TFT uPick [Game over!]

[Titus]

I want to be neighbors with Dunn according to the Best Friends augment.

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[NDMath]

Sobered up and am no longer sour from having to listen to inane bs all the time (game unrelated)
That‘s an incentive alright

So NDmath didn‘t properly backtrack from the MK scumread which suggests the pairing makes sense with early bus

I never even scumread MK, that was an RVS vote.

[Vivax]

Just starting to townread mastina with a p-value of 95%.

I have a feeling I'm using p-values incorrectly in some way that a statistician may be able to tell me.

The cutoff is 97.5 for unimodal curves, 95 for bimodal
Are you measuring two spectrums or one?

I don't even know if this is a game of mafia anymore lmao

[NDMath]

Just starting to townread mastina with a p-value of 95%.

I have a feeling I'm using p-values incorrectly in some way that a statistician may be able to tell me.

Uh yes.
The lowest p-value you could reach on a town read is ~75%, and ~25% for a scumread so you could never disprove your null hypothesis (and also your goal here isn't to test the null hypothesis), meaning it would be clearer to just use raw probabilities than p-values.

[Fredrick A Campbell]

Just starting to townread mastina with a p-value of 95%.

I have a feeling I'm using p-values incorrectly in some way that a statistician may be able to tell me.

The cutoff is 97.5 for unimodal curves, 95 for bimodal
Are you measuring two spectrums or one?

I don't even know if this is a game of mafia anymore lmao

The nature of alignments as data points is such that it isn't even continuous, causing it to be neither.

The idea I was trying to get at is that my confidence in all those reads are at 5%.

The statistical idea I was trying to get at is apparently so poorly thought out that my attempts to verbalise it makes me realise it's statistical nonsense.

Postscript:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P-value

"Since the precise meaning of p-value is hard to grasp, misuse is widespread..."

[Frogsterking]

Best Friends was chosen!

For the rest of this day phase, you may ask another person to form a neighborhood with you. If they accept, a neighborhood will form at the end of the day phase. These neighborhoods will be a maximum of two players, and open for the rest of the game. You may only be in one neighborhood formed through this augment.

These are optional, so feel free to be lonely!

Game continues!

Huh this isn't actually what I thought it was going to do. Cool mechanic though (the augments.) In the game aren't there three augment choices?

Frogsterking, would you work with me? I would like someone who thinks the opposite of me that I think is town.

Sure, that could be a good strategy.

Best Friends augment: Titus

[Dunnstral]

Just starting to townread mastina with a p-value of 95%.

I have a feeling I'm using p-values incorrectly in some way that a statistician may be able to tell me.

Uh yes.
The lowest p-value you could reach on a town read is ~75%, and ~25% for a scumread so you could never disprove your null hypothesis (and also your goal here isn't to test the null hypothesis), meaning it would be clearer to just use raw probabilities than p-values.

Just starting to townread mastina with a p-value of 95%.

I have a feeling I'm using p-values incorrectly in some way that a statistician may be able to tell me.

The cutoff is 97.5 for unimodal curves, 95 for bimodal
Are you measuring two spectrums or one?

I don't even know if this is a game of mafia anymore lmao

The nature of alignments as data points is such that it isn't even continuous, causing it to be neither.

The idea I was trying to get at is that my confidence in all those reads are at 5%.

The statistical idea I was trying to get at is apparently so poorly thought out that my attempts to verbalise it makes me realise it's statistical nonsense.

Postscript:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P-value

"Since the precise meaning of p-value is hard to grasp, misuse is widespread..."

[Vivax]

"Since the precise meaning of p-value is hard to grasp, misuse is widespread..."

lol it's not rocket science, it's the probability that the measurement of a difference is caused by chance (1-p rather)

Dunnstral do you have 3 strong reads on either alignment? You're sandbagging here

[Vivax]

"Since the precise meaning of p-value is hard to grasp, misuse is widespread..."

lol it's not rocket science, it's the probability that the measurement of a difference is caused by chance (1-p rather)

Dunnstral do you have 3 strong reads on either alignment? You're sandbagging here

I mean, just p is that chance. 1-p is the transformation if you do it manually iirc, wrote it wrong there. But I can tell you more soon cause I need to dig into epidem anyway

[Dunnstral]

Why do I need to have 3 strong reads for either alignment?

[Vivax]

Why do I need to have 3 strong reads for either alignment?

To get an idea of where your head is at in this game

[Titus]

@Frogsterking I got a better idea. I would want your consent but I am not sure how to get it. I need you to be friends with someone first. Ideally town.

[Frogsterking]

@Frogsterking I got a better idea. I would want your consent but I am not sure how to get it. I need you to be friends with someone first. Ideally town.

Mala, Gamma, Meerkat I think are Town

[Titus]

@Frogsterking I got a better idea. I would want your consent but I am not sure how to get it. I need you to be friends with someone first. Ideally town.

Mala, Gamma, Meerkat I think are Town

Mala or Meek please. Then I'll try to figure how to get a modicum of informed consent.

[Frogsterking]

@Frogsterking I got a better idea. I would want your consent but I am not sure how to get it. I need you to be friends with someone first. Ideally town.

Mala, Gamma, Meerkat I think are Town

Mala or Meek please. Then I'll try to figure how to get a modicum of informed consent.

Best Friends vanguard: Meek

Best Friends vanguard: Mala

[Frogsterking]

@Frogsterking I got a better idea. I would want your consent but I am not sure how to get it. I need you to be friends with someone first. Ideally town.

Mala, Gamma, Meerkat I think are Town

Mala or Meek please. Then I'll try to figure how to get a modicum of informed consent.

Best Friends *vanguard: Meek

Best Friends *vanguard: Mala

Best Friends *augment

[Frogsterking]

You really throwed something possible useful to get hoods.

Fucking social.

@Frogsterking I got a better idea. I would want your consent but I am not sure how to get it. I need you to be friends with someone first. Ideally town.

Mala, Gamma, Meerkat I think are Town

Mala or Meek please. Then I'll try to figure how to get a modicum of informed consent.

Does Enchant work? I think they're Town.

[Titus]

You really throwed something possible useful to get hoods.

Fucking social.

@Frogsterking I got a better idea. I would want your consent but I am not sure how to get it. I need you to be friends with someone first. Ideally town.

Mala, Gamma, Meerkat I think are Town

Mala or Meek please. Then I'll try to figure how to get a modicum of informed consent.

Does Enchant work? I think they're Town.

Yes that's okay but not my preferred if you can work with Enchant well.

[Titus]

On a scale of 1 being lowest and 10 being highest, how close are you willing to get Frogsterking?

[Frogsterking]

On a scale of 1 being lowest and 10 being highest, how close are you willing to get Frogsterking?

10 of course

[Titus]

Ok. I take that as informed consent.

[Frogsterking]

Ok. I take that as informed consent.

*thread locked*

"Frogsterking has died!"

[Titus]

Ok. I take that as informed consent.

*thread locked*

"Frogsterking has died!"

Unless scum have a weird power, that won't happen.

Anyway, I'm done posting for a bit. Need to conserve posts.

Mastina, I hope you align with Yume.

[Dunnstral]

I was hoping the pt would open, but it looks like we will have to wait for the end of this phase.

UNVOTE:

[Titus]

I was hoping the pt would open, but it looks like we will have to wait for the end of this phase.

UNVOTE:

Mods haven't been on since we accepted. Patience is a virtue.

Ok really done now.