignment?
The question isn’t shit if I have a reason to ask, thanks
If I know for sure she is town and all you are doing is sheeping her, sure we should lynch you over shoshin mechanically.
The reality is she is probably scum here and I need to get her lynched.
The question is shit because it's giving a hypothetical situation that doesn't really apply to the reality.
I’m not asking “what if Shoshin were scumreading different players” or something
I’m saying that you’re objectively wrong about her being a bad town player if her reads are entirely right, regardless of whether or not she’s playing in a way that makes you like her and want to vote with her
If her reads are wrong, yeah she’s either bad town or scum.
Please do point out which 2-3 of vedith/clennis(?)/Fuscosco are town, so I can read Shoshin the way you are- Shoshin
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I've made my reads & reasoning clear from the start. Look at all the scumhunting from D1:In post 1860, scum reading wrote:
Not downplaying, it’s just that I’m not used to your kind of play style. I don’t know how you play and that is making me doubt myself. I’d like if you gave a full reads list, because most of your posts are questions and you aren’t explaining your thought process after you’ve asked those questions, so I’m paying more attention to you right now.I’d like more transparency coming from youIn post 1859, Shoshin wrote:SR, your perception of my posting is wrong. Why are you downplaying my contributions to the game?
Spoiler:
And if you look at D2, I've already said that the scum are likely within the group of DT, Clemency, Vedith, and Fusco. In other words, the same reads I've had since D1.
And now, compare my posts with Volx or Irrel. You'll find as much or more content in my posting than theirs. They might use more words but that reflects on their wordiness, not the actual content.- Shoshin
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Shoshin Jack of All Trades
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This is my most recently completed town game:In post 1863, scum reading wrote:I am used to townies picking on a person at a time, instead, you are focused way too much to scum hunt from a larger pool. I would narrow it down to a few people and scum hunt from there, but first day you accused Wazoo, Fus, me, DT, Clemency, even RC for a bit, Irrelephant but you didn’t really push someone with full conviction. From my experiences, townies tend to tunnel someone and try to scum hunt them, but you are the exact opposite. I come from a place of doubt since I wasn’t exposed to this kind of play style, but I’m willing to change my mind if you give me reasons to do so. I’d like Volxen to give his opinion on your slot as well, I am townreading him the most at the moment.
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=84&t=78267
You'll see notice the exact same approach in that game as the approach I've taken in this game. I don't need to find all the scum as long as I find enough townies to win the game.- scum reading
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A town case:
1. Meta
As a matter of comparison, here's my my most recent scum game (https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=77970). It doesn't take a lot to see the differences there.
My priority as scum was to manipulate the most influential townies in the game (e.g. Irrel, the worst, Nauci, etc.) into townreading me. I did this by actively townreading them as quickly as possible, questioning them for not townreading me, and exclusively attacking players who questioned my towniness. I normalized my towniness as quickly as possible so that I eventually became the most townread player in the game. I was unlynchable at all points of that game.
In short, I behaved in ways that I predicted would get me townread. I never alienated anyone. I didn't take risks. I didn't use WIFOM. I played a simple game of manipulation.
In this game, I didn't try manipulating the most influential players into townreading me. On the contrary, I spent the early parts of this game trying to sort the strongest scum players: Irrel, Auro, & RC. Rather than manipulate these players into townreading me, I relentlessly tested their reactions while trying to sort. I knew this wouldn't help me get townread but I thought sorting these players ASAP was more important than having them townread me, at least in the short term.
a. Irrel
I voted Irrel for reasons that I knew would alienate a number of players, especially the bit about how he prefers scum. I was testing reactions so that I could sort Irrel as well as others around him.
Irrel knows that I know he prefers scum, so I knew Irrel would understand why I was voting him, at least to some extent. I predicted that town Irrel wouldn't let paranoia fester about me -- he's clear up my vote for those who didn't understand -- whereas scum Irrel would let the paranoia fester to potentially set up my mislynch.
This is how I sort Irrel in most of my games (e.g. is he allowing paranoia to fester when he could easily clear it up based on his meta knowledge?). And I can point to previous town games where I've townread Irrel based on the way he prevents paranoia from festering, so if you need further meta evidence that this is how I approach sorting Irrelephant (with 100% accuracy so far over multiple games), that can be provided as well.
As scum, I never approach the game by testing reactions because it's too risky. There's no reason for me to unnecessarily attract suspicion of others (including Irrel), or to create a situation where paranoia about me could arise in the first place, when I easily could have easily manipulated Irrel into townreading without attracting any suspicion or doing any actual scumhunting.
If I were scum, it would have been very easy for me to say nothing about Irrel's alignment, or to townread him. The fact I didn't do those things is strongly town indicative for me.
b. Auro
I slightly ignored Auro's questioning at the start of this game to test his reactions. He doesn't know me so I expected to receive flak from him. I also knew his questions would eventually be cleared up without any problem, and I believed town Auro would quickly reevaluate my alignment if he were to scumread me at first.
As a result of my test, Auro engaged a strong line of questioning on me that was one of the towniest things in the game. His push was especially towny because he felt so unconcerned about addressing my concerns about him & almost exclusively focused on trying to understand my thought process. His lack of self-concern in that push is part of why I'm locktown on Auro.
I don't engage this sort of subtle testing as scum because it unnecessarily attracts suspicion without any upside. Auro didn't leave that conversation townreading. On the contrary, he left it with lots of paranoia about my slot, paranoia that I let sit for the moment because again I wasn't worried about my appearance. The upside of my initial play around Auro is that I was able to townread one of the strongest scum players in the game.
This is something I exclusively do as town, not as scum. I never alienate a player like Auro as scum, especially when I predict that Auro would push me in precisely the way he did. My goal as scum isn't to be pushed because, again, I don't take risks as scum. I do things that have predictable responses (from my perspective), and those predicted responses are myself being townread.
c. RC
This is the biggest one. I never vote or push RC in any manner on D1 if I'm scum, straight-up never. I keep calling him town until LYLO. This is the biggest town tell for me, although you probably won't understand it if you don't know our history.
If I were scum, I relentlessly defend RC throughout the game because doing so causes RC to keep me alive. RC struggles with surviving, so if there's someone keeping him alive, he'll keep that person alive even if the player might be scum. And, in my case, it's especially the case because RC really really doesn't want to mislynch me. He'd feel too bad about it. As long as I defend RC, RC never pushes my lynch unless he's absolutely certain I'm scum, meaning he keeps me alive until LYLO.
As far as I'm concerned, my win condition as scum against RC is bringing him to LYLO and then mislynching him with the argument that he's godtier scum who got inside my head. I don't see myself losing in this circumstance with this player list, especially given Irrel's paranoia of scum RC. Plus, I think Irrel would prefer losing to scum me over scum RC. This would be much easier than trying to fake genuine attempts to actually sort RC, which as you've seen in this game, don't necessarily cause RC to townread me.
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There's another massive difference between my play here and my play as scum: the way I interacted with Wazoo.
As scum, I don't keep interacting with a known mislynch, continuously trying to sort them. Look at how I interact with the mislynches in Starcraft. I occasionally made cases and then ignored the lynches until they died. I didn't show any genuine interest in their thought process, nor did I give them any chances to prove to me they were town.
But in this game, I kept trying to give Wazoo a chance. I read through his games (something I'm very unlikely to do as scum), kept trying to understand his reasoning, rereading this game to see if what he was saying made any sense. I never do this unnecessary stuff as scum, especially since I'd be worried that the more I interacted with Wazoo, the more I'd betray my informed perspective about his alignment.
3. Nominations
If I were scum in this game, I never nominate myself.
For starters, RC replaced out of the game calling me scum, so if I were actually scum, I would have been scared shitless that the townies would sheep him. I'd especially be worried about it because of how much flak I received on D1 from multiple players:
DT votes me regardless of what happens.
Fusco votes me because I called him scum.
SR votes me because I called explanations scummy and because he's misreading me based on stylistic differences (as well just mistaking wordiness for content when that's not the case).
Irrel votes me because he sheeps obvtown RC.
Auro votes me because I potentially alienated him yesterday.
Clemency votes me because he's a troll who maybe sheeps RC.
RC's replacement votes me because he's sheeping RC.
You get the point. If I'm scum, why would I take this risk? What's the upside? Do I suddenly become confirmed if I survive the nomination phase? No, there's no upside. I never take this risk as scum.
That said, even if I were to nominate myself as scum, I do so only with players who I reasonably could survive against. In other words, I'm not putting myself against Irrel/Volx. That's like flipping a coin. It's suicide as scum, something I'd never do.
Who do I take with me if I'm scum? I take the townie from the group of DT, Clemency, Fusco, Vedith. I might take SR. I might take one of Irrel/Volx but not both. I create an environment where my chances of survival are better than just flipping a coin.
Again, I don't play a WIFOM game as scum. And my scum meta bears that out. I win games as scum by taking minimal risks while manipulating players into townreading me with strong day play. If I'm scum in this game, I never nominate myself. It's an extraordinary risk with no reward.- Irrelephant11
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Man it’s such a weird feeling how well you can predict things about me
Like I’ve never even thought twice about which of you/RC I’d rather lose to as scum but without you saying something about it you’re probably right that’s how that would go
Anyway Shoshin’s town
Sorry I paranoia’d you for so long - Irrelephant11
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