Open 837: Cop Killer - Endgame

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Post Post #625 (ISO) » Thu Dec 02, 2021 6:27 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 612, Bingle wrote:GL is pushing the idea that auro being aggressive and assuming that someone is scum until proven otherwise is scummy, when I think that's actually just a good way to make the pressure worth something.
I think maybe this is why we haven't seen eye to eye on stuff. I think you can be firm with pressure without making assumptions that someone is scum. I try (though don't always succeed) to maintain the mindset that most players are likely town until there's good evidence otherwise, just based on probability/Bayesian reasoning
"I think I no longer believe in monsters as faces in the floor or feral infants or vampires or whatever. I think at seventeen now I believe the only real monsters might be the type of liar where there's simply no way to tell. The ones who give nothing away"
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Post Post #626 (ISO) » Thu Dec 02, 2021 6:30 am

Post by Auro »

In post 625, GuiltyLion wrote:most players are likely town until there's good evidence otherwise
No fun in that
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Post Post #627 (ISO) » Thu Dec 02, 2021 6:30 am

Post by Bingle »

575 leaves me vaguely unsettled, but I'm not sure why. Like... I don't think there's anything there I find objectionable, but it just doesn't feel bleeding town like I'd expect GL effort posting to feel.

I'm getting the vague sense that GL is leaning on theory to supplement his activity, but I don't know if that's confbias from the earlier scumread.

GL, can I get a tl;dr with only conclusions you've drawn from your analysis at your earliest convenience if you live through the night?
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Post Post #628 (ISO) » Thu Dec 02, 2021 6:30 am

Post by Almost50 »


Modded 2 Opens & 2 Large Themed games successfully.
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Post Post #629 (ISO) » Thu Dec 02, 2021 6:31 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 627, Bingle wrote:GL, can I get a tl;dr with only conclusions you've drawn from your analysis at your earliest convenience if you live through the night?
yeah, definitely. I think probably my activity doesn't feel up to standard because my main suspect flaked out of the game and I was also fine with the counterwagon (in part due to multi ball). if I'm alive the picture will definitely be shaken up on D2 so I'll prob have more to ~ do ~
"I think I no longer believe in monsters as faces in the floor or feral infants or vampires or whatever. I think at seventeen now I believe the only real monsters might be the type of liar where there's simply no way to tell. The ones who give nothing away"
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Post Post #630 (ISO) » Thu Dec 02, 2021 6:34 am

Post by Bingle »

In post 625, GuiltyLion wrote:I think maybe this is why we haven't seen eye to eye on stuff. I think you can be firm with pressure without making assumptions that someone is scum. I try (though don't always succeed) to maintain the mindset that most players are likely town until there's good evidence otherwise, just based on probability/Bayesian reasoning
Sure, but people react more strongly if you treat them like they're guilty. I start the game with a bunch of suspects and try to figure out names I can trust from that.

I think I'm actually somewhere between you and Auro, in that I try to tailor whether I treat someone inno or guilty as a baseline to the individual player. For example, if you tell Nancy she's scum early she gets pissed and becomes super readable. If you try the same thing with a newbie, odds are decent they'll freak out and shut up regardless of alignment.
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Post Post #631 (ISO) » Thu Dec 02, 2021 6:40 am

Post by Almost50 »

Just a recommendation and absolutely not binding
: CPR Doc could target Enchant :wink:

Modded 2 Opens & 2 Large Themed games successfully.
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Post Post #632 (ISO) » Thu Dec 02, 2021 6:41 am

Post by Auro »

Almost50 signalling! Scum confirmed
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Post Post #633 (ISO) » Thu Dec 02, 2021 6:51 am

Post by Not_Mafia »

VC 1.09
Galron (0)-

Enchant (1)-
Auro
Pavowski (0)-

Almost50 (0)-

Roden (3)-
GuiltyLion, LicketyQuickety, Auro*
Bingle (0)-

LicketyQuickety (1)-
Salsabil Faria
GuiltyLion (0)-

Salsabil Faria (7)-
T3, mc esther, Pavowski, Almost50, Galron, Roden, DArby
-ELIMINATED

DArby (0)-

Auro (0)-

mc esther (0)-

T3 (0)-


Not Voting (1)-
Galron*, Bingle

With
13
alive, it takes
7
to eliminate.

Deadline is in
(expired on 2021-12-07 10:00:00)
- Dec 7th 10:00 GMT


Mod Notes*Vote was a mod error, Bingle was omitted from the original VC
Last edited by Not_Mafia on Wed Dec 08, 2021 10:39 am, edited 2 times in total.
Also, what is Not_Mafia doing? This is some of the worst play I’ve ever seen.
I will SEARCH for games with you and N_M to help you policy him.
I can't remember the last N_M post that wasn't bland, unimaginative and lame. Some shitposters are at least somewhat funny. You are the epitomy of the type of poster that nobody would miss if you were to suddenly disappear. You never add anything of value.
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Post Post #634 (ISO) » Thu Dec 02, 2021 6:59 am

Post by Not_Mafia »

Salsabil Faria
has been
Eliminated
day 1


Spoiler: Flip
Vanilla Townie
[/spoiler]

You have
(expired on 2021-12-04 18:00:00)
to submit any actions
Also, what is Not_Mafia doing? This is some of the worst play I’ve ever seen.
I will SEARCH for games with you and N_M to help you policy him.
I can't remember the last N_M post that wasn't bland, unimaginative and lame. Some shitposters are at least somewhat funny. You are the epitomy of the type of poster that nobody would miss if you were to suddenly disappear. You never add anything of value.
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Post Post #635 (ISO) » Sat Dec 04, 2021 7:14 am

Post by Not_Mafia »

Almost50
has been
Incinerated
night 1


Spoiler: Flip
Town Innocent Child Publishing Cop
[/spoiler]

The residents of the town also gather around the noticeboard in the town square to find a message;

For a good time call...


Roden
is aligned with the
Town
Also, what is Not_Mafia doing? This is some of the worst play I’ve ever seen.
I will SEARCH for games with you and N_M to help you policy him.
I can't remember the last N_M post that wasn't bland, unimaginative and lame. Some shitposters are at least somewhat funny. You are the epitomy of the type of poster that nobody would miss if you were to suddenly disappear. You never add anything of value.
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Post Post #636 (ISO) » Sat Dec 04, 2021 7:16 am

Post by Not_Mafia »

VC 2.00
Galron (0)-

Enchant (0)-

Pavowski (0)-

Roden (0)-

Bingle (0)-

LicketyQuickety (0)-

GuiltyLion (0)-

DArby (0)-

Auro (0)-

mc esther (0)-

T3 (0)-


Not Voting (11)-
Galron, Enchant, Pavowski, Roden, Bingle, LicketyQuickety, GuiltyLion, DArby, Auro, mc esther, T3

With
11
alive, it takes
6
to instantly eliminate.

Deadline is in
(expired on 2021-12-14 19:00:00)
- Dec 14th 19:00 GMT
Also, what is Not_Mafia doing? This is some of the worst play I’ve ever seen.
I will SEARCH for games with you and N_M to help you policy him.
I can't remember the last N_M post that wasn't bland, unimaginative and lame. Some shitposters are at least somewhat funny. You are the epitomy of the type of poster that nobody would miss if you were to suddenly disappear. You never add anything of value.
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Post Post #637 (ISO) » Sat Dec 04, 2021 7:26 am

Post by Bingle »

Spoiler:
In post 633, Not_Mafia wrote:
VC 1.09
Galron (0)-

Enchant (1)-
Auro
Pavowski (0)-

Almost50 (0)-

Roden (3)-
GuiltyLion, LicketyQuickety, Auro
Bingle (0)-

LicketyQuickety (1)-
Salsabil Faria
GuiltyLion (0)-

Salsabil Faria (7)-
T3, mc esther, Pavowski, Almost50, Galron, Roden, DArby
-ELIMINATED

DArby (0)-

Auro (0)-

mc esther (0)-

T3 (0)-


Not Voting (1)-
Galron

With
13
alive, it takes
7
to eliminate.

Deadline is in
(expired on 2021-12-07 10:00:00)
- Dec 7th 10:00 GMT
In post 525, Not_Mafia wrote:
VC 1.07
Galron (0)-

Enchant (1)-
Salsabil Faria
Pavowski (0)-

Almost50 (0)-

Roden (4)-
GuiltyLion, LicketyQuickety, DArby, Auro
Bingle (0)-

LicketyQuickety (1)-
Roden
GuiltyLion (0)-

Salsabil Faria (5)-
T3, mc esther, Pavowski, Bingle, Almost50,
DArby (1)-
Enchant
Auro (0)-

mc esther (0)-

T3 (0)-


Not Voting (2)-
Galron,

With
13
alive, it takes
7
to eliminate.

Deadline is in
(expired on 2021-12-07 10:00:00)
- Dec 7th 10:00 GMT
In post 578, Not_Mafia wrote:
VC 1.08
Galron (0)-

Enchant (0)-

Pavowski (0)-

Almost50 (0)-

Roden (3)-
GuiltyLion, LicketyQuickety, Auro
Bingle (0)-

LicketyQuickety (3)-
Roden, Salsabil Faria, DArby
GuiltyLion (0)-

Salsabil Faria (5)-
T3, mc esther, Pavowski, Almost50, Galron
(E-2)

DArby (1)-
Enchant
Auro (0)-

mc esther (0)-

T3 (0)-


Not Voting (1)-
Galron

With
13
alive, it takes
7
to eliminate.

Deadline is in
(expired on 2021-12-07 10:00:00)
- Dec 7th 10:00 GMT


Roden salsa TvT makes me feel better about Darby. No reason for scum to lend weight to a new wagon when there’s dueling wagons on not your team.

Was anyone cheerleading the roden salsa fight?
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Post Post #638 (ISO) » Sat Dec 04, 2021 7:44 am

Post by Pavowski »

So either everyone targeted A50 or only Team Fire did and somebody else got doc's and frozen, right?

Seems more likely monkey got tripled up
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Post Post #639 (ISO) » Sat Dec 04, 2021 7:52 am

Post by Bingle »

In post 638, Pavowski wrote:So either everyone targeted A50 or only Team Fire did and somebody else got doc's and frozen, right?

Seems more likely monkey got tripled up
Useless discussion, imo.
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Post Post #640 (ISO) » Sat Dec 04, 2021 7:54 am

Post by Bingle »

Actually… VOTE: pav

That’s potentially a very useful discussion for scum. Why did you bring it up?
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Post Post #641 (ISO) » Sat Dec 04, 2021 8:38 am

Post by Pavowski »

In post 640, Bingle wrote:Actually… VOTE: pav

That’s potentially a very useful discussion for scum. Why did you bring it up?
Mostly because I want to confirm my understanding of mechanics. In what way does it benefit scum? Everybody on both scum teams knows what happened.
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Post Post #642 (ISO) » Sat Dec 04, 2021 8:40 am

Post by Pavowski »

Actually I guess they don't necessarily, withdrawing that
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Post Post #643 (ISO) » Sat Dec 04, 2021 8:40 am

Post by Pavowski »

Fire team doesn't know what ice team did, I am dumb
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Post Post #644 (ISO) » Sat Dec 04, 2021 8:54 am

Post by Galron »

I thought that the single kill was slightly clearing for Pav due to the signalling discussion.
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Post Post #645 (ISO) » Sat Dec 04, 2021 8:56 am

Post by Galron »

Was going to ask how he knew that Team Fire killed A50 but I figured it out.
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Post Post #646 (ISO) » Sat Dec 04, 2021 9:07 am

Post by Pavowski »

In post 645, Galron wrote:Was going to ask how he knew that Team Fire killed A50 but I figured it out.
I am an idiot possessed of the deep knowledge
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Post Post #647 (ISO) » Sat Dec 04, 2021 9:08 am

Post by Bingle »

I don't think this can have a drawback for asking publicly given how obvious a question it is, so:

@mod: Are death flavors indicative of who made the kill? If they are, what are the specific flavors for a Fire Kill, an Ice Kill, a Doc Kill, and an all three kill?


NM should be able (have to actually) answer that because this is an open.
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Post Post #648 (ISO) » Sat Dec 04, 2021 9:10 am

Post by Bingle »

UNVOTE:

I think not thinking this through is vaguely +town for Pav, actually?
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Post Post #649 (ISO) » Sat Dec 04, 2021 9:40 am

Post by Not_Mafia »

In post 647, Bingle wrote:I don't think this can have a drawback for asking publicly given how obvious a question it is, so:

@mod: Are death flavors indicative of who made the kill? If they are, what are the specific flavors for a Fire Kill, an Ice Kill, a Doc Kill, and an all three kill?


NM should be able (have to actually) answer that because this is an open.
Yes death flavours are indicative. Ice Mafia is
Frozen
, Fire Mafia is
Incinerated
and a CPR Doc kill is
Shocked
. If all three were to target a player, the fire and ice mafia kills would cancel out and the CPR Doc would kill the player. I will add this to the rules section.
Also, what is Not_Mafia doing? This is some of the worst play I’ve ever seen.
I will SEARCH for games with you and N_M to help you policy him.
I can't remember the last N_M post that wasn't bland, unimaginative and lame. Some shitposters are at least somewhat funny. You are the epitomy of the type of poster that nobody would miss if you were to suddenly disappear. You never add anything of value.
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