LOST (Game Over)

[PenguinPower]

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

wow

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

7 seconds

ok I see you

[Lukewarm]

I think that we are wagoning Cephrir because he called Klick a Not Town Read, and Klick OMGUS'ed voted him, and this player list is full of sheep.

Better then anything I have to go on atm, but also not enticing for me to join.

Carry on.

[Save The Dragons]

Flavor

Pilot of flight 815 Seth Norris alerted the survivors of the crash that they had gone off course at least 1000 miles and radio transmissions were down, so any rescuers would be looking for them in the wrong place, before he was killed by the smoke monster.

Vote Count 1.6

7 Cephrir (Klick, Bellaphant, BlueBloodedToffee, Dwlee99, PookyTheMagicalBear, PenguinPower, The toad)

2 PookyTheMagicalBear (Lukewarm, Bell)

1 Enchant (Cephrir)
1 Off The Hook (Galron)
1 Rad (The toad)
1 Corwin (Cytosine and Guanine)
1 Dancing Puppets (Malakittens)
1 BlueBloodedToffee (Cat Scratch Fever)
1 Galron (Off the Hook)
1 Klick (Rad)
1 Cat Scratch Fever (Frogsterking)

Not Voting (Dancing Puppets, Toogeloo, MalcolmTucker, , Roden, Corwinoid, Enchant, Dunnstral, JohnnyFarrar, T-Bone)

With 26 alive, it takes 14 to yeet.

Deadline: (expired on 2022-07-18 12:42:51)

Mod Notes

Everyone has confirmed!

[The toad]

I am NOT shifty toads are known for their honest reputation

[Rad]

I actually have no idea why we're wagoning Cephrir BUT

He is probably the ONLY player on the site who rolls scum more frequently then I do

so it's a fine place to start

VOTE: Cephrir

Eventually you'd expect that heavy lean to equalize, yeah? So... shouldn't we lean town on him if we're going to draw conclusions based on rate of scum?

That's gambler's fallacy

So the opposite is the... inverse gambler's fallacy, and we should go with that instead? I'm not a stats guy so feel free to man-splain this for me

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

if one dude keeps showing up in jail

it's a habit

I don't care what random.org says

[Klick]

Let's get a scum lim before 10 pages

[Lukewarm]

I actually have no idea why we're wagoning Cephrir BUT

He is probably the ONLY player on the site who rolls scum more frequently then I do

so it's a fine place to start

VOTE: Cephrir

Eventually you'd expect that heavy lean to equalize, yeah? So... shouldn't we lean town on him if we're going to draw conclusions based on rate of scum?

That's gambler's fallacy

So the opposite is the... inverse gambler's fallacy, and we should go with that instead? I'm not a stats guy so feel free to man-splain this for me

I think that Random.org gave Cephir just as much odds for being scum this game as anyone else, and arguing for

or

against voting him based on his past games is silly.

I am pretty sure that Pooky made his statement as a joke, and was mainly sheeping the wagon. I think that you are the only one trying to use it as a serious argument.

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

what joke

im deadly serious about the cosmic law of unluckiness

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

also like what's the odds a plane full of people crashes on a mysterious island anyway

[Rad]

I am pretty sure that Pooky made his statement as a joke, and was mainly sheeping the wagon. I think that you are the only one trying to use it as a serious argument.

Haha nah, I'm not that serious right now. It's an interesting thought from a stats perspective though as applied to scum/town draws. If you want to bet on likelyhood one way, why not the other way? But yeah like you said, probably a bad approach to begin with if serious about it.

The Ceph wagon is interesting regardless.

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

7 Cephrir (Klick, Bellaphant, BlueBloodedToffee, Dwlee99, PookyTheMagicalBear, PenguinPower, The toad)

HALFWAY THERE

HALFWAY THERE

HALFWAY THERE

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

I'm not actually serious about anything but this is just funny LOVE YOU CEPH

[Lukewarm]

also like what's the odds a plane full of people crashes on a mysterious island anyway

Depends on whether there is a mysterious psudo-diety-esque person or castrating events in order to make sure that it happened or not I guess.

But it is probably unknowable tbh

[PenguinPower]

all you vanity voters need to do something...shame on you.

[PenguinPower]

or castrating

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

also like what's the odds a plane full of people crashes on a mysterious island anyway

Depends on whether there is a mysterious psudo-diety-esque person or castrating events in order to make sure that it happened or not I guess.

But it is probably unknowable tbh

that plane crash reveal was sick ngl

[Lukewarm]

Auto Correct can be wild sometimes lol

[Rad]

Think Rad has confidence, seems more like newish town than scum imo.

Good read toad. I think you're too smart to be hyper paranoid town.

UNVOTE:

VOTE: The toad

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

Rad if you vote for Ceph I promise to not call you a Busser until Day Two

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

ok I lied about doing reads after dinner because I had a glass of wine and now im tipsy and my reads r dogshit when im tipsy

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

BUT I might have the willpower to not waste all night playing TFT and actually read the game if we haven't sent Cephrir out to test a raft by then.

[PookyTheMagicalBear]

I wonder if Pengy is F5 waiting for this pagetop