TM 2021 Large Normal 2: Wikipedia Integer Facts (Over)


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Post Post #2775 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:17 pm

Post by mastina »

In post 2773, mastina wrote:
In post 2618, Titus wrote:I think that's one too many, so I may have a townbeard in my SRs
For the record--this is once more not a Titus-town mindset. If Titus were town here with too many scumreads, it would trigger a reevaluation from her of the gamestate and her assumptions, not to mention her reads.

The fact that she knows how shitty my scumgame is and knows my town meta fairly intimately yet is insisting I am scum without reassessing that at all is one example of this, but it's very widespread.

I am telling you.

On every level--this is not Titus as town; this is Titus's scumgame.

I'm actually becoming more sure Titus is scum than LLD is scum (when I am pretty damn sure LLD is scum).

There was a world where Titus could be town...but the more and more from Titus I see, the more and more I realize that world just doesn't exist. (Basically, to explain this: certain normally-scum-indicators for Titus can, situationally, in specific circumstances, actually not be scum-indicators for her, and be either null or even situationally town for her in spite of generally being Titus scumtells. That's why Titus started as 80% scum rather than 100% scum; the remaining 20% was the possibility of Titus being in those situational circumstances. But the more and more Titus scumtells, with multiple different Titus-specific scumtells piling up over time, the less and less likely it is that this is her in those situational circumstances, and with the multitude of Titus scumtells, the chances of her being scum go up to nearly 100%. If I had to estimate, it'd be in the 99% percentile. I'm
that
sure this isn't Titus as town.)
(Pagetopping this.)
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Post Post #2776 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:22 pm

Post by mastina »

In post 2678, AGar wrote:- A wagon hitting E-2 and then falling apart *for no apparent reason* and another wagon springing up is alarming.
Funny, I don't recall you raising this concern about the hercule wagon (which did hit L-2 at some point albeit not listed in an official VC) or the LLD wagon (ditto).
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Post Post #2777 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:29 pm

Post by Dunnstral »

In post 2774, Luca Blight wrote:
Spoiler:
In post 2607, Dunnstral wrote:My thoughts:

I like Dannflor's posts. I don't know if he posts in a way that I'd find different if he were scum. He feels good

Cephrir feels ok. Last game I was actually suspicious of him but didn't like how the wagon was forming around what seemed to be his thoughts of Mastina, this game I'm not really, except that he sometimes reverts to feeling unhelpful sometimes

Okapoka, I don't think he's that bad this game, or that different. He's just not as towny this go around which raises some eyebrows

Agar is towny, people just don't like his playstyle/posting style. Most people probably skim past his posts.

This feels like town Mastina due to the amount of energy she's able to put into whatever she is doing here, and she somehow feels different when she's scum, like she's acting in bad faith rather than just being tunneled

Xtoxm feels tonally different from the last game to a degree where they feel town this time. I think their push on lld is questionable given the reasons they laid out being, in my opinion, bad, especially when they showed they're able to case someone

The way Innocent Villager is treating me is weird. I thought they were fine but writing this out I think most of their posting is nullish and they deserve more scrutiny.

Hopkirk, I don't really know, one of my teammates thinks he's town. I don't find the case against him convincing, which leaves him at null but not towny

Winter Flakes is indeed blending into the background, and I'm also forgetting that they're in this game. I feel like last game they were a lot more involved.

Titus goes between towny and scummy. I like some of her posts, tonally, others not so much.

Ythan should probably get more scrutiny from me, he isn't doing anything, he's capable of doing stuff, he's being unhelpful for some reason. I don't have strong feelings about this flipping scum.

LLD - I think the case against them is garbage, which has been brought up several times but plowed through. I don't find them particularly towny though. I'm trying to work with them here. DGB is easily the scummier of the two which is why I'm not voting on LLD.

DGB is really scummy and different from last game. Numerous people have listed them as a strong townread but I don't think that has ever been well substantiated beyond LLD being scum (what if LLD isn't scum?). Why can't DGB and LLD both be scum anyway? That feels more likely that just LLD being scum to me

Luca Blight - Hercule was alright, I think. I don't have an opinion on what Luca has done

Bell - Predecessor felt kind of scummy, Bell feels kind of scummy

jjh927 isn't doing much, but at least he can point back to posts and his train of thought can be followed.

Almost50 is vaguely towny but I don't remember anything he's posted int he last week or so.


That seems a lot of words for very little content.
You'd be wrong
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Post Post #2778 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:30 pm

Post by mastina »

In post 2720, Cephrir wrote:yeah she sure is out here using every tool at her disposal by doing nothing
Doing nothing is working for LLD tho, due to what amounts to wifom + sorta-BoP + "too scummy to be scum":
"LLD is a good scum player, LLD is doing nothing, LLD as scum surely wouldn't do nothing thanks to being a good scum player, therefore, LLD is town".

Ignoring the fact that LLD is a good scum player who is flexible and smart enough to read the gamestate and know when to do nothing.

If doing something gets you scumread and earns you votes and/or places BoP on you, yet doing nothing gets you slaps on the wrist with people who scumread it having to pull out hair to convince others and makes people hesitate and makes people defend you and makes people BoP you as being town and makes the wagon on you stall.

If doing something puts you in danger yet doing nothing can keep you out of it.

Then doing nothing is legitimately genuinely the smart play.

And LLD is doing nothing here, because it is the best way to keep her wagon from gaining momentum.

When scum are in the spotlight due to doing things, it places scrutiny on them; when scum stay out of the spotlight by playing more passively, it reduces the scrutiny because simply put: there's less material to work with.
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Post Post #2779 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:33 pm

Post by mastina »

In post 2724, OkaPoka wrote:she's not powertowning true she's also not powerwolfing she's just powernothing
Which alignment benefits from doing nothing?

Town doing nothing leaves no lasting legacy.
Scum doing nothing leaves less damning associatives.

Which of those two do you think benefits more from power-nothingness?

Y'all are saying LLD is a good scum player, y'all have recognized that LLD is intelligent as scum, y'all have recognized that LLD is flexible in her play especially as scum. So why is the thought of "LLD made the strategic call to do nothing as scum because she believes that gives her scumteam the best odds of victory" such a hard concept for you to grasp?
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Post Post #2780 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:41 pm

Post by Luca Blight »

In post 2679, innocentvillager wrote: an aside before i forget
@Luca, DGB
im curious if either of you have impressions about Titus's play here since you both just finished a Large Normal with her (LN 231)?
I'm agreeing with her general reads/thoughts a lot more than I did in that game, where I misread her as being scum. Her (imo misplaced) confidence in Mastina being scum seems similar to some of her pushes in the previous game.
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Post Post #2781 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:44 pm

Post by mastina »

In post 2725, OkaPoka wrote:but like every 24 hours we get a flash and then its like the simpsons bush gif
Notably.
The LLD wagon has remained a constant throughout the day through all of those.
The hercule wagon was a wagon that formed around the same time as the LLD wagon. While technically the LLD wagon was a counterwagon to the hercule wagon, the two wagons were dueling for quite a long time. It wasn't as if the sudden formation of the LLD wagon caused the hercule wagon to instantly collapse; it took days upon days for the hercule wagon to dissipate, so the hercule wagon I am counting as basically an LLD counterwagon.

There was a DGB counterwagon to LLD that formed.
There was a small Hopkirk counterwagon to LLD that formed.
There was a the worst counterwagon to LLD that formed.
There is the Ythan counterwagon to LLD that formed.
I'd call the Titus wagon to technically be a counterwagon to Ythan rather than a counterwagon to LLD, but technically the LLD wagon still being around at the time means that technically the Titus wagon counts as a counterwagon to LLD.

Am I forgetting any other wagons that have cropped up?

The LLD wagon has been consistent, and yet the entire game, there has been counterwagons to it to try and desperately prevent a D1 LLD fade.
While all of these wagons have town in them and many of them aren't driven by scum, there's been a fairly clear pattern in voting where scum were at minimum happy to let the counterwagons happen and in many cases supported them.

Ask yourself--how many of these counterwagons had strong pushback?
The hercule wagon? Maybe, especially from me, but that wagon lasted for a huge amount of time.
The DGB wagon? Who aside from me was pushing back against it?
The Hopkirk miniwagon? Nobody pushed against it that I can recall, altho I will admit that even I didn't mostly due to it being comparatively small.
the worst's wagon? I think that wagon had zero pushback to it.
Ythan's wagon? I'm the closest one to have given pushback to it and even I couldn't in good faith push back strongly against it.

The one and only counterwagon with any real pushback has been the Titus counterwagon.
Maybe because Titus is actually scum and scum don't want to save LLD by condemning Titus.

The fact that every non-Titus/LLD wagon has had basically almost no pushback should be a red fucking flag.
Whereas the LLD and Titus wagons have in common strong pushback against them.
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Post Post #2782 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:47 pm

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

Every time Mastina posts, she becomes more like an adult in Charlie Brown

Womp womp womp will pop
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Post Post #2783 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:47 pm

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

Fucking phone

What an auto correct
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Post Post #2784 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:52 pm

Post by mastina »

In post 2746, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:I don't agree that Ythan looks townie, but I'm at a point where is the majority of [Dunn, Dann, Ceph, Agar] are voting somewhere, I'm just going to vote there.
You know what these names have in common?

Aside from the obligatory rule-of-
three
four of one of them (AGar) being scum, they're all...
Image
(All of them are among the players hard-defending LLD, refusing to wagon her, and to a lesser extent, dissuading others from voting Titus. They're players who, by and large, are largely influencing the game particularly Dann/Ceph and yet their stances are ones that will guarantee a town elimination on D1 due to their adamant refusal to accept the simple truth of reality that, yes, LLD is in fact scum here and so too is Titus.)
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Post Post #2785 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:58 pm

Post by mastina »

In post 2748, Cephrir wrote:haha im gonna feel guilty if we miss now i'm so not used to succeeding
You're literally advocating hard for a wagon on one of the towniest slots in the game (DGB) rather than accepting that the obvious scum who aren't even trying to hide that they're obvious scum because people like you are letting them get away with it, are in fact obvious scum not bothering to even try and hide it because they've no need to.

At least {Bell, Ythan} have a theoretical chance of flipping scum. I currently don't think they will, but I can't really defend them because I see the scum in them and acknowledge the very real chance that if my scumreads aren't perfect, there's a high chance for them to be scum.

But DGB is never flipping scum here and it is in fact one of the greatest threats to the scum; eliminating it D1 is literally taking the scum's almost-assured N1 nightkill away from them and doing their work for them, freeing them up to do their N2 nightkill on N1 because they don't need to eliminate DGB anymore.

I basically guarantee you; let DGB live, and unless the scum fear a protective role on it, they're gonna kill DGB.
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Post Post #2786 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:04 pm

Post by mastina »

In post 2751, innocentvillager wrote:i guess will just pray you guys are right and my analysis this game has just been way off and reset tomorrow if this hits scum
And when it turns out your analysis was dead on the money, what then? Do you do what should've been done on D1 and eliminate LLD/Titus?

Because you should.

I have fairly good reasons for thinking AGar is scum and I
do
think that, if my read on the gamestate is right, then towning it up be damned, OkaPoka is the fourth scum in spite of how he looks town. (OkaPoka looks like deepwolf scum this game. He is very obviously power"town"ing, but the stances he keeps insisting on furthering are very much pro-scum which means he is probably the scum's highest-effort, deepest of deep deepscums and not actually town. The scum who looks the most town, but still scum thanks to advocating for pro-scum stances essentially the whole game. Scum who dabbles in town stances, but doesn't commit to them, sticking to stances that help scum overall, just faked to look like an organic trajectory where he naturally evolves his thoughts from the protown ones into the proscum ones. In other words. Powerwolfing.)
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Post Post #2787 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:05 pm

Post by Luca Blight »

DGB has felt strongly Town to me all game.

I'm gonna be busy for a few hours but I'll ISO them again later.
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Post Post #2788 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:07 pm

Post by mastina »

In post 2786, mastina wrote:
In post 2751, innocentvillager wrote:i guess will just pray you guys are right and my analysis this game has just been way off and reset tomorrow if this hits scum
And when it turns out your analysis was dead on the money, what then? Do you do what should've been done on D1 and eliminate LLD/Titus?

Because you should.

I have fairly good reasons for thinking AGar is scum and I
do
think that, if my read on the gamestate is right, then towning it up be damned, OkaPoka is the fourth scum in spite of how he looks town. (OkaPoka looks like deepwolf scum this game. He is very obviously power"town"ing, but the stances he keeps insisting on furthering are very much pro-scum which means he is probably the scum's highest-effort, deepest of deep deepscums and not actually town. The scum who looks the most town, but still scum thanks to advocating for pro-scum stances essentially the whole game. Scum who dabbles in town stances, but doesn't commit to them, sticking to stances that help scum overall, just faked to look like an organic trajectory where he naturally evolves his thoughts from the protown ones into the proscum ones. In other words. Powerwolfing.)
Oh I lost my train of thought here, sorry.

This post was meant to say, "AGar I have good reasons for thinking is scum and if my read on the gamestate is right, him looking town be damned, OkaPoka is probably also scum, but I fully admit that my scumreads on these two are nowhere near the strength of my scumreads on LLD and Titus", in that when whatever mislynch we end up mislynching due to a refusal to eliminate LLD/Titus flips, you SHOULD go back to LLD/Titus and power-yeet them. Because while I could be wrong on Oka/AGar (even tho I think I can pretty clearly show why they fit as scum), I'm not wrong on LLD/Titus.
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Post Post #2789 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:15 pm

Post by mastina »

In post 2752, innocentvillager wrote:i will maybe look at this tmr and actually think about it more
On that note.
I realize it is doing preflip associatives on D1.

But I wanna ask for you to humor me, IV.

If Titus AND LLD were both scum, ignoring individual scumtell indicators, which players do you think would be the players who most strongly have passionately dissuaded us from wagoning those two?

It's not a long list: {OkaPoka, Dannflor, Cephrir} as incredibly vocal + {Agar, Dunnstral} as less vocal. Do you disagree with those five being the strongest opposition to an LLD wagon in particular, with a side of the Titus wagon? (Dannflor and Cephrir less so for Titus, but Oka/AGar moreso given that both Oka and AGar had an INCREDIBLY strong, immediate, negative reaction to the Titus wagon.)

Humoring me, and assuming that Titus and LLD both did indeed flip scum--would you be more on the same page as me in seeing why I think Oka and AGar are incredibly likely to be scum defending their scumbuddies?

Because if we get to later in the game. And players like DGB, Ythan, Bell, Luca Blight, etc., are revealed as town, and LLD and Titus are revealed as scum. Look back at the players who were so strongly steering the game towards eliminating those now-flipped-town and away from the now-flipped scum.

Oka and AGar will top the charts.

That aside from tells on them.
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Post Post #2790 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:25 pm

Post by mastina »

hercule/Luca Blight
Hopkirk
innocentvillager
Dannflor
DrippingGoofball
Xtoxm
jjh927

Almost50
Cephrir
Winter Flakes (alt of Uncrowned)
Dunnstral


the worst/Bell
Ythan




OkaPoka

AGar

Lady Lambdadelta

Titus

Current readslist.
Townbloc, strong townreads, meh-reads (could easily be scum, but currently I think otherwise), likely-powerwolfing-deepscum, scumread, strong scumread, confscum.
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Post Post #2791 (ISO) » Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:27 pm

Post by mastina »

Also, possible hot take:
Is it possible that the reason both LLD and Titus this game are underwhelming is due to burnout of recent scumgames from both of them?

I haven't read either of their recent scumgames to check their performance out there but food for thought.
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Post Post #2792 (ISO) » Thu Feb 11, 2021 3:34 am

Post by innocentvillager »

In post 2594, Luca Blight wrote:
In post 2516, innocentvillager wrote:
In post 2512, AGar wrote:IV - in what world is evidence that runs counter to what you have asserted thus far not "things going wrong"?
hmm, at the time i interpreted "things going wrong" as very strong wording. it's also possible the way mastina framed it at the time in i felt like it was very strong (e.g. a big claim, flips, etc. is what come to mind for me); as a town player I will reassess and bounce around even if none of those happen.

And I believe town!Titus is that kind of player too from my limited experience with her. Her processes felt more substantiated in games I remember with her whereas here it does feel a bit more mechanical/blanket-assertiony without as much reasoning. I am honestly kind of at a loss for her confidence level on what's happening in this gamestate for the amount of content she's put out, especially coming from a player who tends in excel more in the lategame. If this is some sort of a style-change then maybe that would nullify this read of her a bit, idk. In a confirmation-biased way it almost feels like she's planning on parking her solve for now and setting up for her theory to be wrong, or justification to continue pushing her theory (which one would obviously depend on if the flip was consistent with her "theory" or not)

I get that mastina is not popular for some of you all this game but I think scum are going to double down on blanket-discrediting mastina and that's what I'm seeing from Titus and it's giving me a weird vibe

I'm also just not seeing the whole "mastina is spamming and manipulating the gamestate so she's scum!" thing at all that I believe Titus is proposing

I could be wrong on any of those fronts for sure but that's probably the crux of my gut-scumlean on her rn
Good post, I agree with most of this.
In post 2780, Luca Blight wrote:
In post 2679, innocentvillager wrote: an aside before i forget
@Luca, DGB
im curious if either of you have impressions about Titus's play here since you both just finished a Large Normal with her (LN 231)?
I'm agreeing with her general reads/thoughts a lot more than I did in that game, where I misread her as being scum. Her (imo misplaced) confidence in Mastina being scum seems similar to some of her pushes in the previous game.
wait sorry now i'm a bit confused because it seems like you agreed with some of my reasoning to SL Titus earlier (part of it being I think this is dissimilar to her early towngame)? and here you're saying you're seeing a lot of similarities to her [early?] towngame?

can you describe what you agree with/don't?
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Post Post #2793 (ISO) » Thu Feb 11, 2021 3:40 am

Post by Luca Blight »

Spoiler:
In post 411, DrippingGoofball wrote:
In post 397, Xtoxm wrote:auro's opinion on hercule talking about his scum playstyle is that it's town indicitive
he says that scum can steal a march on a possible question about it by posting in this way, but that it would be unnecessary to go into such depth
herc believes that he will be able to earn townreads from the way he plays, which, if scum, would require confidence on hercs part that he can both make a substantial change in the way plays scum, and also get townread doing it
he also thinks scum herc would know such a play is unlikely to repay him well

he criticizes llds push on hercs 2nd post, saying repeated attacks have been made but no explanation of why it is scum indicative
why scum, as opposed to exhilarated town? does she expect the hercule is disingenuous in his belief that his team has players that are strong in town roles?

he is confused at the number of people treating mastina in an insulting way, and notes that he has mastina as locktown (????)
feels that agar reacted disproportionately to mastina calling him null, however he's not sure if it's alignment indicitive

at this point he offers a readslist:
town: mastina, hercule, iv, ceph
scum: agar, lld, dgb

his stomach feeling on a50 is scum. i've told him that i veto any d1 a50 vote wishes he has.
I don't like:
  • The read on herc is super convoluted, it goes back and forth and I don't understand why auro leans town on it. His approach isn't commonly seen, and personally I am unable to ascribe a lean in any direction, I fail to comprehend how anyone can feel so strongly about it.
  • Scumreading LLD for her aggressive scum read of hercule without considering that an aggressive town read is just as bizarre.
  • Completely unexplained scum read on me (also I know it's wrong, so there's that).
I like:
  • Scumreading LLD for her aggressive scum read of hercule is a reasonable position to take in isolation.
  • Noticing AGar flinching when poked with a null read.
Xtoxm, please ask your other team members for reads while the game is still young and it won't take them an eternity.


I feel like Goofball was being genuinely solvey here without trying to push an agenda.

Spoiler:
In post 468, DrippingGoofball wrote:This pains me but I cannot shake off the scum read.

VOTE: InnocentVillager
In post 500, DrippingGoofball wrote:
In post 470, Dannflor wrote:I’m kidding I actually appreciate it

DGB why does that pain you
IV is so much fun to collaborate with when he's town :( and I don't think it's gonna happen here.


I really vibed with this early IV scumread, and I felt the emotion was genuine.
In post 722, DrippingGoofball wrote:A50 is such a nervous scum wreck.
I'm a little curious on Goofball's progression on A50, who Goofball TR, then SR, then null read without much in the way of explanation.

Spoiler:
In post 1574, DrippingGoofball wrote:The scum have dispersed and divided themselves among hercule and myself, perhaps others.

@Titus
- I totally agree with your IV vote, but we only have one yeet today.
@Dannflor
- I totally agree with your chicken vote, but we only have one yeet today.
@AGar
- You're not voting but we really need you. I beg you, help us.
@jjh927, Winter Flakes
- While the worst if VLA, he certainly deserves examination. A lot of the small wagons are on very scummy players. the worst won't last long and you'll be vindicated eventually, but this wagon isn't happening today. I know you're town. Please help.
A50
- You like to march to your own drum, can you make an exception today and cooperate?

Townies, it's nearly impossible to yeet a scum that their buddy are loathe to sacrifice because of their high value, especially on Day 1 - we need a consensus among so many people. Scum will gladly help a yeet a low value partner for towncred, but here they have decided to defend LLD with their teeth.

But we can do this. We can hit a high value scum on Day 1.

We can
fight back
against the derailment.

A high value scum means a high value yeet for town. Imagine how well positioned we will be without LLD!scum to disrupt our scum hunting.

WE. CAN. DO. THIS.
TOGETHER.


This call to action felt super Townie to me. Goofball is identifying who he believes are fellow Town members and trying to create a sense organization and unity.

Spoiler:
In post 1810, DrippingGoofball wrote:My LLD scumread is not in a vacuum.

I know I am terse, and I don't usually wall post. So let me try a little harder to convince you all.
  • If I had any doubt that LLD wanted to neutralize mastina, these doubts vanished when LLD literally voted hercule to put her money where her mouth is, so to speak. Then LLD makes a case on hercule after deciding that using mastina as an
    absolute compass
    to solve the game (even if in reverse). At the time of LLD's case, I wasn't sure about hercule's entry post, she might have had a point, but later I began to town read hercule and I saw it from a different perspective.
  • Now, I know I'm not going to convince anyone but myself with how I found LLD's scum ego post scummy, but to be transparent in my thinking, I found it scummy in the context of the neutralization of mastina, and based on mastina's supposed bad reads, manufacturing a case on hercule off the cuff. It was a huge wall of manipulation that didn't come from a townie mindset.
  • I found the rage/anger/AtE to be hollow and insincere (that's a matter of personal interpretation, I realize). I usually respond to AtE, I am one of the site's biggest sucker for AtE. So, AtE has to be pretty bad not to move me. LLD's AtE left me completely cold, which is astonishing.
  • Now she's strategically lurking as her scumpals manufacture a counterwagon on her attacker. :thumbsup:


I don't 100% buy this case, but I can see why Goofball thinks the 'neutralization' of Mastina could be a genuine scum strategy.
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Post Post #2794 (ISO) » Thu Feb 11, 2021 3:41 am

Post by innocentvillager »

In post 2789, mastina wrote:
In post 2752, innocentvillager wrote:i will maybe look at this tmr and actually think about it more
On that note.
I realize it is doing preflip associatives on D1.

But I wanna ask for you to humor me, IV.

If Titus AND LLD were both scum, ignoring individual scumtell indicators, which players do you think would be the players who most strongly have passionately dissuaded us from wagoning those two?

It's not a long list: {OkaPoka, Dannflor, Cephrir} as incredibly vocal + {Agar, Dunnstral} as less vocal. Do you disagree with those five being the strongest opposition to an LLD wagon in particular, with a side of the Titus wagon? (Dannflor and Cephrir less so for Titus, but Oka/AGar moreso given that both Oka and AGar had an INCREDIBLY strong, immediate, negative reaction to the Titus wagon.)

Humoring me, and assuming that Titus and LLD both did indeed flip scum--would you be more on the same page as me in seeing why I think Oka and AGar are incredibly likely to be scum defending their scumbuddies?

Because if we get to later in the game. And players like DGB, Ythan, Bell, Luca Blight, etc., are revealed as town, and LLD and Titus are revealed as scum. Look back at the players who were so strongly steering the game towards eliminating those now-flipped-town and away from the now-flipped scum.

Oka and AGar will top the charts.

That aside from tells on them.
like maybe? even then i doubt both are scum doing essentially the same thing? but yeah preflipping TWO slots as scum is like, wildly idealistic and not something i care about with like 1 day left in D1

and in general to be totally honest i don't find your attitude this EoD super convincing with like, assuming all of your scumreads are scum and presenting all of your analysis that way, it makes you look confbias-tunnelled and imo makes at least me personally, not take you as seriously, because it's just so unlikely that you can actually get like even 3/4 of the whole scumteam on D1. I get that fypov you feel you've essentially found scum and really want us to just all magically align with you but i don't think that's realistic

if you somehow are right, we will probably gradually eliminate your scumreads on later days anyway, there is time for all of us to reassess your theories (but honestly, i don't even know if your scumreads are that correlated)
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Post Post #2795 (ISO) » Thu Feb 11, 2021 3:44 am

Post by innocentvillager »

@Luca, wrt DGB, i think (could be mistaken?) ironically it's things like this that are fueling the dgb case? (specifically and )

people are complaining about LLD pushing an agenda when it didn't last town game, lol
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Post Post #2796 (ISO) » Thu Feb 11, 2021 3:45 am

Post by innocentvillager »

*DGB not LLD (pushing an agenda)
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Post Post #2797 (ISO) » Thu Feb 11, 2021 3:48 am

Post by Luca Blight »

Spoiler:
In post 2792, innocentvillager wrote:
In post 2594, Luca Blight wrote:
In post 2516, innocentvillager wrote:
In post 2512, AGar wrote:IV - in what world is evidence that runs counter to what you have asserted thus far not "things going wrong"?
hmm, at the time i interpreted "things going wrong" as very strong wording. it's also possible the way mastina framed it at the time in i felt like it was very strong (e.g. a big claim, flips, etc. is what come to mind for me); as a town player I will reassess and bounce around even if none of those happen.

And I believe town!Titus is that kind of player too from my limited experience with her. Her processes felt more substantiated in games I remember with her whereas here it does feel a bit more mechanical/blanket-assertiony without as much reasoning. I am honestly kind of at a loss for her confidence level on what's happening in this gamestate for the amount of content she's put out, especially coming from a player who tends in excel more in the lategame. If this is some sort of a style-change then maybe that would nullify this read of her a bit, idk. In a confirmation-biased way it almost feels like she's planning on parking her solve for now and setting up for her theory to be wrong, or justification to continue pushing her theory (which one would obviously depend on if the flip was consistent with her "theory" or not)

I get that mastina is not popular for some of you all this game but I think scum are going to double down on blanket-discrediting mastina and that's what I'm seeing from Titus and it's giving me a weird vibe

I'm also just not seeing the whole "mastina is spamming and manipulating the gamestate so she's scum!" thing at all that I believe Titus is proposing

I could be wrong on any of those fronts for sure but that's probably the crux of my gut-scumlean on her rn
Good post, I agree with most of this.
In post 2780, Luca Blight wrote:
In post 2679, innocentvillager wrote: an aside before i forget
@Luca, DGB
im curious if either of you have impressions about Titus's play here since you both just finished a Large Normal with her (LN 231)?
I'm agreeing with her general reads/thoughts a lot more than I did in that game, where I misread her as being scum. Her (imo misplaced) confidence in Mastina being scum seems similar to some of her pushes in the previous game.
wait sorry now i'm a bit confused because it seems like you agreed with some of my reasoning to SL Titus earlier (part of it being I think this is dissimilar to her early towngame)? and here you're saying you're seeing a lot of similarities to her [early?] towngame?

can you describe what you agree with/don't?


I agree that scum could be trying to discredit Mastina. I agree that Titus has way too much confidence in her Mastina SR, based on her reasoning.

I don't know Titus' scum game, but her game/reads so far seems better/more accurate (which is not necessarily more townie) than in the previous game, and her push against Mastina is somewhat similar to a push Titus made against a Townie in the previous game, although that occurred later on into the game.

Long and short of it is, I don't have enough info to reliably meta-read Titus and I think her actions this game have been independently scummy.
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Post Post #2798 (ISO) » Thu Feb 11, 2021 3:52 am

Post by Luca Blight »

In post 2795, innocentvillager wrote:@Luca, wrt DGB, i think (could be mistaken?) ironically it's things like this that are fueling the dgb case? (specifically and )

people are complaining about LLD pushing an agenda when it didn't last town game, lol
I think people are comparing this game to the last game too much.

Goofball was pretty strong with their pushes in the game we were just in together.
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Post Post #2799 (ISO) » Thu Feb 11, 2021 3:54 am

Post by innocentvillager »

i think it's kind of a dumb reason tbh but my of my TRs are on that wagon and i don't really want to wagon LLD or case Titus so... meh

im probably just misunderstanding it
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