Questionable Balcony

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Post Post #600 (ISO) » Fri Oct 23, 2020 5:57 pm

Post by fferyllt »

In post 599, Tammy wrote:Yeah I was thing calibrate on bell/ diamond sentinel something like that. The people that are just difficult to read and could end up mislynches down the road?

I don’t know what to think about peta with the way he seems to be really trying to figure out/give nahdia a pass but painted everything bulge did as scummy. I get that people confirm bias at times, but the reasoning he gave about bulges readslist was so weak. I just don’t get it. Maybe they’re all town, but it just feels wrong. And it’s not about being wrong, it’s just a lack of feeling like he was actually reading bulge.

I don’t know something just feels off about arguing that nahdia is probably town because they didn’t hammer bulge when they could have while ignoring the incredibly smarmy way they did end up on the bulge wagon.

I feel bad I lost my nerve on nahdia and that I have this stupid insane dentist anxiety which literally leaves me useless after.

I wish I had town reads in that pool I felt good about.

Expecting cabd’s shot to be blocked and at least one of the lover pairs to die though
Same, unless the two players he picked based on town-bulge are both town.

He's locked there because of us. We're locked elsewhere because of him.

This may be our one chance to get an investigation. I wish we could use it on petapan. It would be awesome to know for sure he's town if he is. And it's critical to know he's scum if he is.

Hopefully, whichever of us dies next isn't a useful cop!

I asked Fakegod to PM Jake and let him know we're in the night phase. He said "sure".

I'd rather investigate Bell than DS. DS remaining in the lim-pool feels like a healthy thing for the game. If Bell's town, I think he'll come through and get more solvey. I feel like his day 2 was a big improvement over day 1, but he's still struggling a little.
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Post Post #601 (ISO) » Fri Oct 23, 2020 6:11 pm

Post by Jake The Wolfie »

Hello!

Who is scum?
The Bulge isn't!
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Post Post #602 (ISO) » Fri Oct 23, 2020 6:17 pm

Post by fferyllt »

I know.

:/

How do you feel about investigating Bell tonight, given that Cabd and S_S will be targeting either Gamma or peta for a night kill?
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Post Post #603 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 7:23 am

Post by fferyllt »

Aaaaaah nobody's talking!
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Post Post #604 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 11:28 am

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Sorry! Nacho is off today, so we’re hanging out. He has to open in the morning, so he’ll be going to bed early, and I was gonna come here once he goes to bed.
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Post Post #605 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 11:48 am

Post by fferyllt »

Another option?

One of you is naive and the other is sane. I think it makes sense for you two to target the same person. If one of you gets a guilty result, that person is scum and you know who who is the sane cop.

Me targeting the same player as you two doesn't provide new information about that player. I could pick someone else and if my result changes, then we know I'm insane and the player is scum. If my result doesn't change, then I'm still in question as to sanity.

The upside is that we could possibly get two useful investigations tonight.

What do you think?
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Post Post #606 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 3:00 pm

Post by Tammy »

That’s a really good idea!

Who should we target, and who should you target?

If you get guilty that means that the person is either innocent or you’re paranoid right?

I hope jack is the sane one. Think he lives the longest in here.
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Post Post #607 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 3:02 pm

Post by Tammy »

Do you want us to target bell? If we both come back into on bell, it won’t resolve our sanity but it will resolve bell.
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Post Post #608 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 3:12 pm

Post by fferyllt »

In post 607, Tammy wrote:Do you want us to target bell? If we both come back into on bell, it won’t resolve our sanity but it will resolve bell.
Yep! That sounds perfect.

Who do you think I should target?
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Post Post #609 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 3:20 pm

Post by Tammy »

Who are we relatively sure won’t get shot tonight?

Oh maybe sir cakez?
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Post Post #610 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 4:07 pm

Post by fferyllt »

In post 609, Tammy wrote:Who are we relatively sure won’t get shot tonight?

Oh maybe sir cakez?
I need to think. I want to maximize the chance of getting a not-like-the-last-time result if I'm insane. :/
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Post Post #611 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 4:35 pm

Post by Tammy »

Do you want to try it on a scum read not in vig pool or a null read that might be scum?
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Post Post #612 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 5:37 pm

Post by fferyllt »

In post 598, fferyllt wrote:Cabd said his pool is {gamma, peta} if bulge town and {midway, nahdia} if bulge scum.

So theoretically midway/nahdia ok? I wish midway was in the vig-pool and I want to avoid him just in case.

I'd kinda like to target bell or cakez. Would really just like to put bell to bed one way or another and not stress about his rocky game start.

Thoughts?
I worry a little that Cabd might shoot midway, or that's who I'd want to investigate.

What do you think about the argument that scum-nahdia would have hammered bulge? I think that argument was predicated on bulge being scum.
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Post Post #613 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 5:48 pm

Post by fferyllt »

Maybe it's more important for me to calibrate than to try to catch scum? I just feel like I'm probably the next to die just because I'm more active in the game thread.
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Post Post #614 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 6:17 pm

Post by fferyllt »

I'll investigate Cakez unless I wake up in the middle of the night and decide I should target midway.

I feel like midway doesn't make it to exlo. Cakez might.
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Post Post #615 (ISO) » Sat Oct 24, 2020 7:22 pm

Post by fferyllt »

I put in my investigate requedst for SirCakez.
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Post Post #616 (ISO) » Sun Oct 25, 2020 3:57 am

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I passed out before I meant to, and yeah I think you’re the next most likely to go in here.
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Post Post #617 (ISO) » Sun Oct 25, 2020 3:58 am

Post by Tammy »

Jake- investigate bell please :)
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Post Post #618 (ISO) » Sun Oct 25, 2020 5:54 am

Post by fferyllt »

I think we should hold off announcing any results we get for I dunno 48 hours? That will give some time for players to scumhunt/townread naturally, which could be useful!
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Post Post #619 (ISO) » Sun Oct 25, 2020 6:20 am

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I was gonna ask what you thought about that! Yeah, 48 hours seems good.

I guess there’s a chance one of us die if they have a roleblocker/strongman and both the mason claims are true, which I think they are, but I’ve been kinda operating on the assumption we’ll all live.

It’s hard to think about reads when a vig kill might go through and change assumptions. I’ve never really been all that great with the hypotheticals.

I’m not sure what to think about my nahdia scum read. Am I just confirmation biasing at this point. 90% of their posts just feel so fake and the way they turned on bulge there was so skeevy. There are some genuine moments where I doubt myself, but I’m not sure the ones where I doubt myself are that alignment indicative.

I doubt Cabd actually shoots peta here. Think he’s more likely to shoot gamma.

I have doubts about petas towniness, but I know you have a strong townread there. I’m not sure here. Sometimes when I’m having trouble making sense of reads it’s because I’m trying to town read people I shouldn’t be. I’m not sure if this applies here because by and large the non claimed mason group feels just kinda scummy overall.
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Post Post #620 (ISO) » Sun Oct 25, 2020 6:34 am

Post by fferyllt »

I can switch my investigation to Nahdia. That might be a better idea?
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Post Post #621 (ISO) » Sun Oct 25, 2020 6:38 am

Post by Tammy »

Subject: Smoke-Filled Antechamber [Night 2]
FakeGod wrote:
VoteCount 2.7


SirCakez [1] - Bell
The Bulge [7] - petapan, DiamondSentinel, Gamma Emerald, SirCakez, Cabd, fferyllt, midwaybear
Nahdia [1] - The Bulge

Not Voting [6]
- Something_Smart, Tammy, PookyTheMagicalBear, Jake The Wolfie, Nahdia, Alisae

With 15 alive it takes 8 votes to be executed.


Countdown to deadline: (expired on 2020-10-23 20:35:31)
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Post Post #622 (ISO) » Sun Oct 25, 2020 6:39 am

Post by Tammy »

Subject: Smoke-Filled Antechamber [Night 2]
FakeGod wrote:
VoteCount 2.8


The Bulge [5] - petapan, DiamondSentinel, Gamma Emerald, SirCakez, midwaybear
Nahdia [1] - Bell
Gamma Emerald [5] - fferyllt, Alisae, PookyTheMagicalBear, Cabd, The Bulge

Not Voting [4]
- Something_Smart, Tammy, Jake The Wolfie, Nahdia

With 15 alive it takes 8 votes to be executed.


Countdown to deadline: (expired on 2020-10-23 20:35:31)
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Post Post #623 (ISO) » Sun Oct 25, 2020 6:39 am

Post by Tammy »

Subject: Smoke-Filled Antechamber [Night 2]
FakeGod wrote:
VoteCount 2.9


The Bulge [8] - petapan, Gamma Emerald, SirCakez, midwaybear, Nahdia, Alisae, Bell, Cabd [Execute]

Nahdia [1] - DiamondSentinel
Gamma Emerald [3] - PookyTheMagicalBear, Tammy, fferyllt
midwaybear [1] - The Bulge

Not Voting [2]
- Something_Smart, Jake The Wolfie

With 15 alive it takes 8 votes to be executed.


Countdown to deadline: (expired on 2020-10-23 20:35:31)
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Post Post #624 (ISO) » Sun Oct 25, 2020 6:41 am

Post by Tammy »

Oh there wasn’t a vote count to show the rise of the nahdia wagon.

I think I was unvoting at end of day yesterday?
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