Open 781: JK9++ Game Over!

[lilith2013]

it's pretty shameful since i'm an actuary :/

[skitter30]

i took multiple probability classes in college and remember very little of it :/

[Datisi]

okay i attempted this again - i think the probability of exactly 2K's is .1^2 * .9^5 * (the number of combinations of arrangements for 2 K's in a 7 letter setup which is 27 = 6 + 5 + 4 + 3 + 2 + 1), which is 12.4%

i googled math and got the same result so

[MariaR]

I'm going to skip all the math talk since it is A) 100% useless and B) Not helpful. We lynch the vengeful claim. There's no world where that is bad for us since Lilith is a strong scumread and you can take out someone in the 'poe' without the bus driver being a threat. Like me and Bingle

[ofrhz]

VOTE COUNT 2.11

lilith2013 [4]:

PenguinPower [2924], MariaR [3303], Almost50 [3445], Menalque [3490]

— [L-2]

MariaR [1]:

Datisi [3113]

Something_Smart [1]:

Firebringer [2424]

Blake Belladonna [1]:

lilith2013 [3184]

Firebringer [1]:

Blake Belladonna [3489]

Not Voting [3]:

Something_Smart, Bingle [3457], skitter30 [3493]

With

11

alive, it takes

6

to hammer.
Day 2 ends in

(expired on 2020-06-30 01:30:00)

Game Notes:

skitter30 v/la until she feels better + regular v/la Fridays and Saturdays

[Bingle]

I'm going to skip all the math talk since it is A) 100% useless and B) Not helpful. We lynch the vengeful claim. There's no world where that is bad for us since Lilith is a strong scumread and you can take out someone in the 'poe' without the bus driver being a threat. Like me and Bingle

+1

I'll look at the math in a minute, but you never don't lynch a vengeful claim.

[Bingle]

okay i attempted this again - i think the probability of exactly 2K's is .1^2 * .9^5 * (the number of combinations of arrangements for 2 K's in a 7 letter setup which is 27 = 6 + 5 + 4 + 3 + 2 + 1), which is 12.4%

This is correct.

[PenguinPower]

lilith

[PenguinPower]

I'm going to skip all the math talk since it is A) 100% useless and B) Not helpful. We lynch the vengeful claim. There's no world where that is bad for us since Lilith is a strong scumread and you can take out someone in the 'poe' without the bus driver being a threat. Like me and Bingle

Well said.

[Bingle]

lilith

Well, I mean...

VOTE: Lilith

[Firebringer]

it's pretty shameful since i'm an actuary :/

how r u an actuary and bad at probabilities.

IVE SEEN THE ACTUARY TESTS U HAVE TO TAKE. U DONT PASS THAT WITHOUT COMPETENCE IN PROBABILITIES

[lilith2013]

it's been like years since i took P!

[lilith2013]

I'm going to skip all the math talk since it is A) 100% useless and B) Not helpful. We lynch the vengeful claim. There's no world where that is bad for us since Lilith is a strong scumread and you can take out someone in the 'poe' without the bus driver being a threat. Like me and Bingle

Well said.

you know literally no one is arguing against my lynch, right? not even me

[Menalque]

UNVOTE:

[PenguinPower]

Ok?

[Menalque]

are we all done talking or was there more stuff to cover?

[PenguinPower]

You just want to hammer, don't you?

[Menalque]

If I die and lilith flips venge and doesn't shoot Maria that's my top slot that should be looked at again tomorrow, and if scum I think Blake should basically always be lynched the day after (unless it's lylo but in that case probably check it anyway)

if I die and skitter survives 2 nights she's probably either SK or scum, if she's scum I imagine A50 is too

if lilith is scum and I die probably force Blake to commit on her second top scumread and if they flip town seriously look at lynching Blake if she hasn't died to NKs by then

[Menalque]

You just want to hammer, don't you?

...no

[Menalque]

[Firebringer]

it's been like years since i took P!

i shake my head at u

[Menalque]

*waiting for L-1 intensifies*

[Menalque]

oh c'mon there's like 4 of you who have been around who can make this L-1 stop dragging it out

skitter/datisi/Blake/firebringer/S_S I'm looking at all of you

[Firebringer]

i gain pleasure by not allowing u to hammer.

[Firebringer]

its a sick pleasure of mine.