A Feast for Crows Mafia - Valar Morghulis.


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Post Post #1400 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 3:05 pm

Post by Feysal »

Benmage wrote:Feysal has read genuine to me.

Fey
:D townreads?

I have a file sitting on my desktop where I've been keeping my notes... the reads list currently looks like this:

2)
Ooba
Bogre
(
Margaery Tyrell
)
3)
Benmage
(
Aurane Waters
)

5)
Albert B Rampage
(
Randyll Tarly
)
7)
Magua
(
Orton Merryweather
)

8)
Shadow1psc
(
Taena Merryweather
)

9)
MockingJaye
(
Olenna Tyrell
)

10)
MagnaofIllusion
(
Osfryd Kettleblack
)

12)
Deity of Flame
(AdumbroDeus and Frozenflame) (
Ilyn Payne
)

14)
xvart
Zdenek
(
Osney Kettleblack
)

16)
Plum
(Loras Tyrell
)

18)
Empking
(
Balon Swann
)

19)
Monday
(
Genna Frey
)
20)
Cogito Ergo Sum
(
Lancel Lannister
)

21)
Wraith
(
Kevan Lannister
)
23)
greenknight
(
Qyburn
)

Red = town, yellow = scum, different shades indicate strength of reads. Confirmed town and scum removed for simplicity's sake. I've not taken the time to read Monday, Wraith or greenknight properly, which is why they remain at plain black. Bogre and ABR are of course total unknowns.
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Post Post #1401 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 3:13 pm

Post by Benmage »

Word.

unvote vote Shadow


I'm probably out for the evening.
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Post Post #1402 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 3:17 pm

Post by Eddard Stark »

Day 3, Votecount 3

MagnaofIllusion (3) -Cogito Ergo Sum, greenknight, Feysal
Shadow1psc (3) - MagnaofIllusion, Empking, Benmage
Feysal (1) - Magua

Not voting
(10) Mina, Bogre, Albert B. Rampage, Shadow1psc, Mockingjaye, Deity of Flame, Zdenek, Plum, Monday, Wraith,

With 17 votes in play it takes 9 to lynch.


  • Deadline for Day 1
    : 9th of December at 17:05 (GMT)
  • Countdown
    : (expired on 2011-12-09 13:05:25)

War has arrived!

PM me for Dead QT access!
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Post Post #1403 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 4:33 pm

Post by MagnaofIllusion »

Benmage wrote:**I'd love to see a playerlist from you on whose scum and whose town.


Town Reads


Mina - Duh
Plum – After re-reading Day 2 and doing some other digging she’s Town.
Magua – Pretty solidly Town. I’ve seen scum-Magua up close and personal. This is a far cry from his play as scum. Plus his read on Feysal is credible and logical from a Town perspective.
DoF – Despite the late Day 2 pre-flip distancing from the diddin flip and the odd interaction with Magua I find his Day 1 and Day 2 up until ML’s Derpfest was pretty solid Town.
Empking – He’s not great but this is pretty clear Town Empking. Look at his Jungle Republic play … how he insists on asking ‘Why’ as a response or opening a line of questioning … his general activeness Day 1.

Scum Reads


Zoraster - Duh
Shadow – obv and 100% correct.
Feysal – Read his Day 1. It’s classic lurker Feysal. His meta hasn’t changed despite his insistence to the contrary. Add in his player surrounding Magister Ludi’s fake-claim and we have a very strong scum read.
Bogre – I’d be pushing this harder as ooba’s Meta is lurking as scum and he’s very active as Town but his flake-out adds some doubt. Bogre I have limited experience with so his one game as lurker-scum isn’t as solid Meta evidence for me. VCA placement will largely impact how strong this read is.
CES – He’s here until I do a VCA that shows he’s unlikely to be scum. His push on Plum continually is bad and reads as parking his suspicion and not developing further reads.
ABR / Wraith / Mockingjaye - Are these people actually still in the game? Page 1 says so but I couldn’t be convinced they are. At least one of these three is scum floating along under cover of lurkerdom. Maybe more if Bogre isn’t scum. VCA will probably point in a strong direction.

Not on either list
– a null read that hasn’t hit me with anything that says scum directly or anything that sticks out as Town.

As for your case I’ll respond to what I feel are the highlights –

On Oversoul – you don’t expect me to see what I see as scum play early in the day? As for your assertion that everything Oversoul said was ‘negative’, that’s preposterous. I didn’t think his blue breadcrumbing was Scum behavior and that’s just one example. I could probably dig up more but don't have the will to right now.

Benmage wrote:I commented on this before. But I really hate this “reaction” testing crap. It’s impossible to prove. People can write off any sort of scummy situation as “reaction” testing.. WTF was he trying to learn through the test?


I was trying to find out your reaction. Don’t play stupid. We’ve been over this repeatedly and you keep pretending it hasn’t been answered.

You know what – I hate people who proclaim themselves the King of Town when their play doesn’t really back it up. You will not see me making a case that you saying “LOOK AT ME I’M TOWN” means you are scum. Just that you are an ego-maniac. The fact that your scum-reads don’t really develop Day to Day as far as I can tell means you may be scum.

Since we are on the Topic – let’s see your Top three scum reads Benmage.


Benmage wrote:The main reason I really dislike this is because scum MoI in aSoS did buddy up to me.


No, not really but let’s just say for argument I did. I attacked you in Clash. But, snap, I’m guessing you’d use that as a scum-tell also, huh. Actually you are in the next quoted paragraph. So basically whatever stance I take with regards to my play with you I am scum, huh. Nice “Damned if you Do, Damned if you Don’t” Scenario. Magna who supports Benmage is scum, but Magna who doesn’t knuckle under to his ‘presence’ is scum also.

Benmage wrote:4. Hes had a huge farce with me of late. Arguing over nothing. I called Shadowtown and Someone I’d lynch. Nothing changed in that realm, yet somehow hes trying to twist it to the negative. As he’s pinged my scumdar and I’ve made it clear, I’ve somehow fallen into his scum suspect pool(Omgus?). Each post seems different from him in relation to me.


Missing the point, perhaps? The people you were willing to vote did not include two people you thought were Town – Shadow and Oversoul. You don’t have scum reads that I can see … just people you want to get rid of because they aren’t as good as you. And that's not something I see coming from Town.

Benmage wrote:
Who else actually think me scum?
I’d like to see a case from MoI on me. I really would.


Nice Appeal to Majority Ben – “No-one thinks I’m scum so I can’t be”.

Please keep your vote on scum Shadow though … regardless what little Tarp you are running it’s actually a good vote on scum.

--

CES wrote:I'm going to go with what the Mods told us over your silly little argument, yes. I can come up with a half-dozen decent explanations for why there'd be a difference, but I actually think "no reason, they just did" is itself plausible enough to reject your argument all in all.


Yes, we can agree to ignore each other’s opinion as neither one of us has any regard for the other person. I’m glad we understand the common ground we have.

--

Feysal wrote:My one guess was that the mods did not become fans of Victarion until this book, but I know such speculation is useless. My real question here is why do you think this matters? You can hunt for scum without knowing of other town factions, or whether any exist. I cannot see the town utility of you insisting on this theory, and I see potential scum utility.


For someone who claims I lack imagination in my play this is quite the hypocritical joke.

I have solid reason to think “The Crown” isn’t the only Town faction and that’s why I found Magister’s fake-claim not credible. And no, I’m not telling you why. Learn to live with disappointment.

Feysal wrote:That much is obvious, but it is less obvious why you are referring to an ongoing game. I only ever mentioned your play in A Storm of Swords, and I can't understand why you won't talk about that, and instead keep referring to a game you can't talk about.


You kept insisting the last time I nailed you as lurker-scum was Storm. It wasn’t. Pretending that’s not relevant is scummy. And yes, I’m not going into more detail than to say if you think I didn’t cement my read as you as scum (and that includes 3rd Parties cupcake) with your obv-lurking you are lying to yourself.

Feysal wrote:Have I claimed that my meta on you would be rock solid? I don't think that, in particular I don't think I've seen very much of your town side. What I do know is that your current play does remind me of you in ASoS, and I have seen you engage in activity for which I don't see a town motive.


And I know your play here does remind me of scum Feysal in Liten and other games (not all of which I have played in, BTW) and thus I find you scummy.

You keep referencing Storm over and over as if it is the Rosetta Stone to your claimed MoI meta read. Yet you ignore that I’ve completed three times as many games since then as you have on MS since Storm but you insist my meta read on you as a scum lurker isn’t valid. That’s some hypocritical inconsistency on your part and it only is helping solidify my read on you here.

Feysal wrote:Of course I don't think critical thinking is scummy. What I'm suspicious of is that you jumped to a conclusion that did not seem natural to me and did not seem to have town purpose. Had I thought about non-Crown aligned town at the time, I would have stayed silent about it until diddin claimed.
Back when I first mentioned this, I said that you had committed your own town-on-town tell, since your theory hinted at foreknowledge that both Ludi and diddin were town.


And the bolded is where you are making up things to support your stance. Find where I ever called Magister Town Day 2. I clearly didn’t think he was Town given when I returned to find diddin turbo-lynched I suggested he was likely a lyncher (which is the most logical conclusion when someone is almost positive a Cop claim is a lie when it makes no sense coming from Mafia).

It’s not Town V Town when you don’t think half of the equation isn’t Town :roll:

Feysal wrote:Umm... I think you messed up your sentence structure there. What can't come from town?


Yeah, not sure what happened to part of my post there …

It should have read “Are you suggesting the questions I asked of Magister (which I never did, and the part of your 'case' that was based around timing was scummy which I will get to when I can) can't possibly come from Town?”

Again – if you don’t then you are either unimaginative or scum.
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Post Post #1404 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 6:14 pm

Post by Feysal »

MagnaofIllusion wrote:I have solid reason to think "The Crown" isn't the only Town faction and that's why I found Magister's fake-claim not credible. And no, I'm not telling you why. Learn to live with disappointment.

Disappointed, me? I am a patient man, I know I will find out eventually. And it's not like I can't guess.

And by the way, I don't follow your logic there. Suppose for the sake of argument that there is another town faction. What would the game function of that be? If there was no game mechanic dealing with different town factions, it would be just meaningless flavor. One obvious possibility would be a faction cop, whose power would be reduced by the possibility of non-Crown townies showing up as false positives. Had I thought about this at the time, it would have increased my faith in Ludi's claim, and I would gladly have lynched diddin, since even if the result would not be 100% confirmed scum, by ruling out those aligned with the Crown the chance of scum would be significantly higher.

MagnaofIllusion wrote:You kept insisting the last time I nailed you as lurker-scum was Storm. It wasn't. Pretending that's not relevant is scummy. And yes, I'm not going into more detail than to say if you think I didn't cement my read as you as scum (and that includes 3rd Parties cupcake) with your obv-lurking you are lying to yourself.

Your lack of reason amazes me. You say that I'm scummy because there was another game where you nailed me for lurking?
How am I supposed to know that if the reasons you gave for suspecting me were entirely different, and you never once said a word about me lurking during the game?
I am not a mind reader. Expecting that I should somehow know your thoughts about me without you saying anything is completely irreasonable.

And by the way, your assertion that there would be no difference between my scum and third party play is laughable.

MagnaofIllusion wrote:You keep referencing Storm over and over as if it is the Rosetta Stone to your claimed MoI meta read. Yet you ignore that I've completed three times as many games since then as you have on MS since Storm but you insist my meta read on you as a scum lurker isn't valid. That's some hypocritical inconsistency on your part and it only is helping solidify my read on you here.

I keep bringing up A Storm of Swords because you refuse to talk about it.

I say again, your lack of reason amazes me. What does the number of games
you
have played have to do with
my
meta? The only thing that matters to the validity of your meta read is the number of my games you have played in, read, or even looked at.

MagnaofIllusion wrote:And the bolded is where you are making up things to support your stance. Find where I ever called Magister Town Day 2. I clearly didn't think he was Town given when I returned to find diddin turbo-lynched I suggested he was likely a lyncher (which is the most logical conclusion when someone is almost positive a Cop claim is a lie when it makes no sense coming from Mafia).

Correct me if I'm wrong: the point of your town-on-town tell is that scum tend to call it because they know it to be true, and they are trying to win town credit from saying so. There is one logical flaw there however, that being that scum can't know for sure if one or both of the players they call town is in fact third party or belongs to another scum faction. Therefore, I say your town-on-town tell should apply to any nonmafia-on-nonmafia theorizing.

You may have called Ludi a lyncher in your last post of the day, but before that, by entertaining the idea that non-Crown town could explain Ludi's result, you were implying that you thought his claim was possible without diddin being scum. I don't know why you would jump to the idea that neither of them was scum.

MagnaofIllusion wrote:Are you suggesting the questions I asked of Magister (which I never did, and the part of your 'case' that was based around timing was scummy which I will get to when I can) can't possibly come from Town?

They can, but it would be bad town play. By bringing that up you pretty much were offering him an out, and it would have been more informative to see if either Ludi or diddin came up with non-Crown town by themselves.
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Post Post #1405 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 6:42 pm

Post by Magua »

Benmage wrote:Give me 3 townreads porfavor? Not Mina.


From stronger to weaker: Benmage, Monday, greenknight, Zdenek
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Post Post #1406 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 6:47 pm

Post by Magua »

MagnaofIllusion wrote:He’s not great but this is pretty clear Town Empking. Look at his Jungle Republic play … how he insists on asking ‘Why’ as a response or opening a line of questioning … his general activeness Day 1.


Can you elaborate on what differentiates his play in AFFC from his play in ASoIaF?

Everything you're posting here about Empking seems to be a nulltell for him.
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Post Post #1407 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 10:14 pm

Post by Monday »

Just going to throw this out there. The MoI/Feysal back and forth is coming off as contrived to me. It looks like it could be scum vs. scum.
"Hey buddy, let's attack each other and go back and forth over the same bullshit in epic big ugly posts." "Yeah bro, we can distance, look busy without having to fabricate a case on any townies, and make ourselves tedious reads in iso! Win-win!"

This also looks contrived:
Feysal wrote:
Benmage wrote:Feysal has read genuine to me.

Fey
:D townreads?

I have a file sitting on my desktop where I've been keeping my notes... the reads list currently looks like this:

2)
Ooba
Bogre
(
Margaery Tyrell
)
3)
Benmage
(
Aurane Waters
)

5)
Albert B Rampage
(
Randyll Tarly
)
7)
Magua
(
Orton Merryweather
)

8)
Shadow1psc
(
Taena Merryweather
)

9)
MockingJaye
(
Olenna Tyrell
)

10)
MagnaofIllusion
(
Osfryd Kettleblack
)

12)
Deity of Flame
(AdumbroDeus and Frozenflame) (
Ilyn Payne
)

14)
xvart
Zdenek
(
Osney Kettleblack
)

16)
Plum
(Loras Tyrell
)

18)
Empking
(
Balon Swann
)

19)
Monday
(
Genna Frey
)
20)
Cogito Ergo Sum
(
Lancel Lannister
)

21)
Wraith
(
Kevan Lannister
)
23)
greenknight
(
Qyburn
)

Red = town, yellow = scum, different shades indicate strength of reads. Confirmed town and scum removed for simplicity's sake. I've not taken the time to read Monday, Wraith or greenknight properly, which is why they remain at plain black. Bogre and ABR are of course total unknowns.

"See? I'm totally town. I've been keeping notes! Color coded ones! Because I'm TOWN! Proof!"
Maybe I'm being unfair, but this sort of thing always rubs me the wrong way.

Three top town reads. Ick. Usually my problem is that everyone looks innocent to me. Pretty much the opposite this game. I guess Magua, Plum, and MJ in no special order.
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Post Post #1408 (ISO) » Sat Nov 26, 2011 10:15 pm

Post by Monday »

@Zdenek
How do you feel about your neighbor?
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Post Post #1409 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 2:09 am

Post by greenknight »

On Feysal:

The main issue I have with him is his flip on the Ludi/Diddin claim. This was extensively covered by Magua (whom I believe to be town) on day 2 and I don't see the need to repeat it here. Neither do I think that it's necessary to read Feysal's meta history to have a grasp on his playstyle, which has been consistent throughout this game except at that one point in time.

The "Feysal scum lurker" meta case raised by MoI against him is weak. It's easy to confirm a pre-existing suspicion of someone through selective reading of their past games. Feysal's defence of himself by saying "hey you should look at these games I picked instead" doesn't really do anything for me either, in general I think the meta arguments surrounding Feysal are a time wasting distraction.

feysal wrote:
Half of my issue with MoI is his way of dodging points brought against him, and the way he seems to be looking for lynch targets which are outwardly reasonable, but he has no interest in actually determining if they are scum.


This reaction seemed genuine and reduced my suspicion of Feysal a bit.

monday wrote:The MoI/Feysal back and forth is coming off as contrived to me. It looks like it could be scum vs. scum.


I do think Feysal's natural posting style is quite easy to read as being "contrived" in general, from reading his day 1 posts before he came under any suspicion. However I don't really trust either MoI or Feysal at this point, so I haven't ruled this possibility out.


I think Benmage/Magua/Monday are town, don't see too much harm in giving these reads.
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Post Post #1410 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 3:44 am

Post by Mina »

Monday, MoI, you may want to hold off your Plum town read for a bit.

All right, I was waiting for Plum's Friday night-Saturday V/LA to be over before doing this:

VOTE: Plum

Hey, so let's assume that hypothetically, my partner knew that you were scum right now. Go on, give me a good guess as to why.
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Post Post #1411 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 3:57 am

Post by Cogito Ergo Sum »

Huzzah!

Unvote, vote: Plum
Scumchat is awesome. Yarr!

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Post Post #1412 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 4:56 am

Post by Benmage »

Mina, you're cute.

MoI
just to clarify, even if you said this alot, to be clear; you think the Moqorro are in the game? Because the mods used it as a sample pm?
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Post Post #1413 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 4:56 am

Post by Magua »

Monday wrote:I guess Magua, Plum, and MJ in no special order.


Please elucidate how you can have a MockingJaye townread.
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Post Post #1414 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 4:58 am

Post by Benmage »

Magua wrote:
Monday wrote:I guess Magua, Plum, and MJ in no special order.


Please elucidate how you can have a MockingJaye townread.

Magua! Remind me to say something after she answers.
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Post Post #1415 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 5:01 am

Post by MagnaofIllusion »

Mina wrote:Monday, MoI, you may want to hold off your Plum town read for a bit.

All right, I was waiting for Plum's Friday night-Saturday V/LA to be over before doing this:

VOTE: Plum

Hey, so let's assume that hypothetically, my partner knew that you were scum right now. Go on, give me a good guess as to why.


I’m not Plum but I would say your partner is a liar and needs hung.

--

Benmage wrote:MoI just to clarify, even if you said this alot, to be clear; you think the Moqorro are in the game? Because the mods used it as a sample pm?


No, I have never said that the Moqorro are a faction in the game. That’s a bad reading.

I’m saying that for unspoken reasons and because the Mod specifically demonstrated a Non-Crown aligned Town Faction that there are probably at least one other faction in the game that is Town aligned and not ‘The Crown’.
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Post Post #1416 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 5:08 am

Post by Magua »

MagnaofIllusion wrote:I%u2019m not Plum but I would say your partner is a liar and needs hung.


Why, in God's name, do you feel the need to answer a question directed at Plum?
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Post Post #1417 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 6:24 am

Post by Plum »

Mina wrote:
VOTE: Plum

Hey, so let's assume that hypothetically, my partner knew that you were scum right now. Go on, give me a good guess as to why.


I killed Hascow in what was, in retrospect, a very bad Vig kill choice (or, alternatively, your partner knows Hascow targeted me the night he died, if that's the case - either way, my Vig kill was what took effect). Bad reason to conclude I'm scum, but given the way the other kills have gone assuming that Hascow was the scum kill isn't inherently a
bad
assumption.
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Post Post #1418 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 6:27 am

Post by Plum »

That last sentence was worded wrong. Bad reason to conclude that I'm
known
scum, but not inherently a bad assumption that the Hascow kill was a scumkill, given the kills. Albeit not the case. This was why I said that I really thought a search of Hascow's reads for potential Weak Doc targets would prove fruitless - because I killed him, and there's no way to tell if he chose to protect a scumbag in addition or not, even could we pin down a probable target.
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Post Post #1419 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 6:33 am

Post by Benmage »

cantswaitforminatoreturn

erm uhm. Why did you kill Cow?
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Post Post #1420 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 6:44 am

Post by Plum »

Because I suspected him and I didn't think he was, of my suspects, very likely to get lynched.

I was also paranoid re Ludi. At that point thought he was scum, but unsure what sort of scum gambit would benefit from suiciding in a 1 vs. 1. Therefore, held my fire on him and shot Hascow.
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Post Post #1421 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 6:46 am

Post by Magua »

Better question: Did you kill Oversoul?
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Post Post #1422 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 7:04 am

Post by Plum »

No indeed.
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YARR!
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Post Post #1423 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 7:06 am

Post by Cogito Ergo Sum »

Did you attempt to kill someone last night and if so, whom?
Scumchat is awesome. Yarr!

~"Multiple exclamation marks are a sure sign of a diseased mind."~
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Post Post #1424 (ISO) » Sun Nov 27, 2011 7:10 am

Post by Zdenek »

I can corroborate what MoI said. He posted his case on Feysal in the neighbor qt. As far as my opinion of him, I've played with him a few times, I can definitely attest to him throwing around suspicion of people as both town and as scum, for sometimes what I would consider to be weak reasons. I think that the strongest points against him are the buddying of benmage and the fact that he put a lot of effort into his 1290 which accomplishes little that is pro-town. If I didn't know that MoI busses aggressively, the fact that he's pushing both Feysal and Shadow would make me feel pretty good about him.

Feysal is still scum. The key points for me are his lack of acknowledgement of his shift in opinion over Ludi's claim, and the following: MoI accused Feysal of committing the town v town scum tell and fence-sitting on Empking. Feysal attacks MoI for cognitive dissonance saying that he can't have committed both the town v. town tell and fencesat on Empking, after further questioning Feysal admits to not having a firm opinion of Empking, basically making his earlier attack disingenuous. For the record, what Feysal said was:

Feysal wrote:
Catching up here. Read about a third, and delving into the clash between Shadow and Empking. I feel Shadow is town this time too, his style reminds me of his play last time. Empking surprises me by appearing more proactive than I've seen him before, which I suppose should be a town tell, but I'm not finding him easy to read.

Not yet getting any real scum reads based on the first few pages, other than a general feeling that the scum are lurking in the shadows while town members stand in the spotlight fighting each other.

Which to me, considering the game at the time, indicates that he thought that Empking v. Shadow was town v. town and there's a little fence sitting on Empking there too.

Feysal's view on Ludi also changed dramatically over a few posts.
Feysal wrote:
and you are trying to do it before Ludi flips and disproves your theory that I would have bussed an expendable partner.

Implies that he thinks that Ludi is town.
Feysal wrote:
This looks like a reaction test if I ever saw one, but it did get me thinking. It would almost make sense that your plan was to get a useless lurker lynched, and if he flipped town, you would get to kill whoever hammered you. Almost, though I still think it is stupid, and there are so many better ways to use a vengeful role.

He also took the possibility of Ludi being a supersaint somewhat seriously.

Then Ludi in post 1257 Ludi is caught scum sowing WIFOM.

_____________________

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If someone did vig him, they should probably claim.

Role fishing.

Benmage, because of the setup there is no reason to think that there is scum in the neighborhood.

DoF continues to look worse to me. That comment about the Oversoul kill was pointless and longwinded.

My strongest town reads are on Benmage and Magua.

Monday, what is your experience with mafia?

Going to reread Plum now . . .
I have secret plans and clever tricks.
- The Enormous Crocodile.
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