Micro 857: Burden of Proficiency Mafia
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- RadiantCowbells
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RadiantCowbells Smooth Criminal
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- RadiantCowbells
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RadiantCowbells Smooth Criminal
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- u r a person 2
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I think that maybe what you're missing is the meaning I place on language regarding probability. It may seem like I'm being purposefully vague, but when I use terms like "highly likely" or "probably" you can actually read into them my confidence levels.In post 97, Enter wrote:
What reason does he have to stop going at her hard until someone else comes in the thread? You haven't given good reason for him to shift to you, and it would be really awkward for them to both agree to invite each other and then shut up.In post 93, u r a person 2 wrote:
There's not much to talk about. RC is still going at shoshin hard even without the vote, and my initial reaction is that it probably isn't SvS.In post 90, Enter wrote:
Talk about this.In post 88, u r a person 2 wrote:but think it's not very likely this is SvS
probably, coming from me, means "more often than not" or "at least 51% of tine time" and as such implies a large percentage chance that the opposite is true. It's meaningful in so much that a single data point is meaningful to an overall regression.
My initial reaction is that it's probably not SvS. There were countless ways scum shoshin and rc could have entered this thread, and I think this option gets chosen less often than not. Additionally, I think being paranoid of one another, or using the other to generate discussion resulting in an exchange like this is likely from tvt and, to a lesser extent, svt. But by no means is this read (of them not being svs) something I would bet the game over on its own.103-11 0-2- u r a person 2
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I like you more when you can't be scum ;PIn post 106, u r a person 2 wrote:
yooooooIn post 104, Aubrey wrote:Hot damn. 5 pages in already. Hi u2! Hi shoshin!103-11 0-2- RadiantCowbells
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oh i guess i actually said "not very likely"In post 105, u r a person 2 wrote:probably, coming from me, means "more often than not" or "at least 51% of tine time" and as such implies a large percentage chance that the opposite is true. It's meaningful in so much that a single data point is meaningful to an overall regression.
which, coming from me means like not more than a 75%ish chance of something being the case. I'd amend this to "probably not SvS" rather than "not very likely"103-11 0-2- u r a person 2
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I see no reason why this can't be the caseIn post 108, RadiantCowbells wrote:so if you think that we're tvt, do you think that we're all town?103-11 0-2- RadiantCowbells
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i understand that if you're town this is probably really stressful so sorry for that shoshin. i was already super on edge and when you started calling me scum I just saw red.
let's at least try to see if we can agree on who the hypothetical second scum is.2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.- RadiantCowbells
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Play a good town game instead of spending more time talking yourself up than actually playing and there won't be any problems.In post 112, RadiantCowbells wrote:oh and EE? don't talk shit about my town game.- RadiantCowbells
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Naw. I don't think your town game is bad. I don't know that your reads are bad. I know you have a tendency to lose your sense of self and get far more paranoid than you should be and you spend more time in your own head than you do in the game now. You play like you're so scared to be wrong you won't let yourself be right. I want you out of your head playing the darn game. I don't want a repeat of marathon, and that's where it looks like this is heading. There's nothing personal here, I respect you as a person and a player, I just also want you playing your best, and the paranoia kills me. So does the relentless talking yourself up.- RadiantCowbells
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That's fair. Just saying relax.In post 117, RadiantCowbells wrote:I wouldn't be so scared to be wrong if people didn't policy lynch me whenever I was wrong.- u r a person 2
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Vote Count 3
Shoshin (0):
RadiantCowbells (0):
u r a person 2 (0):
Michael Scott (0):
Saudade (0):
Not Voting: u r a person 2, Michael Scott, Shoshin, Saudade, RadiantCowbells
Weightless votes:
Aubrey:
Enter: RadiantCowbells
Singletonking:
With 5 alive, it is 3 to lynch!
Deadline is: (expired on 2019-03-20 16:00:00).
Jingle Note: I will not be locking this thread. You may continue to discuss here during the guess phase, although town has no reason to do so.This is a Parachute.- RadiantCowbells
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