Open 840 - Guardians of the Fortress [Game Over]

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Post Post #1250 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:17 pm

Post by Aristeia »

In post 1244, VP Baltar wrote:There's zero point in me reading a bunch of scum BS.
He's trying to kill you with pre-flips from Keep and you don't think that's relevant what type of pre-flips he's predicting to come?
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Post Post #1251 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:18 pm

Post by Aristeia »

the arrogance is unbelievably you
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Post Post #1252 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:24 pm

Post by Aristeia »

In post 1131, imaginality wrote:
In post 1122, VP Baltar wrote:I think we should flip the gate first maybe since it is the most discussed and my reads will bear fruit when my alignment is public
Interesting to see this post just a few posts after I remind Tanner that flipping the Keep first would show if DArby/Pav is town which would paint VP in considerably worse light.
He's relying on Darby/Pav flipping town to paint you in a worse light.

And me flipping scum would make you look really good.

So if he wants Keep to flip first, he's banking on Me/Pavo both being town in Keep.
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Post Post #1253 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:42 pm

Post by imaginality »

I might not always be as concise as I could be but if you look at my posts about VP I've:

- pointed out where he's overstated his case for him being town (the 'I'm obvtown because I did what Tanner wanted with my groupings' stuff)
- pointed out contradictions in his argument that others overlooked (where he said having a low content player with us rather than Tanner would have been way easier as scum, when a low content player was actually exactly who he first suggested to bring with us)
- pointed out where his interactions with him are revealing (Ari town, implo town)
- pointed out anti-town actions he's pushed for (rushing the Gate vote at the start of the day would be anti-town even if he were town)
- pointed out that his reads this game haven't been as loose as he claims he is as town
- pointed out that flipping Keep will help if people (Tanner) wants more data before deciding

Sure, to him it's all BS, because we're 1v1 and that's what he'd say as town. But I think the above points and others are coming together to make a coherent case.

And as I've said, if I had a coherent case on him at the start of today, he wouldn't have chosen to 1v1 me.

So yeah, it took a few posts for me to make sense of it all. But I feel like at this point, if I were in Tanner's shoes reading me vs VP, the case against VP is stronger.

If people (Tanner) still aren't convinced, I'm not sure what I can do to convince you. I feel like all the pieces are there now, if you look at them clearly.
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Post Post #1254 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:45 pm

Post by imaginality »

In post 1252, Aristeia wrote:
In post 1131, imaginality wrote:
In post 1122, VP Baltar wrote:I think we should flip the gate first maybe since it is the most discussed and my reads will bear fruit when my alignment is public
Interesting to see this post just a few posts after I remind Tanner that flipping the Keep first would show if DArby/Pav is town which would paint VP in considerably worse light.
He's relying on Darby/Pav flipping town to paint you in a worse light.

And me flipping scum would make you look really good.

So if he wants Keep to flip first, he's banking on Me/Pavo both being town in Keep.
I'm less sure about Pav because VP was angling for us to go to the Wall, and Pav could be scum with VP intending for one of them to swap out of Wall if it had ended up as me-him-Pav. I definitely think you'll flip town though.
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Post Post #1255 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:53 pm

Post by VP Baltar »

In post 1248, imaginality wrote:VP is trying to steamroller over me today.
Now we are on to AtE. Which step of grieving is that?

Seriously though, your theorizing is consistently incoherent and reaching for any desperate angle to call me scum. You've stated I've done so many things that are galaxy brain moves, it makes no sense. Why would I spend my time reading and responding to such nonsense when I know it is all fake?
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Post Post #1256 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:58 pm

Post by RH9 »

Notice
Spoiler: Important
I skipped Tanner because he is confirmed Town.

Spoiler: Table
My Observations and Reads
PlayersAnalysis
OriginalReplacementNotesVerdict
numberQ can be made from a Town trying to give advice or scum hiding a warning as Galron once did in Mini 2250. I agree with , though this is NAI because scum can be agreeable too. I agree with his opinion of my predecessor in . However, I disagree with . I don't think that Pavowski is scum. However, the clarification in makes me feel better. seems like a good question but both Town and scum have the motivation to ask that.
Null
implosion, , could come from both scum and Town for similar reasons on why numberQ's advice in is NAI. I agree with , especially the last sentence. confuses me. I agree with , in that scum likely moved implosion because he was getting TRed a lot and scum moved him in order to let themselves win. This points to scum!Lukewarm because he was notably desperate in winning as seen in . I agree with . feels like Town because he is trying to sort the people that are in his minigame. I think that it is a bit odd that implosion doesn't feel like Lukewarm is scum, though. is so true. I vehemently disagree with for making Lukewarm look like he has almost completely no chance of being scum. is annoying me to pieces because why do you not consider that Lukewarm is scum who has Aristeia pocketed? is so true, though. If I was scum, I would definitely considering bussing. Most of posts afterwards seems to be a meaningless argument with Aristeia. is a decent comeback.
Null
imaginality seems odd as though he's trying to please people and it feels fake. However, I have done that as Town before, making it NAI. could be a clarification of a genuine mistake or a deliberate one intended as a reaction test. This is NAI. I find that for similar reasons on why numberQ's and implosion's advice is NAI, it applies to imaginality's too. Most other posts seem NAI too. , , and feels like single-minded attack on VP Baltar. feels like he somehow changed his mind and thus he realises that he's looking like we are scum together.
Null
Lukewarm felt off to me due to his astounding confidence on his reads. Seeing that implosion got moved and how much Lukewarm exhibited a desire to win in , it is obvious that Lukewarm is scum. He seems strangely into meta and theory. Examples of this include , , , , , , , and .
Scum
DArbyPavowskiAs previously noted in , feels like Pavowski is trying to do something which is something that I don't think that scum would do. This is because volunteering himself for a vote would appear LAMIST. I agree with a couple of his posts. Examples include , , , . Why is Pavowski the only one to get it?Why did my predecessor think so highly of Lukewarm? I agree with , and from DArby. There is no way that Pavowski is scum.
Town
AristeiaI like a lot of her posts. Examples include , and . makes me want to scream at my predecessor for placing Lukewarm on a pedestal instead of noticing the wisdom of Aristeia. is so correct. is a good idea. is so sweet. . makes sense. is so true. Anybody who disagrees is scum. almost makes me think that I'm wrong on Lukewarm. Also, Aristeia, you remind me of marcistar and Morning Tweet.
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VP BaltarSeems to ask questions a couple of times. Examples include , , , , , , , and . feels defensive. I don't get and . I agree with . I like response to imaginality in . Scumreads in makes sense. shows good solving intent. seems like he is wanting answers. seems like he's gone and actually done research. Interactions with Aristeia, which include and , feels like he is trying to work with her. seems like Town wanting to know things. I feel like and makes sense.
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Post Post #1257 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 5:00 pm

Post by RH9 »

By the way, Tanner, don't get upset over me not including you because you are confirmed Town and thus obviously, everything you say has Town motivation.

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Post Post #1258 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 5:01 pm

Post by Aristeia »

Thanks RH9 you are very sweet <3
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Post Post #1259 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 5:21 pm

Post by implosion »

In post 1232, Pavowski wrote:
In post 1228, implosion wrote:I think part of the reason I've been getting so hung up on Aristeia is that her being scum is like, the easiest way for this game to make sense without feeling arrogant. Or more, calling Pav scum just feels too arrogant. But I don't really have any particularly good reason for him to not be scum.
Could you explain more what you mean by this - how scum!Ari simplifies the game?
In post 1233, VP Baltar wrote:
In post 1228, implosion wrote:Or more, calling Pav scum just feels too arrogant
Arrogant? Not sure what you mean.
What I basically mean to respond to both of these is that if Pav is scum then our Collective Reads tm on d1 were just really good. And (a) like I had mentioned on d1 I want to be flexible now and (2) no one was really complaining about the plans that we came up with on d1; they were universally accepted with no fuss at all. It just feels kind of ehhh to accept that that was the case if it was 0 scum at keep initially.
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Post Post #1260 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 5:22 pm

Post by implosion »

RH9 you'd better work to get a not-null read on either me or numberQ given those are the only two reads of yours that actually matter x_x
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Post Post #1261 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 5:25 pm

Post by imaginality »

In post 1255, VP Baltar wrote:
In post 1248, imaginality wrote:VP is trying to steamroller over me today.
Now we are on to AtE. Which step of grieving is that?


The step where you go on to prove me right?

Seriously though, your theorizing is consistently incoherent and reaching for any desperate angle to call me scum. You've stated I've done so many things that are galaxy brain moves, it makes no sense. Why would I spend my time reading and responding to such nonsense when I know it is all fake?
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Post Post #1262 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 5:38 pm

Post by VP Baltar »

Think I realized who Ari is. I'll reread tomorrow with that in mind.
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Post Post #1263 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 5:39 pm

Post by VP Baltar »

In post 1259, implosion wrote:What I basically mean to respond to both of these is that if Pav is scum then our Collective Reads tm on d1 were just really good. And (a) like I had mentioned on d1 I want to be flexible now and (2) no one was really complaining about the plans that we came up with on d1; they were universally accepted with no fuss at all. It just feels kind of ehhh to accept that that was the case if it was 0 scum at keep initially.
Ok, that makes sense
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Post Post #1264 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 5:48 pm

Post by Aristeia »

In post 1262, VP Baltar wrote:Think I realized who Ari is. I'll reread tomorrow with that in mind.
your opponent has already preflipped me as town and you are still confused about my alignment

it's absolutely maddening
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Post Post #1265 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 6:02 pm

Post by imaginality »

In post 1264, Aristeia wrote:
In post 1262, VP Baltar wrote:Think I realized who Ari is. I'll reread tomorrow with that in mind.
your opponent has already preflipped me as town and you are still confused about my alignment

it's absolutely maddening
You'll feel less stressed when you realise its because he's scum and doesn't want to consider you clear town because then they won't win the Keep.

On which note, I do agree with your earlier point in post 1214: if I were deciding, the Keep vote should be for you. I said as much pretty soon after #971, in post 1040.

As for your other question in #1214 about why I still analysed Luke vs Pav after I already town read you: figuring which of those two is scum is important because it informs us about one side of the swap, so it helps us narrow down what the plan was with that.
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Post Post #1266 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 6:08 pm

Post by Aristeia »

I think you don't understand my relationship with Tanner if you think he would ever trust me enough to ask me to be flipped.


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Post Post #1267 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 6:09 pm

Post by Aristeia »

In post 1265, imaginality wrote:You'll feel less stressed when you realise its because he's scum and doesn't want to consider you clear town because then they won't win the Keep.
I think it's more likely he's just a big dumb-dumb, I've read quite a few of his games hehe.
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Post Post #1268 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 6:14 pm

Post by RH9 »

I remember that last time I saw Baltar around, he was Town and got eliminated in the endgame when the scum coordinated a hammer on him.

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Post Post #1269 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 6:16 pm

Post by RH9 »

In post 1268, RH9 wrote:I remember that last time I saw Baltar around, he was Town and got eliminated in the endgame when the scum coordinated a hammer on him.
He was right on one of the scum.

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Post Post #1270 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 6:16 pm

Post by Aristeia »

RH9 have you figured out who is scum in the Wall yet?
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Post Post #1271 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 6:48 pm

Post by RH9 »

In post 1270, Aristeia wrote:RH9 have you figured out who is scum in the Wall yet?
Not really, but out of implosion and numberQ, I would be inclined to say numberQ. This is because implosion has continued to pour his effort into this game while numberQ remains as he was. However, this might just be due to numberQ being busy IRL which hindered his ability to play in this game.

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Post Post #1272 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 6:52 pm

Post by RH9 »

In post 1271, RH9 wrote:
In post 1270, Aristeia wrote:RH9 have you figured out who is scum in the Wall yet?
Not really, but out of implosion and numberQ, I would be inclined to say numberQ. This is because implosion has continued to pour his effort into this game while numberQ remains as he was. However, this might just be due to numberQ being busy IRL which hindered his ability to play in this game.
I mean that if I had to vote somebody, I would vote numberQ because I know that one of the two is scum.

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Post Post #1273 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 7:01 pm

Post by Aristeia »

mmm

how tilted is lukewarm at imaginality in the scum pt rn?
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Post Post #1274 (ISO) » Wed Dec 29, 2021 7:27 pm

Post by imaginality »

Remember not to tell Tanner and Ari this is a secret bastard game and town has a secret win condition that they only win if the two town players correctly figure out all eight other players are scum before page 60.
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