Micro 952 - The Coalition: ItGBSMoD [game over!]

[Alduskkel]

yoink

[Alduskkel]

honestly surprised that anyone in this game is townreading me at this point because i've barely done anything this game yet

[Tuxedo Mask]

tux you say sleeper is town being pocketed, yet you arent voting sleeper. why not?

Because I can't confidently read Sleeper at all. I feel their playstyle would be very easy to fake as scum. So you (I think) and Bear being so confident you could peg scum sleeper gives me weird vibes, because I can't do it.

So it's a weird circle where I don't town read Sleeper, so seeing confident town reads make me wary of the people pushing it, making me feel like they're pocketing them, but then I read their posts and they fry my brain and don't see it as either alignment. Does that make sense?

[Alduskkel]

datisi too cowardly to post a vote count because i snagged the page top

also this sounds weird but deimos's scumread on me feels like it makes more sense than tux's townread on me

[Tuxedo Mask]

also this sounds weird but deimos's scumread on me feels like it makes more sense than tux's townread on me

That doesn't sound weird, but it adds to my town read.

@Deimos do you think Sleeper's style would be easy or hard to replicate as scum?

[Deimos27]

I think you need some experience to convincingly spew as scum.

[Deimos27]

Noobscum tends to be sitting on quite a large cognitive load. Admittedly I am generalizing based on my personal experiences.

[Datisi]

Vote count 1.14

with 9 votes in play, it takes 5 to make a decision. day 1 ends in (expired on 2020-07-07 13:00:00)

coalition

PookyTheMagicalBear [5]:

Deimos27, SleeperSoul, DonCorleone, PookyTheMagicalBear, votato

votato [5]:

votato, PookyTheMagicalBear, DonCorleone, Deimos27, SleeperSoul

SleeperSoul [5]:

PookyTheMagicalBear, Deimos27, DonCorleone, SleeperSoul, votato

DonCorleone [5]:

DonCorleone, SleeperSoul, Clover Ebi, PookyTheMagicalBear, Deimos27

DkKoba [5]:

Tuxedo Mask, votato, DkKoba, Clover Ebi, Alduskkel

Tuxedo Mask [4]:

Deimos27, DkKoba, DonCorleone, Tuxedo Mask

Deimos27 [4]:

PookyTheMagicalBear, votato, DonCorleone, SleeperSoul

Alduskkel [4]:

Alduskkel, votato, SleeperSoul, DkKoba

Clover Ebi [0]:

lynch

SleeperSoul (1):

Deimos27

Tuxedo Mask (1):

DonCorleone

PookyTheMagicalBear (1):

DkKoba

not voting (6):

Alduskkel, votato, Clover Ebi, SleeperSoul, PookyTheMagicalBear, Tuxedo Mask

flavour

mod notes

• ...

[Deimos27]

Noobscum tends to be sitting on quite a large cognitive load. Admittedly I am generalizing based on my personal experiences.

This results in them posting less often and in more serious a manner.

[Tuxedo Mask]

Noobscum tends to be sitting on quite a large cognitive load. Admittedly I am generalizing based on my personal experiences.

This results in them posting less often and in more serious a manner.

Okay, this all makes sense. It also appears only Koba and I aren't healing Sleeper, I thought it was fewer for some reason. This makes me feel more comfortable with them and Votato.

HEAL: Sleeper

[Deimos27]

bugspray has requested replacement.

clearly this means he's scum

if he's townie he'd just be sleeping through this game and show up sometime after the game is over

Pooky, the "clearly" in this post makes it seem tongue-in-cheek — am I reading that right?
If so, how did you progress to accepting the premise that bugspray replacing out is +scum in 335?

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

the post you reference is a joke based on bugspray being my townie lover in the previous game and basically doing 0 posting except chess moves in the PT with me while the game was going on, sometime after the game was finished he showed up and was very confused why the game was over. I found it hilarious that he was basically afk this game and then replaced out.

Koba's posts sound like the desperate cries of a scum trying to bang their way into the coalition - there does not seem to be much logic, just desperation - feels like scum seeing the train leave the station and trying to get on like a madman.

[Deimos27]

Noobscum tends to be sitting on quite a large cognitive load. Admittedly I am generalizing based on my personal experiences.

This results in them posting less often and in more serious a manner.

Okay, this all makes sense. It also appears only Koba and I aren't healing Sleeper, I thought it was fewer for some reason. This makes me feel more comfortable with them and Votato.

HEAL: Sleeper

This tell is pretty much exclusive to newbies. You can't really apply it to votato.

[Tuxedo Mask]

Noobscum tends to be sitting on quite a large cognitive load. Admittedly I am generalizing based on my personal experiences.

This results in them posting less often and in more serious a manner.

Okay, this all makes sense. It also appears only Koba and I aren't healing Sleeper, I thought it was fewer for some reason. This makes me feel more comfortable with them and Votato.

HEAL: Sleeper

This tell is pretty much exclusive to newbies. You can't really apply it to votato.

Sorry, I didn't mean I was applying it to Votato. I mean that I am less concerned over Votato's confident town read of Sleeper as it seems to be a sentiment everyone shares. For some reason, I thought only Don, Votato, and Bear were healing Sleeper, which made me more nervous.

[Deimos27]

im actually reading harder into their ISO.. how TF did yall let him get in so far??????????????????

Koba can you expound on why Pooky is scum? So far you've just said you think their entrance is a scumtell and I don't see it.

I'm still hoping for some more details on this, Koba.

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

Let's look at Koba's posts when they enter the game:

i skimmed the thread b4 subbing in and I think pooky shouldn't be in it btw

bugspray has requested replacement.

clearly this means he's scum

if he's townie he'd just be sleeping through this game and show up sometime after the game is over

ok scum

deimos my number 1 townread right now

he's so clueless he has to be town

let's win this first day boys

get it done

I think we have a 85% chance of winning this game outright if townies act really townie



let's do it

i know yall dont take much stock in daystarts but this is a triple whammy post where they are s onervous to appear town that they need to restate mechs and stuff and thats why I said they were scum btw.


they scumtold right off the start and u wanna put them in ur coalition

im actually reading harder into their ISO.. how TF did yall let him get in so far??????????????????

reading the first four posts it's a pretty heavy attack on me, koba makes it clear I am to be suspected and not allowed on the coalition at any cost - logically that would make me a big fat scum in koba's eyes.

Now would should the logical play be then from KobaTown?

I posit there are 2 ways KobaTown plays it.

A) Substitute themselves into the Leading Coalition in Lieu of Me - this is the most straightforward way to win - if they believe I am running the town as some kind of scum-leader - it makes sense to just sub themselves into my spot in the coalition and if the rest of the coalition can accept this - they will auto win right away assuming they are correct that I am the scum-leader in the coalition and my partner is outside (optimal play for scum) If they are wrong they can accept being lynched for this mistake.

This is the strongest and most aggressive line that Koba-Town can take if their opening line that I am scum is actually a True-Thought.

B) Substitute someone else that the Coalition can accept for my spot in the Coalition - this is a lower EV play as Koba is not as sure of the other player's viability.

But instead what does Koba do? They sub out 3 players from Leading Coalition and Puts up 3 new players - this doesn't really make sense or fit with their belief that Pooky is definitely scum manipulating the coalition - unless he thinks Pooky put multiple scum into the coalition (suboptimal play) or they are not nearly as sure about Pooky as they are putting on.


Koba is not really trying to win the game as town on the first-go-around - their goal is to peel someone off the coalition and get the other people together who are off-coalition into a new coalition because they want to be in-coalition at all costs - they know if the present leading coalition fires off they probably lose the game immediately.

[Deimos27]

My scum PoE is now Koba/Clover/Aldus.

[Deimos27]

But instead what does Koba do? They sub out 3 players from Leading Coalition and Puts up 3 new players - this doesn't really make sense or fit with their belief that Pooky is definitely scum manipulating the coalition - unless he thinks Pooky put multiple scum into the coalition (suboptimal play) or they are not nearly as sure about Pooky as they are putting on.

Nice

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

If KobaTown comes into the game and sees a big fat Pooky Scum sitting in the middle of the town square manipulating people and setting up the town for imminent death - the game state should then be:


KobaTown

Leading Coalition ( 4 townies + PookyScum)
Outsiders (2 Townies + ScumBuddy)

The way for KobaTown to basically win at that point is to say:

Pooky is scum - I'm 100% sure of it, I don't know how you guys let him on the Coalition in the first place - but if you put me in the Coalition instead of Pooky we 100% win right away. I will wager my life on this - if I am wrong I will commit Seppuku and you can lynch me.



Instead they comes in, attacks three people on the Leading Coalition - proposes their own coalition of people who are off-Coalition ( this makes no sense if they believe me to be Scum manipulating the town because if I'm scum shaping the coalition then my scum-buddy by definition has to be off-coalition so them shuffling him into the coalition doesn't make any sense)

Hence I believe Koba is inherently dishonest about his reads - he's basically just trying to bang his way into the coalition and not go out on Day 1.

[Deimos27]

465 resonates with me.
P-Edit: There's more?

[DkKoba]

you know I realized I had forgotted there were 9 players and I forgot to include sleeper.

I think sleeper is a good pick for coalition too.

[DkKoba]

the post you reference is a joke based on bugspray being my townie lover in the previous game and basically doing 0 posting except chess moves in the PT with me while the game was going on, sometime after the game was finished he showed up and was very confused why the game was over. I found it hilarious that he was basically afk this game and then replaced out.

Koba's posts sound like the desperate cries of a scum trying to bang their way into the coalition - there does not seem to be much logic, just desperation - feels like scum seeing the train leave the station and trying to get on like a madman.

Why is your current proposition all town bud? Why are YOU town?

[DkKoba]

If KobaTown comes into the game and sees a big fat Pooky Scum sitting in the middle of the town square manipulating people and setting up the town for imminent death - the game state should then be:


KobaTown

Leading Coalition ( 4 townies + PookyScum)
Outsiders (2 Townies + ScumBuddy)

The way for KobaTown to basically win at that point is to say:

Pooky is scum - I'm 100% sure of it, I don't know how you guys let him on the Coalition in the first place - but if you put me in the Coalition instead of Pooky we 100% win right away. I will wager my life on this - if I am wrong I will commit Seppuku and you can lynch me.



Instead they comes in, attacks three people on the Leading Coalition - proposes their own coalition of people who are off-Coalition ( this makes no sense if they believe me to be Scum manipulating the town because if I'm scum shaping the coalition then my scum-buddy by definition has to be off-coalition so them shuffling him into the coalition doesn't make any sense)

Hence I believe Koba is inherently dishonest about his reads - he's basically just trying to bang his way into the coalition and not go out on Day 1.

MY PRONOUNS ARE THEY THEM STOP USING HE HIM


also

I LITERALLY SAID I WOULD SELF VOTE IF A COALITION THAT I PROPOSED DOESNT GO THROUGH LMAO.

but ok buddy. keep gaslighting.
you better self vote if a coalition with you on it goes through.

[DkKoba]

also that post literally reeks of shit.

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

Why is your current proposition all town bud? Why are YOU town?

I'm town cuz my role pm says so


I was actually worrying about my coalition last night cuz it seemed to be cruising along a bit too fine

now watching you try to desperately bang your way into the party like a madman got me feeling pretty good about my coalition.