MT scum confrimed
In post 1047, Morning Tweet wrote:Open question: Who is least likely 8-ball in worsty/imagine/SS, who is least likely town etc etc even though im sure lots of people have decided already
i think mom was kinda low energy and kinda got away with it but might have been a bit nervous goin into today. she was given a free pass d1 tbqh. imagi kinda got away with a lot and wasn't really widely scumread outside of Wisdom...? if we kill imagi and hit a vengekill it's like, awkward but not the worst. i don't really think he came into today feeling like he was all that scared for his life after wisdom's flip so my intuition still tells me the 8ball is in the {bingle,tw} dichotomy on hopes that bingle would double down and we'd just murder each other in the face.
In post 1047, Morning Tweet wrote: In post 1036, the worst wrote:I mean my 180 is literally real brain thoughts. but I can see why you're concerned, I'm a scary ducky.
counterpoint tho if I was planning to win today with a bingle push would I like.. not have pushed Bingle....
What would you have done, in theory?
in a world where i am scum w/o bingle + bingle is 8-ball? basically:
i've been like hella lazy so far so i'd probably do some more like, vocal/towny-looking stuff to accumulate a little more clout. if I'm scum in this game my ability to win is currently v low. i'm town and think we can read our way thru the problems we have atm, so my wincon doesn't feel super hard to achieve if i need to die before endgame. so accumulating clout and trying to avoid heat directly on me would be gr8. as far as getting the bingle elim - i didn't really have a firm gauge of how d2 would open except that i thought bingle would probably still wanna lim me. i think i could get away with frantic re-evaluating for a couple of days while people weighed in (and as it were, replacements caught up) and get a better idea for the like, thread zeitgeist around bingle.
i also don't really think bingle has towntold until today when he was fairly convinced he'd be in a dire 1v1 and desperately needed my elim. that's pretty consistent with Bingle's townplay - he's very capable of strong town play, but doesn't tend to townTELL until something piques his interest. it's truest in mechanical games (if he gets a gritty setup and is town in it and needs to save the day, he starts levitating and his eyes start glowing. not exaggerating, it literally happens). so if he wasn't going to reevaluate his read on me, i'd be better to position myself as townier, so that he looks like he's pushing a half-baked read on someone he's tunnelling for d1 lurking. I think that's a less exciting world than the perceived 1v1 we're locked into atm. to that end, most especially: my engaging in his perception of a 1v1 increases his investment in the game, which means he's both more likely to towntell and more likely to actually get my elimination. so like, i'd do roughly the opposite of what i'm doing here.
but also if you want to assume that all of this is bullshit and i'm just making it up as i go (partly true), let's assume i just would have gone all-out today and tried to dunk on bingle. would i not have done so by going over his d1? his moves around the wisdom wagon are optically bad, and he has pretty limited associatives with most slots. even once you split out optics, i genuinely think there's enough there that i could have worked a case if i wanted to. that would have also helped with my thread position (and like if i was hypothetically scum with imagi he's pretty present, so we could just work different angles in sync).
