Newbie 1951 (Day 4)

[Menalque]

if I was scum here I'd concede lol

[teacher]

Blah blah blah Skitter?

[Menalque]

I cba because I don't think there's any way to save the mislynch here on D2 and I'm p much as confident as I can be on scum!you at this point

I think you know you've lost but you think that if you eliminate me through mislynch you can maybe coast through to 3p lylo then claim you've been left alive bc scum thought they could mislynch you there

+ I think maybe you're a little salty about 1938

[teacher]

You’ve had me as at least a TL all game. Flipping now is.....weird. Just because I lynched scum?

Like what about the play has been scummy?

I’m not about 1938. But think what you want.

[Menalque]

the fact that the more I think about it the more I think a bad fakeclaim on a scum that's going down D1 anyway does come from a more experienced player after all bc it sets up a newer player as the partner

so this way you get a lovely mislynch chain of me-->sushi-->selynee

[Menalque]

which would bring you through to 3p lylo with I'm guessing emps + skitt and hope that you could sell one on the other

[teacher]

Youre off in confbias land. I'll see you on the flip side. I look forward to whatever skitter narrative you come up with in the 48 hours.

[Menalque]

incl the fact that after 3 newbie townflips you'd be in the perfect position to set up skitt as the lynch for being the most likely person to bus and to carry it through that far as scum

like, I'm so SR right now that I know this won't make a difference. but when I do get mislynched, town can come and look back and lynch you

[Menalque]

Youre off in confbias land. I'll see you on the flip side. I look forward to whatever skitter narrative you come up with in the 48 hours.

scum!teacher trying to discredit my read after I townflip bc if people pay literally any attention to me once I'm conf!town he should be the next to see rope literally 100% of the time

[teacher]

which would bring you through to 3p lylo with I'm guessing emps + skitt and hope that you could sell one on the other

Dude, youre just flailing. 3 mislynches = scum victory. Thats why Ive been saying 75%ev the whole time.

D1end:7-1
D2end:5-1mislynch 1
D3end:3-1 misylnch 2
D4end:1-1 mislynch 3 scum win.

And I removed sel from the lynchpool over me. So keep trying.

[Menalque]

everyone still here: what is the motivation for me doing any of this as scum?

why do I not just concede here?

answer: bc I'm town and I'm set for a mislynch

[Menalque]

and I'm trying to save town bc apparently there are at least 3 players who can't read me for shit this game (aka skitt, fark, NMSA)

[Menalque]

D1 -- creeper lynch 7-1
N1 -- let's say NMSA nk 6-1
D2 -- mena lynch 5-1
N2 -- fark nk 4-1
D3 -- sushi Lynch 3-1
N3 -- town!kill 2-1

huh yeah okay that does check out

teacher is still scum here tho

[teacher]

119 on

Farkran

:

Seleynee,

Sushi Martyr, Emps, Menalque (Sushi unvotes after hammer test)
368 on

Farkran

:

Seleynee

, emps,

skitter30

, teacher (Menalque gives intent in 399; Skitter leaves in 474)
540 on Menalque: NMSA, Teacher, Skitter, Farkran (Teacher leaves in 541)
768 on

Creeper

:

NMSA, Seleynee,

Menalque,

Skitter

(Menalque leaves in 790

I color coded the above based on current claims and which one I believe. Assuming Creeper flips red, I think Fark, Spam, Seleynee, and Skitter are all town-cleared.

That is helpful to reverse apply to the Fark wagon, which pretty much has to have a scum. I think it makes the lynch pool essentially (Menalque-sushi-me-emps), such that we only really have to remove one. I'll take the 75%ev with pleasure.

Actually, I know you all dont know Im town, but the 540 wagon also convicts Menalque IMO. Its all town and me -- so Im either the scum or menalque is. Game set match.

You have 20+ posts and hundreds of words since you came on. Youve had plenty of opportunity to post about skit. But cant come up with crap.

I agree I should go after you. That is the implication of this analysis. And if we're both town, then they can figure it out.

As an SE charged with educating, I would never instruct a tracker claim when I had seen the mason crumb. And I think 458's hyphen made pretty clear I caught at least part of the crumbs.

[Menalque]

I also don't think town is looking for crumbs so intently

yeah the only doubt I have is about that, but then again I think scum!you would tell him to do that fakeclaim to eliminate suspicion from you bc it would be out of character

and it kinda worked: emps has bought it, and I did at an initial glance -- but once you look past the surface level analysis it actually implies scum!teacher more than it implies town!teacher

[EpicCreeper9002]

i still don't actually know if i'm hammered or not lol

i can't trust anything here

[teacher]

IF we are both town, emps will know to lynch skitter based on 540. Your wagon would not be all town.

[Menalque]

i still don't actually know if i'm hammered or not lol

i can't trust anything here

you are very hammered

if you could conf that teacher is your scum partner that would be v useful for us all

[Menalque]

IF we are both town, emps will know to lynch skitter based on 540. Your wagon would not be all town.

in the vanishingly small number of worlds where you're town then yeah, it prob is skitt scum after all

[teacher]

@Creeper, youre hammered but feel free to talk.

@Menalque, town should be trying to get all information it can. It helps town to manipulate their readslists to protect PRs/avoid NKs (why emps was above them in the same post)

[Menalque]

my but whole point here is to remind town, if they look at my iso even once, that

my mislynch should lead to a teacher!lynch the next day

100% of the time

[teacher]

Skitter narrative. Youre right that youre dead tomorrow, but outing it now makes it credible. You can elaborate tomorrow, but out it.

[EpicCreeper9002]

Since "bah" posting isn't allowed in this game ima just do it now then

DED

[Menalque]

@Creeper, youre hammered but feel free to talk.

@Menalque, town should be trying to get all information it can. It helps town to manipulate their readslists to protect PRs/avoid NKs (why emps was above them in the same post)

right so why would you try to close the game down early? esp when shutting it down before I got online/posted a skitt analysis would give you the chance to say that I fabricated it the next day during night

[teacher]

I wont even fight that mislynch if you are town. A convincing skitter narrative is about the only thing that will get me to fight against your lynch tomorrow, but it needs to be today. Why the fuck do you think I keep asking you.