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- Cephrir
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Cephrir he/himGoodfellas / Best Social Game
- Cephrir
he/him- Goodfellas / Best Social Game
- Goodfellas / Best Social Game
- Posts: 22778
- Joined: October 11, 2006
- Pronoun: he/him
- Location: Seattle-ish
- Titus
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Titus She/her/hersMoon Walker
- Titus
She/her/hers- Moon Walker
- Moon Walker
- Posts: 75991
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I'm pretty sure your slot is town. Due to the hammer vote.In post 6022, Ythan wrote:Deas requests a summary of where each of you is at and why, including pointing to a previous post where you've already done so that still holds.
I'm leaning Hopkirk town based on tone and his vote being on Bell yesterday.
Cephrir is flailing imo. His comments to me about reading rather than relying purely on VCA and he'd hate to lose because scum never bus are AI and tone but I go back and forth on whether it's frustrated town or scum.
The thing is, I don't think scum bus there. But there is the fact that Cephrir voted scum frequently early while Hopkirk never did. My teammate says that's to good to be true. I can see Hopkirk being the townbeard. I can also see Hopkirk being resigned scum.
Gtmh it's Cephrir.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
GTKTitus Part 2
Titus Academy
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VLA Friday nights until Sunday morning.- Ythan
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Ythan Welcome to the Haystack
- Ythan
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- Ythan
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Ythan Welcome to the Haystack
- Ythan
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- Cephrir
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Cephrir he/himGoodfellas / Best Social Game
- Cephrir
he/him- Goodfellas / Best Social Game
- Goodfellas / Best Social Game
- Posts: 22778
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- Location: Seattle-ish
talking about the top bit of this. i should continue looking tho.In post 5814, Cephrir wrote:
does oka ever say this about his partnerIn post 4678, OkaPoka wrote:okay
d1
hop says lld wagon core is all gucci
d2
after lld flips town, hop says lld wagon core is all gucci
d3
herc, part of the lld cuties has flipped scum, he says the lld wagon core is all gucci
i mean
is this a realistic thought process from town
double double down
why doesn't oka care about saving bell enough to do anything active? i guess he said he was busy, but isn't it also possible he thought titus was a less salvageable slot between his two partners?In post 5390, OkaPoka wrote:VOTE: titus
still going to hammer bell when the timer expires i think
anyways gtg
am i asking these questions to a brick wall?
are anyone's teammates reading the game besides infinity? i could use some more town aligned perspectives i am drowning and i need your help"I would prefer not to." --Herman Melville,Bartleby the Scrivener- Titus
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Titus She/her/hersMoon Walker
- Titus
She/her/hers- Moon Walker
- Moon Walker
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This VC should clear Ythan in addition to hammering me. There's no reason for Bell to be on Ythan with the other two major wagons.
ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
GTKTitus Part 2
Titus Academy
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VLA Friday nights until Sunday morning.- Titus
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Titus She/her/hersMoon Walker
- Titus
She/her/hers- Moon Walker
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Here's the issue I have with Cephrir scum. His ISO looking at context plus votes.
He voted hercule in the 7th slot. Before that, he naked voted the worst. He moved his vote then to Hopkirk. That would make his opening three for three on scum.
If Hopkirk is town, Cephrir naked voted a buddy and then voted a buddy who was wagoned only to kill the wagon by shifting his vote to town.
I'm leaning Hopkirk again.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
GTKTitus Part 2
Titus Academy
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VLA Friday nights until Sunday morning.- Titus
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Titus She/her/hersMoon Walker
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I doubt scum double move to create a DGB counter when LLD is already being punished for starting a hercule wagon. It feels more like scum forcing T v T wagons.
ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
GTKTitus Part 2
Titus Academy
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VLA Friday nights until Sunday morning.- Titus
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Titus She/her/hersMoon Walker
- Titus
She/her/hers- Moon Walker
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Cephrir hopping between the two scum wagons would damn near be planned deep wolf, but then why would he vote me over Bell?
ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
GTKTitus Part 2
Titus Academy
Friend, Enemies, and That Other Person is now in signups. Click here to sign up.
VLA Friday nights until Sunday morning.- Titus
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Titus She/her/hersMoon Walker
- Titus
She/her/hers- Moon Walker
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Why does scum!Hopkirk vote Bell here and effectively give that wagon momentum when there's other wagons? Time for context.
ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
GTKTitus Part 2
Titus Academy
Friend, Enemies, and That Other Person is now in signups. Click here to sign up.
VLA Friday nights until Sunday morning.- Titus
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Titus She/her/hersMoon Walker
- Titus
She/her/hers- Moon Walker
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I'll need more mental energy to see whether Bell v Hopkirk is fake.
Cephrir did push me as scum before the Bell wagon really took so *shrug*ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
GTKTitus Part 2
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VLA Friday nights until Sunday morning.- Hopkirk
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Hopkirk Jack of All Trades
- Hopkirk
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will try and check in more tomorrow. me/hectic are leaning towards Titus>Ceph atm but definitely not super confident on that. started off more sus on ceph but that's gradually been changing as i reread
hectic thinks ceph's tone is towny + it feels like he's putting effort in to try and solve/win while Titus is mostly just here (and he feels Titus is more motivated as town based on ~10 games but not 100%). he plans to read more later but i might need to force himThere's no reaching. I've become enlightened.- Titus
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Titus She/her/hersMoon Walker
- Titus
She/her/hers- Moon Walker
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VOTE: Hopkirk
Cephrir, care to join me until Ythan posts so we confirm him as town?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
GTKTitus Part 2
Titus Academy
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VLA Friday nights until Sunday morning.- Ythan
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Ythan Welcome to the Haystack
- Ythan
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Ythan Welcome to the Haystack
- Ythan
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- Ythan
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Ythan Welcome to the Haystack
- Ythan
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- Ythan
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Ythan Welcome to the Haystack
- Ythan
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- implosion
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implosion he/himPolymath
- implosion
he/him- Polymath
- Polymath
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- Cephrir
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Cephrir he/himGoodfellas / Best Social Game
- Cephrir
he/him- Goodfellas / Best Social Game
- Goodfellas / Best Social Game
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- Titus
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Titus She/her/hersMoon Walker
- Titus
She/her/hers- Moon Walker
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Ceph, what's the problem?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
GTKTitus Part 2
Titus Academy
Friend, Enemies, and That Other Person is now in signups. Click here to sign up.
VLA Friday nights until Sunday morning.- Cephrir
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Cephrir he/himGoodfellas / Best Social Game
- Cephrir
he/him- Goodfellas / Best Social Game
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- Ythan
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Ythan Welcome to the Haystack
- Ythan
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- Titus
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Titus She/her/hersMoon Walker
- Titus
She/her/hers- Moon Walker
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VOTE: Cephrir
Alright Hopkirk, your turn.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
GTKTitus Part 2
Titus Academy
Friend, Enemies, and That Other Person is now in signups. Click here to sign up.
VLA Friday nights until Sunday morning.- Titus
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Titus She/her/hersMoon Walker
- Titus
She/her/hers- Moon Walker
- Moon Walker
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I'm going to play this game as if it's a normal. If we confirm Ythan as town, then we can repeat the procedure with one of the three of us that Ythan picks as town.In post 6045, Cephrir wrote:idk I'm planning to treat Ythan as confirmed town anyway so why tempt fate with the 0.000001% chance you could be a secret double voter.
That forces scum into a 50/50 and gets Ythan's opinion listened to.
If we don't go through with that, scum can just kill Ythan and play passively.
Of course, if Ythan's wrong, we get screwed but there's only a 33% chance of that happening.
I like a 66% odds going into a 50/50 rather than a 33% chance tmo. One of those is controlled by town and the other is controlled by scum.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
GTKTitus Part 2
Titus Academy
Friend, Enemies, and That Other Person is now in signups. Click here to sign up.
VLA Friday nights until Sunday morning.- Titus
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Titus She/her/hersMoon Walker
- Titus
She/her/hers- Moon Walker
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Even then you could argue tmo's odds are 25%, because both town must guess right in a 50/50.
With my plan, we get a 33% chance at winning, which is the 66 percent from Ythan guessing right followed by only townie guessing right in the 50/50.
I think it's a dramatically superior plan. For the townie Ythan doesn't pick, the game is solved for them.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
GTKTitus Part 2
Titus Academy
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