Holiday Dance Party ---- Game Over

[Ydrasse]

i like guiltylion

[catboi]

in 174, andante said "I SR a bunch of gentlemen, I wouldn't be surprised if 4/8 of them are maf". like, it's obviously saying that she has so many scumreads within the gentlemen, she wouldn't be surprised if all scum were gents. and what does guiltylion do? he chops off that part of the post, which is literally right there next to the part he does quote, and posts 180, which frames andante's post as a pure mathematical probability question when it clearly wasn't that, and the context was right there and he removed it and whyyy

but the reason I asked Andante that is because the idea that "4/8 of the gents are mafia" (which actually should be 4/7) is so probabilistically low that it's a ridiculous thing to claim to believe when you have no information at this stage. I don't care how many gents you're scumreading, the odds of it are so low in a vacuum that no one should be saying they think all the mafia are in the gentlemen, I can't grok that as an Intellectually Honest belief. I don't think the context changes anything about my question, that's why I chopped it off. I have a pretty math-y attitude towards these things and Andante's claim is extremely questionable, for me the context changes nothing about the part I quoted and I assumed it wouldn't for anyone else either.

for the record, if I'm mathing right, the odds of 4 mafia gentlemen is like 1%. it changes slightly from an informed perspective, but still

Is improbable speculation a sign of a mafia alignment? This feels like a gotcha more than a legitimate line of inquiry.

[Alyssa The Lamb]

alyssa my offer will probably expire by the time ur off work

I take my choice in partners seriously enough that it wouldn't have ever worked regardless

[Save The Dragons]

i'd totally dance with catboi if i were a lady

[Firebringer]

i could see myself dancing with andante

[Taly]

Yeah I don't want an IC partner

That's like every level of bad possible

I'm also not sure about this

I wouldn't mind an IC partner. It definitely has anti-town utility in that it means you personally can't use your hood ability to sort and I guess in some sense it might be good to force scum to pair with IC so it becomes weird when they don't NK themselves, but scum could easily leverage that for WIFOM if Taly gets paired with a limbaity town slot and there'd be fun in having a conftown to hydra with.

I'm not sure what's best play around the IC in terms of who we should try to set up there but "every level of bad possible" feels exaggerated in a LAMISTy way

Scum have massive incentive to dance with me D:<

I've never been an IC before, I'm getting LOST BIRD SYNDROME

[marcistar]

NVM, I find both marci and guiltylion suspicious now.

why is marci back to scumreads for you?

193 was a rather generic sounding read adding suspicion to a person who was a popular target.

im sorry idont have many other opinions rn

[Prism]

I was going to comment that you were virtually an IC in Slaughter Hour, and then I remembered you somehow got voted out.

[Firebringer]

speaking of scum have big incentive to partner with scum.
LLD said she wanted to. And bearing with the flame i will get for saying it.
I don't want her paired with Taly at all.

[Alyssa The Lamb]

Taly is scum

[Taly]

oh shit

most of how i solve another person is under the impression they dont know my alignment because im very much a LETS TALK, ILL READ YOU WHEN YOU SPEAK TO ME person

[Taly]

Taly is scum

YA I AM WEEEEEEE

[GuiltyLion]

Is improbable speculation a sign of a mafia alignment? This feels like a gotcha more than a legitimate line of inquiry.

not necessarily, that's why I used a motivating example and get a response from Andante. It's not a 'gotcha' it's a "is this

actually

what you think?". If absolutely nothing else I'd want Andante to look harder at the other ladies, because it's almost guaranteed at least one scum is a lady.

I don't like that you're acting like I was straight up pushing Andante over this, rather than interpreting my post as trying to sort her.

[Firebringer]

Taly is scum

so are u bae

[Datisi]

for the record, if I'm mathing right, the odds of 4 mafia gentlemen is like 1%. it changes slightly from an informed perspective, but still

i mean... okay? but like, it obviously wasn't meant as a 100% claim or anything. it feels somewhat natural for me to go from "wow, i have so many scumreads in the gentlemen" to "haha, wouldn't be surprised if all scum are in there". you say context doesn't change anything, but to me it does - she didn't say "maybe all scum are gents" without offering background thought process on why she thinks that's possible. if she hadn't done that, i'd understand your reaction, but right now i just don't.

honestly, this whole thing is heavily reminding me to the white flag game, where you and your buddy entered a shitfight very early in the game about some random miniscule bullshit like this. i don't know if you'd be repeating the *exact* same strategy with me present, but as it stands, i'm not sure i like it :/

[Prism]

It is very unfortunate that Taly is probably someone who loves private PTs, obviously calculated on my end.

[catboi]

im sorry idont have many other opinions rn

I wasn't asking you to have more opinions.

[Taly]

I was going to comment that you were virtually an IC in Slaughter Hour, and then I remembered you somehow got voted out.

Yes, because it wasn't mod confirmed

I still don't know how the fuck I died in that game, I almost siteflaked over that shit.

[Firebringer]

i bet alyssa wont dance with me because she knows i scumread her all the time as town and she is scum this game so she doesn't want to risk it.

THEREFORE
SHE IS SCUM

[Taly]

OMG

I FUCK WITH PTS SO MUCH

I am awesome in hoods

[Alyssa The Lamb]

Taly is scum

so are u bae

Glad to see you're catching on

[Datisi]

not necessarily, that's why I used a motivating example and get a response from Andante.

so, what did you get from her response?

[Taly]

can i be poly and do a 3-way-dance with

aly

and

fire

?

[GuiltyLion]

it feels somewhat natural for me to go from "wow, i have so many scumreads in the gentlemen" to "haha, wouldn't be surprised if all scum are in there".

eh, this is the disconnect. That latter thought is Always Wrong, you should be Extremely Surprised if all scum are in there, even if you have like an absurd amount of confidence in your reads

[Firebringer]

alyssa if ur trying to get scumreads u need to work harder at it.