mystery box of silver 10. (done)


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Post Post #4800 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 7:53 am

Post by Morning Mage »

In post 4798, Almost50 wrote:
In post 4742, Something_Smart wrote:
In post 4739, Almost50 wrote:Nice, but he would have still handed the next invention the NEXT night to be used ANOTHER NIGHT after.
Yeah, but now he can't. If they kill him N3, it doesn't stop the invention from going through, even if they have to wait until N4 for it to do anything.
I kinda reconsidered and now see your logic. That puts a bit of a dent in my theory regarding why he was NK'd.

See, the way I thought it was all about shelly being "additionally confirmed" (if there's such a thing) by flipping Plus a TOWN. Sometimes I try to think how "newb/naive" scum do. Yours is more like how "seasoned/experienced" scum go about it.

Thanks for the help. Both you AND shelly are off my list for today.
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Post Post #4801 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 7:55 am

Post by Morning Mage »

ive had a think - i prefer a Pickaxe Pete flip out of the modconfscum group
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Post Post #4802 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 7:55 am

Post by Morning Mage »

also how the hell do we not have a majority yet??
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Post Post #4803 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 7:56 am

Post by Morning Mage »

oh i suppose day wont end until A50 votes. but good to confirm if we have the majority beforehand.
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Post Post #4804 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 7:56 am

Post by MathBlade »

If you’re still wanting more responses that is to that A50. There is another flaw to your block too.

I also think for the record removing those two is stupid but your call King Absolute
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Post Post #4805 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:08 am

Post by Morning Mage »

In post 2499, Gamma Emerald wrote:I am baffled by why DDl is getting SRed when he's being the most protown I've ever seen him be
I re-read Gamma ISO. Like a TGP flip.
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Post Post #4806 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:09 am

Post by MathBlade »

In post 4789, MathBlade wrote:Nero how did Mastina reset when April flipped green? What did your hood do?
Still awaiting a response to this.
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Post Post #4807 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:11 am

Post by MathBlade »

In post 4805, Morning Mage wrote:
In post 2499, Gamma Emerald wrote:I am baffled by why DDl is getting SRed when he's being the most protown I've ever seen him be
I re-read Gamma ISO. Like a TGP flip.
Down for either one. Tgp would be good. But Gamma defending DDL like that is usually a bad look unless this is twilight. Lemme go look. If this is post twilight consider me wanting to lunch Pete.
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Post Post #4808 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:12 am

Post by Morning Mage »

In post 4807, MathBlade wrote:
In post 4805, Morning Mage wrote:
In post 2499, Gamma Emerald wrote:I am baffled by why DDl is getting SRed when he's being the most protown I've ever seen him be
I re-read Gamma ISO. Like a TGP flip.
Down for either one. Tgp would be good. But Gamma defending DDL like that is usually a bad look unless this is twilight. Lemme go look. If this is post twilight consider me wanting to lunch Pete.
he defended DDL throughout though. TGP he flip-flopped on. Initially defending, then distancing when it looked like his goose was cooked.
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Post Post #4809 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:15 am

Post by MathBlade »

In post 4808, Morning Mage wrote:
In post 4807, MathBlade wrote:
In post 4805, Morning Mage wrote:
In post 2499, Gamma Emerald wrote:I am baffled by why DDl is getting SRed when he's being the most protown I've ever seen him be
I re-read Gamma ISO. Like a TGP flip.
Down for either one. Tgp would be good. But Gamma defending DDL like that is usually a bad look unless this is twilight. Lemme go look. If this is post twilight consider me wanting to lunch Pete.
he defended DDL throughout though. TGP he flip-flopped on. Initially defending, then distancing when it looked like his goose was cooked.
Ugh I still have about half of d1 left. (It’s been a beast of a few days)

Did a quick skim and I would rather exe Pete if only those three are an option. If not I still want TGP.
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Post Post #4810 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:21 am

Post by Almost50 »

In post 4766, Morning Mage wrote:
In post 4764, Almost50 wrote:Like, outside "the council of 7" I've had strong TRs on Bell/S_S/Swift. Bell & S_S are slipping down massively today and Swift hasn't posted yet (I'm on page 188). So, rn
literally everyone
outside of our "secret society" is an elimination candidate to me. HELP ME narrow down that pool (because I'll have you know I'm more inclined tp execute OUTSIDE of the 3 the mod had provided us) and the reason being you can all eliminate all 3 of them after I'm gone.
so you're not flipping me now? :lol:

i'll have another read
Looks like my point went way over your head! :lol:

You argued something, I argued
the same
from someone else's PoV. But let's sleep on that for now and we can discuss post-game.

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Post Post #4811 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:22 am

Post by DiamondSentinel »

In post 4720, MathBlade wrote:
In post 4719, Nero Cain wrote:math continues to not scumhunt
This is going to be one of THOSE games huh.

You realize i reaction tested DS just a bit ago?

Pressuring TGP. Those are things.

I get YOU don’t think I am but quite frankly that’s better off in your hood since A50 controls hammers today. Here it is just factually incorrect spam.
Hmm? How so.
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Post Post #4812 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:25 am

Post by MathBlade »

In post 4605, TheGoldenParadox wrote:
In post 4597, MathBlade wrote:
In post 4596, TheGoldenParadox wrote:
In post 4593, Almost50 wrote:But what does that hint to you?? Anyone? I'll keep my answer to myself for the meantime and let you all respond first. I want to see who thinks what, please.
i'd think it means that they have some reliable way to figure out PRs and believe they can know the identity of another PR by tomorrow night.
Yeah it’s shit like this I would want to wagon.

It seems “TMI”.

What this normally would be IMO is a struggling newbie scum team that doesn’t understand NAR.
what scumteam in this PL doesn't understand NAR? what?
This is TGPs.

Yours is still in progress.
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Post Post #4813 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:28 am

Post by Titus »

Math, can you do a chart with preferred lynches of everyone using the table code? I'd want to do some cross referencing in the hood.

Name Preferred Lynch
Titus. Pickaxe Pete
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Post Post #4814 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:31 am

Post by MathBlade »

In post 4813, Titus wrote:Math, can you do a chart with preferred executions of everyone using the table code? I'd want to do some cross referencing in the hood.

Name Preferred Execution
Titus. Pickaxe Pete
I honestly could get called away to work at literally any moment.

Normally I would say sure but I could be about halfway done and get called away.

There’s also the matter of the lurkers who haven’t said.

I can try the best guess off the top of my head, but to iso and be accurate would take time.
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Post Post #4815 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:31 am

Post by Almost50 »

In post 4767, Morning Mage wrote:if you're shooting outside of the Mod's trio, I'd go Shelly or Taylor.
You know that readlist I provided you last night? FORGET ABOUT IT.

My reads are so rapidly changing right now they literally change every other page.

Right now I'd say all 4 scum are in the trio the mod listed + Chemist + Diamond, with an outside chance of Bell/Taylor being Scum (that would mean I am wrong on one of the other 5). I find it highly unlikely the mod provides an all-Scum pool for me to execute from (even if it was just a "recommendation"), so I'm thinking Chemist+Diamond are more likely to flip Scum than any of the other 3 (if that makes any sense to you).

Furthermore, the NK analysis S_S pointed out I think points to at least one of DS/jjh being Scum. It was a kill made to prevent something on the future, and "casual Scum" don't make those kinds of kills.

BUT, I could also see it as being "a kill on a confirmed!Townie" if Scum indeed had 2 kills and Norwee was saved by virtue of being the new recruit of the hood, as this means they went for both confirmed Townies on N2, which makes a lot of sense.

IMPORTANT: If anyone has questions, exclamations, elaborations, .. etc. PLEASE DON'T.
If such person is a member of the league of 7 they can ask in the respective PT, but not in the open. THANK YOU.

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Post Post #4816 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:33 am

Post by Morning Mage »

In post 4810, Almost50 wrote:
In post 4766, Morning Mage wrote:
In post 4764, Almost50 wrote:Like, outside "the council of 7" I've had strong TRs on Bell/S_S/Swift. Bell & S_S are slipping down massively today and Swift hasn't posted yet (I'm on page 188). So, rn
literally everyone
outside of our "secret society" is an elimination candidate to me. HELP ME narrow down that pool (because I'll have you know I'm more inclined tp execute OUTSIDE of the 3 the mod had provided us) and the reason being you can all eliminate all 3 of them after I'm gone.
so you're not flipping me now? :lol:

i'll have another read
Looks like my point went way over your head! :lol:

You argued something, I argued
the same
from someone else's PoV. But let's sleep on that for now and we can discuss post-game.
yep it's fine dude, let's just leave it. this game is completely mad... :lol:
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Post Post #4817 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:37 am

Post by Almost50 »

In post 4776, Nero Cain wrote:y TPG instead of DS or Chemist?
Good question.

Also, I so SR Pickaxe, but why would he be early on Gamma but not at all on April? This is the main reason I'm second guessing myself on him.

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Post Post #4818 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:37 am

Post by MathBlade »

In post 4813, Titus wrote:Math, can you do a chart with preferred lynches of everyone using the table code? I'd want to do some cross referencing in the hood.

Name Preferred Lynch
Titus. Pickaxe Pete
In post 4814, MathBlade wrote:
In post 4813, Titus wrote:Math, can you do a chart with preferred executions of everyone using the table code? I'd want to do some cross referencing in the hood.

Name Preferred Execution
Titus. Pickaxe Pete
I honestly could get called away to work at literally any moment.

Normally I would say sure but I could be about halfway done and get called away.

There’s also the matter of the lurkers who haven’t said.

I can try the best guess off the top of my head, but to iso and be accurate would take time.
Titus what would you like?
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Post Post #4819 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:41 am

Post by Morning Mage »

In post 4817, Almost50 wrote:
In post 4776, Nero Cain wrote:y TPG instead of DS or Chemist?
Good question.

Also, I so SR Pickaxe, but why would he be early on Gamma but not at all on April? This is the main reason I'm second guessing myself on him.
Pickaxe works for me!
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Post Post #4820 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:41 am

Post by MathBlade »

In post 4817, Almost50 wrote:
In post 4776, Nero Cain wrote:y TPG instead of DS or Chemist?
Good question.

Also, I so SR Pickaxe, but why would he be early on Gamma but not at all on April? This is the main reason I'm second guessing myself on him.
Is the commenting only for the above paragraph or count this too?

Just trying to respect your wishes.
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Post Post #4821 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:42 am

Post by Almost50 »

In post 4782, MathBlade wrote:It seems way too focused and matches my theory I have.
Can you elaborate in those?

P-edit: Just the post containing the warning/ Thanks :]

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Post Post #4822 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:45 am

Post by MathBlade »

In post 4821, Almost50 wrote:
In post 4782, MathBlade wrote:It seems way too focused and matches my theory I have.
Can you elaborate in those?

P-edit: Just the post containing the warning/ Thanks :]
Welcome.

Can you clarify your question? Do you mean elaborate how TGP’s questions seem narrowed to my theory? If not can you restate?
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Post Post #4823 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:49 am

Post by MathBlade »

In post 4349, TheGoldenParadox wrote:
thank you for the visual: i understood, but it made it more clear. your wincon is 100% town, while they have two wincons that they can pursue, one town-aligned, one self-aligned.

is their town wincon the same as yours, requiring one actual town player left alive, or is it different? does their "town" wincon have any extras or changes?
This one is the most blatant. A lot of people have been asking “what is your win con” over and over and over. This one is a bit too specific if you get my drift.
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Post Post #4824 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 8:52 am

Post by MathBlade »

DS I have a reaction test still ongoing with them but I haven’t seen them be as direct as TGP.

That may change depending upon the reaction test.

Chemist I just haven’t been online at the same time and really haven’t gotten a feel for. In the pages I have read he’s been absent/nonexistent/RVSy. So firm null there.
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