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Post Post #225 (ISO) » Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:53 am

Post by NoPowerOverMe »

You can bus me if you want but I don't think it's necessary. Call a guilty on Icon and call it a night.
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Post Post #226 (ISO) » Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:57 am

Post by VP Baltar »

I don't think we will need to bus tomorrow. I'll go 1v1 with someone
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Post Post #227 (ISO) » Sun Aug 23, 2020 12:05 pm

Post by VP Baltar »

Or I could claim an inno on aldus
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Post Post #228 (ISO) » Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:32 pm

Post by VP Baltar »

Oh shit, we did it boys!!!!
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Post Post #229 (ISO) » Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:43 pm

Post by VP Baltar »

I've never landed a flawless scum victory, and I've never wanted something so bad
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Post Post #230 (ISO) » Sun Aug 23, 2020 4:42 pm

Post by Alduskkel »

dodged a bullet, that was a real nailbiter :shifty:

and we still have another day to go, but yeah, this should be in the bag now.

my vote on testarossa might have looked bad but it might also have been necessary given how much hesitation datisi was showing
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Post Post #231 (ISO) » Sun Aug 23, 2020 4:50 pm

Post by VP Baltar »

Yeah, from a town perspective, better her than you
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Post Post #232 (ISO) » Sun Aug 23, 2020 8:36 pm

Post by Alduskkel »

honestly thinking maybe VPB should claim a guilty on me or something lol
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Post Post #233 (ISO) » Sun Aug 23, 2020 11:52 pm

Post by Raya36 »

It is now night
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Post Post #234 (ISO) » Mon Aug 24, 2020 3:56 am

Post by VP Baltar »

In post 232, Alduskkel wrote:honestly thinking maybe VPB should claim a guilty on me or something lol
Part of me feels like a result on you is the WIFOM we need to push this over the line. I'm not sure if I can survive tomorrow. It would make sense for both of you to come out after me probably.

We should probably game out both an inno and guilty on Aldus to see what that looks like
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Post Post #235 (ISO) » Mon Aug 24, 2020 6:29 am

Post by NoPowerOverMe »

Aldus Kills Datisi
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Post Post #236 (ISO) » Mon Aug 24, 2020 6:48 am

Post by Alduskkel »

In post 234, VP Baltar wrote:We should probably game out both an inno and guilty on Aldus to see what that looks like
What do you mean by "game out"?
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Post Post #237 (ISO) » Mon Aug 24, 2020 7:34 am

Post by VP Baltar »

In post 236, Alduskkel wrote:
In post 234, VP Baltar wrote:We should probably game out both an inno and guilty on Aldus to see what that looks like
What do you mean by "game out"?
I think we should think through what kind of support each action would have, and what possible outcomes would be.

For instance, if I claim a guilty on you, one of us is getting flipped for sure. So we'd have to go to a Day 5 before a potential win is possible
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Post Post #238 (ISO) » Mon Aug 24, 2020 8:42 am

Post by NoPowerOverMe »

Honestly a quick guilty is our best shot. The longer the game goes the longer the town has a chance to figure things out.
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Post Post #239 (ISO) » Mon Aug 24, 2020 12:00 pm

Post by Raya36 »

In post 235, NoPowerOverMe wrote:
Aldus Kills Datisi
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Post Post #240 (ISO) » Mon Aug 24, 2020 12:57 pm

Post by VP Baltar »

OK, so here is how I am thinking about things:

If I claim guilty on Aldus...


PROS:
Good distancing
Chance to clear Aldus to the finish if I get yeeted
Definitely distracts from NPOM
Credible investigation target for VP

CONS:
Almost guarantees a scum yeet tomorrow.
Town could see through WIFOM if they flip VP and then Flip Aldus the next day

If I claim innocent on Aldus...

PROS:
Potential distancing
Chance to direct attention away from Aldus in lylo
Credible investigation target for VP

CONS:
Creates link between Aldus and VP if either one flips, guaranteeing two scum flips.
Andres in particular may be triggered by this outcome and come after us.

If I claim a guilty on a town player...

PROS:
If the right player is selected, could force the final miselimination
Fewer connections between VP and other scum

CONS:
Will need to explain why not investigate Aldus
VP will have to go to war with fake guilty player
If VP gets flipped, that person will be cleared town basically.
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Post Post #241 (ISO) » Mon Aug 24, 2020 12:58 pm

Post by VP Baltar »

What other pros and cons am I missing? If I claim a guilty on a townie, who should it be? My instinct is andres because he will go ballistic. Koba would also likely be very mad.
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Post Post #242 (ISO) » Mon Aug 24, 2020 1:00 pm

Post by VP Baltar »

I'm also going to try to think about which scenarios surviving town players are most likely to support.

I guess I could also claim a guilty on NPOM if needed, if our goal was to put Aldus in future lylo. My gut says NPOM has a better chance to survive, but eliminating Datisi could lessen the overall resistance to yeeting NPOM.
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Post Post #243 (ISO) » Mon Aug 24, 2020 1:06 pm

Post by Alduskkel »

VP Baltar wrote:I mean, we have a full day still. We can take more time if needed. Just feels to me like there is a case on testa and a gut on aldus. I'll be dead tomorrow or I'd offer to just cop Aldus and sort it. Wish we had a doc
didn't you basically say that you were going to investigate me? like I have no idea how you'd sell it tomorrow if you were like "actually I investigated someone else"
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Post Post #244 (ISO) » Mon Aug 24, 2020 1:09 pm

Post by Alduskkel »

if you claim a guilty on me then you definitely win that fight
maybe then next day you claim a guilty on koba, koba definitely looks bad for pushing testa
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Post Post #245 (ISO) » Mon Aug 24, 2020 1:10 pm

Post by Alduskkel »

also: since it's lylo for the rest of the game, you can always sell the idea that you're alive because scum want you miselim'd
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Post Post #246 (ISO) » Mon Aug 24, 2020 1:14 pm

Post by VP Baltar »

In post 243, Alduskkel wrote:
VP Baltar wrote:I mean, we have a full day still. We can take more time if needed. Just feels to me like there is a case on testa and a gut on aldus. I'll be dead tomorrow or I'd offer to just cop Aldus and sort it. Wish we had a doc
didn't you basically say that you were going to investigate me? like I have no idea how you'd sell it tomorrow if you were like "actually I investigated someone else"
For sure, but I'm sure I could think of something if I needed to. Obviously this town has been willing to buy this bridge I'm selling. :lol:

I think I can get away with one day of "the scum kept me alive as a miselim", but a second day would be hard don't you think? Especially if I claimed a guilty on you. They'd have to be super suspicious if I survived after that, right?
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Post Post #247 (ISO) » Mon Aug 24, 2020 1:15 pm

Post by VP Baltar »

In post 245, Alduskkel wrote:also: since it's lylo for the rest of the game, you can always sell the idea that you're alive because scum want you miselim'd
The perpetual LyLo is true though. That might be a sales pitch...
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Post Post #248 (ISO) » Mon Aug 24, 2020 1:25 pm

Post by NoPowerOverMe »

The longer you stay alive the more problematic it becomes. Scum should want town vp dead.
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Post Post #249 (ISO) » Mon Aug 24, 2020 1:28 pm

Post by Alduskkel »

Yeah I dunno how you explain being alive on Day 5, that's like the one flaw in the plan (guilty on me then guilty on koba) imo

it's just every other plan seems worse
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