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Post Post #14550 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 1:58 pm

Post by ProfessorDrapion »

In post 14482, Cytosine and Guanine wrote:I said my last post would be... my last, but I'll make an exception as I don't expect you all to casually connect the dots here.

Here is my theory: scum have an ability to cause a player to flip scum. Scum which includes Drapion used it on us last night (or at some point in the game). Drapion then fake claims a guilty on us to seal a free mislim, and we flip scum because of the ability. That ability would be the bastard element because we are aligned with the town. Drapion then coasts to victory. It would probably explain Drapion's reluctance to state their result. They were probably double-checking to make sure they didn't mess anything up. As farfetched as my theory may sound, I think it's bastard enough for the mod to advertise the game as having (nontrivial*) bastard elements while not being overly bastard. I also think it matches with this game not having role pms flip.

I guess the only alternate explanation is scum (which doesn't include Drapion) have an ability to tracker-frame someone, and they used it last night on us to score a free mislim on both us and Drapion. It's a possibility, but I honestly don't think it's likely. Drapion's claim has had issues throughout the game of choosing poor tracks even despite the Bella track.

Option 3 is scum Drapion is confident their partner can coast to victory. It's plausible, but I'm not sure that even Drapion has the guts to do that with two alive masons and a fairly solid PoE. It still would make me wonder though why Drapion would guilty us here when they could probably still get our lim without a guilty. After all, they could always claim our partner made the kill (and that would almost certainly be true).

(* - It has to be nontrivial otherwise the moderator would have probably specified precisely what the bastard element was or could be.)

This is truly my last post. Good luck once again.
~Cytosine

I am town and I am Tracker and I am probably going to be miss executed but please read Option 3 and then ask yourself if I would actually do it as a wolf. (Cause I wouldn’t do such a bad wolf play for an easy ML like that.)
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Post Post #14551 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:00 pm

Post by ProfessorDrapion »

Dude if I was going to do Option 3 it would be on someone like Pooky.
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Post Post #14552 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:00 pm

Post by Noraa »

Pooky who is drap's partner if drap is scum?
Dream as if you'll live forever, live as if you'll die today.
Come play Guess that Scummer OR ELSE
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Post Post #14553 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:00 pm

Post by ProfessorDrapion »

That’s the kinda wolf I am.
I go big or go home.
I don’t waste my life pushing a slot that’s an easy ML.
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Post Post #14554 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:01 pm

Post by ProfessorDrapion »

VOTE: unvote

I should probably not throw lol.
But let’s just use this time to discuss things. As I made it very clear I think Butterflies is a wolf.
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Post Post #14555 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:04 pm

Post by Noraa »

In post 14551, ProfessorDrapion wrote:Dude if I was going to do Option 3 it would be on someone like Pooky.
pooky is immortal. guilties cant hurt him :3 based on what gamestate looks like right now, this argument doesn't stand too well.
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Post Post #14556 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:05 pm

Post by ProfessorDrapion »

GTH I think I may have miss cleared your slot and I legit wolf sided hard day 1 for your slot and your wolves with Butterflies.
But I can also see Butterflies with Hook.
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Post Post #14557 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:06 pm

Post by ProfessorDrapion »

I think Johnny is still only a wolf if it’s with Your Slot or Hook.
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Post Post #14558 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:06 pm

Post by ProfessorDrapion »

I don’t think Butterflies/Best Bird/ML Bait/Pooky are a wolf with Johnny.
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Post Post #14559 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:10 pm

Post by ProfessorDrapion »

In post 14345, Off The Hook wrote:Tracking us would have cleared some paranoia from multitasking suggestions

~GE
Hmm actually idk if this can be a wolf.

I’d always go Butterflies over this any day.


VOTE: Butterflies
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Post Post #14560 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:11 pm

Post by ProfessorDrapion »

In post 14462, butterflies wrote:I understand so why is Drap voting you then?

He claimed he was going to track you but no explanation, just a vote.

^^^^^^
Like this is wolf with TMI.
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Post Post #14561 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:12 pm

Post by ProfessorDrapion »

@Pooky
@Hook
@BestBird

I mean it’s fine if you vote me out, cause it does seem like a jerk move to do I’ll admit.
But trust me on Butterflies here.
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Post Post #14562 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:13 pm

Post by JohnnyFarrar »

In post 14549, Noraa wrote:MONNNNNNNNNNN I SAW YOU ON THE LIST AND I WAS LIKE AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH YESSSSSSSSSS
kookie monster been inactive so long D:
When I popped in a couple months ago yours was the first name I looked for :')
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Post Post #14563 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:14 pm

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If you ask me why I didn’t track Butterflies it’s because I really wanted to check Pooky and I checked Butterflies before and I didn’t know who they would be wolves with.
I’m still not 100% but I’m pretty confident Pooky is town here.
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Post Post #14564 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:14 pm

Post by ProfessorDrapion »

In post 14562, JohnnyFarrar wrote:
In post 14549, Noraa wrote:MONNNNNNNNNNN I SAW YOU ON THE LIST AND I WAS LIKE AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH YESSSSSSSSSS
kookie monster been inactive so long D:
When I popped in a couple months ago yours was the first name I looked for :')
Johnny what’s your thoughts?
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Post Post #14565 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:14 pm

Post by ProfessorDrapion »

If your town and don’t want to be ML’ed your gonna need to start sharing them!
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Post Post #14566 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:24 pm

Post by butterflies »

In post 14470, ProfessorDrapion wrote:I mean I tracked them to CSF but here’s my full tracks, I’m pretty sure this is the correct order from memory of submission:
CSF - No Result
Bella - Wolf
BestBird - No Visit
MisLim - No Visit
Butterflies - No Visit
Butters (Mason Claim) - No Visit
Blue - Visited Me
G&C - Visited CSF
You not only outright lied with your track on DNA, you also mixed up the order of your BBT and mason track.
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Post Post #14567 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:27 pm

Post by JohnnyFarrar »

I feel bad for voting you because I think you're a pretty good player with a fun style, but no way I trust you here anymore, drap.

Other than that, my vote would probably go on pooky. I think Malcolm only makes the kill when csf jailed them because the remaining scum can't risk a guilty at this stage, and I think pooky fits that bill. Otherwise I'm just entirely wrong on one of my townreads
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Post Post #14568 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:28 pm

Post by butterflies »

In post 14559, ProfessorDrapion wrote:
In post 14345, Off The Hook wrote:Tracking us would have cleared some paranoia from multitasking suggestions

~GE
Hmm actually idk if this can be a wolf.

I’d always go Butterflies over this any day.


VOTE: Butterflies
In post 14560, ProfessorDrapion wrote:
In post 14462, butterflies wrote:I understand so why is Drap voting you then?

He claimed he was going to track you but no explanation, just a vote.

^^^^^^
Like this is wolf with TMI.
In post 14561, ProfessorDrapion wrote:@Pooky
@Hook
@BestBird

I mean it’s fine if you vote me out, cause it does seem like a jerk move to do I’ll admit.
But trust me on Butterflies here.
You really don’t care what you have to do to self-pres, lie push repeated miselims. I’m happy with my vote.
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Post Post #14569 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:29 pm

Post by PookyTheMagicalBear »

my poe is down to drapion - johnnyfarrar - off the hooook
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Post Post #14570 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:31 pm

Post by butterflies »

In post 14481, butterchurn wrote:
If C&G is town, kill Drapion tomorrow, don't let him talk his way out of it
. We might have to re-assess the POE a bit from there, since we're down one kill. I do somewhat believe C&G because it doesn't make much sense for C&G to be the one to carry out the kill with two scum left and Drapion already claimed that they were going to track there. We obviously still have to kill C&G first, though. Maybe Drapion knew that if he didn't die tonight, he would be outed, and so he might as well take someone with him. Hard to say. It's also possible that the 5th mafia cannot carry out the kill for some reason. They could have some ability that prevents them from killing. Traitor would probably make mafia too weak, so I doubt that would be it.
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Post Post #14571 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:35 pm

Post by ProfessorDrapion »

In post 14566, butterflies wrote:
In post 14470, ProfessorDrapion wrote:I mean I tracked them to CSF but here’s my full tracks, I’m pretty sure this is the correct order from memory of submission:
CSF - No Result
Bella - Wolf
BestBird - No Visit
MisLim - No Visit
Butterflies - No Visit
Butters (Mason Claim) - No Visit
Blue - Visited Me
G&C - Visited CSF
You not only outright lied with your track on DNA, you also mixed up the order of your BBT and mason track.
Yet you call it out now? Lol.

I also said memory of submission implying I wasn’t 100% sure.
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Post Post #14572 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:36 pm

Post by ProfessorDrapion »

In post 14569, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:my poe is down to drapion - johnnyfarrar - off the hooook
Again, vote Butterflies.
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Post Post #14573 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:36 pm

Post by ProfessorDrapion »

In post 14570, butterflies wrote:
In post 14481, butterchurn wrote:
If C&G is town, kill Drapion tomorrow, don't let him talk his way out of it
. We might have to re-assess the POE a bit from there, since we're down one kill. I do somewhat believe C&G because it doesn't make much sense for C&G to be the one to carry out the kill with two scum left and Drapion already claimed that they were going to track there. We obviously still have to kill C&G first, though. Maybe Drapion knew that if he didn't die tonight, he would be outed, and so he might as well take someone with him. Hard to say. It's also possible that the 5th mafia cannot carry out the kill for some reason. They could have some ability that prevents them from killing. Traitor would probably make mafia too weak, so I doubt that would be it.
~Nancyfly

Yeah I’m aware and wolves took that as an advantage, why do you think I self voted?
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Post Post #14574 (ISO) » Wed Sep 07, 2022 2:37 pm

Post by ProfessorDrapion »

In post 14567, JohnnyFarrar wrote:I feel bad for voting you because I think you're a pretty good player with a fun style, but no way I trust you here anymore, drap.

Other than that, my vote would probably go on pooky. I think Malcolm only makes the kill when csf jailed them because the remaining scum can't risk a guilty at this stage, and I think pooky fits that bill. Otherwise I'm just entirely wrong on one of my townreads
I think Butterflies also fits that bill and also showed TMI.
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