Open 459: There is a New Scum in Town. Game Over Town Wins!

[Majiffy]

[pirate mollie]

mollie's inching her way off my townlist.

I shouldn't be you dummy

[RachMarie]

Vote Count 3.5


pirate mollie (1) the director
Nobody Special (3) penguin_alien, uctriton00, Kmd4390
uctriton00 (4) Majiffy, Borkjerfkin, Nobody Special, Nachomamma8 (L-2)
Majiffy (1) Maenara,



pirate mollie, Buldemar




With 11 it takes 6 to lynch


(expired on 2013-01-14 17:06:10)




Buldemar had already voted for uct before my previous VC hence voting for him twice but only one counts. I hope that clears up any confusion. (not a lynch yet )

[borkjerfkin]

He's at L-2? really?

[Majiffy]

WILL THIS DAY NEVER END

[borkjerfkin]

How authentic is 1769 to you Majiffy?

[Majiffy]

Wouldn't know i don't really know much if anything about Uct.

[borkjerfkin]

Was that a Nacho-induced reply?

[Majiffy]

No?

[borkjerfkin]

Then I dunno what you mean

[Majiffy]

I don't know what you mean either. I think what I said was perfectly clear.

[borkjerfkin]

What does 1781 mean? Do you still think UCT is scum? Does the ATE in 1769 move you at all? Your initial reply was a non-answer

[Majiffy]

It means I don't know enough about Uct to tell if anything he posts is "authentic".
I'm still voting him, aren't I?
No. ATE doesn't move me, period.
It was an answer, you just don't English so gud.

[borkjerfkin]

I'm still voting him too and I'm questioning shit.

I'm not fucking interrogating you I just wanted your opinion.

[Majiffy]

Meeeeow kitty's got claws.

[borkjerfkin]

fuck it

[Majiffy]

Oh yes, fuck it. Yes, that's your answer. That's your answer to everything. Tattoo it on your forehead! Your revolution is over, Mr. Borkjerfkin! Condolences! The bums lost! My advice to you is to do what your parents did! Get a job, sir! The bums will always lose! Do you hear me, borkjerfkin? The bums will always lose!

[borkjerfkin]

I'm fucking trying to stay mad at you dammit

[Majiffy]

[pirate mollie]

well I am not sure I think uct might be town. majiffy I take it you want me to go ahead and vote him?

[Nobody Special]

WILL THIS DAY NEVER END

[borkjerfkin]

NS what the fuck honestly.

[buldermar]

Last night I realized that calculating the ideal probability of protecting Majiffy is simply too much work. It would take taking into account all of the possible future day and night permutations. I think a rough estimate could be 3p LyLo value plus the probability of him succesfully protecting town if he isn't killed plus 1/N where N is the amount of players plus something for his value on possible future days which combined would always be less than 16.67%, so let's say that's 15%... so that would be something like 16.67%+20%+15%=51.67%.

[buldermar]

I don't know if it makes sense at all but intuitively it seems right to me.

[borkjerfkin]

sure, fine. Let's say it's between 50 and 60%. That doesn't really alter the plan.