Mini Normal 2125: Chiptune Mafia [The End]

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Post Post #2275 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 10:56 am

Post by Battle Mage »

town has even less hope of winning if Eyestott and Taly are both town, and follow Taly's reads on the game.
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2020 Stats - 31 completed games:

Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
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Post Post #2276 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:01 am

Post by Paragon »

Wait, what? Your actual prediction is nothing like what you've been saying in most of your posts. I feel what you're saying but with regards to eyestott for me. If he's town, then we probably lose if Taly is scum.

Our favourite Ninja Cult Leader, popsofctown is telling me to post another prediction for posterity's sake for post game:

Taly + eyestott + Battle Mage
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Post Post #2277 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:06 am

Post by Paragon »

I think my solve actually just boils down to 3 of [Taly, eyestott, Battle Mage, Something_Smart] being scum. Aloratom and Churros, do not fail me. Blake Belladonna tells me I'm being too narrow minded, and that I should broaden my horizons and at least consider Aloratom a little more, but I think Luca Blight agrees with me in Aloratom being a standup guy, and probably just town.
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Post Post #2278 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:10 am

Post by Churros »

I'm here.

I truly hadn't enough time in lunch break but another reason I wanted to wait for this game
specifically
is because I had something important to say and wanted to consider things a bit more in the calm state of a post-shower mind, because I'm really weirded out right now.
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Post Post #2279 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:11 am

Post by Paragon »

In other news, Ame's had a serious falling out with the group! She told them she had a dream where clidd was looming over the 3 of them, and systematically plucked each into the air and ate them while Huming. I think it really creeped them out... so anyway, she's no longer in the townbloc within the hivemind.

Pedit: !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1
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Post Post #2280 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:12 am

Post by Battle Mage »

Churros, claim now.
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2020 Stats - 31 completed games:

Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
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Post Post #2281 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:12 am

Post by Battle Mage »

also what is it with people in this game talking about their bathroom habits?
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2020 Stats - 31 completed games:

Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
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Post Post #2282 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:16 am

Post by Battle Mage »

In post 2276, Paragon wrote:Wait, what? Your actual prediction is nothing like what you've been saying in most of your posts. I feel what you're saying but with regards to eyestott for me. If he's town, then we probably lose if Taly is scum.

Our favourite Ninja Cult Leader, popsofctown is telling me to post another prediction for posterity's sake for post game:

Taly + eyestott + Battle Mage
That's even more reason to lynch Taly today then.

Both because I'm in your top 3 lynches too, but also because Eyestott will follow Taly anyway. Although if you're right, it won't be possible to lynch Taly-scum anyway without somebody bussing.

My gut feeling is screaming that you are scum - something about the eagerness and excitement which comes with scum on the cusp of victory. Although you're conducting yourself with calmness and grace, so kudos for your manner. :wink:
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2020 Stats - 31 completed games:

Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
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Post Post #2283 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:17 am

Post by Churros »

I'm a 1-shot Novice Gunsmith.

The reason I was putting Taly on the "fridge" was because I got less confident on her and wanted to only lynch with a guilty there, because if she flipped town I feel like it would be chaotic for me. I also wanted to be smug by everyone denying me on Taly/avoid being idiot if I was wrong. But my ego aside, I didn't check Taly yesterday because regardless of Taly's alignment, I definitely felt that SS had to be scum with a town!NDmath flip.

I checked SS. He doesn't have a gun.

I checked mafiawiki, apparently the unique possibility of S_S not being town is if he's a mafia doctor, which seems pretty unlikely so far. It would be believable if the vigilante had more than one-shot, but it already flipped and it was indeed 1-shot like me.

RC is known for town sided setups, a mafia doctor is very unlikely even if all claims so far were true, and it's even less likely if there's someone fakeclaiming PR.
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Post Post #2284 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:18 am

Post by Churros »

SS is...against all odds very very probably town.
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Post Post #2285 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:20 am

Post by Paragon »

In post 2282, Battle Mage wrote:My gut feeling is screaming that you are scum - something about the eagerness and excitement which comes with scum on the cusp of victory. Although you're conducting yourself with calmness and grace, so kudos for your manner.
I'm having a lot of fun! I know scum wins this 80% of the time, but doesn't mean I can't enjoy the ride. I assure you my attitude is NAI.
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Post Post #2286 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:21 am

Post by Something_Smart »

Oh goddammit.

Now my reads actually matter.
Shame on a martyr claiming friends
From either perspective of &
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Post Post #2287 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:22 am

Post by Churros »

In post 2282, Battle Mage wrote:That's even more reason to lynch Taly today then.
I skimmed a bunch of posts and didn't nearly read everything yet, but weren't you saying that you wanted to lynch me?

Your reason for wanting to lynch me already didn't make any sense since it was roughly an association/info lynch when we're in
LyLo
, but you're spinning it around now that I hinted at being a PR?

Anyway, I need to count but isn't BM/me confirmed to have scum from any 3rd party PoV and we always lynch here? He voted me for some time, I think everyone aside from me/Alo posted and there was no hammer. Why I feel like people are so mechanically slow nowadays...? Like, no offense but?
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Post Post #2288 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:24 am

Post by Battle Mage »

Of all the PR claims, I think Taly's is the least plausible. Although it's still plausible.
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2020 Stats - 31 completed games:

Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
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Post Post #2289 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:24 am

Post by Churros »

I should double check for how much time BM voted me/if everyone posted but I do think it was almost everyone.

Yeah, if Alo is scum he isn't confirmed but to be honest I just don't like the way he treated my slot at all and I'm individually SR what he has posted so far.

Info/associations lynches in LyLo as town just doesn't enter my mind. He's talking as if there's a tomorrow to sort when if we get it wrong today we possibly have no future at all.
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Post Post #2290 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:25 am

Post by Something_Smart »

My current thoughts are that Taly is the only PR claim that can be scum, and he's been my top townread all game.
Shame on a martyr claiming friends
From either perspective of &
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Post Post #2291 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:26 am

Post by Something_Smart »

Obviously, if we find out there are only two scum, that changes things.
Shame on a martyr claiming friends
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Post Post #2292 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:26 am

Post by Battle Mage »

In post 2287, Churros wrote:
In post 2282, Battle Mage wrote:That's even more reason to lynch Taly today then.
I skimmed a bunch of posts and didn't nearly read everything yet, but weren't you saying that you wanted to lynch me?

Your reason for wanting to lynch me already didn't make any sense since it was roughly an association/info lynch when we're in
LyLo
, but you're spinning it around now that I hinted at being a PR?

Anyway, I need to count but isn't BM/me confirmed to have scum from any 3rd party PoV and we always lynch here? He voted me for some time, I think everyone aside from me/Alo posted and there was no hammer. Why I feel like people are so mechanically slow nowadays...? Like, no offense but?
this was posted before you claimed a PR - I had no idea whether you were going to claim anything until you did.

And no, I was online for the maybe 20 minutes the vote was left on. It was pretty obviously bait, and nobody went for it (sadly!). NAI for you, or anyone around at the time.
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2020 Stats - 31 completed games:

Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
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Post Post #2293 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:27 am

Post by Paragon »

This means:

The only case in which eyestott is scum is in the case where there are only 2 scum in the game. 1-shot vig + 1-shot gunsmith(?) + 2-shot bulletproof(?) is definitely not balanced for 3 scum in 12 players.
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Post Post #2294 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:30 am

Post by Paragon »

Taly + Battle Mage + Aloratom

Covering my bases.
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Post Post #2295 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:31 am

Post by Battle Mage »

Ok I'm taking the plunge.

Vote: Taly


For reasons already clearly outlined.
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2020 Stats - 31 completed games:

Survived to the end and won - 11
Nightkilled - 10
Survived to the end and lost - 6
Day-elimmed by majority - 4

winrate as scum: 78%
winrate as town: 55%
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Post Post #2296 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:32 am

Post by Paragon »

I am very tempted to join this.
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Post Post #2297 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:33 am

Post by Churros »

In post 2288, Battle Mage wrote:Of all the PR claims, I think Taly's is the least plausible. Although it's still plausible.
About this I've more beef with eyesott claim than I have with Taly's.

I'll consider for now on my pov, only me/Blake roles as confirmed.

Ok, we have a 1-shot Novice Gunsmith, and a 1-shot Vigilante.

The classic false positive investigative thing, and both are gated at 1-shot which suggest that scum doesn't have a lot of power in their hands.

RC is known for doing town sided setups, and one more PR sounds plausible, but Neapolitan, another investigative role, ungated?

Hm.

But 2-shot BP?

2-shot BP, 1-shot Gunsmith, 1-shot Vigilante are all gated and have synergy. The Vigilante can be either false guilt'ed by me or get his shot nullified by the BP. It's ok setup design. Neapolitan doesn't necessarily is odd here but it's not as much fitting either.

Now with roughly the above, I find it unlike as well that scum has no PRs at all. I think they would have a weak one out of three man. The ones to come to mind are:

1) Neighbours

which no one claimed

and

2) Role-cop,

Now, in a world where there's a rolecop, how likely you think that there's a neapolitan in town?

Eyesott can easily be a role cop fakeclaiming. Easily. It's a claim that reveals 0 useful information to town while at the same time gives him credit since he has a "role".

I don't see any special reason for a neapolitan in the setup above, even if I was to remove Taly's claim and consider her fakeclaiming.
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Post Post #2298 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:36 am

Post by Paragon »

Churros makes a good point actually. Taly's a 'he' btw.

Battle Mage, how'd you go from Taly not being in your "actual prediction" to voting him?
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Post Post #2299 (ISO) » Mon Apr 13, 2020 11:38 am

Post by Churros »

In post 2292, Battle Mage wrote:
In post 2287, Churros wrote:
In post 2282, Battle Mage wrote:That's even more reason to lynch Taly today then.
I skimmed a bunch of posts and didn't nearly read everything yet, but weren't you saying that you wanted to lynch me?

Your reason for wanting to lynch me already didn't make any sense since it was roughly an association/info lynch when we're in
LyLo
, but you're spinning it around now that I hinted at being a PR?

Anyway, I need to count but isn't BM/me confirmed to have scum from any 3rd party PoV and we always lynch here? He voted me for some time, I think everyone aside from me/Alo posted and there was no hammer. Why I feel like people are so mechanically slow nowadays...? Like, no offense but?
And no, I was online for the maybe 20 minutes the vote was left on
. It was pretty obviously bait, and nobody went for it (sadly!). NAI for you, or anyone around at the time.
Ah, I feel a bit stupid now.

I still don't like how you treated my slot though
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