Large normal 236 [Game over]

[House]

I had to pull that BS alphabetical rearrangement of the names to justify the read

When nobody called shenanigans on that, I was hardcore scratching my head wondering how that meant anything, lol.

[cool cookie]

NorwegianboyEE has died. Their role was

Spoiler:

Vanilla Townie

It is now Day 3

oh wow, mafia team falling apart here

[cool cookie]

I'm happy with this. Ranny replacement today, LQ tomorrow, and if game not over, we can re-evaluate (I have a couple of thoughts on that from a fresh look overnight, but may not be needed!).

VOTE: Dorsey

also, good to break the stats of only mafia hammering - yeah i see you dwlee

[cool cookie]

also, slightly guilty if Dorsey caught up and never got to post, but that's the way the cookie crumbles

[Dwlee99]

Before thread lock I think t3 before LQ

[DkKoba]

I had to pull that BS alphabetical rearrangement of the names to justify the read

When nobody called shenanigans on that, I was hardcore scratching my head wondering how that meant anything, lol.

GAMING

[Mama Ru]

I could swing the hammer (I could swing a lot of things) but since there is no doubt of it happening I will let you choose the pace.

[House]

I could swing the hammer (I could swing a lot of things) but since there is no doubt of it happening I will let you choose the pace.

It's already hammered.

Just waiting for lock.

[Mama Ru]

I see the hammered has already struck. So it is written, so it will be done. Dorsey, you never spent a second in the werk room, you never served any look on the runway, you never lipsync'ed. We will always remember you, the whole nothing of it. Baby, how can I say "sashay away" to someone who never sashay'ed in?

[cool cookie]

I could swing the hammer (I could swing a lot of things) but since there is no doubt of it happening I will let you choose the pace.

thank you for letting me choose the pace

[Mama Ru]

I see the hammer has already struck. So it is written, so it will be done. Dorsey, you never spent a second in the werk room, you never served any look on the runway, you never lipsync'ed. We will always remember you, the whole nothing of it. Baby, how can I say "sashay away" to someone who never sashay'ed in?

I tucked away a little spelling mistake.

[Mama Ru]

I could swing the hammer (I could swing a lot of things) but since there is no doubt of it happening I will let you choose the pace.

thank you for letting me choose the pace

Y

o

u

a

r

e

b

e

a

u

t

i

f

u

l

a

n

d

d

e

l

i

c

i

o

u

s

.

[Gamma Emerald]

I just want to say I appreciate every single one of you rn

[Andresvmb]

I was cop Checked? Cool. Yeah, I have yet to roll Scum. It’s up to 20 games now I think.

[Andresvmb]

I was a little more active. I had more time. Yeah I’ve been absurdly busy. I figured you had more of a handle on the game Koba. So I was sheeping you.

[charlemagne]

bah

[DkKoba]

the thing is no matter what you do, short of voting a very likely townie - it will be something i want because I am 95% sure i have PoE'd the whole scum team

This seems like really, really poor reasoning. If you're town, your priors of getting the entire scum team from a random sampling of three players (out of 14 not including you) is 3/14*2/13*1/12 or 0.27%. There can't be

that

many people you consider mechanically town—I'm not sure exactly what you believe, but I don't think that you've said anyone is locktown except House/Titus (correct me if I'm wrong.) That leaves 12 others, so a 3/12*2/11*1/10 or a 0.45% chance of guessing three players and having them being a scumteam. Koba, you're saying you're 95% sure you've PoE'd the whole scum team, which means that your reads based off meta+flips are somehow

one hundred and ninety times better than random.

I really don't understand how you get there, because I don't think that any player in existence (including xyz top amazing wonderful beautiful scumhunters, or even top amazing scumhunters who are intimately familiar with the meta of every player in the game) can be 190x +rand.

Can you walk the rest of the players in this game through the process where you go from the priors to your current state of confidence? Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, and honestly I haven't seen those thought processes spelled out where anyone here can be anywhere near as confident as you in your claims.
I'm really conflicted here. To the best of my knowledge you have a reputation for being overconfident/tunneling like this in games when you are town, so I'm hesitant to say this is especially scum indicative, but on the other hand I'd think town you should know better.

koba can you like. respond to this please

oh right i can respond to this now


get owned :3

[DkKoba]

btw dont be silly and actually tell your team to nightkill me tonight - im literally an ascetic.

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

[T3]

Before thread lock I think t3 before LQ

nah

[Dorsey]

I'm dead? Do I keep reading or can I stop? Because it's a lot.

[DkKoba]

what was your role

[Gamma Emerald]

Sounds like we hit another winner

[Kerset]

VOTE COUNT 3.1

With 13 players alive it takes 7 to eliminate


Dorsey (7): House, DkKoba, Andresvmb, T3, Gamma Emerald, Almost50, cool cookie,
Mama Ru (0):
cool cookie (0):
Titus (0):
DkKoba (0):
Dwlee99 (0):
T3 (0):
Almost50 (0):
LicketyQuickety (0):
Gamma Emerald (0):
GrandpaMo (0):
Andresvmb (0):
House (0):

Not voting (6): Dorsey, LicketyQuickety, GrandpaMo, Mama Ru, Dwlee99, Titus,

Deadline: (expired on 2021-10-21 17:00:00)

V/LA: none

[Kerset]

Dorsey have been eliminated. Their role was

Spoiler:

Mafia Neighbor

It is now Night 3

Night will last (expired on 2021-10-14 05:00:00) or untill all players ask for

fast night

.

[Kerset]

House have been killed. Their role was

Spoiler:

N1 Combined FriendlyNeighbor Neighborizer Cop

It is now day 4