In post 1770, GuiltyLion wrote:and the thing with Ari is their early game is just so accurate, all suspicion on scum, no real misfires of note or significance
if she's town it's an absolutely impeccable D1 from her, alllmost unbelievably so. if it were a lesser player I'd say informed, but, on the other hand there were a lot of scum being pretty scummy D1
i think it's not at all unbelievable, she only made 2 real pushes and in a game with 5 scum i think 2/2 accuracy is very possible. she's also just good at finding scum d1
i mean im town and starting from around page 10, i went roden -> kitty -> vivax -> kuti -> kitty -> kuti -> bell -> kitty
i had wrong pushes on vivax and greeting, but by eod i had them as town and my poe of 7 had all 5 scum. and im not trying to brag (ok i am a little bit lol), i wasn't alone in that, dann had similar accuracy, you did, a lot of town did. i think this was just kind of a game where most of town correctly poe'd out the scum on d1
and i think that scum ari, if she had seen that was happening, would be a lot more hesitant to bus and commit to having to rely on getting 2 of kuti, roden, and bell out the door while also escaping at the end herself. that just seems like a nearly impossible task from the position that scum was in d1. i think that's why scum was desperate to save kitty, they went all in and piled 4 on the vivax wagon bc they were already in such a bad spot, they might as well gamble it all
bussing kitty that hard really only makes sense if scum feels like they can get a comfortable amount of cred out of it so that they can escape. i don't think scum ari would be comfortable with the chances of scum winning entering d2. and if she needs 2 of kuti/bell/roden to escape, why not pull one more of them with her onto kitty? kuti and roden voted vivax long after ari had started the kitty push and was demanding kitty votes in thread
