Micro 914: CultD3 (Over)


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Post Post #775 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 11:42 am

Post by ObviousScum »

Posted what?

;)
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Post Post #776 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 11:46 am

Post by Kerset »

Vote Count 1.09With 9 votes in play, it takes 5 to lynch.

Bingle
(3): Farkran, Poyzin, Not A Korina Alt,
Poyzin
(2): shos, Kanna,
Kanna
(2): Bingle, Blatant Scum,
Farkran
(1): ObviousScum,
shos
(0):
Blatant Scum
(0):
ObviousScum
(0):
Hectic
(0):
Not A Korina Alt
(0):



Not Voting
(1): Hectic,

Spoiler: Votes since last votecount not reflected above
ObviousScum.

Deadline:
(expired on 2020-01-24 12:00:00).


Mod notes:
Not A Korina Alt has v/la on weekends
Less then 24 hours left. Lynches are COMPULSIVE, which means that after (expired on 2020-01-24 12:00:00) person with the highest number of votes will be lynched, even if majority is not achieved.
giv me pagetop :(
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Post Post #777 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 11:47 am

Post by Blatant Scum »

In post 765, Not A Korina Alt wrote:@Shos, you're also on me tonight.
NO WAY!
You will get culted if shos is town!
Don’t forget about how when I asked him for a link to his scumgame, he linked THIS game. - Pyrrha Nikos
He usually never puts effort into reads like that, which does sometimes get him scumread, but since he was on an alt and we didn't know his meta, I can see CL!him making reads as an exception since he knows he'll probably be scumread otherwise.
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Post Post #778 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 12:01 pm

Post by Hectic »

I'll wait for Bengle to return to see what he has to say, but I'll be around to hammer for the next few hours.
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Post Post #779 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 12:02 pm

Post by Hectic »

If sh0s is actually FN, he should be targeting who he townreads most OUTSIDE of NKorina (for obvious reasons).
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Post Post #780 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 12:14 pm

Post by Blatant Scum »

I believe that shos' biggest townread is shos.
Don’t forget about how when I asked him for a link to his scumgame, he linked THIS game. - Pyrrha Nikos
He usually never puts effort into reads like that, which does sometimes get him scumread, but since he was on an alt and we didn't know his meta, I can see CL!him making reads as an exception since he knows he'll probably be scumread otherwise.
-Hectic
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Post Post #781 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 12:28 pm

Post by Poyzin »

I only had BS’s vote when I claimed. I was at freaking L-4.

Korina I wasn’t even looking for crumbs. I didn’t know you were even crumbing until you said you were. I figured the tracker might have but I couldn’t care less who the tracker was at that time because I hoped they would claim when I did.
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Post Post #782 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 12:30 pm

Post by ObviousScum »

why is that better tho?
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Post Post #783 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 12:33 pm

Post by Poyzin »

In post 754, Farkran wrote:Korina. I understand you think your best chances are to win with cult, but really the optimal play for you is trying to lynch the CL today. Stop playing anti-town. The chances that Poyzin found out your crumb are very low and you know it - besides, point 3 is just grasping because the chances of a lurker being the correct counterclaim to poyzin were only 2/8. Anyone else would have counterclaimed poyzin immediately.
Literally this 100%. I don’t know why everybody is giving my claim and sh0s’s counterclaim the same weight. I’d like to be fair to sh0s, but I’m not. It’s good to consider the possibility that I could be the cultist and sh0s is actually the FN, but it’s just that. A possibility.
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Post Post #784 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 12:36 pm

Post by Poyzin »

In post 779, Hectic wrote:If sh0s is actually FN, he should be targeting who he townreads most OUTSIDE of NKorina (for obvious reasons).
If somebody says that they got a message from sh0s, I want you to lynch me. When I flip town rolestopper (because in this world we are assuming Korina gets culted because I’m supposedly a cultist to begin with), I want you to lynch whoever said they got sh0s’s message.
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Post Post #785 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 12:41 pm

Post by Blatant Scum »

VOTE: shos
Don’t forget about how when I asked him for a link to his scumgame, he linked THIS game. - Pyrrha Nikos
He usually never puts effort into reads like that, which does sometimes get him scumread, but since he was on an alt and we didn't know his meta, I can see CL!him making reads as an exception since he knows he'll probably be scumread otherwise.
-Hectic
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Post Post #786 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 12:59 pm

Post by Farkran »

It's 11 hours to deadline. Any vote not aimed at lynching the CL is wasted, otherwise please enlighten me on why is wrong.

Up to you to vote your highest CL candidate, but Korina can't be CL and Shos is the least likely to be CL among the others.
Farkran is back poggers
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Post Post #787 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 1:06 pm

Post by Farkran »

The problem with games with cult as the only scum faction is that so many people will play for cult win condition even when they aren't cult.

The setup should probably be adjusted with the addition of a SK in Micro, and/or a mafia faction in larger games. Some calculations, simulations etc should be run before getting to a proper setup, but i think it's fairly evident that even if the setup is balanced in a vacuum, it's wrong that so many people are trying to break it by playing against their current wincon.
Farkran is back poggers
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Post Post #788 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 1:23 pm

Post by Hectic »

What's up with that sh0s vote, Bla?
In post 722, Blatant Scum wrote:Don't lynch shos nor poy today.
Thought you agreed earlier.
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Post Post #789 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 1:26 pm

Post by Blatant Scum »

In post 786, Farkran wrote:It's 11 hours to deadline. Any vote not aimed at lynching the CL is wasted, otherwise please enlighten me on why is wrong.

Up to you to vote your highest CL candidate, but Korina can't be CL and Shos is the least likely to be CL among the others.
Bingle (with shos) focused on pushing Kanna instead of some easier target (me for example) -> shos is not cultist + Bingle CL (1)
Shos could hammer Bingle -> shos is not cultist + Bingle town (2)
(1)+(2) shos is not cultist (3)
Poy is very likely town because of that claim -> shos is cultist or CL (4)
(3)+(4) shos is CL.
Don’t forget about how when I asked him for a link to his scumgame, he linked THIS game. - Pyrrha Nikos
He usually never puts effort into reads like that, which does sometimes get him scumread, but since he was on an alt and we didn't know his meta, I can see CL!him making reads as an exception since he knows he'll probably be scumread otherwise.
-Hectic
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Post Post #790 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 1:27 pm

Post by Blatant Scum »

In post 788, Hectic wrote:What's up with that sh0s vote, Bla?
In post 722, Blatant Scum wrote:Don't lynch shos nor poy today.
Thought you agreed earlier.
Noone presented me (4) back then. I fully agree with (4).
Don’t forget about how when I asked him for a link to his scumgame, he linked THIS game. - Pyrrha Nikos
He usually never puts effort into reads like that, which does sometimes get him scumread, but since he was on an alt and we didn't know his meta, I can see CL!him making reads as an exception since he knows he'll probably be scumread otherwise.
-Hectic
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Post Post #791 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 1:33 pm

Post by ObviousScum »

Your theory is CL ccs for derp wifom when they can hammer?
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Post Post #792 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 1:34 pm

Post by ObviousScum »

Altho maybe shos didn't know vc I guess lol
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Post Post #793 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 1:39 pm

Post by Blatant Scum »

VOTE: Kanna
Don’t forget about how when I asked him for a link to his scumgame, he linked THIS game. - Pyrrha Nikos
He usually never puts effort into reads like that, which does sometimes get him scumread, but since he was on an alt and we didn't know his meta, I can see CL!him making reads as an exception since he knows he'll probably be scumread otherwise.
-Hectic
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Post Post #794 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 1:41 pm

Post by Bingle »

In post 669, Not A Korina Alt wrote:It doesn't matter to me because I wanna lynch one of {shos, poyzin} today.
No.
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Post Post #795 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 1:48 pm

Post by Bingle »

In post 629, Kanna wrote:Ok, I’m just gonna be honest here; bullet points cause I’m tired.

>I think it’s Bingle/Farkran; Farkran is CL, Bingle is cultist
>Bingle’s “gambit” was probably to make a fake case and push whoever who bit, what he didn’t account for imo is he needed to have confidence shos is town BEFORE pulling the gambit and I’m not sure why he would be confident unless he was cult
>shos is scummy but if I’m right, Bingle tmi’d him as town
>Rn, bingle knows there’s a high chance he’s going down so he’s pushing Farkran
>notice how bingle tried to tie me to Farkran by saying if I flip scum, it’s Farkran? I’m not flipping scum so if you decide to lynch me, it’s supposed to look good for Farkran
>Farkran’s latest combos don’t make sense but I think the main takeaway is just to link me and bingle for if he flips scum (I think he will)

Furthermore, I do think I didn’t really deserve a TR early on in the game, mainly because I didn’t really do that much, so Farkran’s early TR on me felt weird, almost appeasement because I wasn’t TRing them. Farkran has been my secret SR all along.

Also now that we know Poyzin is town, that push on him by Farkran was bad imo; I still have no idea why he tunnelled him apart from inactivity and it seemed easy.
Bingle thinks shos’ reaction to the gambit was towny. Thus, Bingle knew shos was town.


Why the fuck aren’t we lynching this?
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Post Post #796 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 1:51 pm

Post by ObviousScum »

What post did ur gambit start in again?
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Post Post #797 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 1:52 pm

Post by Bingle »

Poyzin on kori, kori on shos, shos on neither of the above.

Massclaim results tomorrow. You should be able to work out the implications without me.
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Post Post #798 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 1:52 pm

Post by Farkran »

In post 789, Blatant Scum wrote:
In post 786, Farkran wrote:It's 11 hours to deadline. Any vote not aimed at lynching the CL is wasted, otherwise please enlighten me on why is wrong.

Up to you to vote your highest CL candidate, but Korina can't be CL and Shos is the least likely to be CL among the others.
Bingle (with shos) focused on pushing Kanna instead of some easier target (me for example) -> shos is not cultist + Bingle CL (1)
Shos could hammer Bingle -> shos is not cultist + Bingle town (2)
(1)+(2) shos is not cultist (3)
Poy is very likely town because of that claim -> shos is cultist or CL (4)
(3)+(4) shos is CL.
1) Bingle was pushing poyzin, makes sense that cult!shos aligned with bingle pushes elsewhere. Poyzin never reached L-1, no quickhammers to make for cultist!shos.
2) Only true if shos is town, doesn't necessarily mean Bingle is also town - besides, cultist!shos does not hammer CL!bingle either
3) Wrong premise, wrong conclusion
4) if shos is cultist, the chances he does not hammer town!bingle are veeeeery little

1+2+3+4 = shos is likely cultist, never CL - the only two cases where bingle is not CL are A. shos is town, poyzin is lying, etc; B. cultist!shos is fooling around with the town. Both these have little chance to be true.
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Post Post #799 (ISO) » Thu Jan 23, 2020 1:53 pm

Post by Bingle »

353 I think. Mobile with no WiFi, so that’s all she wrote.
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