Mini 2133: XP Mafia II (Game Over)


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Post Post #1575 (ISO) » Thu Apr 30, 2020 7:23 pm

Post by Ame »

In post 1550, Knightmare491 wrote:I don't understand your TR on ginngie, it seems to be because mastina called her town(?) And that doesn't make much sense to me.
1. Mastina has a (I believe) 100% accuracy rate on Ginnie. Mastina town read Ginnie this game. I trust that read.
2. Ginnie's self-meta that she provided in the quest came off as genuine.
3. Ginnie's play and reactions have come off as genuine.
4. His read list mistake looks like it was coming from lazy town rather than fake-lazy scum.
5. I think he would have altered his playstyle once mastina replaced out if he were scum.
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Post Post #1576 (ISO) » Thu Apr 30, 2020 9:41 pm

Post by Ame »

In post 1561, Raya36 wrote:
In post 1466, Ame wrote:
In post 1430, Raya36 wrote:I have a new readlist. I'd be happy to go for momo
Spoiler:
Town

Pine
Hectic
Spring
Ame
NK15
Ginngie
Knightmare
Pink Ball
Lady Chloe
Momo

Scum


VOTE: momo
Can you go into your Knightmare read? In particular, why is he above Pink and Lady?
I'm curious what changed about your Hectic read as well.
Also, why are you most confident in Pine as town?
Lastly, what point about Spring are you referring to that changed your mind about her?
Knightmare:
I liked Knightmare's posts and questions. I agree with his views on Spring like , . He's been doing more than Pink and Lady in my opinion. But I just haven't seen him do anything that really stood out as town to me.

Hectic:
I think it's really unlikely he's buddies with Farkset. Both had always been buddied up this game and top town read for each. That just doesn't seem like a scumbuddy thing to do. I also like his recent catch up. Throughout the game I had always had a suspicious townlean on him too. I also agree with his most recent readslist for the most part. Ours are actually quite similar looking back on it.

Pine:
I feel like Pine's claim is genuine and honest. It would be so weird for scum to ask everyone to pause for a potential mod error just to fake a role claim like that. Also our discussion about him changed my mind about him and made me confident he is town.

Spring:
Hectic said that he thinks his attack on you is emotion-fueled from you being the reason for his capture yesterday. Which would make sense coming from town, not scum. Town gets captured and can easily be emotionally driven to believe their capturer is scum. Also I just honestly don't think the Farkset and Spring interactions were SvS. I also don't think the big quest control thing was scum either.
Finally
.

Raya, I'm going to be honest with you now. I've had a secret scum read on you all game. But your responses are always perfectly written and your tone has such a pure essence, I could not reasonably justify my read. I came up with the volunteer capture strategy yesterday as an attempt to capture you without having to push you as a scum read.

I will also claim now. I am the vig. I had two ways of activating the lynch mechanic: (1) successfully killing someone (in which they become a treestump), or (2) being killed. I claimed only the latter part yesterday to prevent scum from roleblocking me. Additionally, knowing I was the vig, I felt safe asking for the vig to shoot me. I originally was going to shoot you, and planned to for most of the day, until Farkset became a priority. My goal was to capture one scum member and shoot another, hence why once I decided I was going to shoot Farkran, I attempted to swing the capture to you.

I've also been trying to catch you slipping, but you haven't done anything particularly scum indicative until today: this read list seems quite fake to me.

1. First, I do not find it believable that your read on Pine changed so drastically from our exchange or even from Farkset's flip. Your read on him throughout the game has been inconsistent.

a. Progression
~
You question Farkset's Pine town read near the beginning of Day 1 .
~
Again when he responds .
~
And then you defend Pine's lurking in .
~
And agree with Ginnie's "this is town Pine" after Pine made a completely NAI post about feeling better .
~
Yet you came into day 2 with Pine as one of your two scum picks , your reasoning being that Farkset town read/defended him . This is off because the reasonable conclusion would be that Farkset had TMI town read him.
~
Somehow me pointing this out was enough to completely reverse your read to the point where he is
your strongest town read
, ? It's hard to believe this is sinscere.

~red
indicates you finding him suspicious,
~green
indicates you finding him townie

b. Impossible meta read
You also claim that your scum read on Pine was based on meta. But you have only played with him in a game where he posted once and was replaced out.
It is not believable that you are using this to contrast his play here, which has certainly also been lurky (as you acknowledged in ).


2. The point that Hectic brought up about Spring is incredibly speculative. You have no idea if she was pushing me because she was upset about being captured. And even if so, that's not necessarily town indicative. Your reversal on this read, , does not feel to be coming from a genuine solve-oriented mindset.

3. Why am I so low! This is weird to me. The only person I could reasonably expect Ame not being at the top or near the top of their read list is Spring. It's not believable to me that one of your strongest scum reads coming into today and SPRING are suddenly above Ame's placement based on the quite fragile reasoning that was given for both: Pine being a TMI read and Spring being angry. I suspect the reason for my position is related to the first point below (A1).

Additional things that I've found suspicious


A1. , , and felt reactionary to my , like you were feeling scum was close to being cornered through PoE.

A2. So many of your reads have felt like TMI.
~In particular, your agreeing with Ginnie on Pine in . The read made sense from Ginnie's perspective who has experience with Pine, but not from you who only had one game with him where he posted once and replaced out!
~Your read on Chloe in that same post also seemed incredibly forced, though I'm not sure if this is TMI or if she was just your scum buddy. As Farkset pointed out, Chloe's post could easily be faked.
It's odd that you had such a strong read based on superficial reasoning.

A3. You've made a lot of random comments that don't really go anywhere or build a cohesive narrative.
~In you said that my neighborizer vote was almost too scummy to be scum, but you never went anywhere with it.
~In you state that Pink's comment doesn't seem like something scum would say, but never incorporate that into your reads. Did the fact that he was making a joke change the read?
~You ask Pink ball why he voted Pine then never follow up on it.
These all come off to me as fake scum hunting as you never incorporate them into your analysis. It's like you're just providing commentary.

A4. Your position on Farkset was fence sitty and you never committed your vote to him. You had him as strong town at the beginning of the day, but never explained why you were comfortable capturing him at the end.

With all these in mind, I think you're scum.

VOTE: Raya

However, as with Farkset, I would very much like to give you the opportunity to dismantle my case. These are the essential components:

1
Your read list.

Your progression on Pine.
Your meta read on Pine.
Your progression Spring.
Your progression on Ame.

2
Your director's commentary.

3
Your fence-sitting position on Farkset.


Question: What is a 'suspicious town lean'?

I'm Madoka btw.
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Post Post #1577 (ISO) » Thu Apr 30, 2020 9:48 pm

Post by Alisae »

oh ur madoka
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Post Post #1578 (ISO) » Thu Apr 30, 2020 10:09 pm

Post by Alisae »

reading some of your recent interactions with raya, i'll help you out with this ame
VOTE: raya
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Post Post #1579 (ISO) » Thu Apr 30, 2020 10:13 pm

Post by Alisae »

I think the team is exactly Knightmare and Raya
Knightmare mostly for mastina's posts.
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Post Post #1580 (ISO) » Thu Apr 30, 2020 10:24 pm

Post by Alisae »

actually i don't really like creature saying fark was bussing NK15 but I still want to flip nightmare over creature I think chloe looks better then mastina by far
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Post Post #1581 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 2:10 am

Post by Hectic »

VOTE: Raya

I agree with Ame's thoughts regarding Raya. I was feeling pinged as well when I read that readslist. Some of the wording also felt a little like scum trying to be too transparent that I've seen sometimes happens.

I do enjoy this new way you case people, Ame. I received all your letters and they were fantastically contradictory. I'll get back to you but I just ran out of ink, so I've ordered a new shipment that you'll have to wait on.
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Post Post #1582 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 2:11 am

Post by Hectic »

In post 1576, Ame wrote:I'm Madoka btw.
Wow, outing your super secret alt on a whim like that.

Creature's felt towny since replacing in just because of meta. Knightmare I can't remember, will have a look back at both later.
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Post Post #1583 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 4:38 am

Post by Raya36 »

In post 1576, Ame wrote:
1
Your read list.

Your progression on Pine.
Your meta read on Pine.
Your progression Spring.
Your progression on Ame.

2
Your director's commentary.

3
Your fence-sitting position on Farkset.


Question: What is a 'suspicious town lean'?
1.
a) I agree that my progression on Pine is all over the place. I'm not trying to hide that though. In I even pointed out that my read is back and forth on him. I explained everything I was going back and forth on in that post. 188 was a question to understand why they thought that was a town post. Not questioning his town read. 250 was the same. It doesn't mean I was suspicious of Pine. I was trying to understand Farkset. I stand by 691. 845 was Farkset's post. I think you meant 854. I still stand by that. It's admittedly weak but it felt genuine. The readlist I came in with was mainly and almost entirely just Farkset association. Slots I already had a strong read on were of course had their position influenced by that read. But closer to null slots like Pine were only association. And I thought Farkset lightly defending him was a bad association. You pointed out to me that it was probably TMI from Farkset which made me realize my association was wrong. That association was the only reason Pine was so low. That point was enough to make me believe Pine is town. My two possibilities were Pine lied about his role at the start of the day and Farkset was lightly defending him because he is scum, or if Farkset was TMI defending him then he is town and his claim is true which makes him town. You convinced me that Farkset TMI read him, I believe his claim, he is town.

b) You're forgetting that I said I skimmed a few of his games in TRF. There were some Pine-meta discussions in TRF too if I recall correctly. For some reason I strongly remember playing with him years ago but when I checked my list it doesn't seem like I did. I'm honestly really confused about that because I remember his name and profile picture and I associate that with a personality. Maybe I followed a game with him in it before?

c) I honestly just don't think the quest leader thing was from scum, and I don't think spring and Farkset are buddies based on associations. I really don't think they spent all of D1 arguing back and forth if they were scum together and I don't think Spring would consistently push his buddy like that. That's why I had spring so high on the nka list. In 1342 I said I'd be happy to consider your point about spring being scum but not for a lynch today. Then NK pointed out the inconsistencies about his claims about XP. That made me vote. After reading through again and reconsidering for my latest list I went back to the NKA reasoning. I just really really can't see them being buddies. Even if he lied or was confused or something about his XP. I still want to hear from him about that point. But unless Fakset and Spring were trying really hard to dissociate I just don't see it. Hectic reinforced that when he pointed out his push on Ame maybe being emotional from being captured. I know if I was in his position as town I would probably think Ame is scum too.

d) Pine I decided claimed honestly and is town. Hectic came across strongly as town to me this day and also I don't believe Farkset and Hectic as scumbuddies would have each other as top reads and play so friendly. I always thought of Hectic as town but I was also very suspicious of the slot because nothing was strongly town to me but that changed. Based on associations and what I described above I really think Spring has to be town. I'm still confused about the XP thing though which is why he is only third on the list. Ame, the reason you're below them isn't because I started to townread you less. It's because I started to townread the people above you less. You're only lower because I townread the people above you stronger than I've ever townread you when you were at the top. You can consider yourself the barline of my reads D1. You did not move. Other people just got placed above you. Part of the reason they are above you is because I feel like they must be town. When I made that list there was still a small part of me considering you're really strong scum taking a townleading role. Since your claim and your case on me I change my mind. That was extremely town and I believe your claim is true. It makes complete sense with your suspicion of Lady Chloe too. If I were to redo a list you would be equal with Pine at the top now.

2.
188: You came across as very town after that. I had nowhere to go with it so I left it. It was just something I noticed early game and pointed out and as my read changed I saw no reason to bring up something small like that later.
682: It was a small detail and it was incorporated into my read on him, just not stated out loud. When I say little things like that sometimes I use them as reminders to find later in my iso. It's hard for me to keep track of all my reads in my head, especially closer to null players, which is why I like readlists and I'm constantly going through my own iso to remind myself of what I thought of people and why.
I have a bad habit of basically never following up on a question if it doesn't get answered. I'm sure if you did some digging you could find me doing it in plenty of games. I ask a lot of questions and I always respond to the replies but if it's not replied to I tend to forget about it. Unless I really really wanted the answer or I felt I was on to something.

3.
I was having a really hard time with Farkset but what I said here kind of describes how I was feeling: . I was ok with the farkset capture mainly because of agreeing with what other people were saying about them. It honestly wasn't because of anything I had come up with on my own besides a gut feeling and also because someone town posting that much should give me a townread on them, which I didn't have at the time. I do seem fence-sitty but that was because I was very unsure about the slot.

Question:
I town leaned but was suspicious
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Post Post #1584 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 11:34 am

Post by Pink Ball »

Pro: Ali is here yay
Con: wallposts

What do I do
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Post Post #1585 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 11:54 am

Post by Creature »

Looks like that time I had to deal with Realeo
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Post Post #1586 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 11:55 am

Post by Creature »

Worth noting Realeo was scum there
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Post Post #1587 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 11:56 am

Post by Creature »

Wallposts are still annoying, I hate wasting my time scrolling past them
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Post Post #1588 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 12:11 pm

Post by Pink Ball »

I don't care wasting my time scrolling past them, but I probably won't read them and that leaves me out of the game
"Your intentions are not defined by how things went, but how things could've gone." (Ball, 2019)
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Post Post #1589 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 12:33 pm

Post by Ame »

I'm collecting grubs.
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Post Post #1590 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 3:04 pm

Post by Raven Branwen »

Okay, hi guys. I confirm town voyeuer and Spring did participate in the quest. Since she was captured D1, she obviously had no night actions N1. I still have some catching up to do but based on what I just read from the now locked Quest thread, I think Gingie is town.
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Post Post #1591 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 3:07 pm

Post by Raven Branwen »

In post 1266, springlullaby wrote:VOTE: Lynch
VOTE: Ame
UNVOTE:
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Post Post #1592 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 3:12 pm

Post by Hectic »

Another RWBY character???
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Post Post #1593 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 3:15 pm

Post by Hectic »

Raya, out of interest, is English your first language?
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Post Post #1594 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 3:16 pm

Post by Hectic »

In post 1588, Pink Ball wrote:I don't care wasting my time scrolling past them, but I probably won't read them and that leaves me out of the game
If a wall post was split into 10 different short posts, would you read them?
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Post Post #1595 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 3:17 pm

Post by Raven Branwen »

In post 1592, Hectic wrote:Another RWBY character???
Why not?
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Post Post #1596 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 3:23 pm

Post by Pink Ball »

In post 1594, Hectic wrote:
In post 1588, Pink Ball wrote:I don't care wasting my time scrolling past them, but I probably won't read them and that leaves me out of the game
If a wall post was split into 10 different short posts, would you read them?
Back to back posts? It would be the same. I think mafia is about interactions, not one or two players rambling. But hey that's my preferred style, I'm fine laying back and being player number 2 for a while.
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Post Post #1597 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 3:26 pm

Post by Creature »

In post 1594, Hectic wrote:
In post 1588, Pink Ball wrote:I don't care wasting my time scrolling past them, but I probably won't read them and that leaves me out of the game
If a wall post was split into 10 different short posts, would you read them?
I would
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Post Post #1598 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 3:32 pm

Post by Hectic »

In post 1595, Raven Branwen wrote:
In post 1592, Hectic wrote:Another RWBY character???
Why not?
No reason. I'm just looking forward to the RP if there is any.
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Post Post #1599 (ISO) » Fri May 01, 2020 3:33 pm

Post by Raven Branwen »

In post 524, Professor Moriarty wrote:
In post 428, Ame wrote:
@mod
what should we use to unvote?
UNVOTE: will be interpreted as unvoting your capture vote; to unvote a mechanic, list the name of it, like UNVOTE: Neighborizer.
UNVOTE: Lynch
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