Gameshow Mafia (Reroll): Game Over


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Post Post #6775 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:20 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

actually if we flip scum we should call a friend but it's optimal to try to flip town with reveal.
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #6776 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:21 am

Post by Titus »

In post 6775, RadiantCowbells wrote:actually if we flip scum we should call a friend but it's optimal to try to flip town with reveal.
Which is why if we do reveal, we reveal me. Town cannot have you angle shooting me.
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Post Post #6777 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:22 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

"angle shooting you"
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #6778 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:23 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

i think chennis is scum and partner is maria or titus

i want to reveal in [maria/titus]
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #6779 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:24 am

Post by Time Devil »

In post 6774, RadiantCowbells wrote:call a friend requires us to do a normal lynch which is incredibly suboptimal.

it's reveal -> 1of4 -> venge from here
if we do reveal you're the one getting revealed

a bulletproof IC would be pretty OP

and 1of4 is suboptimal right now.

I think treestump Titus is our best bet.

VOTE: Treestump

-TL
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Post Post #6780 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:25 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

there's literally no benefit to treestump over any of the other options.
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #6781 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:26 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

also, I'm no longer bulletproof if I get revealed in case you didn't read the OP.

so, how about that moongrass lynch?
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #6782 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:32 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

i think maria reveal is more valuable than titus reveal regardless of what she flips.
i have no mental desire to have to try to push a lynch through on maria right now.

i still can't see skygazer scum. i still don't think TD ate ever comes from scum. i'm scared of titus maria i guess but if we hit scum we can still venge and clear both slots

iow, i don't think we can lose from here unless we play suboptimally, and following my plan doesn't involve anyone in this game having to trust me to be town aligned.
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #6783 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:33 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

actually untrue: if we flip scum today then autowin involves assuming me to be town.

to that end, i want to be uninvolved in the decision of who to flip between Titus and Maria so that if we flip scum that decision can't be pushed as my responsibility.
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #6784 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:35 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

i think that titus realizes the mechanics well enough to understand that reveal being pushed on her is optimal if scum so i'm not reading into that.
anyway. can everyone give their thoughts on who is
more likely
to be town in titus and maria? if you think they're both scum, pick your weaker scumread. if you think they're both town, pick your stronger townread, etc.
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #6785 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:36 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

adding to the list: everything that i've said about overkill still stands.
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #6786 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:36 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

scum can't win unless they convince you both to scumread me and to not trust my townreads
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #6787 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:37 am

Post by Titus »

In post 6780, RadiantCowbells wrote:there's literally no benefit to treestump over any of the other options.
*cough TD is scum*
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The scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx

You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin

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Post Post #6788 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:38 am

Post by Time Devil »

maria town, titus prob!scum

so I reveal the scummier of the 2, or at least not townlock

-TL
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Post Post #6789 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:38 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

3 votes for maria
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #6790 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:39 am

Post by Time Devil »

that's if Reveal gets picked and not Treestump or a different power nobody cares about (hint: voting Quiz is a scumclaim)

-TL
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Post Post #6791 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:39 am

Post by Skygazer »

id be down to reveal maria or titus;;
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Post Post #6792 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:39 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

why are you even bringing up quiz right now
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #6793 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:43 am

Post by Time Devil »

In post 6789, RadiantCowbells wrote:3 votes for maria
where are you getting these numbers from?
In post 6792, RadiantCowbells wrote:why are you even bringing up quiz right now
just pointing out it's the absolute worst power we can use right now (we quiz, we lose).

so therefore voting Quiz is basically "I'm scum."

-TL
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Post Post #6794 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:44 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

RC you and Maria's implicit self vote

No reason for her to not support herself, like, regardless of alignment
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #6795 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:45 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

I feel a lot more motivated without NF and MG
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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Post Post #6796 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:47 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

Also I think she forfeited any right to crying about being flipped for being Maria when she lurksacked the entire game.
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Post Post #6797 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:47 am

Post by Time Devil »

In post 6794, RadiantCowbells wrote:RC you and Maria's implicit self vote

No reason for her to not support herself, like, regardless of alignment
so you think I'm revealing obv!town over someone who has a very high chance of being a deepwolf.

-TL
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Post Post #6798 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:48 am

Post by Skygazer »

revealing maria and titus and hitting town gives us a townbloc of me/rc/[titus/maria]

rc doesn't get nk'd, revealed doesn't get nk'd, meaning i get nk'd

we'd have a pool of chennis/[maria/titus]/0verkill/td

uhhh if we reveal scum then we venge in our non revealed pool and if they're scum it's auto and if they're town they can just venge the revealed scum, right??
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Post Post #6799 (ISO) » Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:48 am

Post by RadiantCowbells »

Do you want the mathematical explanation of why flipping town is optimal today?

If we go for scum and hit scum that means I win as deepwolf. Is that a chance you're willing to take?
2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.
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