Gameshow Mafia (Reroll): Game Over

[RadiantCowbells]

dance is an incredibly anti-town ability

[OkaPoka]

dance denies scum the nk if we need to 1of4

[Ankamius]

alright I'm caught up

lemme organize my thoughts and I'll put another reads list out there

[OkaPoka]

we have to space 1of4 after we lynch the scum in the 1of4

so to do that and prevent tmck from dying

we have to use the antink abilities

those are coalition, veto, dance, vengekill, protect

protect doesnt work on non vanillas

vengekill runs the risk of lynching scum -> rip tmck

coalition should be used before 1of4 i think, doesnt actually eliminate anyone from the 1of4

veto and dance are the only ways we can remove players in the 1of4 whilst protecting tmck

[Ankamius]

Ankamius
Taly
RadiantCowbells
themilkcartonkid
Nancefloor (Nancy Drew 39 + Dannflor)
BrightEyedFish
Titus
JohnnyEnglish
Clemency
Creature
mbaki
Fuscosco
chennisden
Chemist1422
Okapoka
Time Devil (TemporalLich + Baezu)
0verki11

[OkaPoka]

1of4 -> veto all 4

mafia leaves two left

we dance, kill one person (hope to god it's mafia) otherwise we just lynch normally, tmck repicks 1of4 as he dies

somebody needs to run the math on this to see if its even worth

[Ankamius]

ftr my JohnnyEnglish/Clemency/Creature townreads have vastly degraded

mbaki/Fuscosco is roughly my null zone

[OkaPoka]

what are the odds for winning if we only need 3 people for coalition?

[Ankamius]

considering it's only pickable in that scenario with 2 scum alive, I wouldn't count on it to win the game with

[OkaPoka]

no its pickable if its 2 or more scum alive

we can either have

4 v 12

4 v 10

3 v 13

3 v 11

but with quiz (assuming town) + reveal (on town)

4 v 10

4 v 8

3 v 11

3 v 9

so what are the odds we can dodge scum in all these scenario in a coalition of three

[OkaPoka]

nvm these odds are not > 60%

[mbaki]

And Im certain Im more of an asset than that.

Are we really doing this because youre afraid of misreading rc?

No.

[Titus]

I'll actually read this tomorrow probably. Just assessing gut atm.

What exactly is 8ball and why is it bad? Sounds important for vca.

[Ankamius]

8ball lynch means scum get 2 NKs

[Fuscosco]

scum pick one player, if that player gets lynched on the next day, they kill 2x. if they dont get that, they dont NK at all

[NanceFloor]

If you're town, Fusco, I'd rather you vote Overkill.

+1

[NanceFloor]

Vote Count 1.2.13

BrightEyedFish (6): chennisden, themilkcartonkid, JohnnyEnglish, Clemency, OkaPoka

(L-3)

themilkcartonkid (4): mbaki, NanceFloor, BrightEyedFish, Chemist1422, Taly
mbaki (1): 0verki11
OkaPoka (1): Ankamius
Ankamius (1): Fuscosco
0verki11 (1): Time Devil

Not Voting (4): Titus, Creature, RadiantCowbells

With 17 players alive, it takes 9 to eliminate a player.

The deadline for elimination is 27 April 12:00pm UTC-4, or in

(expired on 2019-04-27 12:00:00)

Mod Notes:

lol

if BEF isn't the 8ball then I'd be really shocked

That’s why Overkill11 is my strongest scumread. They’re obsessed with lynching BEF D1. That can’t ever be town.

~ND

[NanceFloor]

BEF is ideal here imo

If Chenn flips red, lynch this next.

is there any universe where 0verki11 isn't the best d2 lynch?

I'm well back into scumreading him again, his posting since I went to bed reminded me all over again why I was scumreading him in the first place.

I’m fine with voting him. He’s eating rope no matter what the flip is but anyone who’s town needs to get tf off of BEF.

~ND

[Titus]

I'll move my vote later if I need to. I'll likely be around tomorrow morning.

[NanceFloor]

BrightEyedFish (6): chennisden, themilkcartonkid, JohnnyEnglish, Clemency, 0verki11, Time Devil

(L-3)

like, again, this wagon is abominable

I'd actually support lynching Fuscosco just because I would bet anything that if Fuscosco is scum, one or both of 0verki11 and Time Devil is scum along with him.

Could well be. That would be cool if we’ve already caught 3/4s of the scumteam.

~ND

[RadiantCowbells]

hi nance

[NanceFloor]

hi nance

Hi, I’ve had a shitty day. It would be nice to get a scum lynch. I could really use some cheering up.

[Ankamius]

Effort is hard

[RadiantCowbells]

i'm rly overgamed.

[Ankamius]

I want to vote overkill buuuuuuuuuut