Anything uPick (Endgame)

[Good Luck Buddy]

How about you do it in the reverse order? Vote me out first and then vote anyone but Victorine second?

how can u be this confident

[Ircher]

It's not that I'm

that

confident. It's that the reverse order is better from a mechanical standpoint.

[Galron]

Sakura _town_--------->

[Ircher]

Though I would say I'm at like 80% confidence in Victorine!Town right now.

[Gamma Emerald]

It's not that I'm

that

confident. It's that the reverse order is better from a mechanical standpoint.

how

[Ircher]

I shall elect not to say more with regards to that.

[Gamma Emerald]

You think by being vague you’ll draw votes huh
Everybody on Victorine, NOW.

[CheekyTeeky]

-Why did Yume suddenly start signing every post with M having done that on exactly one other post, along with also having signed as "Big bad wold" and "Red" previously, at a time when GrandpaMo decided to push the agenda that Yume's post restriction was to imitate Mastina?
-Why does GMo ignore Post 2161 while attempting to determine Yume's post restriction?
-This is exactly the kind of poorly thought out nonsense I would expect from scum!Yume to justify demonstrably false claims based on what has happened when Yume has been caught in a lie in the past
-GMo really pushed that agenda HARD there. Like damn, there were some serious leaps of logic to get to that conclusion and then he left it open with the obvious "Mastina" answer for me and/or Fire to answer for him so he doesn't seem completely batshit insane.

Conclusion- A pair of bad actors reading a bad script

Guys wanna wagon jjh after all

Yes please.
~C

[Ircher]

You think by being vague you’ll draw votes huh
Everybody on Victorine, NOW.

No. There is a benefit to saying less versus saying more.

[Cheeky Wings]

-Why did Yume suddenly start signing every post with M having done that on exactly one other post, along with also having signed as "Big bad wold" and "Red" previously, at a time when GrandpaMo decided to push the agenda that Yume's post restriction was to imitate Mastina?
-Why does GMo ignore Post 2161 while attempting to determine Yume's post restriction?
-This is exactly the kind of poorly thought out nonsense I would expect from scum!Yume to justify demonstrably false claims based on what has happened when Yume has been caught in a lie in the past
-GMo really pushed that agenda HARD there. Like damn, there were some serious leaps of logic to get to that conclusion and then he left it open with the obvious "Mastina" answer for me and/or Fire to answer for him so he doesn't seem completely batshit insane.

Conclusion- A pair of bad actors reading a bad script

Guys wanna wagon jjh after all

Yes please.
~C

There's always one ^.^
~C

[Loftwing]

You think by being vague you’ll draw votes huh
Everybody on Victorine, NOW.

Do you think Ircher and Visterence are scumbuds, and that Visterene has a better role?

[Ircher]

Do you think Ircher and Visterence are scumbuds, and that Visterene has a better role?

That's precisely what he is thinking. It's wrong, but you are free to assume what you like.

[Gamma Emerald]

Probably

[Ircher]

There is no probably. Either you do or you don't. That's an incriminating response.

[Galron]

I see. A Br'er Rabbit thing.

[Cheeky Wings]

Or to put it this way: if I guess a player's flavor correctly, I get a reward. Just like in those old 'prize catching games' at carnivals.

Scum role
VOTE: victorine

So what reward did you get for guessing Taly is Taly?
~C

[Gamma Emerald]

There’s a whole load of possible reasons for this, I’m just tuning Ircher out atp

[Loftwing]

Probably

By probably, do you mean that there are other factors as well? If not, what do you mean by probably?

[jjh927]

Though I would say I'm at like 80% confidence in Victorine!Town right now.

3) The faction numbers are 18:5.

Assume you are town
Assume we've had the two townflips we have had

20 other players, of whom 15 are town

Chance of a random player being town is 75%

I think your 80% level of certainty sucks

[Ircher]

That's not how it works. A scale where 50% is really 3/4s of the way is useless.

[Galron]

Though I would say I'm at like 80% confidence in Victorine!Town right now.

3) The faction numbers are 18:5.

Assume you are town
Assume we've had the two townflips we have had

20 other players, of whom 15 are town

Chance of a random player being town is 75%

I think your 80% level of certainty sucks

This is a sexy post.

[Ircher]

We can kill Galron as well.

[Galron]

We can kill Galron as well.

Awesome, a death threat.

[Ircher]

You aren't refuting me. It's your guilty conscience speaking.

[jjh927]

That's not how it works. A scale where 50% is really 3/4s of the way is useless.

That's exactly how it works
It is a lower bar to consider someone town than scum

If you say you're 80% sure someone is town, it means you think that 4 times out of 5 they will flip town