Still looking for replacement for Phone0Ix
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- Baezu
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Baezu Mafia Scum
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Sera Masumi replaces connorcompton. Please welcome them.
Still looking for replacement for Phone0IxShowStats have been transferred to the wiki http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=User:Baezu
“Baezu’s my top town. If she's scum I'll eat Alchemist's hat.” (Something I never thought I’d hear in any game. Ever.) -RCEnigma in EICN
“Baezu tier: Baezu” (Oooo I get my own tier!!!) -Vorkuta
Planning the next Toronto Meet! in late 2020- Spangled
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- Sera Masumi
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Hi, I'm your replace-in person for connor. Since it was asked at the beginning of the game, I have roughly ~10-15 games at another site. If you want to take a look I'm happy to give you the info, but it's played pretty differently over there (much faster days for one thing) so I'm uncertain it will necessarily give you that much valuable intel.
Now before anything else I want to comment on something I'm deeply uncomfortable with.
In post 388, cyrus62 wrote:well good hopefully we can get some convors going and make some reads don't get me wrong i like you all but maybe the reason we haven't had no leads is because the scum replaced out. what do you think? @everyone .
This is a Bad Take, OPs. If you have townreads on everybody except the paths of absolute least resistance, that indicates to me that you probably have too many townreads, not that scum happen to be the easiest targets in the game and just happily going along with that. Like, I have no idea how to read phone here, and there are questions I'd like to ask but phone replaced out, so I'll never be able to ask them. Hopefully the replacement slot will give more information. Connor is pretty clearly somebody that just started to play the game and then replaced out after deciding forum mafia was not for him or something; he made one post and then never returns. Both these slots are null as hell in my opinion, and this method of shutting down thought and just going for the easiest route possible feels like an easy way to setup a couple mislynches that give the town very little info.In post 389, Spangled wrote:I think that could be true. Like we have some SRs/SLs flying round between Temporal, Red, and Robb, but I think they're allprobablytown.
You mean connor/Phone (by people who have replaced out) right?
The way that cyrus is continually tilting shade at this slot and arguing for a lynch even after the replacement request is sent in (See #360) is really worrying me. I honestly have no idea why cyrus-town argues for this. Wagoning somebody who made a grand total of 1 post before being forcibly replaced that you don't seem to find particularly suspicious before a replacement can even show up is a completely terrible exercise; there's very little to analyze from the roleflip in terms of the lynchee's content, there's very little association because there isn't much for people to comment on or engage with, and you don't give the role the ability to claim and therefore potentially ram a lynch on a power role through. I can definitely see why scum would engage in this sort of exercise, but I'm bewildered as to why the idea would even enter town's head. I'm also not very comfortable with the fact that cyrus floats this possibility out there and doesn't, you know, vote my or phone's slot. Just kinda tosses it out into the aether for consideration without putting any real feeling behind it. (I kind of feel the same about Spangled, but at least Spangled is being much more tentative about this.) It's not like cyrus is doing anything with his vote right now anyway, last I saw he was still on his RVS vote which he had just dispatched. I'm not even sure how it fits into Cyrus worrying about Red earlier or right before that saying that we have no leads over 370 posts into the game.
Like, I'm really skeptical of two decently-experienced townies suddenly seeing this as a good idea totally organically, so one of Spangled and Cyrus is quite plausibly scum. And Spangled at least still seems to be doing things like looking at Adorable and crosschecking after making that declaration, indicating a degree of paranoia that I'm looking for, and just in general in comparison to 388, I think 389 and 390 just read a bit better from a townie mindset. That said, I could totally see Spangled-scum egging on a really bad impulse from town-cyrus here, and I really don't want to rule that out. But in general Cyrus making this play feels a lot more "yikes" to me.
I'm decently confident that one of Spangled or cyrus is scum, and certain that they aren't scum together; that last conversation between them absolutely would have occurred in a private topic if they were. Pretty sure neither of them are scum with phone either if they are going to try and play things this way. I think Cyrus looks worse in this bit (I also recall some of Cyrus' posts reading as kind of forced in my first readthrough, but I wasn't sure if that was because they were forced or just how cyrus' posts would generally read), but it could still probably go either way.
I have no idea what Temporal is doing with his reads this game, they feel all over the place to me and honestly he's probably my best candidate outside cyrus. I'm really not getting the Town v. Town Robb-Temp reads here and would like somebody to explain it to me like I'm 5.
Robb and Redflag both feel pretty town, as does Adorable to a slightly lesser extent. Gun to my head? I say Spangled probably has a Town role, though I'm not betting the horse on it. Phone I have no idea how to read but the fact that I can really only imagine Redflavor as a partner (maaaybe Cyan and Rob? Maaaybe?) is making me think his slot is probably town just through POE. I'll see how the replacement handles it. Cyan I'm super "meh" on at the moment.
I'm going to go through the game again and do some proper notes and a couple questions for players after I get a little sleep (I'm #YOLOing sleep deprived atm) before I vote, but my immediate reads are
TOWN: Robb, Redflavor, Sera (Confirmed town in my role PM guys she's legit)
LEAN-TOWN: Adorable, phone (tentative, if Flavor is scum phone is decently likely to be, otherwise meh)
NULL: Cyan, Spangled (alternating between this and in the lean-town bracket; I'm hoping a reread will force me to pick a side there)
LEAN SCUM: Cyrus, Temporal
I'm not inclined to lynch anything above null right now, and would much prefer Cyrus or Temp over Cyan and Spangled (given how Cyrus has engaged with the Cyan slot, and vice-versa). I could see myself joining that Temp wagon, but atm I honestly feel a little better about a Cyrus lynch.
Will be on a plane tomorrow, so catch-up post might not be until Tuesday if I end up sleeping all night, which I probably will.
[quote="In [url=https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.p ... #p11086531]
And not catching up is fairly scum indicative, so keep that in mind.[/quote]
I'm curious
1. Why you feel this way
2. Why would tell me this before I post, since it seems like a useful tell to have in your pocket.- cyrus62
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I'm curiousIn post 429, Sera Masumi wrote:Hi, I'm your replace-in person for connor. Since it was asked at the beginning of the game, I have roughly ~10-15 games at another site. If you want to take a look I'm happy to give you the info, but it's played pretty differently over there (much faster days for one thing) so I'm uncertain it will necessarily give you that much valuable intel.
Now before anything else I want to comment on something I'm deeply uncomfortable with.
In post 388, cyrus62 wrote:well good hopefully we can get some convors going and make some reads don't get me wrong i like you all but maybe the reason we haven't had no leads is because the scum replaced out. what do you think? @everyone .
This is a Bad Take, OPs. If you have townreads on everybody except the paths of absolute least resistance, that indicates to me that you probably have too many townreads, not that scum happen to be the easiest targets in the game and just happily going along with that. Like, I have no idea how to read phone here, and there are questions I'd like to ask but phone replaced out, so I'll never be able to ask them. Hopefully the replacement slot will give more information. Connor is pretty clearly somebody that just started to play the game and then replaced out after deciding forum mafia was not for him or something; he made one post and then never returns. Both these slots are null as hell in my opinion, and this method of shutting down thought and just going for the easiest route possible feels like an easy way to setup a couple mislynches that give the town very little info.In post 389, Spangled wrote:I think that could be true. Like we have some SRs/SLs flying round between Temporal, Red, and Robb, but I think they're allprobablytown.
You mean connor/Phone (by people who have replaced out) right?
The way that cyrus is continually tilting shade at this slot and arguing for a lynch even after the replacement request is sent in (See #360) is really worrying me. I honestly have no idea why cyrus-town argues for this. Wagoning somebody who made a grand total of 1 post before being forcibly replaced that you don't seem to find particularly suspicious before a replacement can even show up is a completely terrible exercise; there's very little to analyze from the roleflip in terms of the lynchee's content, there's very little association because there isn't much for people to comment on or engage with, and you don't give the role the ability to claim and therefore potentially ram a lynch on a power role through. I can definitely see why scum would engage in this sort of exercise, but I'm bewildered as to why the idea would even enter town's head. I'm also not very comfortable with the fact that cyrus floats this possibility out there and doesn't, you know, vote my or phone's slot. Just kinda tosses it out into the aether for consideration without putting any real feeling behind it. (I kind of feel the same about Spangled, but at least Spangled is being much more tentative about this.) It's not like cyrus is doing anything with his vote right now anyway, last I saw he was still on his RVS vote which he had just dispatched. I'm not even sure how it fits into Cyrus worrying about Red earlier or right before that saying that we have no leads over 370 posts into the game.
Like, I'm really skeptical of two decently-experienced townies suddenly seeing this as a good idea totally organically, so one of Spangled and Cyrus is quite plausibly scum. And Spangled at least still seems to be doing things like looking at Adorable and crosschecking after making that declaration, indicating a degree of paranoia that I'm looking for, and just in general in comparison to 388, I think 389 and 390 just read a bit better from a townie mindset. That said, I could totally see Spangled-scum egging on a really bad impulse from town-cyrus here, and I really don't want to rule that out. But in general Cyrus making this play feels a lot more "yikes" to me.
I'm decently confident that one of Spangled or cyrus is scum, and certain that they aren't scum together; that last conversation between them absolutely would have occurred in a private topic if they were. Pretty sure neither of them are scum with phone either if they are going to try and play things this way. I think Cyrus looks worse in this bit (I also recall some of Cyrus' posts reading as kind of forced in my first readthrough, but I wasn't sure if that was because they were forced or just how cyrus' posts would generally read), but it could still probably go either way.
I have no idea what Temporal is doing with his reads this game, they feel all over the place to me and honestly he's probably my best candidate outside cyrus. I'm really not getting the Town v. Town Robb-Temp reads here and would like somebody to explain it to me like I'm 5.
Robb and Redflag both feel pretty town, as does Adorable to a slightly lesser extent. Gun to my head? I say Spangled probably has a Town role, though I'm not betting the horse on it. Phone I have no idea how to read but the fact that I can really only imagine Redflavor as a partner (maaaybe Cyan and Rob? Maaaybe?) is making me think his slot is probably town just through POE. I'll see how the replacement handles it. Cyan I'm super "meh" on at the moment.
I'm going to go through the game again and do some proper notes and a couple questions for players after I get a little sleep (I'm #YOLOing sleep deprived atm) before I vote, but my immediate reads are
TOWN: Robb, Redflavor, Sera (Confirmed town in my role PM guys she's legit)
LEAN-TOWN: Adorable, phone (tentative, if Flavor is scum phone is decently likely to be, otherwise meh)
NULL: Cyan, Spangled (alternating between this and in the lean-town bracket; I'm hoping a reread will force me to pick a side there)
LEAN SCUM: Cyrus, Temporal
I'm not inclined to lynch anything above null right now, and would much prefer Cyrus or Temp over Cyan and Spangled (given how Cyrus has engaged with the Cyan slot, and vice-versa). I could see myself joining that Temp wagon, but atm I honestly feel a little better about a Cyrus lynch.
Will be on a plane tomorrow, so catch-up post might not be until Tuesday if I end up sleeping all night, which I probably will.
[quote="In [url=https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.p ... #p11086531]
And not catching up is fairly scum indicative, so keep that in mind.
1. Why you feel this way
2. Why would tell me this before I post, since it seems like a useful tell to have in your pocket.[/quote yes yes its easyer to find reads when you only have 2 post ofc this isnt your doing and it has been said that when noobs role scum on thire 1st game they replace out. so yes connar hasnt posted since the 4th what am i to think of that . then you have phone who also replaced out and voted on him self in rvs so yes we see that as scummy . i been trying to read every one here and the ones with the most post are me and spangled so yes after sorting him and knowing my self thire just wasnt enogh by any one else to from reads . as of now your still null to me- TemporalLich
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TemporalLich Grand Scheme
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I'm tentatively assuming Sera is town... but I strongly disagree cyrus could be scum.
cyrus only said red thinks phone is town and that I think red is scum, nothing about cyrus having any proper reads.
Don't see anything that would contraindicate a cyrus/spangled scumteam besides those two being high TRs. It's still outlandish, but it's not like a red flip from one makes the other confirmed town.
The interaction with me and Robb is said to be TvT because it went to a point where we were pretty much hard bussing each other.
but yeah I'm inclined to hard TR cyrustime will end- Sera Masumi
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I don't expect you to think anything? What is the difference between somebody who posts once and then doesn't post anymore because they're scum, and somebody who posts once and then doesn't post anymore because they didn't like the game? How do I tell one from the other?In post 430, cyrus62 wrote:yes yes its easyer to find reads when you only have 2 post ofc this isnt your doing and it has been said that when noobs role scum on thire 1st game they replace out. so yes connar hasnt posted since the 4th what am i to think of that .
Tell me more about your read on Spangled, actually, you haven't really said a lot about them today.In post 430, cyrus62 wrote:i been trying to read every one here and the ones with the most post are me and spangled so yes after sorting him and knowing my self thire just wasnt enogh by any one else to from reads .
1. You think scum would really write that 388-400 exchange together? Because I don't.In post 431, TemporalLich wrote: cyrus only said red thinks phone is town and that I think red is scum, nothing about cyrus having any proper reads.
Don't see anything that would contraindicate a cyrus/spangled scumteam besides those two being high TRs. It's still outlandish, but it's not like a red flip from one makes the other confirmed town.
2. I believe I linked the post where Cyrus indicates that he doesn't have reads because the game isn't giving him that much information? (#374, he also says we have "no leads" in the post I quoted).- Spangled
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I will freely admit that I have too many basic townreads, but it's silly for you to assume I don't have cases that I'm building in my head, and that I'm waiting for people that I'm currently saying I'm townreading to slip up. This might be a bad position if I took it very far, but I am not taking it all that far.In post 429, Sera Masumi wrote: This is a Bad Take, OPs. If you have townreads on everybody except the paths of absolute least resistance, that indicates to me that you probably have too many townreads, not that scum happen to be the easiest targets in the game and just happily going along with that.
cyrus was not wagoning anyone in 360; he was just thinking about it. To wagon someone is to truly push and get everyone involved; cyrus was not doing anything of the sort. He was suggesting a thought.In post 429, Sera Masumi wrote: Wagoning somebody who made a grand total of 1 post
And, let's face it, connor's slot does have scum equity; that vote on Robb was hella suspicious.
I hope you're not soft-claiming PR here.In post 429, Sera Masumi wrote: and you don't give the role the ability to claim and therefore potentially ram a lynch on a power role through
So you don't like that he pushed a random thought out and then didn't act on it when you've previously said he was making a wagon (indicating action)...? You can't have it both ways.In post 429, Sera Masumi wrote: I'm also not very comfortable with the fact that cyrus floats this possibility out there and doesn't, you know, vote my or phone's slot.
I don't mean to sound condescending (although it make come off like that), but a cool thing we do on this forum is say scum!Spangled rather than Spangled-scum. To me it has a better ring to it (as it were).In post 429, Sera Masumi wrote: Spangled-scum
1. Not catching up indicates a lack of a willingness to engage - the action and attitude, I believe, of scum. 'Nuff said. (If you disagree, feel free to give me reasons).In post 429, Sera Masumi wrote: 1. Why you feel this way
2. Why would tell me this before I post, since it seems like a useful tell to have in your pocket
2. Because on the whole I want you to engage with the thread; I'd rather be able to push a lynch of you based on sketchy things you said in a catch-up than just SR you on a lack of helpful contributions. (Or, of course, townread you based on your catchup). I'm also acknowledging you as a thinking person, potentially of the town; you too can provide helpful contributions.- Spangled
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Echoing this thought right here.In post 431, TemporalLich wrote:but I strongly disagree cyrus could be scum.- Spangled
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And it was a little bit wishful thinking.In post 433, Spangled wrote:
I will freely admit that I have too many basic townreads, but it's silly for you to assume I don't have cases that I'm building in my head, and that I'm waiting for people that I'm currently saying I'm townreading to slip up. This might be a bad position if I took it very far, but I am not taking it all that far.In post 429, Sera Masumi wrote: This is a Bad Take, OPs. If you have townreads on everybody except the paths of absolute least resistance, that indicates to me that you probably have too many townreads, not that scum happen to be the easiest targets in the game and just happily going along with that.- Spangled
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Aye I don't think you too were SvSing, certainly.In post 431, TemporalLich wrote: The interaction with me and Robb is said to be TvT because it went to a point where we were pretty much hard bussing each other.- Spangled
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- cyrus62
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rob went vlaIn post 437, Spangled wrote:Robb, can you give us your perspectives on... everything, basically.
You too, RF.- cyrus62
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seeing it as it is yes it can be either of the two . however i did not like the fact that the thread got held by these two. i already sorted every one i could and came back to phone and connarIn post 432, Sera Masumi wrote:
I don't expect you to think anything? What is the difference between somebody who posts once and then doesn't post anymore because they're scum, and somebody who posts once and then doesn't post anymore because they didn't like the game? How do I tell one from the other?In post 430, cyrus62 wrote:yes yes its easyer to find reads when you only have 2 post ofc this isnt your doing and it has been said that when noobs role scum on thire 1st game they replace out. so yes connar hasnt posted since the 4th what am i to think of that .
Tell me more about your read on Spangled, actually, you haven't really said a lot about them today.In post 430, cyrus62 wrote:i been trying to read every one here and the ones with the most post are me and spangled so yes after sorting him and knowing my self thire just wasnt enogh by any one else to from reads .
1. You think scum would really write that 388-400 exchange together? Because I don't.In post 431, TemporalLich wrote: cyrus only said red thinks phone is town and that I think red is scum, nothing about cyrus having any proper reads.
Don't see anything that would contraindicate a cyrus/spangled scumteam besides those two being high TRs. It's still outlandish, but it's not like a red flip from one makes the other confirmed town.
2. I believe I linked the post where Cyrus indicates that he doesn't have reads because the game isn't giving him that much information? (#374, he also says we have "no leads" in the post I quoted).- cyrus62
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But connor was getting replaced after making one post all game? The game was holding up because he quit the game and they needed to find someone else. Turns out Phone was basically the same way. Why is that suspicious to the point that you'd shade somebody getting replaced with one post that you didn't seem to find particularly suspicious instead of poking at other players?In post 439, cyrus62 wrote:seeing it as it is yes it can be either of the two . however i did not like the fact that the thread got held by these two. i already sorted every one i could and came back to phone and connar
Actually can we cut to the chase and have you explain why you thought arguing to lynch somebody being replaced before their replacement entered was a good idea?
Scum can pretend to do those things though? Phone gave reads. I gave reads. Everyone in the game has given reads at one point or another. What about Spangled's hunting feels genuine to you?In post 440, cyrus62 wrote:i dont see how spangled could be anything but town hes looking for scum and doing reads- Spangled
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Please keep in mind, I'm not decently experienced as a member of the town. This is my first town game (I'm playing another at the moment but this one I got started in before that; I'm not breaking site rules by implying anything).In post 429, Sera Masumi wrote: Like, I'm really skeptical of two decently-experienced townies- Spangled
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Pretty sure you're not scumclaiming or outing your partner here, but the wording is ambiguous.In post 441, Sera Masumi wrote: Scum can pretend to do those things though? Phone gave reads. I gave reads. Everyone in the game has given reads at one point or another. What about Spangled's hunting feels genuine to you?- cyrus62
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In post 441, Sera Masumi wrote:In post 439, cyrus62 wrote:seeing it as it is yes it can be either of the two . however i did not like the fact that the thread got held by these two. i already sorted every one i could and came back to phone and connar
and i know this how you cant just jump and and think or this person said that since the person i am replaceing could be scum becuse of only one post and un able to make reads becuse of it must be scumBut connor was getting replaced after making one post all game? The game was holding up because he quit the game and they needed to find someone else. Turns out Phone was basically the same way. Why is that suspicious to the point that you'd shade somebody getting replaced with one post that you didn't seem to find particularly suspicious instead of poking at other players?
what it was a thought since no one was posting and i had already sorted every one elseActually can we cut to the chase and have you explain why you thought arguing to lynch somebody being replaced before their replacement entered was a good idea?
Scum can pretend to do those things though? Phone gave reads. I gave reads. Everyone in the game has given reads at one point or another. What about Spangled's hunting feels genuine to you?In post 440, cyrus62 wrote:i dont see how spangled could be anything but town hes looking for scum and doing reads- Spangled
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Unless you think I'm claiming that everyone in this game is my scumpartner (since that is an additional subset of "X can do these things too"), I was just using "scum" as a broad categorization and listing two people that cyrus has been voicing suspicion of lately, including myself, as examples. Be a pretty dumb scumslip tbh, but then I suppose they aren't many "smart" scumslips.In post 443, Spangled wrote:
Pretty sure you're not scumclaiming or outing your partner here, but the wording is ambiguous.In post 441, Sera Masumi wrote: Scum can pretend to do those things though? Phone gave reads. I gave reads. Everyone in the game has given reads at one point or another. What about Spangled's hunting feels genuine to you?
Fair enough.In post 442, Spangled wrote:
Please keep in mind, I'm not decently experienced as a member of the town. This is my first town game (I'm playing another at the moment but this one I got started in before that; I'm not breaking site rules by implying anything).In post 429, Sera Masumi wrote: Like, I'm really skeptical of two decently-experienced townies
I'm... not sure what you're saying here. Rephrase?In post 444, cyrus62 wrote:and i know this how you cant just jump and and think or this person said that since the person i am replaceing could be scum becuse of only one post and un able to make reads becuse of it must be scum
Why didn't you want to wait until connor had somebody replace in that could give you more information for a read, and also be available to claim, and improve your reads on other players, and instead engage with other posters in order to more effectively sort them, etc etc? Like, let's look at it this way. You lynch connor's slot in the next couple days before somebody replaces in. Connor flips town. What does that tell you? How do you use that to get information to hit scum on D2? Hell, what does him flipping scum really tell you and how do you use that information? And how is this preferable to just waiting for a replacement?In post 444, cyrus62 wrote:what it was a thought since no one was posting and i had already sorted every one else
PRE-EDIT: @Spangled- 127 and 136 do a little for me, I admit, but I'm still pretty "eeeeh" about the slot. I think I'm probably done with feelers at this point and if I can't sleep I'll go do my reread and firm things up; I'm fine with a Temporal wagon overall if people don't buy a cyrus one.- Sera Masumi
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Okay let's go wheee. I ended up adding in links roughly halfway through so a few of these are you going to need to find yourself but it's 4:30 AM and I just don't have the energy after writing up this wall to go add more links lol.
Spoiler: Notes
So, I'm a little tired and not going to do a full read of everybody like I said I was going to, my notes are there if you want to take a look. I'll try and do a summary later. But I will say that this strongly strengthened my townread on Spangled, slightly strengthened my read on Adorable, and weakened my townread on Red slightly. It also gave me... a slight boost on Cyrus? Not much of one though. That said, Temp is honestly reading worse to me right now. Let's add a vote there and see how it goes. I don't see much of a problem of putting him at L-2 at this point, since I don't see going anywhere else today unless something happens and L-2 isn't insta-death.
TOWN: Spangled, Robb, Adorable
LEAN TOWN: Redflavor, Phone
NULL: Cyan
LEAN SCUM: Cyrus, Temporal
VOTE: TemporalLich
Also Temp why do you think I'm town now? - Sera Masumi
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- Sera Masumi
- Spangled
- Spangled
- cyrus62
- Spangled
- Spangled
- Sera Masumi
- cyrus62
- cyrus62
- cyrus62
- Spangled
- Spangled
- Spangled
- Spangled
- Spangled
- Sera Masumi
- TemporalLich
- cyrus62
- Sera Masumi
- Spangled
- cyrus62
- Spangled
- Baezu