Micro 984: my beautiful dark twisted familytree [COMPLETE]

[DkKoba]

ok dad whatever u say

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

i am getting drunk tonight so theres that

also we should hydra sometime pooky, i need an excuse to troll and not tryhard in a game (well when i roll town at least because as scum i did that to win )

that is probly too much shitposting for most threads to handle lololol

[Errantparabola]

Votecount 1.8 - finale

DkKoba

(5): insomnia, DkKoba, PookyTheMagicalBear, SirCakez, petapan

Not Voting

(4): Bingle, DoubtingThomas, Kanna, DeasVail

[Errantparabola]

DkKoba was eliminated Day 1. They were a

Town Family Child

.
petapan self-eliminates Day 1. They were a

Mafia Mother

.

Night 1 begins immediately and will end on the later of the two: A replacement for DoubtingThomas is found, or

(expired on 2020-11-26 05:13:00)

. Alternatively, if anyone wants Day 2 to begin later to accommodate for American Thanksgiving, PM me and I will start Day 2 on Friday morning.

[Errantparabola]

Galron replaces DoubtingThomas

.

[Errantparabola]

PookyTheMagicalBear was killed Night 1. They were a

Vanilla Townie

.

[Errantparabola]

Votecount 2.0

Not Voting

(6): Kanna, Bingle, DeasVail, SirCakez, insomnia, Galron

4 majority. Deadline in

(expired on 2020-12-01 14:15:00)

[Bingle]

Glad I could join this time. I won’t be claiming my iteration submission. Someone tldr how we caught scum?

[SirCakez]

So insomnia is town
I'm town

I want to go back to DV for avoiding the Koba debate
VOTE: DV

[Bingle]

Someone tldr how we caught scum?

Legitimate question, Cakez. I would like to veto any subjective talk until we get the possible autowin (Or nearly autowin) off the table. Are any/all of our IC's claimed?

[DeasVail]

So insomnia is town
I'm town

I want to go back to DV for avoiding the Koba debate
VOTE: DV

Was this the "whether to lynch Koba or not" debate?

If so, it's probably worth considering that all that happened during the middle of night in my timezone.

[DeasVail]

For clarification I just looked and the early parts of the discussion actually occurred during my evening. I don't remember seeing it until the next morning though. I don't think it matters?

[SirCakez]

So insomnia is town
I'm town

I want to go back to DV for avoiding the Koba debate
VOTE: DV

Was this the "whether to lynch Koba or not" debate?

If so, it's probably worth considering that all that happened during the middle of night in my timezone.

Yeah I didn't realize you had a different time zone
@Bingle we figured out Koba was the Mafia Child and elimmed them to make a mafia suicide

[Bingle]

Are any/all of our IC's claimed?

[Bingle]

To clarify the reason for this question:

If none of our ICs have claimed and it's reasonably unlikely that scum know who the child is, we can have either (Not both) the mother or the father claim and chain lims through the non confirmed players until we hit scum. without giving away the child.

We have a lim pool of 3 players, and are potentially in MYLO. If we have an obscured IC child, we can give scum a 1/3 shot at the child on a misyeet with a 1/3 chance of giving us autowin and a 1/3 chance of a 50/50 tomorrow using this strat (Their other option, of course, being just biting the bullet and giving us a second shot at the yeet pie). The more we discuss reads, the more likely scum is to be able to guess the child.

[insomnia]

if we yeet wrong today and mafia hit the child, we lost

don't even know if sleeping is the right play here, to be honest

if we're gonna go for the sleep, then I guess saying as little as possible w/r/t info for the game is optimal

that's about all the thoughts I have right now

[insomnia]

i do think sleeping is optimal, though

lowest chances of hitting the child and eliminates PoE targets

and I think we just have to come out with the child tomorrow (assuming they don't die tonight, after sleeping) and we have it at a 50/50 between two people.

seems like the best path, people should answer whether they wanna follow this path or not.

i don't see a better one atm

[SirCakez]

I like that plan

[DeasVail]

I like it too

[Galron]

So my slot hasn't said anything this game I guess.

[Galron]

I'm good with NY.

[Bingle]

Aight.

Mother Claims, picks a yeet. That person claims Father not Father. If father, we are then in functional 3p XLO. If not father, we yeet. No discussion, no elaboration. If tomorrow happens Father claims and outs child to guarantee it's an accurate claim if still alive.

Child doesn't claim, ever. CC's obviously win us the game.

[Bingle]

No yeet is inferior mathematically.

[Bingle]

Spoiler: Mother Claim Route

Today:

25% Father Picked -> 33% winrate
25% Mafia Picked -> 100% winrate
50% VT Picked -> Night Phase

Night Phase

1/3 Child kill -> 0% winrate
1/3 Father kill -> 50% winrate
1/3 VT kill -> 50% winrate

OR

Mother Kill -> 66% win Rate

Spoiler: Full Claim Route

33% winrate

Spoiler: No Yeet Route

20% Child kill -> 0% win rate
40% M/F kill -> 33% win rate (kind of, we can actually break this down further but I don't wanna)
40% VT kill -> 50% win rate

More than 1/2 the time we're in the same boat or autoloss.

[Bingle]

Huh, math wise we actually lose .1% more often no yeeting here than just full claiming and making this XLO.