Newbie 2078 - Game Over

[UhUhWaitAndSee]

each person has a probability of 11.1% chance of being chosen as scum. one se at least on the team have a 33.3% chance of being there -- i think i did the math right.

Your math doesn't look right.

6 choose 2 ways of choosing 2 scum from 6 Newbies
9 choose 2 ways of choosing 2 scum from all players

6C2/9C2 = 42% probability of scum being between newbies

58% chance of at least one scum in the 3 SEs.

[Titus]

That's crazy timing, though. I say all of the SE's can't be town and GrandpaMo pops back up.

His VLA ended today.

[Greeting]

Everyone has an equal chance of rolling scum. I don’t see anything more to it.

[Micc]

kennyk replaces Dew.
Prodding AlwaysNever.
The deadline for Day 1 has been unpaused.

GrandpaMo is V/LA until 9/17.
Titus is V/LA from 9/17 to 9/20.

Votecount 1.13

HockeyFan (4) -

Titus, kennyk, Greeting, GrandpaMo

Greeting (2) -

RCEnigma, HockeyFan

kennyk (1) -

UhUhWaitAndSee

Not Voting (2) -

AlwaysNever, Dorsey

With 9 players alive it takes 5 votes to eliminate.

The deadline for Day 1 is in (expired on 2021-09-19 10:45:00).

[AlwaysNever]

Ah crap I thought the day ended, this is a massive turn of events, I might need some time to read through Hockey's posts and readjust my position on their slot, and also kenny when they do post after this, but I'll be sure to do it quick before the prod range time, like Dorsey said

Welcome, welcome though!

[HockeyFan]

too much mechanics talk from UhUh and too little game-moving content. This is not AI but I do want to see some more content from uhuhwaitandsee(like asking questions, making reads, giving thoughts e.t.c)

[HockeyFan]

Ok after reading Grandpa'a ISO one more fking time since its so god damm confusing, I am formally declaring him as a TL. This is a meta read since ive played with gpa a fair bit on other sites and this aligns with his town meta(dont let him fool u by saying his town meta is to be pro-town, cuz its not)

[RCEnigma]

Then who's your preferred elim today hockey?

[HockeyFan]

to 382, honestly not much has changed here execpt gpa jumping into tl and uhoh going into Nullish Scum. Greeting also into null from nullish town

So yea my lim pool is {Tits,Uhuh}

Also, as a side note, my posting will be very limited this weekend since im going camping

Town Read:
AlwyasNever

Town Lean:
Dew

Nullish town:
Dorsey(ik i didnt express alot of my thoughts on this slot but I think thier progression has been semi-ish towny?)
Greeting

Null:
RCE
UhOh

Nullish Scum:
Grandpa

SL:
Titus

[AlwaysNever]

Short version of my catching up:
Goddamn I don't think I can hammer Hockey now

Long version might come soon but that's all for now, if anything I don't know who to fuccing elim now

[Dorsey]

A to Z, blazehd, and TL the Legend (now HockeyFan) were all the same slot.

Does Titus still think HockeyFan is scum?

[Dorsey]

I'm good with HF's pool of Titus/UhUh.

[AlwaysNever]

too much mechanics talk from UhUh and too little game-moving content. This is not AI but I do want to see some more content from uhuhwaitandsee(like asking questions, making reads, giving thoughts e.t.c)

been saying that and they end up doing so (they post it with this purple font, if you miss it), I still have a feeling that they might be but I usually wait until day 2 to really start sussing seemingly inactive people cause they're LHF until then

Ok after reading Grandpa'a ISO one more fking time since its so god damm confusing, I am formally declaring him as a TL. This is a meta read since ive played with gpa a fair bit on other sites and this aligns with his town meta(dont let him fool u by saying his town meta is to be pro-town, cuz its not)

I'll make note of this if you flip red

A to Z, blazehd, and TL the Legend (now HockeyFan) were all the same slot.

Does Titus still think HockeyFan is scum?

they said that they're more comfortable on elimming TL('s slot) now here on 337

[AlwaysNever]

I could still submit a night action,

if I have one.

Keeping up and remembering to post are the issues.

Is that a claim?

No. See bolded.

is that a softclaim then

I answered your possibility with a possibility - I'm comfortable with the risk

You haven’t really left any hard clues as to whom you think is mafia. Someone before had characterised your playstyle as defensive, a statement I can agree with. Voting out a townie, as a principle, is not beneficial for town. TL did say that they strongly believe me being scum for some vaguely specified reason. If they’re town, they apparently are willing to sacrifice themselves to make their point. So, assuming that TL is scum and you are voted out Day Two, being town, what benefit would it bring?

a brownie point for you, keeping my one eye on you still

[UhUhWaitAndSee/RCEnigma/Titus] I still think it's one of these

Are you that paranoid of RCE being scum? I can agree with the other two

Feeling a bit uneasy about eliminating TL.

Ok, I feel better about eliminating TL's slot.

this quick change in opinion really warranted a reason cause.... huh? 3 post from Hockey and you're suddenly like, "I'm ok with this"? why though?

-snip-

Overall, I think theres at least 1 scum on this wagon(would say 2 but idt scum buddy up like this to get a mislim). I claim VT, idm getting voted out, u should probs look at

Greeting/Titus/RCE/UhUh

when I die imo

it is very interesting that this is the same four people that Dorsey were focusing on, either by voting them or asking people on their opinion like on post 178
curious curious, accidental or on purpose?

GrandpaMo is not being replaced. See Mod post at the top of the page.

avoiding dorsey's question by pointing out gpa (thanks hockey that's a great nickname) is actually not being replaced. hmmm

I was also looking back through some newbie games and it looks like at least one SE is always scum

purely coincidental

[AlwaysNever]

.... Is your argument for Greeting over TL based on the fact greeting is defending themselves?

dorsey you never answered this

[AlwaysNever]

Thank God you're here

and looking at this post I can believe you're relieved cause you can focus on Hockey instead of actually answering that post lmao

[AlwaysNever]

An interesting tidbit, about 40% of Uhuh's post (until 375) is a reply to Dorsey. 44% if you count post 59. Almost half. Curious

[Titus]

Also, as a side note, my posting will be very limited this weekend since im going camping

You should bold your VLA.

Second, you'll be vla during the deadline

[Titus]

this quick change in opinion really warranted a reason cause.... huh? 3 post from Hockey and you're suddenly like, "I'm ok with this"? why though?

HockeyFan's bad read on me.

[Titus]

avoiding dorsey's question by pointing out gpa (thanks hockey that's a great nickname) is actually not being replaced. hmmm

Not a dodge. My willingness to eliminate GrandpaMo depended on them actually getting replaced.

[Titus]

So yea my lim pool is {Tits,Uhuh}

Yet his vote is on Greeting.

[Greeting]

to 382, honestly not much has changed here execpt gpa jumping into tl and uhoh going into Nullish Scum. Greeting also into null from nullish town

So yea my lim pool is {Tits,Uhuh}

Also, as a side note, my posting will be very limited this weekend since im going camping

Town Read:
AlwyasNever

Town Lean:
Dew

Nullish town:
Dorsey(ik i didnt express alot of my thoughts on this slot but I think thier progression has been semi-ish towny?)
Greeting

Null:
RCE
UhOh

Nullish Scum:
Grandpa

SL:
Titus

What good are those reads if you’re not voting for any of them?

[Dorsey]

The difference between TL and Greeting for me was Greeting's Post 96 and our interaction thereafter, as expressed in my Post 131. I thought Greeting was being exploitative and deceitful by accusing me of being desperate and then, when I asked him to cite where I was desperate, recanting in Post 118. Then, in Post 120, he said he was voting me because I had the most posts. I also had the most votes, so it was all very opportunistic to me. TL the Legend (much like his predecessors) just didn't post.

[Dorsey]

Do you feel like a slot repeatedly replacing out in a newbie means it's scum?

[RCEnigma]

Semi content with figuring hockey out day 2

VOTE: Kenny sheep this.