Micro 950: Lovers Mafia

SleeperSoul · Post Post #325 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 11:56 am

yes....

Raya36 · Post Post #326 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 11:56 am

Also did votato tell you to look at the meta or did you do that yourself without his knowledge?

Raya36 · Post Post #327 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 11:56 am

In post 325, SleeperSoul wrote:yes....

So you only know 1 of his town games (I assume town)

SleeperSoul · Post Post #328 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 11:57 am

The meta between votato and me is based on one game. no votato didn't tell me anything about our meta

Raya36 · Post Post #329 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 11:58 am

So you never looked at his scum games?

PookyTheMagicalBear · Post Post #330 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 11:59 am

ok huddle around guys it's galaxy brain time

SleeperSoul · Post Post #331 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 11:59 am

I have not looked at his scum games.

PookyTheMagicalBear · Post Post #332 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:00 pm

I literally solved this setup in 2 minutes but I had to spend 5 minutes looking for a decent galaxy brain image to meme with

SleeperSoul · Post Post #333 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:00 pm

lol worth it

Raya36 · Post Post #334 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:00 pm

How can you meta read someone as town when you never even looked at their scum games? How do you know his town play isn't the exact same as his scum play? Most people only show slight variations in their play. It takes a lot of digging and thinking about motivation to meta read someone. Not just that they feel town because they're acting the same as they did in 1 town game you played with them before.

SleeperSoul · Post Post #335 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:01 pm

It's a soul read.

SleeperSoul · Post Post #336 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:02 pm

You guys are right to be concerned though

Raya36 · Post Post #337 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:02 pm

My concern is that you're telling me that votato is almost 100% town and your only reasoning is meta when you're only comparing to 1 town game. And Votato is saying you're 100% town for whatever reason. Are you sure you're not being pocketed Sleeper?

This is the one thing I agree with Drew about your pair. You seem very pocketed rn

Raya36 · Post Post #338 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:03 pm

Ok soul read not meta read. But I still don't see how its possible to have such a strong read on someone based on 1 town game

PookyTheMagicalBear · Post Post #339 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:03 pm

This setup has a history of 30% town wins - https://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=True_Love

That's ATROCIOUS compared to what the actual town win rate should be if you played it completely randomly - just pick a random team, lynch all the other teams you'd win 50% of the time - since the probability of picking a town team is like 50%,

So instead of trying to figure who is scum, let's just figure out who is town. If we are 100% sure that 1 team is definitely 100% town - we can just lynch all 3 other teams and win the game if we're right.

Raya36 · Post Post #340 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:04 pm

Did votato suggest you two form a townbloc or anything of the sort? Did he suggest you read each other as town? Did he suggest you two aim to stay alive or to team up?

PookyTheMagicalBear · Post Post #341 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:04 pm

but honestly that's probably not as fun as lynching drew and watching him squeal

so let's just lynch drew.

SleeperSoul · Post Post #342 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:05 pm

In post 340, Raya36 wrote:Did votato suggest you two form a townbloc or anything of the sort? Did he suggest you read each other as town? Did he suggest you two aim to stay alive or to team up?

no

Raya36 · Post Post #343 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:06 pm

In post 339, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:This setup has a history of 30% town wins - https://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=True_Love

That's ATROCIOUS compared to what the actual town win rate should be if you played it completely randomly - just pick a random team, lynch all the other teams you'd win 50% of the time - since the probability of picking a town team is like 50%,

So instead of trying to figure who is scum, let's just figure out who is town. If we are 100% sure that 1 team is definitely 100% town - we can just lynch all 3 other teams and win the game if we're right.

I agree with town hunting rather than scumhunting. I'm better at that anyway (has nothing to do with the chances of being right on town being higher...)

SleeperSoul · Post Post #344 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:06 pm

my town is

pooky
raya
votato
tux
holden
bugspray

PookyTheMagicalBear · Post Post #345 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:07 pm

sleeper do you actually have a reason for thinking votato is town or scum? Like I have a list of things that my lover bugspray has done and I just add/minus points based on what he does in the future.

PookyTheMagicalBear · Post Post #346 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:07 pm

I agree if Raya is mafia she's a god at this game

Raya36 · Post Post #347 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:08 pm

Sleeper, do you feel you have done anything to deserve a 100% town read from votato?

Raya36 · Post Post #348 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:09 pm

In post 345, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:sleeper do you actually have a reason for thinking votato is town or scum? Like I have a list of things that my lover bugspray has done and I just add/minus points based on what he does in the future.

Oh I forgot bugspray was your lover. What's your read on him? He so far is my nullest read.

PookyTheMagicalBear · Post Post #349 (ISO) » Sat Jun 20, 2020 12:09 pm

In post 171, bugspray wrote:Drew x Khan scum

Like Bugspray suspecting me of being scum is why I think he's probably town - doesn't make sense to believe your lover is scum if you're scum, though he might be gambitting.

However Bugspray was playing a private chess game with Genghis Khan in his PT - and Bugspray used the Sicilian defense - and we all know Sicilians are all Mafia.