My issue right now pooky now that I actually consider it on a deeper level is that I feel like my read accuracy on bell/enchant (yes I'm revising my earlier opinion I've found him as town before)/andante/you is probably no better than or even worse than random. So I will need to actually find and learn the differences between the scum and town behavior of these slots and then apply it, vs just being able to naturally read them based on usual tells.
I don't really know how to read Enchant - usually I use associative reads because he's considered limbait and if I can find scum trying to push him when it's convenient and doesn't feel like a bus then he's probably just town.
I have badly misread him at elo before[stupid fucking dream about dolphins]
The main thing I used to use Bell is tonal because he has issues with confidence and feeling like a block of wood when he's scum;
I am worried that this read is wrong because Bell's accuracy is very bad this game and his posts are more along the one liners and jokes and it feels like he's just taking a POE and shoving it through a wood chipper instead of actually solving for scum.
I'm kind of basing the CSF read on her play in Pokemon being stilted and uncomfortable. Her dayplay/accuracy is solid and I don't think it makes sense for her to CC mena at the time she did when she did it.
I am not really worried about my Andante read being wrong - she's just very townie by mech and dayplay.
"I can't even look at the game anymore.
That evil teddy bear has got everyone twirling by his thumb.
It's like witnessing an slow but unavoidable train crash you can't stop."
-Norwee
"Please refrain from diverting our sleuths out there Pooky."
~Maple
Scum are attempting to use Mistyx's guaranteed bomb explosion N1 when there are two groups on a group of four town. This is my assumption going into this, it makes the most sense by far as a scum play and is the fairly obvious scum play imo especially because otherwise they would have been wasting Mistyx's role. Shoutout to frogster for accidentally saving three mislims. If you disagree with this assumption please say why, as I think this is the best assumption by far.
Based on this, we can look at where scum are healing for experts. Andante has
three
scum healing her, and attempting to place her in this top group, this makes me think she is town.
Other notes I can make based on this assumption, we can look at who else scum wanted to place up in the top of healing.
This requires more of a progression based approach, but we can see just based on this: at least 3 scum on Andante, at least 2 on Greeting, at least 1 on Catboi, at least 3 on Frogster
That is a very incomplete thought but I got way too wrapped around in thinking about all the possible ways scum were trying to manipulate the heals. I need to take a progression approach but that comes after I first explain a reason I think CSF is town based on this analysis and then also take a very long break from looking at this to do homework
[1]: PookyTheMagicalBear
not nominating [4]: Andante, Enchant, Cat Scratch Fever, Bell
eligible to be nominated: PookyTheMagicalBear, Andante, Enchant,
[1]: PookyTheMagicalBear
not nominating [4]: Andante, Enchant, Cat Scratch Fever, Bell
eligible to be nominated: PookyTheMagicalBear, Andante, Enchant,
[1]: PookyTheMagicalBear
not nominating [4]: Andante, Enchant, Cat Scratch Fever, Bell
eligible to be nominated: PookyTheMagicalBear, Andante, Enchant,
[1]: PookyTheMagicalBear
not nominating [4]: Andante, Enchant, Cat Scratch Fever, Bell
eligible to be nominated: PookyTheMagicalBear, Andante, Enchant,
Okay, so basically the reason I think CSF is town by this analysis is that CSF actually heals Praetorian between 1.05 and 1.06, putting them more solidly into the top heal pile of 4.
CSF actually unnominates in general. But because of this, I feel like CSF is very unagenda'd in her healing when scum must have a clear goal in mind with healing to create a group of four town.
In post 1272, Enchant wrote:You can not bother, it's 100% mafia make it in team and just pretend that they are town and state correct instructions.
HEAL: EVERYONE
In post 1551, Enchant wrote:Let's put scummy players in bomb team, so next night we could make lesser, but town one?
Enchant looks REALLY good from these posts now that we know what we know about Mistyx's role. Would enchant do this if he knows scum are trying to place four townies at the top?
Now granted, Enchant has literally revived a town player as scum before so maybe I shouldn't be expecting him to follow a heal strategy even if his partners suggested one
In post 6296, Dwlee99 wrote:Now granted, Enchant has literally revived a town player as scum before so maybe I shouldn't be expecting him to follow a heal strategy even if his partners suggested one