Open 794 Pick Your Power X/Y (finished)

[Clover Ebi]

Clover, why are you voting DrD?

you said you wanted to wait to see if anyone else saw what you saw. at this point, it seems apparent that nobody saw it. could you tell us what it is?

Oh I forgot I said that! Uh, I first was curious and wanted to wagon DrD because I remember someone defending him because of his slot on the listing and wanted to see if someone would use that to defend a partner, but I didn't really have much more to go off of so that's probably why I forgot. I think DrD's posting is pretty touchy feely. That list of scumreads feels pretty convenient to me like he wants to keep his options open. I don't get the sense that he's solving more so as accusing if that makes sense?

[Datisi]

@mod

Marquis Aug 31, 06:50pm Sep 04, 01:54am

2 days 22 hours

[the worst]

Clover, why are you voting DrD?

you said you wanted to wait to see if anyone else saw what you saw. at this point, it seems apparent that nobody saw it. could you tell us what it is?

Oh I forgot I said that! Uh, I first was curious and wanted to wagon DrD because I remember someone defending him because of his slot on the listing and wanted to see if someone would use that to defend a partner, but I didn't really have much more to go off of so that's probably why I forgot. I think DrD's posting is pretty touchy feely. That list of scumreads feels pretty convenient to me like he wants to keep his options open. I don't get the sense that he's solving more so as accusing if that makes sense?

continue?

[Hoopla]

ah yes,

the waiting game...

[the worst]

let's play hungry hungry hippos

[davesaz]

Prodded Marquis and Grumpy Cat.

[Umlaut]

I still dislike this but it might just be my style of play then anything. I don't plan on hammering though!

This reads phony to me.

It seems like you're taking a position against the Marquis wagon but not one that would actually dissuade anyone from hammering it.

Yes that is because it's exactly what I'm doing. What's wrong with that?

If you think Marquis is scum there's no reason to be against the wagon.

If you think they're town you should try and push a better elim candidate.

If you have no idea you should try to get an idea.

Just "registering your objection" is what scum does with wagons on town that they expect to go through with or without their support.

[Umlaut]

VOTE: Clober Ebi

[the worst]

mlrbgh

[Datisi]

aaa

[Umlaut]

bbb

[Datisi]

am i correct to think that from town!me pov there's like... a ++rand chance marquis is scum (and not looking at his abysmal play so far)

[the worst]

am i correct to think that from town!me pov there's like... a ++rand chance marquis is scum (and not looking at his abysmal play so far)

why

[Datisi]

because i'm BORED and i want something to HAPPEN

[Green Crayons]

Lmk how, to you, is Marq possibly scum discounting his “abysmal play so far”?

[the worst]

Lmk how, to you, is Marq possibly scum discounting his “abysmal play so far”?

[Datisi]

Spoiler: NUMBERS

it took a little while. i don't know if i have exactly the same list of games Hoopla did; i went through the ones listed in the history section of this setup's wiki page, minus the one Hoopla mentioned where the mod didn't give scum pregame chat and these are my findings:

town picked:
1: 21 times (13.64% of total, compared to 19.05% of total scum)
2: 18 times (11.69% of total, compared to 7.14% of total scum)
3: 14 times (9.09% of total, compared to 9.52% of total scum)
4: 31 times (20.13% of total, compared to 7.14% of total scum)
5: 11 times (7.14% of total, compared to 9.52% of total scum)
6: 13 times (8.44% of total, compared to 9.52% of total scum)
7: 11 times (7.14% of total, compared to 2.38% of total scum)
8: 8 times (5.19% of total, compared to 4.76% of total scum)
9: 4 times (2.60% of total, compared to 2.38% of total scum)
10: 6 times (3.90% of total, compared to 4.76% of total scum)
11: 3 times (1.95% of total, compared to 2.38% of total scum)
12: 5 times (7.14% of total, compared to 2.38% of total scum)
13: 2 times (1.30% of total, compared to 2.38% of total scum)
15: 1 time (0.65% of total, compared to 2.38% of total scum)
16, 17, 19, 22, 30 & 9002: 1 time each (0.65% of total, compared to 0% of total scum)

scum also picked 18, 20, 22, 42 twice and 413, none of which were ever picked by town.

1 seems to be a significantly more likely scum pick, while 2 and 4 seem to be more likely town picks. any other pick is extremely null. mostly i think this supports Hoopla's plan to townblock the tripled up 4s in this game, though of course i would say that etc etc.

^?

don't get me wrong, the play definitely isn't *helping*

[the worst]

I AM GOING TO THROW UP

[Datisi]

i feel like i made a mistake somewhere, hmm...

[the worst]

why do you scumread marquis via dayplay

[Datisi]

because he's done literally nothing and keeps promising content that never comes?

[the worst]

marquis is capable as scum. so why does that make them scum?

[Datisi]

well it sure as fuck don't make them town

idk. if you're looking for an answer that's more nuanced or elaborate than "he's lurking, making empty promises, and i liked your stance about why his posts are +scum enough to jump on his wagon and see what happens" like. i got disappointing news.

[the worst]

am i correct to think that from town!me pov there's like... a ++rand chance marquis is scum (and not looking at his abysmal play so far)

this feels......slimy

[the worst]

and pivoting back to "oh they're ++rand scum because numbers and they're abysmal because they're lurking" makes my stomach sink