Death Curse
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- Bell
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@LLD how do you want to run this show?
@Gloria: Yeah, it's common for me to always miss someone if I make a list.
@Fidget, I disagree with your assessment. Did I mention he used Taylor as a kind of measuring stick to get his head into the game? It would be pretty crazy if that were true huh.
It's oddly specific.- Fidget
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Also for anyone doubting Noraa, you should also keep in mind Fred hard tunneled there to begin his replace-in. And like, all the other reasons half the thread was already TRing Noraa. We don't need an info-flip that helps solve her.In post 5298, Gloria Cleary wrote:Fred scumflip already clears Noraa because he gave the scroll to LLD. There is pretty much no world where they are buddies.- Gloria Cleary
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Gloria Cleary Mafia Scum
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This is 100% why LLD should not give the scroll to Noraa. A Fred red flips pretty much confitowns her, so it would be hella stupid to kill a slot that is very likely confirmable post Fred flip.In post 5291, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:Pooky green implicates Tayl0r tremendously, honestly. That whole back and forth smelled like SvT. Says nothing about Noraa though. Also, you have a GIGANTIC ISO and a lot of Day 1 back and forth, there's bound to be good stuff to work with in terms of VCA with you confirmed as green.- Fidget
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I remember you saying that, but I can't find where the post is.In post 5300, Bell wrote:@Fidget, I disagree with your assessment. Did I mention he used Taylor as a kind of measuring stick to get his head into the game? It would be pretty crazy if that were true huh.
It's oddly specific.
I'm open to being wrong on Taylor but I prefer shooting shelly. I suppose Mush makes a good point that Taylor is TSTBS sometimes, but I have only noticed that in the games where she was town. The Trials is my only scum reference for her, and she was very tryhard and generally townread middle-lategame there. In all my games where she was town, she usually did scummy stuff.- MURDERCAT
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Had Fidget been generally SRing shelly?In post 5303, Fidget wrote:I'm open to being wrong on Taylor but I prefer shooting shelly.- MURDERCAT
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- Theta Alpine
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i meanIn post 5255, Fidget wrote:
This is also worrying me a little bit given Theta has been tunneling Adorable probably the entire length of the game and yet is hedging her bets at the end.In post 5162, Theta Alpine wrote:i am very confident
which to be perfectly honest
given my past history with reads
probably means i am wrong here
i am still very confident in adorable being scum
mentioning that the reads i am this confident in are usually not correct might be seen as hedging my bets
but please do not read it as me saying i think adorable might be town
because i do not think that at the moment
that is to say that this time i think this read is an exception to that pattern
i am just saying that to let town know that in the past this amount of conviction tends to mean i am wrong
even if i do not actually think i am wrong in this case
this is just something i have observed in past games and i feel it is a good idea to let the rest of town now that that pattern exists
though now that we hopefully caught scum then i can probably stop tunneling on adorable after the next flips and look for other possibilities
adorable will remain in lock-scum on my reads indefinitely though
i honestly do not know what would convince me otherwise at this pointas town won 2 games | lost 5 games | mislynched 3 times | dayvigged once | nightkilled once | vengekilled once | survived once
as scum won 2 games | lost none | lynched once | dayvigged once
and if you count large normal 204 then i won that game after replacing out as scum- Noraa
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God I'm having such a hard time focusing I feel like this is another version of Roses. I kind of hope Fred flips red but at the same time dont. If he flips red, I'm conftown which I love. But seeing that I'm this unengaged when I'm not even conftown, I have zero idea how lazy I'm gonna become if I become conftown.Dream as if you'll live forever, live as if you'll die today.
Come play Guess that Scummer OR ELSE- Noraa
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Dream as if you'll live forever, live as if you'll die today.
Come play Guess that Scummer OR ELSE- MURDERCAT
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Fred is scum, read his iso and find some scumIn post 5307, Noraa wrote:God I'm having such a hard time focusing I feel like this is another version of Roses. I kind of hope Fred flips red but at the same time dont. If he flips red, I'm conftown which I love. But seeing that I'm this unengaged when I'm not even conftown, I have zero idea how lazy I'm gonna become if I become conftown.- Gloria Cleary
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Gloria Cleary Mafia Scum
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How is that irrelevant? LLD’s been gunning for Noraa the entire game and Fred obviously knows this, so in what world does scum!Fred give the scroll to the one player most likely to take out his buddy?In post 5299, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:Irrelevant. Pooky red would remove all doubt there, and I promise you doubt will be cast. If I had anything to bet, I'd wager on it.- Noraa
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ty murder <3In post 5309, MURDERCAT wrote:Fred is scum, read his iso and find some scumDream as if you'll live forever, live as if you'll die today.
Come play Guess that Scummer OR ELSE- Gloria Cleary
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Maybe it’s really that simple that scum!Fred thought the best way to take out two townies: LLD/Noraa, was to hit LLD first because I’m not even sure who Noraa would have likely hit.In post 5305, MURDERCAT wrote:Maybe Fidget Shelly makes less sense then- MUSHSHAGANA
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Gotta be real with you here folks, I think the scumteam misjudged LLD if they thought she was just going to wreck Noraa and toss the game out. Best angle for a miselimination with Red Fred is inside of Bell, Gloria, MAYBE Fidget?, and Tayl0r/Pooky (whichever one is town, because I'm convinced that there is one and ONLY one green in there). LLD tossing the scroll to Noraa would be foolish as hell here.
...
Actually, hold up, let's do some quick sanity checks.
Shelly was clearly being defended, or I'd have caught a case of curse.
Fidget may have been getting defended, or else Adorable might have remained the target. (I feel like Adorable may also have been always intended to be swapped off of and could be a red slot.)
MURDERCAT would have smashed Shelly in a heartbeat.
Pooky would have hit Tayl0r.
Tayl0r would have hit ... not Pooky.
Okay, let's check Tayl0r's reads here. Who WOULD she have hit, based on what we can see?
Shelly and UNOwen, it's looking like. Bell was possible before the Fred flip was recognized for what it was. Fidget's a possible afterwards. Tayl0r's been scumreading Pooky but rarely emphasizes it except to force Pooky out of the limelight. First name mentioned in each of the past few reads list is Shelly's.
So Tayl0r's reads are following the rest of town's on Shelly. This also predates the Fred flip.
So I go back through and try and look for conflicts there. Scum theater, SvT, TvT feeling? And so on.
Oh, would you look at that, there's a lack-luster dustup near the very beginning of the Fred wagon between Shelly and Tayl0r. Shelly's attempt to derail. Well, it worked on me, apparently -- forgot the context and just remembered the vague discontentment there. It goes nowhere, does nothing, then Shelly tries to spearhead a wagon on Fidget, it goes nowhere and does nothing. Tayl0r tries to argue that this doesn't count as organized resistance so Fred clearly cannot be red. And then the hammer, and whoopsie, there goes Fred.
Way too strong of alignment assumption WRT Fred, garbage assertions, CONSTANT garbage assertions. After the hammer, even stronger garbage assertion based on nothing but "well, Fred's wagon sucked too bad to be town", which was trash when almost all of the obvtowns in the game were on board, and it was being most heavily argued for by an obvtown (even though I hate that's the case for me). Like, "bring out the industrial strength air fresheners" garbo bullshit here. And then Fred basically spoils the flip and Tayl0r ditches it all instantly.
Okay. Time out. Listen.
If I was a townie who townread someone THAT hard, I'd rationalize for them. I'd rationalize for them and make a hell of a lot of good arguments. I'd spend all my towncred on trying to recover there, and then some. I'd probably go down swinging for them. If I'm making absolute bullshit up to try and save them in the first place, if I'm assuming absolute certainty where none exists? I'll take it to the wall. I'll knock the wall down and take it further. If nothing else, I'll do it to prove that I wasn't a fucking idiot and anyone could have been taken in as badly as me, because by god is there gonna be egg on face for me.
Tayl0r? Nah, fuck 'em. Here's the new reads, same as the old reads except I have to give Bell a gold star for hitting red.
I take it all back. Yeah, Tayl0r/Shelly/Fred can be the team (minus 2 members TBD) for now.- Gloria Cleary
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Having a player that is pretty much IC is always useful, especially since this is a nightless game.In post 5307, Noraa wrote:God I'm having such a hard time focusing I feel like this is another version of Roses. I kind of hope Fred flips red but at the same time dont. If he flips red, I'm conftown which I love. But seeing that I'm this unengaged when I'm not even conftown, I have zero idea how lazy I'm gonna become if I become conftown.- MURDERCAT
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Yes I agree with this. I was looking at fidget because I thought fred using a hurt tag instead of a vote for LLD might implicate someone who had failed to weigh in because they were absent from the threadIn post 5312, Gloria Cleary wrote:
Maybe it’s really that simple that scum!Fred thought the best way to take out two townies: LLD/Noraa, was to hit LLD first because I’m not even sure who Noraa would have likely hit.In post 5305, MURDERCAT wrote:Maybe Fidget Shelly makes less sense then- Noraa
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Spoiler:
And then um I uh, got lazy and U-U didn't finish the ISO
Spoiler:Dream as if you'll live forever, live as if you'll die today.
Come play Guess that Scummer OR ELSE- Noraa
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^ignore typosDream as if you'll live forever, live as if you'll die today.
Come play Guess that Scummer OR ELSE- MUSHSHAGANA
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- Noraa
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Vibe and meta wise, Taylor is town this game. The vibe is on point with her town meta. Playful, slightly only slightly arrogant, and not giving a shit about wtf anyone in the world says or if she offends anyone. Scum!Taylor is much more reserved, calm, and composed.In post 5318, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:Fred+Tayl0r is the new hotness, Noraa. Check my last post for the deets. I trust your judgement here because you're waffling on that slot, give me criticism.
One problem is that she gave me a free town pass. Even now, I'm still really worried about it since she did that to me in Trials where she was scum.
Another problem is the partner equity with Fred. I must say it isnt as low as I would like considering my soul read on her tells me she is town. If they matched up, I'd have a locktown but they dont.
I think, in the end, I'd like to believe in my soul read over this partner equity with Fred. Partner equity can be faked and honestly speaking, I feel like Fred tried to set me up by trying to make it look like bussing the moment he entered the game(all the stuff was super weak and not backed up at all). With that in mind, I could defo see him setting Taylor up as well. I'd argue that it's the people that Fred's had only a few really brief interactions with or no interactions at all with that are the scum team. I am about 99% sure that this is the case and honestly, if I wasn't lazy, I'd probs be able to straight up just solve this entire game by looking solely at Fred interactions.
Anyways, I've waffled enough on Taylor this game. I'm going to just declare her town. My heart and soul tell me she is town and I'm not gonna ignore them bc I believe I've played enough with Taylor to be able to tell. I dont think I am wrong but I do understand that one person's opinion can't do anything against a consensus so I will try to save her if she starts going under but I won't put up a huge fight if it really is consensus.Dream as if you'll live forever, live as if you'll die today.
Come play Guess that Scummer OR ELSE- PookyTheMagicalBear
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noraa how many people has taylor taken her town-read back on in this gameShow"I can't even look at the game anymore.
That evil teddy bear has got everyone twirling by his thumb.
It's like witnessing an slow but unavoidable train crash you can't stop."
-Norwee
"Please refrain from diverting our sleuths out there Pooky."
~Maple- Noraa
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no idea.In post 5320, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:noraa how many people has taylor taken her town-read back on in this gameDream as if you'll live forever, live as if you'll die today.
Come play Guess that Scummer OR ELSE- shellyc
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good afternoon my fellows
Taylor scum with Fred still
shelly/Taylor is clearly not a team and really forced
firstly, I didn't derail the wagon at all, and it has been stated that I basically tried to drive the wagon throughout the day. If I wanted to derail I'd have made a case and asked my TRs to sheep me. I tried to PRESSURE, to shake things up.
secondly, why would I derail scum!fred (who looks worse) into scum!Taylor (who looks better than Fred)"I really dig your cult leadery charismatic vibes" - Hectic
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