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Post Post #1900 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:15 am

Post by TheGoldenParadox »

In post 1898, Menalque wrote:
In post 1896, TheGoldenParadox wrote:
In post 1893, Menalque wrote:
In post 1891, TheGoldenParadox wrote:my vote on mena is also mechanical because of lillith's claim
wow, that's convenient!
so convenient! a player who is guaranteed to be a power role claimed jailkeeper on a slot that is incredibly unlikely to be nightkilled, and no nightkills occured.
why am I so unlikely to be a NK, TGP

you've played with me

am I not a threat to scum?
you are a threat to scum
but a large portion of this playerlist is a threat to scum, including people who are far more likely to be actual powerroles come on
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Post Post #1901 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:16 am

Post by petapan »

In post 1899, TheGoldenParadox wrote:but i do think that i can look at someone's play and look at their position in the draft and what they have said to arrive at a reasonable conclusion
but you mostly seem to be not actually trying to sort people in the top part of the draft
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Post Post #1902 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:16 am

Post by Something_Smart »

In post 1842, Uncrowned wrote:S_S I'd appreciate your thoughts on my TGP read
Looking through your arguments the only thing that resonates with me is pointing out how incongruous is with the rest of TGP's trajectory.

It's a really awful post, and it reads like a bad excuse to jump on a mis-exe wagon. But I'm not convinced that scum-TGP would feel the need to jump on that wagon? DGB was self-destructing.

So I think it looks bad, but it feels mostly just bad and not scummy, unless TGP's scumgame is so incompetent that he wouldn't realize jumping on a mis-exe that you were previously defending looks bad (and I doubt it is).
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Post Post #1903 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:18 am

Post by Menalque »

In post 1900, TheGoldenParadox wrote:you are a threat to scum
but a large portion of this playerlist is a threat to scum, including people who are far more likely to be actual powerroles come on
none of those people hardclaimed cop tho

and also, why is it implausible that either (1) scum!infinity freaked out and wanted me dead after D1 or (2) that the doc got a save on uncrowned/skitt on the same night I was JK'd?
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Post Post #1904 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:18 am

Post by Menalque »

In post 1894, Menalque wrote:do you think there are 2 scum in the 4's, TGP?
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Post Post #1905 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:19 am

Post by TheGoldenParadox »

In post 1867, Menalque wrote:https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.p ... er_sort=Go

I also just played with TGP and this is what I mean when I say they feel totally different here
i mean, weird times and all.
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Post Post #1906 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:19 am

Post by Something_Smart »

In post 1848, Menalque wrote:I mean, it doesn't have to be this way if y'all choose not for it to be
Well, obviously. My point was just that I think it's highly unlikely that enough people would come around to townreading you strongly enough to drop pressure on you entirely.
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Post Post #1907 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:19 am

Post by TheGoldenParadox »

In post 1904, Menalque wrote:
In post 1894, Menalque wrote:do you think there are 2 scum in the 4's, TGP?
yes absolutely

those two scum are pp and hoopla
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Post Post #1908 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:20 am

Post by Menalque »

so scum... intentionally nuke their chances of having good PRs... allowing them to be caught or eliminated by town having a BOUNTY of PRs... for some WIFOM... that evaporates in usefulness the second one of them gets caught/tracked/whatever, or they just get PoE'd? that's what you're saying you think scum did in the draft phase?
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Post Post #1909 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:21 am

Post by TheGoldenParadox »

In post 1903, Menalque wrote:
In post 1900, TheGoldenParadox wrote:you are a threat to scum
but a large portion of this playerlist is a threat to scum, including people who are far more likely to be actual powerroles come on
none of those people hardclaimed cop tho

and also, why is it implausible that either (1) scum!infinity freaked out and wanted me dead after D1 or (2) that the doc got a save on uncrowned/skitt on the same night I was JK'd?
i mean i don't think it's likely that you're actually a cop
and don't you commonly lolclaim
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Post Post #1910 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:22 am

Post by Menalque »

In post 1906, Something_Smart wrote:
In post 1848, Menalque wrote:I mean, it doesn't have to be this way if y'all choose not for it to be
Well, obviously. My point was just that I think it's highly unlikely that enough people would come around to townreading you strongly enough to drop pressure on you entirely.
give me time friend
we can do a rerun of anuket topaz where almost everyone is TRing me by the end of today and then one slot stubbornly insists it's me tomorrow in spite of the wealth of evidence to the contrary, at which point we can speed elim me while I'm not around and I can go and be salty about how obvtown I was in dead thread and root for the scumteam
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Post Post #1911 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:23 am

Post by Menalque »

In post 1909, TheGoldenParadox wrote:
In post 1903, Menalque wrote:
In post 1900, TheGoldenParadox wrote:you are a threat to scum
but a large portion of this playerlist is a threat to scum, including people who are far more likely to be actual powerroles come on
none of those people hardclaimed cop tho

and also, why is it implausible that either (1) scum!infinity freaked out and wanted me dead after D1 or (2) that the doc got a save on uncrowned/skitt on the same night I was JK'd?
i mean i don't think it's likely that you're actually a cop
and don't you commonly lolclaim
why should scum think that's unlikely tho

especially when there's a game very recently where a player toward the bottom end of the draft rolled cop

and I do, yes, but I also make my real claims look like lolclaims sometimes to fuck with scum
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Post Post #1912 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:24 am

Post by TheGoldenParadox »

In post 1908, Menalque wrote:so scum... intentionally nuke their chances of having good PRs... allowing them to be caught or eliminated by town having a BOUNTY of PRs... for some WIFOM... that evaporates in usefulness the second one of them gets caught/tracked/whatever, or they just get PoE'd? that's what you're saying you think scum did in the draft phase?

there aren't that many PRs that are incredibly powerful for scum in any case, and i think hoopla pp and you would that gamble

it explains why dgb got the vig slot

it explains them choosing informed instead of multitasking

it explains hoopla's weird interactions with PP and her entire 4s thing

the scumteam is hoopla penguin and menal
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Post Post #1913 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:25 am

Post by Something_Smart »

In post 1860, Menalque wrote:
ducky, can we get a prod on Best Bird pls?


Spoiler:
:P
That would be rude, Taly's not even in the game
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Post Post #1914 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:25 am

Post by TheGoldenParadox »

In post 1911, Menalque wrote:
In post 1909, TheGoldenParadox wrote:
In post 1903, Menalque wrote:
In post 1900, TheGoldenParadox wrote:you are a threat to scum
but a large portion of this playerlist is a threat to scum, including people who are far more likely to be actual powerroles come on
none of those people hardclaimed cop tho

and also, why is it implausible that either (1) scum!infinity freaked out and wanted me dead after D1 or (2) that the doc got a save on uncrowned/skitt on the same night I was JK'd?
i mean i don't think it's likely that you're actually a cop
and don't you commonly lolclaim
why should scum think that's unlikely tho

especially when there's a game very recently where a player toward the bottom end of the draft rolled cop

and I do, yes, but I also make my real claims look like lolclaims sometimes to fuck with scum
because you're near the bottom of the draft and cop is a commonly taken role
yes i know you do (our last game) but hypothetically if you were town, scum wouldn't know that
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Post Post #1915 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:27 am

Post by Something_Smart »

In post 1865, lilith2013 wrote:JV in particular was like "oh is there a red check? I didn't see. where's the red check?"
Oh yeah this is a good point. If Menalque flips scum that post has a lot of partner equity.
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Post Post #1916 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:27 am

Post by Menalque »

In post 1912, TheGoldenParadox wrote:and i think hoopla pp and you would that gamble
objection, I wasn't in the game when the decision would have been taken
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Post Post #1917 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:30 am

Post by Menalque »

In post 1914, TheGoldenParadox wrote:because you're near the bottom of the draft and cop is a commonly taken role
yes i know you do (our last game) but hypothetically if you were town, scum wouldn't know that
is it actually taken that commonly in practice? I haven't run the actual numbers or looked at the games

and I mean... if you're scum, scum would know that?
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Post Post #1918 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:30 am

Post by Menalque »

In post 1915, Something_Smart wrote:
In post 1865, lilith2013 wrote:JV in particular was like "oh is there a red check? I didn't see. where's the red check?"
Oh yeah this is a good point. If Menalque flips scum that post has a lot of partner equity.
can't tell if this is a joke post or not
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Post Post #1919 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:32 am

Post by Something_Smart »

In post 1885, davesaz wrote:To be fair here I would never consider that either.
Why not?

I'm definitely considering it. Menalque is a strong player, and not many people expressed a scumread of him before today.
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Post Post #1920 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:37 am

Post by Something_Smart »

In post 1918, Menalque wrote:can't tell if this is a joke post or not
It's not a joke, though I'm only talking about that one post () and not JV overall.
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Post Post #1921 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:40 am

Post by Menalque »

In post 1920, Something_Smart wrote:
In post 1918, Menalque wrote:can't tell if this is a joke post or not
It's not a joke, though I'm only talking about that one post () and not JV overall.
wasn't sure because I had that series of posts with lilith talking about how my interactions with JV are absolutely nothing like what they'd look like if we were scum together, but are exactly what they'd look like if I were scum trying to set up an innocent JV to go down after me
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Post Post #1922 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:42 am

Post by skitter30 »

In post 1868, lilith2013 wrote:actually skitter seems to not be considering at all that you could have been the NK target
Nah it's a semi-viable universe, but still doesnt fit with my reads entirely:

Like my thought process was: what if mena was the nk last night -> what did lilith do last night -> if she's town she blocked the nk -> if she's scum wtf is she claiming even

If town and she blocked the nk -> like idk it just doesnf *fit* with the gamestate i'm seeing

Like Idk who tries to nk him here. I know it wasnt me. If you're scum i think you try for me over mena. Idk if ss goes out of his way to do that. And if scum doesnt have one of those people listed just above on the team, mena is a *super random* nk

This is kinda my thought process ^
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Post Post #1923 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:43 am

Post by skitter30 »

In post 1852, lilith2013 wrote:
In post 1809, skitter30 wrote:Like why dont i townread you yet ????
I have plenty of theories, but I'm not actually sure you want to hear them
Kinda curious to hear them

Bleh more i wanna say, tonight tho ^
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Post Post #1924 (ISO) » Thu Nov 05, 2020 6:44 am

Post by Menalque »

In post 1922, skitter30 wrote:Like Idk who tries to nk him here
infinity
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