In post 588, Uncrowned wrote:Hoopla
Why is JV not in your readings?
I also don't really like your read on me. My activity isn't what should make me town here. This read feels very low effort.
do you ever have those days where you make a to-do list of 10 different things you need to get done, get so overwhelmed by the prospect, that you procrastinate with TV or some other escape, then end up doing nothing on the list? when if you put your mind to it, you could have easily done 6 or 7 things, accepted that level of output and been satisfied with yourself, rather than doing nothing.In post 590, JacksonVirgo wrote:I don't like the fact they refuse to read in the 4s or whatnot, I feel that's just stupid for town to do.
day 1's in games this size are often like this for me.
i don't have the stamina these days to analyse an entire playerlist on D1 (especially in 7 day deadlines), so some kind of filtering is necessary for me in order for me to stay focused.
my preferred modus operandi is to sort through who i'm not willing to execute. this includes: obv-town, strong players who'll likely get NK'ed if they're town (so i don't need to bother sorting them), active/transparent posters (who seem like they'll be easy to read later), + other miscellaneous town influences.
this in turn creates a de facto execution pool that is small enough that i can focus on until we get some real information in the game (big wagons, claims, flips etc).
this game is unique in that it has other mechanical considerations to help the filtering process: the 4's.
i'm saying there's max one scum in the 4's which means either 1 or 0. if it's 1, it's 33% from my perspective (25% from a town player's perspective outside that bracket), but you're also forgetting about another subsection of games where its 0. of groupings of 4+, it's been observed to have been an all town group 50% of the time:In post 592, JacksonVirgo wrote:@Hoopla, I recall you saying there's likely one scum in the 4s. If so that's a 33% shot if you read in there yet you're choosing not to?
Spoiler: data
i'm well aware i'd make this appeal to data if by chance i was scum and ended up in a likely-town draft position, but i'll save you all the time and tell you now it isn't alignment indicative. i'd make this exact same argument as town, and am doing so now.
