FGO: Mafia in the Lostbelt (Game Over!)

[Cabd]

Vote Count D2-11

With 12 players alive, it will take 7 votes to eliminate a player.

Saber (3): Lancer, Avenger, Beast
Moon Cancer (3): Berserker, Saber, Caster
Lancer (2): Foreigner, Rider


Phase Page Usage: 26/60

Day two will end in: (expired on 2020-09-27 22:00:00)


Prodding Servant Ruler.

[Servant Avenger]

In other words the answer is no. You're not especially accurate and you're faking confidence if you're town.

[Servant Saber]

In other words the answer is no. You're not especially accurate and you're faking confidence if you're town.

I cannot confirm or deny the accuracy of my theorycrafting but I resent the implication that my reads are somehow beneath yours in accuracy solely because I am on the outside looking in.

[Servant Avenger]

huh?
Nono, I suck.

[Servant Saber]

Then if you feel you suck, then why haven't you engaged me more when I have tried? Why have you ignored me?

[Servant Avenger]

It's just I think we both suck if you're town. No offense meant.

Well your predecessor replaced out, you don't seem to be around at the times I'm around. There's 14 people in the game, so I don't usually get to engage with everybody as much as I'd like to as soon as I'd like to.

[Servant Saber]

It's just I think we both suck if you're town. No offense meant.

Well your predecessor replaced out, you don't seem to be around at the times I'm around. There's 14 people in the game, so I don't usually get to engage with everybody as much as I'd like to as soon as I'd like to.

So you're stating you get your reads based off real time interactions so basically I got screwed by work and life timings. This is a bit more palatable.

[Servant Avenger]

I'd say 1/4th of my reads come from real time interactions.

[Servant Saber]

I'd say 1/4th of my reads come from real time interactions.

Well hopefully this gave you something to go off of/reevaluate or a method to maybe get me onto seeing the same things you are. I have to go to sleep now. I'll check back tomorrow.

[Servant Avenger]

I think if you read caster's play from start to finish and have confidence that you can eventually read a player correctly with enough time and effort you'll eventually come to the conclusion he's town. Though it might take a few weeks to come to that conclusion. He's not a troll, he's just witty and sarcastic. Maybe just sarcastic. He never used that attitude to cut people down or move the town in a negative direction. I rarely saw him do anything truly anti-town or against town's interest. His stated night actions and when he did them make sense for town, but make little sense for scum to announce. There's a lot to unpack if you truly read his play from start to finish. But his thinking doesn't really make sense for scum. Likewise his early reads were off kilter and while players that do that tend to get eliminated early, they're less likely than usual to flip scum.

From a scum team dynamic I realize that all the leading wagons on the master phase were on town.
The scum team chose to either curry favor (tried and failed to gain momentum as an early wagon that died out), or didn't think the exchange of one of their own was worth it.

[Servant Avenger]

You can also see that in how he pressured Moon cancer to claim.
How did you reconcile those insults/that natural interaction with Cancer as scum bussing scum?

[Servant Moon Cancer]

That question is an interesting one to think about.

(The obvious answer is that he's not thinking about that because neither of us is flipping scum, so he never has to reconcile the two scum reads.)

[Servant Assassin]

You are the embodiment of our town cohesion. I'm afraid it's all going to fall apart if/when you leave us.

Well, we'll see if I shot myself in the foot or not by voting shielder out of impatience. If my reads are all right you'll be fine, if they suck you're probably better off without me anyway.


Ruler 3 showing up, saying nothing relevant, and then immediately flaking puts that slot in a bad light. Granted, that think was partly why I fell into the trap of voting Shielder. Also granted, the circumstances and content from those slots is vastly different. I wouldn't really favor a swap there right now simply because hitting a basically empty slot tells us virtually nothing regardless of the outcome. I also don't want to repeat the mistake of yesterday but by quickburning before here's a replacement so that the night phase gets extended, especially seeing as my survival isn't guaranteed. So I'd like to let the day play out and have people continue to talk while we wait for a replacement.

But, the thread is feeling a bit stale and I'm liable to go stir crazy waiting. I need something to do. Might go back and review people again. If the replacement search takes time I might have to get really fancy to keep my mind busy.

[Servant Caster]

Do you still scumread Lancer more strongly than Saber? If so, why? Why do you townread Rider?

ok preliminary answers:

i mildly liked some of lancer's stuff today so they occupy roughly the same place in my head right now. i can probably do a whole reading thing although i might just do lancer if we are probably getting rid of saber today regardless.

i think i mildly liked rider early but they are kind of a toneless player. they havent given me any reason to dislike them, and i do have a soft spot for people who are nice to me. i could see myself rethinking them if i were going to be alive for a long time (but i am not)

[Servant Caster]

i guess it's possible i'll live a while

idk im probably just going to claim tomorrow and then we can decide what to do about it.

[Servant Alter Ego]

I'm not totally sold on Caster-town. There's something that feels out of balance in his game behavior. He's so salty about getting pushed. But he's pretty gleeful about piling on to other players being pressured.

Survivalistic at its core. I wish I could say that's scummy but that's NAI. It's Caster's tone in how he gets upset and why that's scummy.

I know you hated Caster's blacklist comment and called one of his posts AtE. Could you go into more detail about what it is about Caster's tone that you find scummy?

[Servant Caster]

listen.

i have taken such a tremendously awful night action for scum that is very provable and you are not going to suspect me anymore once i tell you what i've done.

just save yourself the time.

[Servant Alter Ego]

I've got this weird feeling about Ruler 2.0's postings to me. They indicated strongly that they thought they knew my identity (whether they actually did or not is unknowable and not as interesting as how they acted on thinking they knew me), coupled with probably the most interactions/mentions of any player in the game at that point. It's definitely not out of the question that I'm recognizable in this game depending on join dates. Ruler 2.0 used it as a reach-out, and maybe even expected me to recognize them as well. (I didn't, but I also didn't try very hard). Trying to filter that as more or less likely coming from town vs scum is the difficult part. I just know what I'd want to do as scum in an anon game, which is obfuscate my style and phrasing a lot harder than I've done here and keep my yap firmly shut about playstyle stuff that might lead players to my identity.

[Servant Assassin]

i guess it's possible i'll live a while

idk im probably just going to claim tomorrow and then we can decide what to do about it.

You don't need to do anything about it today, worry about it tomorrow if it's necessary, and you certainly don't need to prove yourself to Saber

[Servant Alter Ego]

listen.

i have taken such a tremendously awful night action for scum that is very provable and you are not going to suspect me anymore once i tell you what i've done.

just save yourself the time.

If my question to Saber bothers you about where my read of you is, it shouldn't.

[Servant Avenger]

Wouldn't worry too much about getting eliminated Caster. If you read the gamestate, you're pretty cozy. Just focus on finding scum in your own time.

[Servant Caster]

I'm just talking to saber and I dont really know why! I'm not actually worried. I do feel bad that I'm not contributing tho.

[Servant Rider]

i think i mildly liked rider early but they are kind of a toneless player. they havent given me any reason to dislike them, and i do have a soft spot for people who are nice to me. i could see myself rethinking them if i were going to be alive for a long time (but i am not)

Come on dude. I've been a lot of things this game, but toneless ain't one of em. If yer gonna talk yourself out of a townread on me, do it right!

[Servant Beast]

i think i mildly liked rider early but they are kind of a toneless player. they havent given me any reason to dislike them, and i do have a soft spot for people who are nice to me. i could see myself rethinking them if i were going to be alive for a long time (but i am not)

Come on dude. I've been a lot of things this game, but toneless ain't one of em. If yer gonna talk yourself out of a townread on me, do it right!

I kind of agree with them. I'm more of a go with the flow player and i hardly get an impression from you. Most of my thoughts on you are about other players talking about you rather than you actually talking.

[Servant Saber]

You can also see that in how he pressured Moon cancer to claim.
How did you reconcile those insults/that natural interaction with Cancer as scum bussing scum?

Doing something common sense mafia rules require isn't clearing of being teamed at all.

Look at what Caster has done since, fuck all and coast.