Micro 857: Burden of Proficiency Mafia


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Post Post #100 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 12:40 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

Calling me reasonable seems like something you say about someone (me) who is scum, not town.
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #101 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 12:40 pm

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Just because I've said you sound reasonable as scum doesn't mean you don't say reasonable things as town? Nor does it mean I'm discrediting the actual reasonable thing you said.
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Post Post #102 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 12:41 pm

Post by Shoshin »

I actually agreed with your point and didn't want you to be the lynch even if you are scum.
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Post Post #103 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 12:42 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

ok. i took it differently in the context of you calling me scum in the other posts.
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Post Post #104 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 12:44 pm

Post by Aubrey »

Hot damn. 5 pages in already. Hi u2! Hi shoshin!
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Post Post #105 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 12:45 pm

Post by u r a person 2 »

In post 97, Enter wrote:
In post 93, u r a person 2 wrote:
In post 90, Enter wrote:
In post 88, u r a person 2 wrote:but think it's not very likely this is SvS
Talk about this.
There's not much to talk about. RC is still going at shoshin hard even without the vote, and my initial reaction is that it probably isn't SvS.
What reason does he have to stop going at her hard until someone else comes in the thread? You haven't given good reason for him to shift to you, and it would be really awkward for them to both agree to invite each other and then shut up.
I think that maybe what you're missing is the meaning I place on language regarding probability. It may seem like I'm being purposefully vague, but when I use terms like "highly likely" or "probably" you can actually read into them my confidence levels.

probably, coming from me, means "more often than not" or "at least 51% of tine time" and as such implies a large percentage chance that the opposite is true. It's meaningful in so much that a single data point is meaningful to an overall regression.

My initial reaction is that it's probably not SvS. There were countless ways scum shoshin and rc could have entered this thread, and I think this option gets chosen less often than not. Additionally, I think being paranoid of one another, or using the other to generate discussion resulting in an exchange like this is likely from tvt and, to a lesser extent, svt. But by no means is this read (of them not being svs) something I would bet the game over on its own.
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Post Post #106 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 12:45 pm

Post by u r a person 2 »

In post 104, Aubrey wrote:Hot damn. 5 pages in already. Hi u2! Hi shoshin!
yoooooo
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Post Post #107 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 12:45 pm

Post by u r a person 2 »

In post 106, u r a person 2 wrote:
In post 104, Aubrey wrote:Hot damn. 5 pages in already. Hi u2! Hi shoshin!
yoooooo
I like you more when you can't be scum ;P
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Post Post #108 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 12:46 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

so if you think that we're tvt, do you think that we're all town?
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #109 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 12:48 pm

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In post 105, u r a person 2 wrote:probably, coming from me, means "more often than not" or "at least 51% of tine time" and as such implies a large percentage chance that the opposite is true. It's meaningful in so much that a single data point is meaningful to an overall regression.
oh i guess i actually said "not very likely"

which, coming from me means like not more than a 75%ish chance of something being the case. I'd amend this to "probably not SvS" rather than "not very likely"
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Post Post #110 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 12:49 pm

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In post 108, RadiantCowbells wrote:so if you think that we're tvt, do you think that we're all town?
I see no reason why this can't be the case
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Post Post #111 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 1:05 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

i understand that if you're town this is probably really stressful so sorry for that shoshin. i was already super on edge and when you started calling me scum I just saw red.
let's at least try to see if we can agree on who the hypothetical second scum is.
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #112 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 1:14 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

oh and EE? don't talk shit about my town game.
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Post Post #113 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 1:18 pm

Post by Enter »

In post 112, RadiantCowbells wrote:oh and EE? don't talk shit about my town game.
Play a good town game instead of spending more time talking yourself up than actually playing and there won't be any problems.
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Post Post #114 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 1:20 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

:?:
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Post Post #115 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 1:21 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

you don't even know any of my recent town games lol. if you've decided that my town performance hasn't been good without reading them then good for you!
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Post Post #116 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 1:26 pm

Post by Enter »

Naw. I don't think your town game is bad. I don't know that your reads are bad. I know you have a tendency to lose your sense of self and get far more paranoid than you should be and you spend more time in your own head than you do in the game now. You play like you're so scared to be wrong you won't let yourself be right. I want you out of your head playing the darn game. I don't want a repeat of marathon, and that's where it looks like this is heading. There's nothing personal here, I respect you as a person and a player, I just also want you playing your best, and the paranoia kills me. So does the relentless talking yourself up.
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Post Post #117 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 1:27 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

I wouldn't be so scared to be wrong if people didn't policy lynch me whenever I was wrong.
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Post Post #118 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 1:28 pm

Post by u r a person 2 »

does shoshin have a history of trying to policy lynch you?

I know that I do not.

Let down your hair, RC. This is a safe space. ;P
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Post Post #119 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 1:30 pm

Post by Shoshin »

I would never policy lynch RC.
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Post Post #120 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 1:31 pm

Post by Enter »

In post 117, RadiantCowbells wrote:I wouldn't be so scared to be wrong if people didn't policy lynch me whenever I was wrong.
That's fair. Just saying relax.
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Post Post #121 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 1:31 pm

Post by u r a person 2 »

okay cool so we now know that at no point is a majority of this game going to policy lynch RC.

good talk
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Post Post #122 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 1:35 pm

Post by Shoshin »

RC's town so we're not lynching him, period.
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Post Post #123 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 1:39 pm

Post by Jingle »

Vote Count 3


Shoshin (0):
RadiantCowbells (0):
u r a person 2 (0):
Michael Scott (0):
Saudade (0):

Not Voting: u r a person 2, Michael Scott, Shoshin, Saudade, RadiantCowbells

Weightless votes:

Aubrey:
Enter: RadiantCowbells
Singletonking:

With 5 alive, it is 3 to lynch!

Deadline is: (expired on 2019-03-20 16:00:00).


Jingle Note: I will not be locking this thread. You may continue to discuss here during the guess phase, although town has no reason to do so.
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Post Post #124 (ISO) » Wed Mar 13, 2019 1:41 pm

Post by RadiantCowbells »

what changed your mind on me?
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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