Micro 952 - The Coalition: ItGBSMoD [game over!]

[Datisi]

Vote count 2.03

with 7 votes in play, it takes 4 to make a decision. day 2 ends in (expired on 2020-07-16 13:15:00).

execution

PookyTheMagicalBear [2]:

Klick, Deimos27

Klick [1]:

Dumb and Dumber

not voting [4]:

Alduskkel, DonCorleone, PookyTheMagicalBear, Wug

flavour

mod notes

• Datisi is V/LA until Sunday.

[Dumb and Dumber]

I can neither confirm nor deny.

Anyone else want to convince us that Pooky is the best firing today?

[Dumb and Dumber]

Also

I mildly townread Pooky's posting. I have seen Pooky deathtunnel before, I do not think that makes him scum.

This is a very reductive version of why Pooky is scum

OK, can you explain the non-reductive version, with a tldr?

As best as I can understand, your case basically boils down to pooky deathtunneling Clover, and we're trying to get a sense of what else is impacting your Pooky read.

- Dumber

[Dumb and Dumber]

You're wrong; it's {1v3|1v4} going into the night, which nullifies the rest of your logic.

I read this wrong, sorry, 1v3/1v3 is correct

Also, why are we viable?

Do you think this is likely or just that there's nothing particularly ruling it out

-Dumber

[Dumb and Dumber]

Klick can you give a high-level summary of your progression on pooky throughout the game?
I think that would be really helpful.

- Dumber

[DonCorleone]

VOTE: pooky

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

just checking in

still alive somehow.

I think it's kind of suspicious how DnD is playing as if he already knows I'm going to flip as town and setting up for the 1v1 tommorrow - makes me lean towards Klick town and DnD scum ~ but the choice is going to be up to you guys.

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

DonC's vote here is pretty susp - if he really thinks I'm scum I don't think he puts me at L-1 this early in the day

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

Like we have 5 days to talk things over - pretty obvious at this point everyone except for DnD prefers a pooky lynch by a mile - there's no reason to rush things except to stop discussion prematurely.

[Dumb and Dumber]

I think it's kind of suspicious how DnD is playing as if he already knows I'm going to flip as town and setting up for the 1v1 tommorrow - makes me lean towards Klick town and DnD scum

We do not seem to be in a position where we would necessarily need to set up for a 1v1 tomorrow. The potential value of whatever additional preparation we may be doing would still be a lot lesser than the lost value in derailing the wagon on you.

Do you think the case on you is sound? Why do you townread Klick?

-Dumbass

[Dumb and Dumber]

Klick/Aldusskel is our very preliminary solve.
It's interesting to see that Aldusskel barely mentions Klick or engages with him in his first 50 posts (which I assume are before coalition) except for a light townread.

-Dumbass

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

It doesn't make sense for Klick-scum to defend Clover that hard and attack me for a lynch on D1 - I flip town and he is in a way shittier position D2. He's much better off getting a Clover lynch followed by me getting lynched.

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

lost value in derailing the wagon on you.

Pretty sure it's impossible to derail the wagon on me

I have 3 votes on and 2 people who have signaled intent to hammer.

[Dumb and Dumber]

A Clover firing would have to be consistent with his previous stances. Also, i feel like you overestimate how shitty of a position it should leave someone in, and I also feel that people are generally overestimating how scummy it is to tunnel on town.

Well, perhaps the idea that I am scum posturing around your townflip shall derail it! DonCorleone, please unvote and engage with us.

-Dumbass

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

Klick/Aldusskel is our very preliminary solve.
It's interesting to see that Aldusskel barely mentions Klick or engages with him in his first 50 posts (which I assume are before coalition) except for a light townread.

if Klick is scum - Aldus doesn't make sense as a partner - me flipping town would hurt Klick-scum - they'd rather have clover flip town yesterday.

[Deimos27]

UNVOTE:
There's more analysis I want to do but I'm busy till Sunday so will unvote for now

[DonCorleone]

I mean, I could unvote, but I’d rather just lynch pooky

[DonCorleone]

First we lynch pooky

If town, re-evaluate

If scum, lynch wug

[Alduskkel]

it's easy to tell D&D hasn't read the game from how they're actually voting someone other than pooky

[Alduskkel]

D&D if klick were confirmed town then what would your pick for the scumteam be?

[Datisi]

Prodding Wug.

[Dumb and Dumber]

Then surely it must be easier to describe the case on Pooky? What did we miss from not having read the game?

DC, why not re-evaluate today? We go into 3:2 FiLo if we choose wrong.

-Dumbass

[Deimos27]

FTR I think Pooky/D&D just became somewhat less likely because if that team NK's in-coalition it's to sacrifice Pooky and get the other coalition member hyper townread — and D&D is now trying to save Pooky.

[Deimos27]

Just saying I'd expect a bus here to lock in the D&D WIFOM protection with Wug/Aldus/DC on the chopping block.

[Deimos27]

Assuming scum!D&D this play makes a lot more sense as setting up Klick -> Pooky or Pooky -> Klick miseliminations.