Sorry. An ongoing game was sucking my soul out last night, and I fell asleep before getting around to this one.
I agree with Sotty and Elmo that I am Innocent vs. Benmage looks like town vs. town (at least in retrospect). I sided with Benmage in their early interaction; I thought Benmage had a point that IaI's early posts were IIoA when everyone had agreed, and Benmage quickly correcting himself when he noticed his mistake. Also, Benmage bullying people is a null tell.
I'm a bit annoyed. Because IaI made so many bad arguments before that self-vote, and on principle, throwing an antitown hissy fit shouldn't manipulate people off his wagon...but it feels genuine. Call me a sucker, but I'm buying it. So I'll direct my attention elsewhere.
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This is a horrible wall, but I'm better at poking at random stuff that sticks out than at coming to solid reads based on all that random stuff. Questions and noteworthy stuff it in chronological order:
Page One
Dry fit wrote:Wouldn't it make more sense to lynch the first day and then see what we decide from there?
This was something I'd meant to ask you on in pregame before being side-tracked by another game. By "see what we decide from there," were you arguing that we should use both lynches, or just that we should lynch first before no-voting?
Percy, do you genuinely believe that Benmage and RedCoyote are more likely to be scum because they stated loudly in the thread that they weren't scum? Or were you joking? Because you never follow up on that line of questioning at at all. It seems like a bit of an easy dig.
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Page Two
Most of this is RVS votes and Benmage v. IaI back and forth that I've already given my opinions on.
Only thing that sticks out:
KaleiÐoscøpe wrote:Make sense?
Um...this is...cryptic. Exactly whom are you replying to here?
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Page Three
RedCoyote wrote:I don't think IAI's numbers are IIoA, because he clearly states after giving us the information that he doesn't like the plan. Additionally, he isn't saying that Benmage is scummy for suggesting it, he's just crunching the numbers for the town's benefit. Benmage getting defensive looks significantly worse than anything else here.
Oso already pointed out that IaI
had
called Benmage scummy, but explain what you mean by "defensive." What in particular about Benmage's reaction was suspicious? How do you think Town Benmage should have reacted?
Nikanor wrote:Hey Locke, who do you think will win this game, town or mafia?
This is random. Nikanor, why are you only asking Locke this? And what do you expect to learn about his alignment from his answer?
RedCoyote wrote:Unvote; Vote: Nikanor for not catching that before Oso did.
This is the lamest vote ever, and feels like deflection. If you can't keep track of your own posts, why do you expect Nikanor to do it for you? Now, if you think not noticing you made a mistake is scummier, how is writing a whole case based on that mistake scummy?
jason, when you wrote
this post, did you notice that Oso had already said the same thing about I am Innocent noticing. You don't bring anything new to the table.
Attacking mongoose's #62 feels like shooting fish in a barrel...but
eww
. I'm curious as to why all those who accused IAI of IIoA said nothing about this post.
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Page Four
Disagree with most of jason's arguments on this page (he tends to exaggerate minor things as scummy), but I'm having trouble deciding if they're disingenuous.
Not crazy about how Sotty planted a seed of doubt against RedCoyote by implying that maybe, just
maybe
, he'd planned his slip on purpose...because he's crafty, you know...but oh,
no
, she's not accusing him of anything, just
speculating
.
Imkingdavid and mongoose have a contest on who can be more noncommittal and middle-of-the-road. I'm torn on who's scummier (and whether their behaviour can be attributed to n00bishness). On the one hand, at least mongoose provides actual opinions and a vote. On the other hand, Imkingdavid's reaction to IaI seems real-ish, and mongoose qualifies every opinion with "I dunno, he could be town, but he could also be scum."
mongoose wrote:I agree with this post. I think the people who lead discussion away from lynching tend to be scum, and the stats didn't help this. However, I am innocent does list his suspicions and they seem to be decent so for now I think he is town.
Why exactly do you think I am Innocent's suspicions were decent? Which ones in particular were decent?
I think it's extremely obvious that IAI was mistaken about if/when Benmage retracted his plan. It's possible for him to be mafia and mistaken, but being mistaken is still null. I also think it's fairly obvious that Benmage isn't really taking IAI's defence on board, which fits with my impression of Ben from the last time we played together.
This is the one area where I see jason's POV. Why are you speaking for IAI? Let IAI answer for himself if he was mistaken about the timing. In fact, Benmage actually quoted the post in which he'd retracted the plan, and IAI misinterpreted it.
Page Five
RedCoyote wrote:In other news, I don't have much to bring to the plate offensively at the moment. Elmo, Percy, Sotty, Oso... all making valid points and good posts. benmage is a little sloppy but, like IAI, I don't really see anything sinister about him.
This feels like sucking up.
Dry-fit wrote:Really? You don't think his self-voting tantrum was anti-town? And what is the purpose of your unvote?
unvote. Vote: Oso. He's put far too much effort into analyzing the votes on him. I also agree that his attack on Red is stretching.
I rate this first non RVS-post of the game a 3/10 for effort.
I'll let Imkingdavid answer himself on his definition of "antitown," but do you suspect I am Innocent, dry-fit? Do you think his behaviour is a sign of scumminess?
I think I'll just sit on the sidelines and watch the Percy-Sotty debate unfold before weighing in.
Question to all those voting Nikanor or saying you support his wagon after Locke cast the first vote for him: what in particular makes you suspect Nikanor over another lurker? Is it just that he's already a viable bandwagon?
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tl;dr:
Too many players need to step it up. Furcolow, Kaleidoscope, Nikanor, Locke...
I've changed the vote at the end of this page several times. Of the stronger players who are actually playing the game, I suspect Red Coyote most, although I get the occasional paranoid niggle from others. I'd originally thought Oso was town, but Elmo has a good point about how he immediately interpreted RC's slip in the worst possible way.
But on second thought...this may be picking on the newbie, but I'd like to try something.
VOTE: mongoose
That said, I may change this when I get a chance to do some meta research into his ordinary playstyle.
Actually being
caught up
after a catch up post feels awesome. Yay for games that don't grow two pages an hour!
EBWOPreview: I was going to ask Zach to prod Furc, but apparently he's posted...and is probably scum. Goody. I may just change my vote to him tomorrow.