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Post Post #75 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 12:55 pm

Post by Night 3 Roses »

lmao i'm sorry i'm still not getting it, what do you mean by "either no bomb or no supersaint"? there can be both in a game?

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pedit: good one but also why
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Post Post #76 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 12:55 pm

Post by Night 3 Roses »

yoink

-D
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Post Post #77 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 12:56 pm

Post by DkKoba »

In post 74, Hoctac wrote:DkKoba, you said you would use MS Paint for your setup spec but then used Excel/Spreadsheets instead? Is there a reason you lied there?
i thought i could mental math it.
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Post Post #78 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 12:59 pm

Post by Hoctac »

But at the end you couldn't, so you switched over to a more convenient app. I see, and this seems to all check out!
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Post Post #79 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 12:59 pm

Post by DkKoba »

uhhh if the setup rand doesn't roll each SS/bomb slot individually then my spec is useless but I went under the assumption that it does.
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Post Post #80 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:01 pm

Post by Night 3 Roses »

it first rolls how many "non-vigs" there are and then it's a coinflip between bomb/SS, not sure what's the difference

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Post Post #81 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:02 pm

Post by DkKoba »

so we either have:

only SS
or only bombs?
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Post Post #82 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:03 pm

Post by Night 3 Roses »

no no no, sorry
coinflip between each non-vig slot

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Post Post #83 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:04 pm

Post by Night 3 Roses »

each slot individually has 50/50 odds of being one or the other
sorry if i'm explaining bad it is 2 am and i am tired

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Post Post #84 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:05 pm

Post by HoldenGolden »

In post 75, Night 3 Roses wrote:lmao i'm sorry i'm still not getting it, what do you mean by "either no bomb or no supersaint"? there can be both in a game?

-D

pedit: good one but also why
In post 73, DkKoba wrote:also did a quick reskim of things and almost thought about voting holden but i think im 'holden' back on that one.

my ego says to keep my vote parked.
*long sigh* the lack of MSPaint saddens me. Nice legend though.

What made you want to vote me?
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Post Post #85 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:06 pm

Post by DkKoba »

I like slot information and when I see pressure forming on someone it helps advance the game state :) but you are not a quiet slot so I don't see a particular need to flip my vote at the moment.
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Post Post #86 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:07 pm

Post by HoldenGolden »

Basically each category of roles (Vig vs Non vig) has an independent 50% chance of being either option from my understanding

Pedit: Fair enough.
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Post Post #87 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:08 pm

Post by DkKoba »

I MADE A FATAL MISTAKE IN MY GRAPH
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"1 thing I will give you Dk, I think you are very good at manipulating. I don't mean that in a bad way, I just think you [have] this way with yourself. You know what to say and when to say [it]." ~VFP
"Koba doesn't really have a scumrange/townrange, Koba will kill your pet cat to win a game" ~Pooky
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Post Post #88 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:09 pm

Post by Night 3 Roses »

10 total players?

-D
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Post Post #89 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:09 pm

Post by HoldenGolden »

Would there be any strategy in having the town non-vigs only claim non-vig rather than bomb/SS for any claims made post Day 1?

Other than preventing confusion, I only really think of one situation that would promote a full claim for that subsection of town PRs
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Post Post #90 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:10 pm

Post by HoldenGolden »

In post 69, ceejayvinoya wrote:My vote on Holden stays. Most awkward guy so far.
Also awkward in what way?

Dont be shy. I'm apperently the socially awkward one.
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Post Post #91 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:11 pm

Post by Night 3 Roses »

last run of the setup, we first only claimed either vig or non-vig to create the "pools", and later on when it came down to planning some other stuff fullclaimed.

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Post Post #92 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:11 pm

Post by DkKoba »

also uh I don't know if this statistic is incorrect but I found something disconcerting in my probability calculation BUT now im no longer tired and have motivation for more MS paint
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Post Post #93 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:22 pm

Post by DkKoba »

Image fixed also added extra stats, the one about essentially 50/50 chance of only having a single type of non vig PR is disconcerting.
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Post Post #94 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:31 pm

Post by DkKoba »

I'm just going to throw out a few notes on what I think.

1.) no claims d1 because variance in PRs is enough for scum to hide in either pile without really being able to pin it down, however, they cannot both hide in 1 pile without being confirmed to both be in that pile. (at least I think so? I need to go over the possibilities. at least theres certain cases where it would become immediately apparent).
2.) n1 analysis will be important if there are obvious non-scum kills.
3.) idk bomb mechs but we can setup a slot code to make sure vigs don't all target the same person and we don't gain any info from a death. also don't want all vigs to suicide onto a single bomb if thats a thing LOL
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"1 thing I will give you Dk, I think you are very good at manipulating. I don't mean that in a bad way, I just think you [have] this way with yourself. You know what to say and when to say [it]." ~VFP
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Post Post #95 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:34 pm

Post by DkKoba »

Image

this is an example situation where vig can self confirm themselves as a real vig, and thus can "claim" a kill for example if they are being lynched. (and this be clear). this is a niche case but its SOMETHING we can utilize if it happens, plus the vig in questiion would know they can aim to kill scum.
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"1 thing I will give you Dk, I think you are very good at manipulating. I don't mean that in a bad way, I just think you [have] this way with yourself. You know what to say and when to say [it]." ~VFP
"Koba doesn't really have a scumrange/townrange, Koba will kill your pet cat to win a game" ~Pooky
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Post Post #96 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:39 pm

Post by Hoctac »

Which shape represents me?
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Post Post #97 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:41 pm

Post by DkKoba »

Image you are lightning fast!
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"1 thing I will give you Dk, I think you are very good at manipulating. I don't mean that in a bad way, I just think you [have] this way with yourself. You know what to say and when to say [it]." ~VFP
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Post Post #98 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:43 pm

Post by DkKoba »

anyways I think holden wifom'd too much so i think i changed my mind about voting them VOTE: holden
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"Koba doesn't really have a scumrange/townrange, Koba will kill your pet cat to win a game" ~Pooky
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Post Post #99 (ISO) » Tue May 19, 2020 1:50 pm

Post by HoldenGolden »

In post 95, DkKoba wrote:Image

this is an example situation where vig can self confirm themselves as a real vig, and thus can "claim" a kill for example if they are being lynched. (and this be clear). this is a niche case but its SOMETHING we can utilize if it happens, plus the vig in questiion would know they can aim to kill scum.
How does this confirm anything by having them shoot a SS (which we have to know exists) that scum would be forced to shoot or gungho on their lynch to avoid being placed in the hammer spot? How would you coordinate that without the risk of mafia simply expending their rb ability on the claimed vig?

I think the only way to "confirm" a claim like this would be post the vig shot, but nothing stops vigs stacking up on one target unless we come up with a system for it.

Also lol, mafia shooting the bomb
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